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US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

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Increase in U.S. Unemployment ClaimsThe recent data on initial unemployment claims in the United States introduces a note of caution amid an economic outlook that, until recently, appeared robust. Contrary to the narrative of U.S. economic exceptionalism that dominated the first half of January, initial unemployment claims have risen for the second consecutive week, with continuing claims reaching their highest level since November 2021. This increase raises questions about the relative strength of the labor market presented by the December NFP report and its potential impact on the country’s economic trajectory. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor shows that initial claims increased by 6,000, reaching 223,000 for the week ending January 18, slightly exceeding market expectations of 220,000. Beyond the weekly figure, the standout data point is the rise in continuing claims, which climbed to 1,899,000, marking the highest level in over two years. This increase suggests that unemployed workers are taking longer to find new job opportunities, an indicator warranting close monitoring. This rise in continuing claims is a figure that deserves attention. Prolonged periods of unemployment could negatively affect consumer spending and confidence. While this data tempers the optimism generated by the strong December NFP report, it’s crucial to place it within a global context. The U.S. economy, compared to other developed economies, still shows a relatively strong performance. However, this uptick in unemployment claims dampens the narrative of economic exceptionalism. In the realm of monetary policy, these data points are unlikely to significantly influence the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in its upcoming meeting, where interest rates are expected to remain unchanged. Similarly, market expectations for 2025 rate cuts remain centered on the second half of the year, with a forecast of a single 25 basis point cut. The U.S. dollar experienced slight additional downward pressure following the release of this data, adding to the pressures from signs of easing inflation and the absence of targeted tariff measures at the start of the Trump 2.0 administration. The DXY index registered a slight decline of 0.05%. Market attention will now turn to next week’s FOMC meeting and, in particular, to Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks. Additionally, uncertainty persists over the potential implementation of punitive tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, a measure that could have significant implications for trade and the economy. While it is premature to suggest a trend reversal, this data serves as a reminder of the importance of maintaining constant vigilance over labor market developments and their broader economic impact. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Pepperstone
DXY Long term Bullish biasWhy the Dollar Index is Likely to Rise in the Near Term: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is poised for potential gains in the near term, driven by a combination of factors: Strong U.S. Economic Data: Recent economic reports show resilient U.S. growth, with solid GDP numbers and strong labor market data supporting the dollar’s upward trajectory. Fed's Hawkish Stance: The Federal Reserve remains committed to combating inflation, keeping interest rates elevated and signaling further tightening if necessary. Higher rates generally make the dollar more attractive to investors. Global Risk-Off Sentiment: Increasing geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty often push investors toward the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset. This trend tends to drive up demand for USD during times of global instability. Euro Weakness: As the Eurozone faces its own economic challenges, including inflation concerns and weaker growth prospects, the Euro may remain under pressure, providing additional support to the dollar. Given these factors, the dollar appears well-positioned to strengthen in the short term, likely driving the DXY higher.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by ChampionsFx
Levels discussed on Livestream 15th Jan 202515th January 2025 DXY: Consolidating below 109.40, price stays below 109.40, could trade down to 108.75 (bottom of the channel and 61.8%) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5580 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Buy 0.6210 SL 20 TP 40 (IHS) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2140 SL 30 TP 80 (watch out at 1.2110) EURUSD: Sell 1.03 SL 40 TP 110 USDJPY: Sell 156.95 SL 30 TP 80 EURJPY: Sell 161.25 SL 35 TP 105 GBPJPY: Nothing for now, possibly lower to 188 USDCHF: Look for reaction at 0.91 USDCAD: Sell 1.4345 SL 20 TP 40 XAUUSD: Look for price to trade up to 2697, previous swing high
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY can still growI am seeing that on a daily basis the strength of $ against Rials is increasing the only option that iran has is a strong attempt to bolster production at all lines of industry at leat to 300 to 600% of the current status. only in this way we will be able to slow down or halt this currency weakness against the US dollar. it has bee alleged that iran can absorb around 2 trillion dollars in foreign investment to boost its economy. after the start of the revolution there has been a downtrend in investment.
TVC:DXYLong
by loginmusa
DXYThe Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It provides a comprehensive gauge of the dollar’s strength in global markets and is widely used by traders, investors, and policymakers. A rising DXY indicates a stronger dollar, often reflecting investor confidence in the U.S. economy, while a declining index suggests a weakening dollar. The index is closely watched for its impact on commodities, trade balances, and global financial markets.
TVC:DXYShort
by HavalMamar
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels. First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here. However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it. Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel. This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by professionalgoldtrader
Levels discussed on Livestream 14th Jan 202514th January 2025 DXY: Test support of 109.40, if below 109.30 can trade down to 108.75 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5580 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6190 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2180 SL 25 TP 75 or Sell 1.23 SL 30 TP 100 EURUSD: Sell 1.0315 SL 30 TP 120 USDJPY: Sell 156.90 SL 30 TP 80 EURJPY: Buy 162.00 SL 40 TP 80 GBPJPY: Sell 191.80 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Buy 0.9155 SL 25 TP 60 USDCAD: Sell 1.4350 SL 20 TP 45 XAUUSD: If price stays below 2675 could trade down to 2645
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Can the Dollar Index Predict Global Chaos?In the intricate dance of global finance, the U.S. Dollar Index has emerged as a pivotal player, reaching heights unseen in over two years. This surge, coinciding with Donald Trump's anticipated return to the White House, underscores a market bracing for significant policy shifts. The index's climb is not just a number; it's a beacon reflecting the resilience of the U.S. economy amidst high interest rates and a low unemployment rate, painting a picture of optimism where investors envision a 'goldilocks' scenario under new economic policies. However, this rise is shadowed by tariff threats, hinting at potential global trade disruptions. The depreciation of European currencies against the dollar signals a market in flux, with investors recalibrating their strategies in light of possible protectionist measures. This scenario challenges us to ponder the broader implications: How will these tariffs reshape international trade dynamics, and what does this mean for the global economic order that has favored open trade for decades? The Dollar Index's ascent also prompts a deeper reflection on currency as a barometer of geopolitical stability. With the U.S. potentially stepping into a new era of economic policy, the world watches closely. This moment invites investors and policymakers alike to consider global economic relations' immediate impacts and long-term trajectory. Will this lead to a reevaluation of the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency, or will it strengthen its position amidst global uncertainties? This question is not just about economics; it's about understanding the undercurrents of power and influence in a world at a crossroads.
INDEX:DXYLong
by UDIS_View
Levels discussed during livestream 10th Jan 202510th January 2025 (Pre NFP) DXY: Consolidating below 109.40 strong nfp: break 109.40 trade up to 110 weak nfp; needs to break 108.80, to trade down to bottom of channel at 108.40 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5570 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY strength) AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62 support area, Sell 0.6255 SL 20 TP 50 (rejection of trendline) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2250 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY strength) EURUSD: Sell 1.0270 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY strength) USDJPY: Sell 157.80 SL 30 TP 120 (DXY weakness MASSIVE Counter Trend) EURJPY: Do Nothing GBPJPY: Buy 195.50 SL 60 TP 250 USDCHF: Buy 0.91430 SL 30 TP 60 USDCAD: Buy 1.4390 SL 20 TP 70 XAUUSD: Continuation higher, break above 2678 to trade up to 2690
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY Strongly Bullish:DXY Strongly Bullish The DXY (US Dollar Index) is currently showing a strong bullish momentum. I do not expect the price to retrace back into the monthly breakout gap unless the extreme high is taken out first. With the ongoing strength in the US Dollar, the market is likely to continue pushing higher, especially if the price holds above key support levels. The bullish trend is intact, and any pullbacks might be shallow before the next leg up. Traders should remain focused on higher targets, monitoring for any significant shifts in market structure that could signal a reversal. The key point is that the extreme high must be taken out for the continuation of this strong bullish trend.
TVC:DXYLong
by Asif_Brain_Waves
DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch. U.S. Economic Data: Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar. Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment: Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical and International Developments: Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction. Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil: Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness. In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
TVC:DXYShort
by mehdi_kb
Forecast UPDATES! Jan 15, WedIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets: ES \ S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC |Gold SiI | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
Markets were in consolidation on 9th Jan 20259th January 2025 DXY: Consolidate between 109 and 109.40, could breakout to 110 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 30 TP 60 AUDUSD: Look for reaction at 0.62, Buy 0.6220 SL 25 TP 50 or Sell 0.6175 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2260 SL 20 TP 70 EURUSD: Sell 1.0270 SL 25 TP 60 USDJPY: Watching that 158 resistance level EURJPY: Sell 162.40 SL 50 TP 80 GBPJPY: Sell 193.30 SL 50 TP 100 USDCHF: Buy 0.9130 SL 20 TP 50 USDCAD: Buy 1.4415 SL 20 TP 45 XAUUSD: Watch 2672 resistance (61.8%), possible rejection.
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY for short-term DownsideHello Fellow Traders, Its BEEN A WHILE! I hope That Everyone Follows This Forecast To make some big Profits! Here is a Full Updated Analysis & Forecast For DXY The Best way to follow my Analysis is if the following conditions apply. Conditions - 1. Wait for the Market to Show you some (Rejection / Confirmation / Direction) 2.Wait for confirmation(Price Action Confirmation ( Pinbar , Bullish or Bearish engulfing / Break of structure Aka Support Or Resistance) 3.Do your Own analysis! (Draw Trend Lines / Support & Resistance Zones / SND ) 4.Always Use Risk Management (Risk 1% of your capital) 5.Entry Should be Made on The 4H Timeframe (Only if you have Confirmation) 6.Trade at own risk! &. Plan Your Trade & Trade The Plan! Let Me know if you have any Questions or Comments Below! Negative Or Insulting Comments Are Not Welcome See You in the next Analysis! Global Fx Education
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Global_Fx