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GOLDPETALN2025 trade ideas

Goldman Says $4K – My Chart Says Sell💥📉 Gold Analysis – Divergences, Resistance, and a Short Bias 🪙⚠️ Hey Traders, As promised in the latest video, here's the official chart update for Gold – and the message is clear: I'm short. 📊 What I See on the Chart We're now well below the 3,446 resistance, with early signs of weakness showing up across multiple timeframes. I’ve laid out both the 2-Day and 4H charts in this post, and here’s what I’m tracking: ⚠️ Technical Warning Signs: 🔻 2D chart: Six bearish divergences – RSI, Stochastic, CCI, OBV, MFI, and MACD all flashing red 📉 1D chart: Same thing — six divergences, telling me momentum is fading ⏳ 4H chart: Price action breaking trendlines, and support at 3,237 looks shaky 🚨 If that breaks, my main support zone is at $3,000 – and that’s where I believe we’re heading. This is not just a pullback. This is the kind of confluence you can’t ignore if you trade technically. 🔁 Sentiment Shift Back in December '22 and again earlier this year, I was long Gold – and it was the right call. But now? 📌 This chart has gone from momentum to exhaustion. 📌 I see less demand, softer momentum, and strong bearish divergence stacking across every major timeframe I watch. 🎯 Trade View ✅ I’m short Gold. 🎯 Targeting the $3,000–3,050 zone. 📉 Invalidated if we reclaim and close above $3,446 with strength. It’s that simple. Nothing personal – just structure, divergence, and flow. 🧠 The Chart vs. The Narrative Recently, I saw a note from Goldman Sachs forecasting $4,000 Gold. Maybe they’re right. But I’ll be honest with you – I don’t buy the media hype. I'm not here for the headlines. I'm a chart guy. Always have been. Always will be. The chart is the map to the treasure – and that’s the only thing I follow. 🧠 I cover this and the broader macro setup (Dollar, BTC, DAX, Tech, BTC.D, and more) in the full 20-min video just dropped. If you haven’t watched it yet, go catch up — it explains the logic and why this isn’t just a gold story. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
COMEX:GC1!Short
by FX_Professor
6
Bearish Rejection from SupplyDuring the NY session open, Gold (GC1!) broke above the 30-min ORB high at 3335.8, briefly entering a known supply zone (3342–3345). The move lacked follow-through and immediately reversed — signalling a liquidity sweep and classic NY session trap setup. This invalidates the bullish breakout and supports a short-biased play back toward the ORB low and into deeper demand. Trade Details: Entry: 3336.0 (short after failed breakout + rejection candle) Stop Loss: 3342.0 (above the supply zone high) Take Profit 1: 3327.1 (ORB low) Take Profit 2: 3320.0 (prior demand zone) Take Profit 3 (optional): 3315.0 (liquidity void fill) Risk:Reward: ~1:1.3 to TP1, ~1:2.2 to TP2 Position Type: Short Execution Time Frame: 5-min/15-min Model Tags: Liquidity Sweep, NY Session Fade, Supply Rejection 🔍 Quant Notes: Price action exhibited a false breakout — NY session opened with an expansion move above ORB high, which was immediately rejected. Re-entry into the ORB range confirms buyer exhaustion and makes a move back to the ORB low highly probable. Bearish bias is reinforced by multiple upper wicks, supply zone rejection, and failed structure reclaim. Key Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or strong close back below 3335 Failure to reclaim EMAs or trend line Momentum shift on 5-min with volume divergence Closing Thoughts: A failed ORB breakout into supply during NY open is a classic trap — and today’s price action on GC1! fits the model. This short setup targets the full ORB range retrace with potential continuation if sellers hold control.
CShort
by stakkd
9
Shorting gold again Well, it does look like there is still some room for a short trade that might actually hit. Personally, iam not 100% confident in this trade, but i would have liked to see more confirmations before taking the short entry, yet still i think it is still worth the risk. if you want more confirmations then here is the thing, wait the price to close below this yellow line, and i mean a close not a wick, then wait the price to pullback and take a short position. my confidence in this setup is 6 out of 10.
CShort
by lojjkkjvvv
4
Ethereum vs. Gold Chart Comparison – Potential Explosive The comparison between Micro Gold Futures (MGC1!) and Ethereum (ETHUSDT) on the weekly timeframe suggests that Ethereum could be mirroring gold’s price structure before its parabolic breakout. Key Similarities Between Gold & Ethereum: Impulse Leg Formation 🔥 Both assets formed a strong impulse leg after a significant low. The Ethereum impulse leg started from the ~$1,530 low, pushing toward ~$4,000 before retracing into accumulation. Gold followed a similar pattern, forming a strong rally before consolidation. Accumulation Range Both charts show a clear accumulation phase after the impulse leg. Gold accumulated sideways for an extended period before exploding to the upside. Ethereum is currently within its accumulation range, suggesting that it could be preparing for a similar breakout. This is a shakeout phase designed to trap weak hands before the real move. Standard Deviation Extensions (STDVN) & Key Levels 🎯 Both charts use standard deviation extensions (STDVN) to project potential short-term targets. 0.5 STDVN & 1 STDVN levels are crucial areas where price could react. Gold blasted through these levels after breaking out of accumulation. If Ethereum follows suit, 5,288 (0.5 STDVN) and 6,605 (1 STDVN) could be in play. Previous Highs Acting as Support/Resistance Gold broke past its old high, retested, and surged. Ethereum is still hovering below its previous major high (~4,800). If Ethereum flips this level into support, it could send price into price discovery mode. What This Means for Ethereum 🚀 Gold already showed the path—Ethereum is lagging but setting up similarly. Volatility is part of the process—shakeouts happen before the breakout. Holding ETH through this phase could be crucial if history repeats itself. A breakout beyond the accumulation range could send ETH towards $5,200 - $6,600+ in the short term. Beyond 1 STDVN, ETH enters uncharted territory—an all-time high breakout could be explosive. Final Thoughts from Lord MEDZ 👑 Not financial advice, but I’m holding ETH through the chop. The last shakeout before an all-time high run is often the toughest. But the chart comparison is clear: Gold did it first. Ethereum could be next. 🔥 Patience. Conviction. Execution. 🔥
CLong
by Skinwah
Retail trapped. Volume confirmed. Liquidity targeted.🔻 We are in a highly reactive zone where emotional long entries and early short SLs create perfect liquidity magnets. 🔍 Key Levels & Zones: • Early Short SL Zone → 3337.2 • Retail FOMO Entry Block → 3251.9 • Volume-based Rejection Point → 3392.0 (SL/TP sweep) • TP1 & TP2 Zones → 3251.9 / 3208.0 • Bonus TP → 3159.9 → Complete sweep of long SLs and demand exhaustion • Final Trap Exit Zone → 3157.4 — Institutional reload zone 💡 Volume confirms this cycle of: • Trap > SL hunt > Emotional entry > Volume fade > Dump > Accumulation > Reversal 🧠 This is NOT financial advice. I post to share deeper insight into manipulation mechanics & sniper-level liquidity structure analysis. If you’re still trading candles, you’re playing retail games. Start seeing the architecture. 🧷#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #VolumeStrategy #TradingPsychology #RetailTrap #SniperMindset
CShort
by Yash_Panchal09
1
Gold Futures Short Bias Into NY CloseGC is stalling beneath the 3330–3336 resistance cluster after failing to break out during NY session. Price rejected the fair value gap (3312–3318) and is now compressing just above the mean-reversion anchor (LWN). There’s no momentum reclaim from buyers, and structure suggests weakness into Friday. We’re positioning short into expected downside continuation. Key Levels Reactive Resistance Cluster: 3330–3336 FVG (rejected): 3312–3318 Mean-Reversion Anchor (LWN): 3290–3300 Absorption Shelf (Target Zone): 3275 PDH/PDL (provisional): 3325 / 3280 VWAP: Flattened, near 3302 Short Setup (Active) Entry: 3332 Stop: 3340 TP1: 3305 – Mean reversion TP2: 3288 – LWN sweep TP3: 3275 – Absorption shelf Staakd Setup: 1:5.7 R:R to final target Bias confirmed by rejection from inefficiency and absence of buyer follow-through QM Probabilities Bear Move 60–65% Structure favoUrs continued rejection + flush to 3275 Bull Move 35–40% Requires reclaim of 3318 + aggressive close above VWAP Range/Flat Possible pre-close Tight range unless displaced overnight Staakd Bias: Structure is holding beneath resistance. Without a reclaim of 3318, we remain short-biased into Friday with eyes on 3275. Probability favours continuation unless buyers reclaim initiative fast. Follow for post-close recap and updated levels ahead of Friday's NY open and we hope your trades worked out how you expected today.
CShort
by stakkd
2
Gold Trade Setup – Long Invalidated, Watching Retest for ShortGold has been consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, recently pressing against a descending resistance line that has rejected price several times. I was favoring the upside, but our long setup was invalidated — the stop loss at $3,330 was hit. Price is now retesting ascending support, and I'm shifting focus to a short opportunity, using our previous long entry level (~$3,333) as a key area of interest for entries. Here’s the updated plan: Short Entry: Around $3,333 Stop Loss: $3,340 Take Profit: $3,303 Remaining cautious but opportunistic — the larger structure is vulnerable and could break further if support fails.
CShort
by JoshuaDanford
2
$GC / $MGC /Gold - Elliot Wave Analysis - Weekend Update - 7/6Hello fellow gamblers, As we prepare for a new trading week, I revisited my EW count and was able to come up with 2 scenarios to present to you today. - For our bullish scenario, I am looking for a break above 3418 and my next target will be at the 3574 - 3525 range. - For our bearish scenario, I am looking for a break below 3283 and my next target will be at the 3086 - 2846 range. - Price went through a consolidation as we closed last week's candle, and we are now at POC. - Levels to Watch: 3418, 3363, 3283
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by Caramel0
1
Gold Futures (GC1!) – Accumulation Brewing? Major Move IncomingGold has been stuck in a tight range since April, and to me, this looks like a textbook accumulation zone forming on the daily chart. Price is coiling within a defined box, showing signs of both strength and weakness — classic behavior before a manipulative move (fake breakout) followed by distribution (true direction). This is where many traders get trapped, chasing the first breakout — only to get caught before the actual move begins. I’m not committed to a direction yet, but here’s my roadmap: 🧠 First breakout = likely trap (manipulation) 🧭 Wait for confirmation of rejection/failure, then prepare for the real move out of the range This kind of price behavior often precedes explosive volatility, so I’m watching closely for: False breakouts above or below the box Volume spikes or traps Shift in market structure on lower timeframes 📍 No trade for now, but I’ll be reacting — not predicting. What’s your bias? Do you think the breakout will hold or fake out?
C
by rassen21
3
Mixed market for GOLDHard to frame an idea for gold because the dxy looks strong and gold looks strong as well, indicating to me a mixed market. Sitting on the sidelines for gold is probably the better bet right now because we just had a sweep of buyside liquidty and tapped back into a daily fvg. Notice the candles, and how they didnt close above the swing high. So because gold looks bullish and dxy looks bullish, im not interested in gold for tuesday trading. But if i had to pikc, we continue up for gold and attacck that buyside/ eqaul highs
C
by diegoulises281
GOLD TRADING IDEA FOR 14-18 JULY 2025The price of Gold currently at the H4 liquidity control area at 3376. It's seem like there candlestick H4 rejection at that area but still not valid for market structure shift direction. If the candlestick breakout above at H4 liquidity control ,I will looking opportunity for long position with target at next H4 liquidity control at 3390 or extension target at 3410. short term SELL Price retracement before the price going up. If small timeframe show market structure shift or develop bearish engulfing pattern at H1 0r m30 below 3376 . The target will be h4 liquidity control at 3354 or 3320 depend on how price act at that area.
CLong
by AuGold-AUFX
How to Trade Double Tops & Bottoms in TradingViewLearn how to identify, validate, and trade double top and double bottom reversal patterns using TradingView's charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures. Understanding these classic chart formations can help you spot potential trend reversals and capitalize on contrarian trading opportunities in the futures markets. What You'll Learn: • Understanding contrarian vs. continuation trading strategies and when to use each approach • The psychology behind buying low and selling high through reversal pattern trading • How to identify double top and double bottom formations on any timeframe • Key characteristics of valid double tops and bottoms, including volume confirmation • Using TradingView's XABCD pattern tool to validate potential double top/bottom setups • Real-world example analysis using crude oil futures charts • Risk management techniques for trading reversal patterns • How to calculate appropriate entry points, stop losses, and profit targets • Setting up 1:1 risk-reward ratios for mathematical trading edge • Understanding win rate requirements for profitable pattern trading • How double bottom patterns work as the inverse of double top formations This tutorial may benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts interested in contrarian trading strategies and reversal pattern recognition. The concepts covered could help you identify potential turning points in market trends and develop systematic approaches to trading these classic chart formations. Visit Optimus Futures to learn more about trading futures with TradingView: optimusfutures.com/Platforms/TradingView.php Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CEducation
by OptimusFutures
9
Shoring GoldSo here we go again with gold. there are two theories at this point, a bullish case and a bearish case. The bullish case that the price broke a bearish trend and moving upwards. For a bearish case, the price didn't close that strong above the last swing. Also the whole structure is bearish so this last up move could be very well a trap for buyers. On the 4h tf, there is an FVG, bearish one that the price so far is reacting to. So Even though there is a strong up move, i still lean bearish. Later today once i get a confirmation, i will update the idea. I might be very wrong on this trade, my confidence in this trade is 4 out of 10. So Use smaller size position. Also iam expecting the price to revisit 3320 USD
CShort
by lojjkkjvvv
Gold Between Trade Optimism and Economic Concerns Gold is declining for the second consecutive session, although it remains above the critical psychological level of $3,300 per ounce in early spot trading this morning. Losses in the precious metal come amid renewed optimism over potential trade agreements that could de-escalate the global trade war, alongside upbeat sentiment regarding the strength of the U.S. economy following last Friday’s labor market data. The 90-day suspension of tariffs imposed by the administration of President Donald Trump is set to expire on Wednesday, but it could be extended at least until August 1, according to statements from both the president and Treasury Secretary Scott Besant. Both the United States and its allies and trade rivals appear eager to reach an agreement. China and the U.S. are moving to implement the framework of a previously reached trade deal by reviewing the export restrictions imposed on one another. Meanwhile, European officials stated last week that a draft agreement with the U.S. may be near, aiming to maintain base tariff rates at just 10%, according to The Wall Street Journal . Markets appear largely unbothered by trade developments, given the flexible and seemingly open-ended deadlines and the lack of major surprises, according to analysts cited by Reuters . This easing of concern may lead gold to gradually lose the risk premium it had gained from fears of a global trade war. Still, those concerns could return swiftly if negotiations fail and heavy tariffs are reinstated. The Washington Post reported that a potential U.S.-Vietnam trade deal may anger China and, in turn, reduce the likelihood of a broader deal between Beijing and Washington. Additionally, the prolonged uncertainty itself may start to weigh on the U.S. economy, which could, over time, rekindle demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The Editorial Board of The Journal noted cracks in the U.S. labor market that lie beneath the better-than-expected headline figures released Friday. The report revealed weak hiring in key private sectors, a decline in manufacturing employment, and a drop in labor force participation to its lowest level since 2022. The Editorial Board called for dissipation of uncertainty around trade policy to encourage private sector hiring, as companies remain hesitant amid the current indecision in the White House. Another report from The Journal also warned that prolonged uncertainty could weaken the U.S. dollar, delay corporate investment and spending, and dampen business confidence. On a related front, The Journal’s chief economics commentator Greg Ip criticized what he called “fiscal dominance” under Trump, where the Federal Reserve may be pressured to lower interest rates to ease the burden of the rising deficit caused by tax cuts. He warned this could undermine economic strength and increase inflation in the long run. In my view, the early signs of a deteriorating U.S. fiscal position could become one of the key long-term drivers of sustained gold gains—even if markets remain complacent for now and equities continue climbing to record highs. This would not reflect an economic cycle, but rather a deeper shift in market fundamentals characterized by eroding confidence in the U.S. economy and its currency.
C
by SamerHa