ALL GENERAL MARKETS at our close to May16 ExpirationsSeems Market makers have set up their Options to profit from a flat MARKET
Thoughts : ( Please comment you can just type in your number 1 or 2 )
1) Are the Market being held back from rallying higher ?
or
2) Are the Market being held back from Correcting deeper ?
US Tech 100 - Cash
21,599.87USDR
−287.39−1.31%
As of today at 08:53 GMT
USD
No trades
US100 trade ideas
NAS100 - Potential Targets [SHORT]Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it:
Nasdaq is currently within a key Supply Zone.
There is a little more liquidity above 21800 that could potentially be swept.
Should this previous key Supply Zone offer enough selling pressure, and or profit taking,
price can be forced to fill buy side gaps at long last.
SHORT Threshold = 20755 - 20617
Potential Gap Targets: "SHORT"
1] 20200
2] 18400
I sincerely hope my point of view offers you valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
NASDAQ Outlook: Waiting for a Catalyst in a Range-Bound Market!The NASDAQ NAS100 has shown impressive gains recently 📈, but overall sentiment remains cautious 😐 as the market consolidates and trades sideways in the short term 🔄. Investors seem to be waiting for a new catalyst—such as major economic data or policy announcements 📰—before committing to a clear direction.
Ongoing political and economic uncertainties, including trade negotiations 🤝, interest rate outlooks 💸, and valuation concerns 💰, are keeping market participants on edge. Given these factors, the near-term environment is likely to remain choppy and range-bound 🌊. As traders, it’s important to approach the markets with caution ⚠️, especially as equities approach key resistance areas 🚧. This uncertainty may also impact currency and other financial markets 💱. While tech stocks could eventually break out of the current range 💻, the direction is still unclear. Prioritize risk management and protect your capital during this period of heightened uncertainty 🛡️.
Political and economic uncertainties—like ongoing trade negotiations, interest rate expectations, and concerns about valuations—are keeping investors on edge.
The near-term outlook for the US100 is for choppy, range-bound trading as the market works through these uncertainties.
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
US100 – Short Setup Active After Rejection from Resistance ZoneThe US100 on the 30-min chart is showing signs of bearish rejection near the 21,550 resistance zone after a sharp intraday rally. Price has failed to hold above the Ichimoku cloud and is now entering a short bias setup, targeting the lower support area.
🔹 Technical Context:
Rejection at resistance (21,550)
Bearish candle forming below cloud top
Intraday downtrend potential toward 21,200 – 21,180
🔹 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: ~21,445
Target: 21,200 – 21,180
Invalidation: Above 21,560
Momentum is weakening, and a breakdown may trigger further downside. Short trade active with risk-managed levels. 📉🧭
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This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
[NAS100] Range Breakout Retest – Is Upside Continuation in Play?The NAS100 (US100) on the 4H chart is exhibiting a bullish structure following a recent breakout and retest of the 21,000.0 key resistance level, now acting as support. After forming a local high near 21,777.3, price retraced and is now attempting a second push higher, suggesting buyer strength.
Currently trading at 21,450.0, with
Support at: 21,000.0 🔽
Resistance at: 21,777.3 🔼 and 22,230.7 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price holds above 21,000.0 and breaks cleanly above 21,777.3, next upside target is 22,230.7.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 21,000.0 could open the door for a deeper retracement toward 20,200.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument...Part 38The last ATH was signaled on February 25, 2025 at exactly 3:00 am EST...(Back Test and see the M1 chart)
Since that time the market has started to make LH's LL on the smaller timeframes in order to create the next HL on the largest active timeframe.
For almost 2 months, the market entered into a deep and hard retracement with many doomsday fanatics aiming at becoming the next phenomenon in trading predictions, trying to suggest that this is the beginning of the greatest drop the NAS100 and other instruments will ever see.
I have always maintained and I stand even more firmly on the fact that any sells you see in the markets are only temporary retracements toward another HL and that the market has always and will only make HL's to HH's.
Fast forward to April 6, 2025 at 7:10 (Back Test and see the M1 chart) pm the market hit it's largest HL point. Since that time...the market has started to make HL's to HH's on your small to medium timeframes while still keeping the largest HL created on the monthly intact.
The H4 time frame you will see is now signaling the first round of HL's to HH's a solid confirmation that the market is finally breaking out of it's retracement phase and back to resume it's usual trend.
Another key factor to note is that last weeks highest point is only approximately 4,000 pips from the ATH and if you have been tracking the NAS100 you should have noticed that every week that number is getting smaller and smaller and it will only be a matter of time for that to be broken again.
With that being said, my strategy still remains the same...
1. Enter on my largest HL and trade to my HH's
2. In the event that there is still consolidation in the markets with LH's being created on the
medium timeframes, I simply TP and wait for another setup.
Even with Friday's frenzy created by emotional traders reacting Trump and his circus show, the markets still held their own and still closed above the low of every single week since April 6, 2025.
What this means is that the ATH will be broken very soon and it just requires patience and a dedication to the strategy to ensure that it is followed to the last detail.
I say without apology...
All highs on the NAS100 are guaranteed to be broken
The NAS100 trades only HL's to HH's and that is a guaranteed fact
So trade wisely...
Trade smartly...
Manage your risk...
Happy Trading...
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21740
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21675
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
The NASDAQ Fails to Break Out, Paving the Way for Lower PricesIt looked as though the Nasdaq 100 might break out last week, following a double boost from Nvidia’s surge after its results and news that a federal court had blocked US President Donald Trump’s tariffs. However, those hopes quickly faded, and the Nasdaq promptly reversed course. Now the index finds itself in a precarious position, as it appears to be preparing for a move lower.
The first thing that stands out on the Nasdaq 100 chart is the rejection of the breakout attempt on 29 May. As a result, the Nasdaq may be forming a double top pattern. The pattern still requires confirmation, which would come from a decline below the neckline at 20,900. A break of the neckline could set the stage for a return to the 19,900–20,100 region.
Additionally, the index has broken the uptrend that formed from the intraday lows on 7 April, with the rally on 29 May serving as a re-test of that trendline break. At the same time, momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index, has also reversed direction and is now trending lower, after having risen above 70, indicating the index had become overbought. This further strengthens the case that the Nasdaq is at some form of inflexion point.
One might have thought that two positive news events on the same day would have been enough to generate the momentum needed to push the Nasdaq higher and trigger a breakout. However, the failure to do so raises serious questions about whether the index has the strength required to move higher from here. It now seems more likely that a change in trend is beginning to emerge, and if a double top is forming, a move lower appears increasingly probable.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21475
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21120
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21310
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21125
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Nasdaq prepares for the reboundNasdaq index might be supported after AI-narrative getting back to the markets fueled by NVDA’s better than expected earnings for Q1 2025. The position of the price is close to the 20-day moving average, which makes a trade location potentially good for starting the upswing to the target area of $22,000.
Traders will watch the publication of ISM Manufacturing index on Monday, as it has some correlation with S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and might strengthen or weaken the current “AI rebound narrative”.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, never forget to manage your risk at all times!
NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! 🚨
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
This is a technical chart analysis of NASDAQ100 (NAS100) with defined Support and Resistance zones. The price is currently at 21,314.50, sitting below a critical decision area.
🧱 Key Zones:
🔵 Resistance Zone:
‣ 21,640 – 21,800
‣ Strong supply area where price sharply reversed previously.
‣ If price breaks above the mid resistance zone, a bullish move towards this level is likely.
🟩 Support + Resistance Flip Zone:
‣ 21,280 – 21,420
‣ Former support, now acting as resistance.
‣ Price is struggling to reclaim this zone.
‣ Acts as a key decision level.
🟢 Support Zone:
‣ 20,630 – 20,750
‣ Strong demand zone from which previous rallies initiated.
‣ Target if bearish rejection continues.
🔄 Price Action Insight:
Price is currently rejecting the Support-turned-Resistance zone.
There’s a clear bearish rejection at the mid-zone (S/R flip), forming a lower high structure.
📉 A breakdown from current levels could lead to a retest of the support zone at 20,700 area.
🟢 However, a successful reclaim and bullish confirmation above 21,420 could see price target the upper resistance at 21,800.
📌 Outlook:
🔽 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above 21,420 – possible drop to 20,700.
🔼 Bullish Reversal above 21,420 could drive price to 21,800.
📅 Date: June 1, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H chart
💬 “Respect the levels, not the noise.”
Trade safe! ✅
Recession post #9778Trial and error describes my past calls considering there was resistance and pullbacks on the daily tf but this time I'm certain
abso-tut-ely
Posi-tively
Demise
Trumps attempts have played out like a witty protagonist of a finance suspense thriller but that has nothing to do with the historical alignments of boom and bust systems. I think he intended to crash markets so it could recover but I'm not convinced this tank is greater than this
nasdaq : waiting for take the sell stopsThere’s an FVG on the 4H timeframe in Nasdaq,
which indicates strong momentum—likely aiming to hunt some lows.
If the price takes out the specific low I’ve marked,
I’ll watch how the candles react around that area.
If the reaction isn’t strong,
then I’ll start considering a bullish scenario
and look for a potential long setup.
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart