SWING LONG $BABABullish on chinese equities for 2025.
I have been accumulating NYSE:BABA since early 2024. My target is $200 aprox.
Cheers.
BABAF trade ideas
BABA in a falling wedge (NEW)BABA stock has been in a long-term downtrend.
We're expecting the price to continue droping as it looks like it got rejected from the downsloping resistance line on the weekly timeframe.
What we can see on the chart is a pattern called a falling wedge.
Most likely the price will revisit $60 or lower but eventually we expect the breakout in Q2 or Q3 2023.
How to trade:
Enter long position if/when we get a breakout with a volume increase.
Final target and the take profit level are shown on the chart.
Good luck
BABA - 34 months SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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BABA - ready for a trend reversalhi traders,
Let's have a look at the BABA chart on the 1D time frame.
After a massive rally, BABA experienced a deep pullback, but it looks like it might be time to load up on BABA again.
BABA is still in our buy zone but we're expecting the trend reversal soon.
Probably US market will experience some sort of pullback in its bull market and in this period we're expecting China market to have a nice recovery.
Our targets for BABA:
Target 1: 107 $
Target 2: 117$
We're expecting other Chinese stocks to perform well too . Check NIO stock here:
Good luck
Alibaba (BABA) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Alibaba NYSE:BABA is a global e-commerce and technology powerhouse, with leadership in online retail, cloud computing, and digital entertainment.
Key Catalysts:
Generative AI Leadership 🤖
Alibaba’s Qwen2.5 Max AI model has outperformed GPT-4 and LLaMA3.1-405B in benchmark tests, reinforcing its AI dominance.
Strategic Partnership with Apple 🍏
Integration of Alibaba’s AI models into iPhones in China could boost Alibaba Cloud adoption, driving revenue growth and market share expansion.
Cloud Computing Growth ☁️
Alibaba Cloud’s margins are projected to expand from 3% to 10% by 2026, with 18% annual revenue growth, positioning it as a $100B valuation business.
Shareholder Value Initiatives 💰
A $25B share buyback and a growing 1.2% dividend yield reflect strong financial confidence and commitment to shareholder returns.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on BABA above $108.00-$110.00, driven by AI advancements, cloud expansion, and strategic partnerships.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $185.00-$190.00, supported by cloud growth, AI innovation, and strong capital allocation.
📢 Alibaba—Powering the Future of AI, Cloud, and E-Commerce. #Alibaba #AI #CloudComputing #Ecommerce
Is Alibaba still a BUY ?Now, from being ostracised by the Central government to being in the limelight after 3 years, we are now seeing Alibaba returning to stage once again and capturing the hearts of "love and hate" retail investors.
Those who had bought it around 200 price level back then would be relieved in some way to see the share price slowly inching back to their purchase price and their paper loss amount reducing. Hope this gives them a good night sleep.
There are many school of thoughts in investing and to say that one school is better than the others would be biased and self centred. There are factors like risk tolerance, time frame of investment, capital, knowledge of market, etc.
If you are in your mid 50s, would you want to risk say 10K to invest in this stock? Yes, if you believe in its growth story and you have a higher risk appetite and if the price falls back to 80 , you are OK and would not have sleepless night. It is too simplistic to say that people in this age category should invest in dividend stocks - a broad base of market categorisation.
However, if you are in your 20s but you are a thrifty little squirrel and have not heard of the stock market, fearful even to do paper trade, then it is wiser not to put even 1k in this growth stock. At less than 2% dividend, you are better off parking your funds in the government bonds.
So, to answer a straight YES or NO without considering the background of the investors would be putting the cart before the horse. Everybody situation is different and those who have bought are somewhat biased else they would not have bought it and those who think all China stocks are uninvestable would naturally stay away even this tech giant in China.
For me, I am riding on the rally and awaiting for it to pull back to 120-125 price level before accumulating. Please DYODD
BABA Weekly Chart: Massive Breakout with Strong VolumeThe BABA weekly chart showcases a powerful breakout, accompanied by substantial volume, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has decisively broken through key structural resistance and surged above the IPO AVWAP, reinforcing the strength of this move. However, the RSI is approaching overbought territory, and there’s a potential for a double top formation. Should this scenario unfold, a retest of the IPO AVWAP around the $130 level would be a healthy sign, potentially providing a strong entry point for bulls. The immediate resistance stands at $159.20, and a successful flip of this level could pave the way for targets at $174 and $197. Additionally, the significant volume increase could indicate institutional participation, adding credibility to the breakout. Keeping an eye on the volume trend during any pullback will be crucial to assess whether sellers are stepping in or if the bulls remain in control.
Alibaba Stock Surges 10% as Earnings Beat Expectations Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) are soaring after the Chinese tech and e-commerce giant reported quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations. Alibaba’s latest financial results reflect strong growth in its cloud computing division, which includes artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives, and the broader market optimism surrounding its strategic moves.
Beating Estimates with Strong Revenue Growth
Alibaba posted revenue of 280.15 billion Chinese yuan ($38.5 billion) for the December quarter, marking a 7.6% increase year-over-year. The company’s earnings per share per ADS came in at $2.93, surpassing analyst expectations tracked by Visible Alpha. CEO Eddie Wu emphasized that Alibaba’s strategic focus on "user-first, AI-driven" operations has contributed significantly to its reaccelerated growth.
One of the standout aspects of Alibaba’s performance is its cloud computing segment, which saw a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. Notably, AI-related product revenue surged at a triple-digit rate for the sixth consecutive quarter, underscoring Alibaba’s position as a dominant player in China’s AI landscape.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is speculation that Alibaba may be collaborating with Apple (AAPL) to integrate AI-powered features into iPhones in China. Moreover, reports suggest that co-founder Jack Ma has re-established ties with Beijing, a development that could ease regulatory pressures and pave the way for smoother business operations.
Technical Outlook: Bullish Breakout with Strong Momentum
From a technical perspective, NYSE:BABA shares have been on an impressive run, climbing over 80% in the past year. At the time of writing, the stock is up 8.09% in intraday trading, signaling strong bullish momentum.
The breakout from a falling wedge pattern—a classic bullish reversal setup—has been a key catalyst in Alibaba’s upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 84, indicating that the stock is in overbought territory. However, with momentum building, further upside potential remains, particularly if BABA clears its recent one-month high.
In the event of a pullback, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is acting as a solid support zone, providing traders with a potential re-entry point. A decisive breakout above resistance could trigger another leg up, reinforcing the stock’s bullish sentiment.
Conclusion
With cloud computing and AI revenues expanding at a rapid pace, alongside renewed investor confidence, the stock remains in a strong uptrend. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, a breakout above resistance could unlock further gains.
The reduction target is $70-73According to the Butterfly pattern, the Fibo perfectly converges the decline to the target of $ 70-73. The timing is not clear when we will get there, but according to the schedule of the decline of #HSI1, we should reach it by October 2023, there will be an excellent point for going to long to new heights.
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $89.00
Target #2 = $94.00
Target #3 = $107.00
Target #4 = $116.00
Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
Alibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings ReportAlibaba Shares (BABA) Hit 12-Month High Ahead of Earnings Report
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba is set to release its quarterly earnings report on 20 February. The Wall Street Journal cites optimistic analyst estimates, projecting gross revenue of 279.03 billion yuan (approximately $38 billion), up from 260.35 billion yuan a year ago and 236.50 billion yuan in the previous quarter.
Investor sentiment has been buoyed by Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma’s presence at an event with Chinese President Xi Jinping. According to Barron’s, this signals government efforts to restore confidence in the private sector, particularly in technology. At present, such factors may be having a greater impact on the stock market than geopolitical headlines or Trump’s tariff policies.
These and other drivers—including a recent partnership between Alibaba and Apple to integrate AI features into the iPhone 16 series—have fuelled bullish momentum. As a result, Alibaba shares (BABA) have surged nearly 20% in February, reaching their highest level since February last year.
Technical Analysis of Alibaba Shares (BABA)
In our previous analysis on 29 January, we noted that BABA’s price movements were forming key levels for an Andrews' Pitchfork pattern, indicating a bullish outlook.
Currently, the price has:
→ Surpassed the October high near $118.
→ Gained bullish momentum after consolidating around the psychological $100 level.
The RSI indicator signals overbought conditions, suggesting a potential correction. However, given the strong news flow, any pullback may be shallow.
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Forecasts
According to BarChart, after years of underperformance, many investors are looking at China with renewed optimism for 2025. Hedge fund Appaloosa Management’s founder and president, David Tepper—whose net worth stands at $21.5 billion—recently acquired Alibaba shares, as per the latest 13F filings.
He may believe that the Chinese stock market is significantly undervalued, based on the “Warren Buffett Indicator,” which compares a country's total market capitalisation to its GDP. A ratio below 100 suggests undervaluation, while a higher figure indicates overvaluation. Currently, China’s market cap-to-GDP ratio stands below 70%, compared to over 200% for the US.
Tepper is not alone in his bullish stance. According to TipRanks:
→ 7 out of 8 analysts surveyed recommend buying BABA shares.
→ The average 12-month price target for BABA is $129.13.
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BABA - The company is so back!Partnership with Apple?Hi guys, we would be looking into BABA as a structure and a future proof company, which will give us a neccesary boost towars the price increasing!
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) has recently demonstrated remarkable growth and resilience, positioning itself as a compelling investment opportunity.
As of February 18, 2025, Alibaba's stock is trading at $127.58, reflecting a significant upward trajectory. Over the past month, the stock has surged over 55%, indicating strong market confidence.
A pivotal factor contributing to this momentum is Alibaba's strategic partnership with Apple. Announced on February 13, 2025, this collaboration aims to integrate Alibaba's advanced AI capabilities into iPhones sold in the Chinese market. This alliance not only enhances the user experience but also solidifies Alibaba's position in the AI sector.
Furthermore, Alibaba's commitment to innovation is evident in its restructuring efforts. The company's "1+6+N" plan, unveiled in March 2023, reorganized its operations into six independently managed entities. This strategic move has empowered each unit to pursue growth autonomously, fostering agility and responsiveness in a dynamic market.
Analysts remain optimistic about Alibaba's future. The average 12-month price target stands at $129.13, with projections reaching as high as $151.00. This optimism is underpinned by Alibaba's robust earnings growth forecast of 11.1% per annum and a revenue growth rate of 6.3% per annum.
TIPRANKS.COM
In summary, Alibaba's strategic initiatives, innovative partnerships, and strong financial outlook underscore its potential for sustained growth, making it an attractive prospect for investors.
Alibaba Wave Analysis – 17 February 2025
- Alibaba broke daily up channel
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 130.00
Alibaba Group recently broke the resistance trendline of the narrow up channel from January – which accelerated the active impulse wave 5. The breakout of this up channel was preceded by the breakout of the key resistance level 117.60 (former multi-month high from October).
The active impulse wave 5 belongs to the sharp intermediate impulse wave (C) – enclosed by the aforementioned up channel.
Alibaba Group can be expected to rise in the active impulse waves 5 and (C) to the next resistance level 130.00.
I'm GAGA for BABA!NYSE:BABA
🎯134🎯150🎯171
Five weeks of green candles for over 55%!
Road this one higher from the beginning and fully exited. Now that we are pretty extended and broke out of the Inverse H&S Pattern I'd like to see a pullback to retest the breakout at $115-118 for an entry back in.
- Green H5
- Volume GAP
- Wr% Up trending
- Inverse H&S breakout
- China has momentum (look for tariff news or earnings this week to provide a dip buying opp.)
Not financial advice
