SCHW $86 Next? Or Double top flush? SCHW to $86 by March 18th? Or flush under $79? Looks like it is bouncing on key levels looking left. Volume is lower than its 30D AVG. $81.80 is the level i will be watching to reject or push through. GL!
0L3I trade ideas
Fail to Breakout on Schwab. SCHWThere is probably a discernable Jurik RSX divergence on a higher time chart, as there is one VZO on this 12 hourly. And it would make sense. A good spot for entry here, as MIDAS line cross on the background of price action superior cross of vWAP and US lines. More technicality below- there is a cross of zero line on BB %PCT, and both Ehlers Stochastic RSI and VZO with offset are truly bearish. We might bounce at diagonal trendline painted in blue below.
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Buy Trade Strategy for SCHW Banking on Financial Services GrowthDescription:
This trading idea focuses on SCHW (Charles Schwab Corporation), one of the largest financial services firms in the U.S., known for its brokerage, wealth management, and banking solutions. SCHW has established a strong market presence by offering innovative financial products and competitive pricing, which have attracted a growing customer base. The company’s diversified revenue streams, including interest income and asset management fees, provide stability even in volatile market conditions. With ongoing digital transformation and increasing demand for low-cost investment solutions, SCHW is well-positioned for long-term growth.
Despite its solid fundamentals, SCHW is still subject to external market forces, such as changes in interest rates, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends, which can impact its performance. As a result, investors should carefully assess the risks and opportunities before entering a position.
Disclaimer:
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading stocks like SCHW involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Always conduct thorough research, understand your financial situation, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SCHW's Weekly Pour: A Cup, a Handle, and a Bullish Refill?Been tracking SCHW, and this chart is shaping up to be something big—potentially a breakout from a range that’s been developing since early 2022. Price is pressing up against key resistance around $95-$100, and a clean break above this level could confirm a multi-year breakout, opening up the possibility of a much larger trend move. With Fibonacci extensions lining up at $150 and $200, this could be one of those slow-burn setups that eventually pays off in a big way. Let’s break it down.
Fibonacci Extensions and Multi-Year Price Targets
The way this chart is structured, $95-$100 is the final boss. If price convincingly clears that level, it breaks a massive range that’s been in place for over two years. If that happens, $150 (the 161.8% Fib extension) and $200 (the 261.8% extension) are the next major upside targets. These aren’t short-term price points—this is the kind of move that could play out over multiple years. But historically, when a stock coils for this long and then breaks out, the measured move potential is huge.
Moving Averages and Long-Term Trend Shift
Right now, we’ve got price trading above both the 50-week and 200-week moving averages, signaling that momentum has already started to shift. The 50-week MA is curling upwards, and if we see it hold above the 200-week, that would mark a long-term trend shift that typically aligns with sustained upside moves.
Mapping Out the Breakout Scenarios
If we do get a breakout, here’s how I see it playing out:
1️⃣ Break Above $100 → Multi-Year Uptrend Begins – A confirmed break and hold above $100 shifts the entire structure bullish, setting up an eventual run to $150 and possibly $200 over the next couple of years. This would be the full resolution of the pattern that has been developing since early 2022.
2️⃣ Rejection at $95-$100 → Pullback Before Breakout – If price gets stuffed at resistance, we could see a pullback to the $75-$80 zone before another breakout attempt later in 2025. This would act as a final shakeout before the bigger move.
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All eyes on $95-$100. That’s the level that determines whether this just grinds sideways for another year or finally starts a major new uptrend. If it breaks, we’ve got a clear roadmap to $150 and $200 in the coming years.
Curious if anyone else is watching this. Are we about to see the start of something big, or is there one more fakeout before the real move?
Not financial advice. Just charting things out. Let’s see what happens.
SCHW heads up into $83: major resistance that could mark a TOP?SCHW has been rising with the financials tide after Trump win.
Now testing a major resistance of Golden Genesis + Covid fib.
Looking for a pullback or Break-and-Retest for the next move.
$ 82.54 - 83.55 is the exact zone of interest.
$ 75.74 - 76.03 below is the first strong support.
$ 95.42 - 95.72 is the next major resistance above.
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An opportunity to accumulate SCHW call options exp in Jan 2025TD also announced today that it has sold 40,500,000 shares of common stock of The Charles Schwab Corporation ("Schwab"). The share sale will reduce TD's ownership interest in Schwab from 12.3% to 10.1%. In connection with this sale, TD has agreed not to sell any additional Schwab shares for a period of 45 days, subject to certain exceptions. TD has no current intention to divest additional shares.
8/21/24 - $SCHW - Oppty cost too high >$508/21/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:SCHW
Oppty cost too high >$50
- will start by saying, i think these businesses are much more cyclical and slow moving than what i typically look at
- the stock has been pretty dead money esp on it's SPY comp for a few years at this pt
- the key here will be whether the right EPS is $4 or $5 in the coming year ('25 let's say). the street is optimistic we go from $3 to $4, but wall street is always optimistic (keep that in mind).
- if the truth is, these guys somehow re invigorate growth (i have a schwab account btw and really don't enjoy having it but the alternatives, admittedly also suck)... the stock is probably getting interesting if we enter the $50s.
- but for me to pull the trigger i'd like to see something sub 15x and without any degradation of the macro i.e. some "banking" crisis type headline that sends all these things in passive funds without any bids and that's where we can scoop value.
- if you're a patient investor that *needs* some banks/ financials exposure i'd say i'd still prefer NASDAQ:HOOD (but not at current levels) because I think they are ultimately a better UX and beneficiary of a lot of generational flows.
- $62 on $4 of EPS is 15x. needs to prove that's the case in the coming 6 months (i'm not close enough). if we start entering low GETTEX:50S say $50 itself... on something closer to $4...$4.5 in the coming year - now we're talking.
- too many words to say... i think i can do better in this environment and not have the feeling that i need to babysit the position. if i really really wanted to own it, perhaps i'd sell some call options for income. just don't see the catalyst.
V
Charles Schwab Crashed Again Amid Market MeltdownKey Takeaways:
- Multiple investment platforms, including Charles Schwab, experienced technical outages during a significant market sell-off.
- Thousands of login issues were reported, adding to investor frustration during a volatile market period.
- The outages lasted about three hours, impacting user access to accounts via mobile apps and online platforms.
- Market volatility was driven by a weak labor report and concerns over a potential severe economic downturn.
In a turbulent day for the financial markets, Charles Schwab and other major investment platforms faced significant technical issues, leaving investors unable to access their accounts during a critical time. The outages occurred amid a market meltdown, further exacerbating investor frustrations.
Widespread Technical Outages
Starting around 9 a.m. ET, multiple investment platforms, including Charles Schwab, Fidelity, Vanguard, Ameritrade, eTrade, and Robinhood, went offline. According to Downdetector.com, the incident lasted approximately three hours, with nearly 15,000 issues reported for Charles Schwab, 3,500 for Fidelity, 3,000 for Vanguard, and 2,000 for Ameritrade.
Users reported being unable to log in to their accounts via mobile apps or online platforms. This issue was reminiscent of a similar incident Charles Schwab encountered in June when over 5,800 users experienced login problems.
Market Volatility and Investor Impact
The timing of the outages couldn't have been worse. A weak labor report released on Friday triggered a severe market sell-off, leading to what is being termed a stock market “meltdown.” Wall Street’s main indexes tumbled, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 1,034 points, or 2.6%, after dropping more than 1,200 points at its lowest point of the session. Shares of Charles Schwab fell by 1.7%, slightly better than the broader market decline.
Investors, already on edge due to the market volatility, faced additional stress due to the inability to manage their portfolios during the downturn. The outages left many unable to execute trades or access critical account information during a period of frenzied trading.
Company Responses and Resolution
Charles Schwab (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ) and other affected platforms were quick to acknowledge the issues. Charles Schwab (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ) took to X (formerly Twitter) to announce, “A technical issue experienced by some clients has been resolved. We apologize for the inconvenience.” The firm posted an update at 12:38 p.m. ET, confirming that the issue had been resolved.
Fidelity Investments also responded to complaints on social media, assuring users that their login issues had been addressed. Vanguard issued a statement acknowledging temporary issues for some clients on Monday morning, which have since been resolved. Steve Sanders, EVP of marketing and product development at Interactive Brokers, stated that their platform did not experience widespread outages.
Future Outlook and Investor Confidence
While the technical issues appear to have been resolved, investors should not rely on these platforms for real-time access to their accounts and the ability to make timely decisions. Any disruption, especially during market volatility, can lead to significant financial and emotional stress.
Technical Outlook
Despite recent market turbulence and a technical glitch experienced by Charles Schwab stock (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ), the assets appear to have appreciated by 0.5% as of the time of writing on Tuesday's market trading. The daily price chart illustrates a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 32.71, indicating a potential trend reversal or further price decline.
The chart of Charles Schwab stock (NYSE: NYSE:SCHW ) has exhibited multiple inverse shoulder and head patterns, with the current pattern seemingly in the formation of a shoulder.
Conclusion
The technical outages at Charles Schwab and other investment platforms amid a market meltdown have underscored the importance of reliable access to financial services. As markets remain volatile, ensuring uninterrupted service will be key to maintaining investor confidence. For now, investors can only hope that such incidents are addressed swiftly to prevent future disruptions during critical trading periods.
SCHW LONG (read why)SCHW, after the last earnings season on July 16th, recorded a sharp collapse, losing over 19% in just 4 sessions. The market is saying this stock is overvalued despite above-expected earnings and revenue. The profile volumes you see in the image are completely unbalanced. In just a few ticks, very high volumes were collected for price protection. Today the price touched the floor of a parallel channel and, with momentum given by volumes, the price seems to have resumed the positive trend. Today, taking a long look at this stock is advantageous for the following reasons:
1 good fundamentals: this stock, generous in dividends, has excellent fundamental data and for these reason it is worth holding it for investing.
2 Trading with excellent risk-return ratio: Nonetheless, you would expose yourself to a small loss (subject to choosing the right money sizing) in the face of an ambitious TP.
Friendliness
CHARLES SCHWAB Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 012224Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 63/61.80%
Chart time frame : D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SCHW here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 66usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.06.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SCHW Faces Headwinds Yet Investors Find Hope in Growing AssetsCharles Schwab ( NYSE:SCHW ) are navigating challenges that come with the territory. The recent release of the company's Q4 results has sparked both concern and optimism among investors. Despite a significant drop in earnings, Charles Schwab managed to beat forecasts, leaving market participants to weigh the pros and cons of its performance against a backdrop of industry-wide shifts.
Earnings Overview:
Charles Schwab ( NYSE:SCHW ) reported a 36% drop in adjusted earnings to 68 cents per share, surpassing FactSet expectations of 64 cents per share. However, GAAP earnings nearly halved from 97 cents per share last year to 51 cents per share. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter of earnings declines for the brokerage giant. Net revenue also took a hit, falling 19% to $4.46 billion, just shy of the forecasted $4.48 billion.
The decline in net interest revenue, coupled with lower trading revenue and bank deposit account fees, reflects the challenges faced by Schwab in a changing market environment. Despite these setbacks, the company managed to add $306 billion in core net new assets during the 2023 fiscal year, bringing total client assets to a record $8.52 trillion at year-end.
Market Reaction:
In response to the earnings report, Schwab's stock experienced a 5.2% slump in early trade, raising concerns about triggering an automatic sell rule. The stock had briefly cleared a key entry point in a cup base in mid-December. The market's reaction suggests that investors are taking a cautious stance, carefully evaluating the implications of the results on the brokerage's future trajectory.
Comparison with Interactive Brokers:
Charles Schwab's performance is juxtaposed with that of Interactive Brokers (IBKR), which reported adjusted earnings of $1.52 per share, up nearly 17% from the previous year but falling just short of FactSet expectations of $1.53 per share. Despite the miss, Interactive Brokers demonstrated revenue growth, with a 16.6% increase to $1.139 billion.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical standpoint, NYSE:SCHW is currently trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. This positioning indicates that investors are still in the process of evaluating the stock. The fact that it remains above the moving average signals some upward momentum, which could bode well for the stock's future value.
Conclusion:
While Charles Schwab faces headwinds with declining earnings and a less-than-stellar market response, the company's ability to attract significant net new assets suggests resilience. Investors must now weigh the short-term challenges against the long-term growth potential, especially as the brokerage aims to capitalize on its record-high total client assets. The industry-wide shifts in interest rates, trading dynamics, and asset management will likely continue to influence Schwab's performance, making it a stock to watch as it navigates through the complexities of the financial landscape.
Charles Schwab to extend to $80 in the coming monthsCharles Schwab is a leading bank/financial institution and underperformed in 2023. I am very excited moving into 2024, and I expect to see the stock recoup its losses dating back to the start of 2023 where it started the year at $84 a share.
Charles Schwab is a great hedge in the market going into 2024. It benefits from both rate cuts & hikes. So wether analysts have predicted correctly if we get 6 cuts n 2024... I don't really care as this name benefits from both.
Stay long and target $80 a share. I think it hits before May 2024.
$SCHW $115 Target with retest of previous supportIn this analysis we will compare current price movement of NYSE:SCHW with similar previous price action using trendlines, support and resistance zones, 50 (Cyan) & 200 (Dark blue) moving averages, & finally a FIB retracement. The Fibonacci retracement image will be referenced at the end of this analysis.
Taking a look past the Vertical blue line (figure 1.) on figure 3., we have a resistance on a downward trendline, which we will later see a three-point breakout of this trendline (zone, trendline & 200 MA). Now focusing on the bottom trendline (figure 4.), we do see a breakout of this trendline to find support on the bottom box (figure 5.), we then return to this trendline just before a breakout. Finally just before breakout of the top trendline (figure 3.), we see a support found between the nearest zone & the 50MA (figure 2.).
Now into the present price movement past figure 1., we see a trendline resistance followed by a box resistance later on (figure A.). Jumping down to the previous bottom trendline, on figure C. we can see that support is found again on this trendline as well as on that support box (figure D.).
As we see on figure 2., we tested both that zone & 50MA only. The difference now is that the 200MA is there, this paired with the 50MA could possibly bring us lower. It's then reasonable to expect a good entry would be on figure B. if support is confirmed in this area.
Until that happens I've set a buy zone at roughly $54, here I can take advantage of a possible retest on resistance of the 50 & 200MA, previous support & finally on that zone (figure B.).
Reference:
Charles Schwab Opportunity Charles Schwab $SCWH
Earnings info will follow in comments:
Company Market Cap: $97.8 billion
Share Price: $53.72
Dividend: $1.00 dps – Dividend per share ($0.25 per quarter)
Dividend yield: 1.94% (Annual dps divided by current share price, expressed as a percentage)
Why this Trade?
o Contrarian trade – news is so negative its hard to not to feel interested
o Price 50% down from highs in Feb 2022
o Ascending triangle base re-test on-going
o Defined risk level/stop loss makes it an easy set up
o Long term diagonal support line provides secondary support
o RSI Oversold historic returns inform us of a current opportunity and potential future opportunities.
Concerns/Risks:
o Schwab is not a Global Systemically Important Bank (G-SIB)
o The 200 week SMA has been lost
o Rumours of Bankruptcy
Company Summary
o Charles Schwab is the 17th largest bank in the world with a market cap of $94.4 billion.
o Charles Schwab is primarily a wealth management and investment bank which stands out among the investment broker realm for its customer service, $0 trade commissions and large selection of mutual funds. From its origination the company has been all about making investing accessible to everyone.
o In line with this vision, Charles Schwab acquired rival firm TD Ameritrade three years ago. TD Ameritrade now provides investing and trading services for 11 million client accounts that total more than $1 trillion in assets, and custodial services for more than 6,000 independent registered investment advisors. Many Americans actively trade on TD or manage their own ROTH IRA’s through the platform, offering them tax benefits/advice and very flexible options for managing their own retirement funds. TD's Roth IRA has zero annual account fees or management fees.
The Chart
o You can see a potential Long Term Ascending Triangle playing out.
o There is an underside diagonal support line.
o The beauty of this trade is the following:
- A defined stop loss level at $45.39
- A potential 85% upside to – 12% downside (Adjust to suit your tolerance).
- A bounce of the top of the ascending triangle is promising.
o Any time we have been this oversold on the RSI we have made a significant upside move (green circles on the chart).
o The average performance after the green oversold RSI levels is an 82% price increase within a 12 months.
o If there is one thing we can take away from this chart it is that if we reach down into RSI oversold levels again this would be a great opportunity.
o Regardless I am proposing the trade based off the pattern and recent oversold RSI. Since this recent oversold level we have had an approximate 50% increase in price and a 27% retraction/decline back down to the ascending triangle base.
o For those of you who want to lower your risk you can raise the stop loss to a 5% decline ($48.00) or you can wait until over sold levels present themselves again.
Important to note that Charles Schwab is not a Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIB) like Citibank and the likes. This makes this a higher risk trade, especially if we are looking long term over a 52 week period. Regardless, it is a well-established bank providing some of the leading brokerage services to the US public including management of ROTH IRA’s, the cornerstone of most Americans retirement planning. One could argue, its systemically important without being a member of the G-SIB.
As always, stay nimble in this market, do not enter a trade without a stop loss at a risk level you can tolerate. Same goes with position size. With this stock 50% down from highs way back in Feb 2022 this maybe an opportunity to claw onto this long term rising trend near it lower diagonal support line.
PUKA
