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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for November 22, 2024 USDJPYHigher market sentiment and rising US bond yields are limiting the rise of the low-yielding yen. The US Dollar is holding near its highest level in the last year and is providing support to the USD/JPY pair. The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracted buying for the second day in a row following the release of slightly better-than-expected Japanese consumer inflation data. This came amid statements released on Thursday by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which kept expectations of an interest rate hike in December. In addition, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's 39 trillion yen economic stimulus package boosts the Yen and puts some pressure on the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, the prevailing risk-on and higher US Treasury yields keep traders from aggressive bullish bets on the low-yielding Yen. Investors remain concerned that U.S. President Donald Trump's policies could lead to renewed inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to slowly cut interest rates. This has been a key factor in the recent rise in US bond yields, which has kept the US Dollar (USD) near yearly highs and provided support to the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 154.00, trading mainly with Buy orders.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
UsdJpy Trade IdeaWith UJ coming back underneath a resistance level from a previous range I decided to short the pair for a 1:3rr. We had a clean bearish flip once price came above the resistance with price failing to continue bullish structures. USD had news at 8:30 but bearish structures still held. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into the support range around 152. Just around 152 is a weekly level of resistance that has been respected multiple times so having targets around that level would be ideal.
Short
by OfficialJ23
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 19, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) rose against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, although it lacked bullish confidence amid uncertainty over the timing of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) next interest rate hike. In addition to this, risk-on sentiment reflected in the overall positive tone in the equity markets may be contributing to the safe-haven yen's decline. That said, geopolitical risks and lower US Treasury yields could prevent a significant downside for the low-yielding yen. In addition, speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene to support the national currency may deter bears from aggressively betting on the yen. The focus will now shift to Japan's consumer inflation data and global PMIs due out later this week. Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said Tuesday that “it is crucial to raise wages for all generations with an economic package.” He also noted that he is “aiming for the cabinet to approve the economic package soon.” At the time of writing the analysis, the USD/JPY pair is consolidating on the latest round of declines just above the 154.10 level, having lost 0.36% on the day. Trade recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at155.63, which is a pullback resistance and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 153.73, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 156.84, a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/JPY Potential Trajectory Around Intervention Levels..Whispers of Intervention (again) by the Japanese Govt have come across the board as the USD drives higher. Japanese officials are aware of demand into USD post Trump Election and will be monitoring the weakening of the JPY carefully. We've seen several Japanese interventions in recent history, and anything more would likely deliver a larger fall back to lows to keep price sustainable. It is is more the rate at which the weakening happens, not so much the eventual price. So any data that spurs a further drive into the USD could cause this to happen. Any entries, must be light. I would not take anything seriously long here at all given the position the JPY is in, not least how weak it is already. With intervention chatter on the cards its a recipe for long disaster, even despite rate differentials. S/L may be helpful. Keeping a close eye on news sentiment as we go forward.
Short
by WillSebastian
4
USDJPY: Buy opportunity inside the 1H MA200 and 4H MA100.USDJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.138, MACD = 1.880, ADX = 50.518) which perfectly explains the Channel Up it's been trading in since October 8th. At the moment the price is on an aggressive bearish wave, which got accelerated today as it was rejected on the 1H MA50. The result is so far a direct hit on the 1H MA200 for the first time since Nov 10th. The last two HL were on the 4H MA100 however, so there is still some more room to fall but even on the current level the reward largely outweighs the risk. We are just over the 0.5 Fibonacci level afterall, which is where the November 5th low was formed. We're long, aiming for a +3.20% rise (TP = 158.500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
USDJPY InsightHello, dear subscribers! Thank you for joining me today. Please share your personal opinions in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Despite consecutive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.50%. - The gap between the Federal Funds Rate and market rates appears to stem from prevailing expectations of a U.S. "no landing" scenario and the risk of resurging inflation. - The Biden administration has approved Ukraine's use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles for strikes on Russian territory. - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that any further adjustments to monetary easing will depend on future economic, price, and financial conditions. This Week's Economic Calendar - November 19: Eurozone October CPI - November 20: U.K. October CPI - November 22: Japan October CPI USD/JPY Chart Analysis USD/JPY faced resistance near the 157 level and experienced a slight pullback. However, it seems to be attempting a rebound, and the current rally is expected to form a peak in the 158–159 range. Following the peak, the pair is projected to retreat toward the 149 level. If movements deviate from expectations, strategies will be adjusted promptly.
Long
by shawntime_academy
4-hr USD/JPY: Up Trend Continuation USD/JPY is showing a solid uptrend, highlighted by strong bullish momentum confirmed by the appearance of a Golden Cross, where the 20 MA has crossed above the 60 MA. This is a strong technical indicator suggesting the continuation of upward movement. Recently, the pair experienced a significant correction of 240 pips, but found strong support at the 154.00 level, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement — a key level often watched by traders for potential reversals. Following this support test, the currency pair has resumed its bullish trajectory, underpinned by increasing trading volumes. The outlook now points towards a likely retest of the recent peak at 156.40, suggesting potential for further upside gains. Additionally, the 30-minute chart confirms this positive sentiment by displaying another Golden Cross pattern, reinforcing the buying signal. This combination of signals across different timeframes indicates that the trend remains firmly intact with strong momentum on the buyer’s side.
Long
by Trendsharks
3
Technical Breakdown, What's Next for the Pair?OANDA:USDJPY - 1 Hour Chart Current Price: 154.281 Upon analysing the 1-hour chart, we observe that the price has recently rejected a strong resistance level and is now trading below Resistance (R2) at 154.688. The RSI is currently at 31.83, which is below the neutral 50 mark, indicating weak momentum. Given the strong resistance at R2 and the weak RSI, we anticipate a potential decline towards the S1 support level at 153.125. Although there is strong support at S1, a price pullback or consolidation around this area is possible. However, due to the weak RSI and the fact that other USD-related currencies are in an extreme oversold condition, we expect the price to break through S1 and potentially test the S2 support level at 151.563. A further decline could eventually bring the price to the 150 psychological level. On the other hand, if the price manages to break above R2, we could see a move towards 156.250. Key Levels: R1: 156.250 R2: 154.688 S1: 153.125 S2: 151.563 psychological level: 150.000 Reminder for traders: Always follow your risk management rules. Ensure you’re using appropriate stop-loss levels and position sizing for your trades. Market conditions can change quickly, and staying disciplined is key to long-term success. Good luck with your trades!
Short
by SpicyPips
1