Navigating Market Waves: Bitcoin & PENDLE Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. The market has formed a small structure, giving us better triggers for taking positions. The coin I want to analyze today is PENDLE, but first, let's look at Bitcoin.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 We're analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe, as usual. The conditions haven't changed much from yesterday. The price has made a deep pullback to the broken descending channel. The current short position trigger is 61,273, which, if broken with good volume, can introduce significant bearish momentum into the market.
📊 The volume has decreased during the correction, which is natural and indicates the strength of the bearish trend, suggesting convergence.
📉 For short positions, as mentioned, 61,273 is a suitable trigger. If you miss this trigger, you can use Dow Theory to take a position or wait for the support break at 59,323.
📈 I still do not recommend any long triggers as it doesn't make sense to open long positions with the market having such strong bearish momentum.
✉️ PENDLE Analysis
🔍 Let's move on to PENDLE. This is the first time I'm analyzing this coin on the channel, so I'll explain the project as well.
The PENDLE project is a blockchain-based platform within the DeFi space that offers users LP-Tokens with high APRs. These LP-Tokens have expiration dates, and if they are not withdrawn before their expiration, the invested funds are completely lost. This is why the APRs are high, as there is more risk involved.
💎 On the daily timeframe, as you can see, there's a good, clean uptrend that, after reaching the resistance at 7.033, started to correct down to the golden Fibonacci zone of 0.5 to 0.618. It then moved back up to the 7.033 peak, forming an ascending triangle supported by a trendline. Additionally, the SMA 99 is also providing strong support to the price. Since we are both on the trendline and the SMA 99 has reached the price, the likelihood of support from these levels is high, depending on Bitcoin's trend and future developments.
📊 The volume of this coin has started to decrease after reaching the 7.033 resistance, which is natural. However, for a new uptrend to start, the buying volume needs to increase at least to the previous levels.
🛒 For spot purchases, you can buy after breaking the 7.033 resistance, which is the ATH resistance for this coin. I believe risking no more than 0.5-1% on this coin is logical, but considering the potential hype around the project, this risk is reasonable. Personally, I plan to hold a small amount of this coin in my spot portfolio after breaking this resistance.
🎯 The target for this coin in the first stage is the $12 range, and for a bull run or a major move, it could be $23. I suggest waiting for the $23 target as it depends on the project's success and if it becomes as large, popular, and reliable as Uniswap or Pancakeswap.
📉 For futures positions, it's better to move to the 4-hour timeframe to see the triggers more clearly. The long trigger in futures can be 6.21, which is close to the ATH and should be quickly locked in as profit due to the strong supply zone. The 55.92 trigger in RSI can confirm our long position.
📈 For short positions, after breaking the trendline, the 4.841 trigger is suitable. The target can be the daily golden Fibonacci zone, and its confirmation can be the break of 35.76 in RSI.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, the market has shown a significant bearish movement, especially in Bitcoin, leading to cautious market sentiment. For Bitcoin, short positions remain more favorable due to the strong bearish momentum, with 61,273 as a key trigger. For PENDLE, 8.871 is a crucial short trigger, while long positions should be taken with caution, waiting for a more defined structure and stronger buying signals. Always manage risk and wait for clear triggers before entering positions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
