RESULT ON FCPO ANALYSIS FOR 21 AND 23 MAY 2024Here are the explanations and results of the analyses conducted on May 21 and May 23, 2024.
FPKO1! trade ideas
FCPO WEEK 21 2024 -Neutral for the start of the week.Price has been in consolidation mode for at least 2 weeks. Good trading weeks for range traders but definitely not good for trend traders. Will be looking for further price action early next week to further determine the direction. Price needs to close either above or lower of the resistance or support level. Overall view is still bearish based upon how aggressive the price push lower from the neckline. However a retracement higher towards the neckline is welcome for another meaningful move lower. It will also provide opportunity to go short with a much better pricing. So early next week is definitely a wait and see mode before deciding to take any trade. ✌🏼💰💵
FCPO Week 12 2024 - bull taking control.FCPO is making a push higher. Still with bullish view unless shown otherwise. As price didn’t go in a straight line, it is expected that it might retrace a bit towards 4200 area (this is also the area to look for entry to go LONG) to fill up the gap before making another bullish push. If this happens next week, then another leg higher should target the previous high and eventually target the 4425 area.
FCPO Week 17 2024 - Bearish?FCPO might have shifted bearish. However for next week, there is a possibility that it might bounce higher. Price is expected to target 4090 area and possibly higher above 4100 area. From there it is expected that price to continue lower depending on the price action next week.
WAITING FOR BULLISH MOMENTUM TO WEAK AT WATCHING ZONEFor FCPO, I anticipated that the current movement might react to the identified Fair Value Gap sell zone.
Thus, as an initial confirmation, the expectation for the current bullish movement to be offset by a bearish movement must occur.
You should be aware that a Bullish Candle movement can only be negated by a Bearish Candle, and vice versa.
Hope this helps. Don't forget to follow.
FCPO Week 17 2024 - Going lower?FCPO looks heavy. The drop might not ended yet but there might be a retracement higher. At this current level standing aside might be a good idea. Monday price action might be a good indicator on where price will go this week. Stand aside for now until new signal emerges.
(FCPO) Palm oil slips to over two-week low on subdued demand-Malaysian palm oil futures fell on Monday to their lowest closing in over two weeks, weighed down by lacklustre global demand and weaker crude as traders shrugged off data indicating tightening inventories.
-Market got some support from the resumption of Chinese palm oil buying on Friday but other destinations were lacking charm.
Palm extends gains on hot weather, ahead of Eid holiday - FCPOMalaysian palm oil futures rose for the third straight session on Wednesday, due to a shortage after a slowdown in production during Ramadan, topped with hot weather over the past weeks.
The benchmark palm oil contract for June delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose 84 ringgit, or 1.95%, to 4,396 ringgit ($926) a metric ton, by the midday break.
The futures is strong due to the coming Eid holiday. The Ramadan month provides a slowdown in production plus hot weather over the past weeks has resulted in lower yield, so there is a shortage of palm oils in the market at the moment.
The soyoil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange gained 0.79%, while its palm oil contract was up 2.48%. Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade were up 0.31%.
Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils as they compete for a share of the global vegetable oils market.
India's palm oil imports hit a ten-month low in March to 481,000 tons, as the top vegetable oil buyer increased sunflower oil imports amid lower prices.
FCPO Week 16 2024 - Further retracement.A further retracement lower is still in play. A reversal on Friday may turn out to be only a manipulation. The move higher might only be to fill up the gap at 4300 area before continuing lower. 4200 is the area where price should be next week. Expecting a consolidation in this area before the next move higher. Overall still bullish until proven otherwise.
MULTIPLE SUPPORT BROKEN + FVG FORMATIONMultiple support levels have been breached, accompanied by the formation of a FVG (Fair Value Gap) pattern, along with the appearance of a Double Maru Sell signal. Consequently, we anticipate the price to likely retest the Resistance level before initiating a downward movement.
Furthermore, a reversal signal has been identified in the candlestick pattern, indicating the beginning of a descent.
TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT + DOUBLE MARUThe chart clearly shows a Triangle Pattern Breakout, accompanied by the formation of an Inverse pattern, confirming the movement, along with the emergence of a Lower Low chart pattern.
Therefore, traders should seize opportunities when the price retraces to the inverse zone or potentially around the area where support becomes resistance.
Green Bull Flag in FCPO From a technical standpoint, prices have consolidated into a bull flag consolidation pattern since 14 March, breaking out of the flag resistance (orange trend channel) yesterday, albeit with normal volume. This localised breakout coupled with the breakout of the long-term parabolic bowl accumulation pattern at 4,150, a pattern forming since July 2023, signalled a possible continuation of the bullish climb to retest 4350 levels.
Fibonacci retracements can be seen respected at 61%, 50% and 38% respectively. Immediate support is foreseen around the 4,200 levels, a zone created from a combination of both 50% fibo and the high from previous surge – green line support.
Sustained prices above the bull flag pattern for the next two days are likely to drive further upward movement, aiming to breach the 4,350 level and potentially reaching 4,500 levels. This upward momentum may be fueled by short liquidations and breakout buys. Conversely, a drop below the 4,150 level could prompt a retreat towards the crucial support level of 4,000.
Regarding correlated edible oils, technical indicators for CBOT soyoil futures indicate a bullish divergence, with prices rebounding noticeably from recent lows. The trajectory suggests a continuation of the bullish trend following a retracement to the 47-48 cents per pound levels last week.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Long 2 lots FCPO @ 4230
SL: 4190
TP: 1 lot @ 4330 ; another @ 4480
- Darren, Phillip Nova Analyst
FCPO Week 14 2024 - ready to go higher?I think FCPO has found a support last Friday. Price failed to continue lower instead there is a strong push to the upside. It is also align with the support area created in March. A push higher will probably target 4244. Once the resistance line have been breached then 4280 should be a new target.
FCPO Spread FCPOK-FCPON2024 attempt to breakoutFCPO SPREAD Contract May2024 vs July2024 is attempting breakout from previous swing high 141
Spread Bullish MA Lineup -> Trending Up
Breaks and close above Turtle Resistant 138 -> Bullish
Upward Momentum -> Bullish
Support
124
Next target levels
165
179
203
FCPO IS MOVING IN A DOWNTREND CHANNELObserving the FCPO, it's evident that the price is presently following a downward trend within a channel.
The recent support level, previously at 4240, has now been breached and is acting as resistance. The question arises: will this level continue to exert significant influence in holding the price?
FCPO week 13 - retracement lower?Last week bull failed to take full control. At the current level, the price looks a bit heavy and there is a bear push lower. It is 50:50 at this moment but the likelihood of another run higher might not happen next week. Anyhow a retracement lower is likely before another run higher. 4030 area is a target next week and price might consolidate after that. At this area a push lower is also a possibility so need to wait on the price action.
FCPO REBOUNDGood morning followers,
FCPO rebound recently after reaching near 50% retracement level. Despite we are waiting for Inverse to happen, we can see a FVG formation setup is appeared and giving a Buy Setup for continuation of a Bullish Trend recently.
The Rally I expect it should be a minimum 1x length of Wave 1. Which is giving me a target around 4350+ approximately.
