lmt coming into heavy resistanceif we can manaage to break through all is well but if we reject this is a sell signal although i belive either way will take another week toy show itself support is at 407 this is a buy zone 10% down from here
1LMT trade ideas
Has LMT Reached The End? | War | Historic Analysis Disclaimer: I am in no way condoning violence, nor support either side of any conflict. This will be an analysis of NYSE:LMT alone. With that being said let's dive in.
Introduction
We all heard the breaking news, as of October 7th, 2023 Israel and Palestine are officially at war with each other creating tension around the globe. Now I know you probably wondering, how it affects our economics on the Western front, specifically the stock market. What can we expect in the future, and of course can you turn a profit from all this? Toady, we'll dive deep into what stocks to pay attention to and how involved NYSE:LMT , AMEX:DFEN , and NYSE:RTX really are. So strap on your seat belts as we talk about the M word. No not morals, Money.
The Big Bois
Without a doubt the largest companies in the US for military exports are NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , and $NYSE:GD. The largest consumers of these military goods are Korea, Japan, Australia, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. I will leave the AMEX:DFEN ETF here which holds most of the companies I've mentioned and then some. We want to look at these companies when we hear conflict. With that being said let's head over to some charts.
*For a more in-depth analysis of military manufacturers, I suggest researching what companies are good for and what they supply, but at the end of the day, they all complement each other, which is why you really can't go wrong with $AMEX:DFEN. If it really matters it's just a Google search away.
1D NYSE:LMT
Percentage Increase Zones: I labeled these zones so we can get a clear view of the effects of war/conflict. This is the type of capitalization you can get from these scenarios, and we are seeing similar percentages to the ones from the Russian-Ukraine conflict. I believe the highest this can climb would be the all-time high, which just so happens to reach a perfect 29%, so something to be looking at.
Possible Rejection Levels: These are levels that can play as a resistance/retrace before a rejection to the downside.
Possible Support Levels: These are the levels that can play as a support/reversal to the upside.
Moving Average: 200 MA could play as a resistance and we could have reached the end of this first swing before we fell back down the the previous low.
MACD: MACD Showing signs of a bearish divergence perhaps, keep a sharp eye on that.
1W NYSE:LMT
Elliot Waves: I debated whether or not wanted to mark this as a complete Elliot Wave or not (12345) then (ABC). To each their own, this is expected when we talk about something as subjective as Elliot Waves.
FIB: The Fib is used to show possible retracement levels, which I labeled out in the "possible rejection zone" if this stock were to go lower.
Moving Average: 200 MA played as a perfect pillow, now we just see if it can stay that way.
Relative Strength Index: In each "war" zone I have shown the amount of buying pressure we usually see during these conflicts, but it seems we have no pressure, nor any indication that this will be bullish. In fact, we were oversold not too long ago.
Stoch RSI: Same with the Stock RSI we are in the (ABC) faze of the indicator.
Summary
Overall, we are seeing more downward pressure than any bullish indications, I believe we need to get through the bears first before this stock skyrockets. Another factor is that war must be prominent, something we really shouldn't be rooting for.
Bonus
NYSE:RTX and AMEX:DFEN
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Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) October 2023 to April 2024
Neutral to Long: The company's fundamentals and dividend history are strong, suggesting a potential long position. However, the recent underperformance (negative YTD return) and the volatility might be a concern, which introduces some caution, hence the neutral stance.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: $110.91 billion
Operating Margin (TTM): 13.43%
EPS (Earnings Per Share): $27.3
PE Ratio: 16.13
Revenue (TTM): $67.39 billion
Quarterly Revenue Growth YoY: 8.1%
Profit Margin: 10.48%
Return on Equity (TTM): 68.31%
Recent Earnings:
Q3 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.67 (actual EPS not yet reported).
Q2 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.45, and the actual EPS was $6.63, resulting in a positive surprise of 2.79%.
Q1 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.06, and the actual EPS was $6.61, resulting in a positive surprise of 9.08%.
Q4 2022: Estimated EPS was $7.39, and the actual EPS was $7.4, resulting in a slight positive surprise of 0.14%.
Technical Indicators:
5-Year Return: 9.02%
10-Year Return: 16.31%
1-Year Return: 13.94%
YTD Return: -7.52%
Dividend Yield: 2.72%
Volatility (1Y): 21.49%
Sharpe Ratio: 0.7561
Dividends & Splits:
Last Dividend Date: December 29, 2023
Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.86%
Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $12.6
Last Split: 2:1 on January 4, 1999
Analysis:
Lockheed Martin has shown consistent growth in its revenue, with a YoY quarterly revenue growth of 8.1%. The company's earnings have been positive, with recent quarters showing a positive surprise in EPS compared to estimates. The company's fundamentals, such as the operating margin and profit margin, are robust. The PE ratio is at a moderate level, indicating that the stock might be reasonably priced. The company has a strong dividend history, which is a positive sign for income-focused investors.
However, the YTD return is negative, indicating some recent underperformance. The volatility is also relatively high, which might be a concern for risk-averse investors.
In conclusion, Lockheed Martin appears to be a fundamentally strong company with consistent growth and a good dividend history. However, potential investors should be cautious about the recent underperformance and consider the company's volatility before making an investment decision.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Lockheed Martin Q3 earningsLockheed Martin Q3 earnings are tomorrow 10/17/23 at 7:30am EST. Lockheed Martin (LMT) reported earnings of 6.73 per share on revenue of 16.69 billion for Q2 June 2023. The consensus earnings estimate was 6.43 per share on revenue of 15.86 billion. The company beat expectations by 1.36% while revenue grew 8.07% on a year-over-year basis.
The company said it expects 2023 earnings of 27 to 27.20 per share on revenue of 66.25 billion to 66.75 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of 26.60 to 26.90 per share on revenue of 65 billion to 66 billion, and the current consensus earnings estimate is 26.79 per share on revenue of 65.77 billion for the year ending December 31, 2023.
3rd quarter, Sep 2023 Consensus:
EPS = 6.67
Revenue: 16.70 B
SMA50 = 433
SMA100 = 445
SMA200 = 457
TTCATR20:
resistance = 450
SMA20 = 419
support = 388
Options Data:
10/20 expiry
Put Volume Total 1,200
Call Volume Total 3,414
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.35
Put Open Interest Total 8,956
Call Open Interest Total 17,389
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.52
10/27 expiry
Put Volume Total 253
Call Volume Total 505
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.50
Put Open Interest Total 1,647
Call Open Interest Total 5,585
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.29
11/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 267
Call Volume Total 583
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.46
Put Open Interest Total 3,664
Call Open Interest Total 6,745
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.54
LOCKHEED MARTIN FORECASTLockheed Martin Corp. is a global security and aerospace company, which engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services. It operates through the following business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. The Aeronautics segment researches, designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, sustains, supports, and upgrades advanced military aircraft, including combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and related technologies. The MFC segment is involved in air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles and air-to-ground precision strike weapon systems, logistics, fire control systems, mission operations support, readiness, engineering support and integration services, manned and unmanned ground vehicles, and energy management solutions. The RMS segment designs, manufactures, services, and supports various military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, radar systems, sea and air-based mission and combat systems, command and control mission solutions, cyber solutions, and simulation and training solutions. The Space segment includes the production of satellites, space transportation systems, and strategic, advanced strike, and defensive systems. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Bethesda, MD.
BABY % ON THIS STOCK NOT WORTH THE TIME ID WAIT
SO WHAT DO I DO
I ANALYSE A SMALLER STOCK IN THE SAME INDUSTRY
THEIR GROWTH POTENTIAL MAKES THEM VERY MUCH WORTH IT
SENNA SEASON
SUGGEST A STOCK U WANT ANALYSED
ITS FREE OF CHARGE BUT I DONT DIVULGE MY SECRETS
Descending TriangleEarnings 10-17 BMO.
A descending triangle is neutral until broken. Any triangle, symmetrical, descending or ascending can break either way.
Gap below price.
Price is at resistance with earnings very soon.
No telling how earnings will affect momentum with recent new events pushing the defense sector up as of late.
No recommendation
LMT SELL+++++As I said on NOC, War in the middle east you say? yeah, this is thousands of years old no news here, go back to your regularly scheduled program. LMT and NOC and others are way overbought here and due a correction. Major overhead resistance at $456 I doubt it makes it there without first testing $425 then $418
Lockheed Martin Stock: Trading Idea for 10/10/2023The aggravated situation in the Middle East following the conflict between Israel and Hamas has fuelled investor interest in military-industrial complex companies. Shares of the aerospace company Lockheed Martin may see heightened demand since aviation is likely to play a crucial role in this unfolding scenario. Should the hostilities persist, and the US extends a defence aid package to Israel, Lockheed Martin stands to be one of the beneficiaries.
So, today, our focus is on the Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) stock chart.
On the D1 timeframe, support has formed at 394.70, with resistance at 413.27, which was quickly broken through on Monday 9 October. To sustain the upward trend, quotes need to gain a foothold above the 431.84 level.
On the H1 timeframe, the short-term target for the price increase is around 454.80, while in the medium term, it could reach 475.87.
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LMT continues to hold back the bears.Lockheed Martin Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 448.25 (stop at 438.25)
Prices have reacted from 442.30.
Support is located at 447 and should stem dips to this area.
443 continues to hold back the bears.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Price action was confined to a narrow range highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Our profit targets will be 473.25 and 478.25
Resistance: 458.00 / 467.00 / 475.00
Support: 447.00 / 443.00 / 439.70
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
LMT a defense sector leader setup LONGOn the daily LMT, over the long term is shown to have descended into the support
of the ascending support trendline in what appears to be an ascending wedge.
Confluent with the support trendline is the mean VWAP and the mean band of
the Bollinger Bands. I see an opening for a long trade targeting the resistance
trendline and also the second standard deviation of the anchored VWAP ( red
thick line) Fundamentally, LMT just beat on both the top and bottom lines.
It is in a obvious growth industry with a bakclog of production in the setting
of the Russian Ukraine war and the need for US and NATO to replenish their
stockpiles. This long trade is best for investors content with slow moving blue
chip Dow Jones type stocks or alternatively agile options traders able to leverage
low magnitude up trends. I see about 10% upside and will buy some call options
to exploit this setup.
Buying LMT at current support.Lockheed Martin Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 448.25 (stop at 438.25)
447 continues to hold back the bears. Support is located at 447 and should stem dips to this area. We look to buy dips. The primary trend remains bullish. This stock has seen good sales growth. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 473.25 and 478.25
Resistance: 458.00 / 467.00 / 475.00
Support: 447.00 / 443.00 / 439.70
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
LMT Looks BULLISHWith earnings coming up lockheed martin remains bullish and seems to have broke toward the upside out of consolidation. My immediate PT was for it to close gap at least around 475 area.
If LMT has a great earnings this can possibly test next resistance at 480 as its still trading and trending up.
Trade Responsible,
#TradeTheWave 🏄🏽♂️🌊
Lockheed Martin Closing Gap?Lockheed martin earnings play. This stock has my interest with multiple contracts with the government and missing 1 of the last 5 earnings.
Lockheed is no stranger to getting multiple contracts. A lot of constant contracts coming in with government agencies and commercial airlines.
For a month it has been consolidating jun-jul and recently broke out of consolidation.
coming up on earnings July 18th with price targets ranging from 498 to 579 and a strong out look from 1- 5 out of 5 its sitting at a 5 for earnings beat from Earnings whispers.
Im Bullish looking for at least a gap fill at $475
Trade responsible,
#TradeTheWave
LMT, will FIRE 'UP' its weapon SOON...LMT is registering significant net buy volume based on weekly data -- bouncing off an ascending trendline support. Upside continuation in order.
Weekly histogram + Price has created consistent higher lows conveying long term price growth.
Fundamentally speaking, LMT recent earnings release is looking good as ever.
Spotted at 450
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
