NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 (@nsarpi22) Prediction 2NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025
I expect Nasdaq to crash all the way down to the nearest monthly level based on my detailed analysis
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 2.0
NAS100 trade ideas
Bearish Nasdaq Eyes Key Levels Amid Jobs Data Watch!In the current scenario, a rise to the 20,839.55 level presents an opportunity to continue the downtrend, targeting the 20,227.50 level in the short to medium term.
The bearish scenario will be invalidated if the price rises above 21,077.98 and closes a daily candlestick above this level.
Note:
Markets are awaiting the U.S. employment data today, with expectations pointing to an increase in non-farm payroll employment change to 153K, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.0%. The data will be released at 5:30 PM Dubai time and is expected to have a direct impact on the markets, particularly U.S. indices, gold, and currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar.
Traders are advised to pay close attention to this data, as it will directly impact the above analysis upon its release. It will be the main driving force based on its results, which could weaken the validity of the mentioned technical analysis scenario.
NAS100 Update - Potential TargetsHow I see it:
## NFP today, trade safe !
Key resistance @ 20634.00 area
Key support @ 19961.00 area
Severe divergence on 4HR TF
(However, NASDAQ is still very overbought in the much bigger picture)
Potential "LONG" - If Price can find very strong support/demand
TP 1 = 20550.00
Keynote:
Nasdaq is showing strong bearish behavior...
Should the week close a 1W body below 20000.00, bearish behavior could continue
But it can also be accumulation at a very key psychological confluence of support
around 20000.00
Bulls are defending this territory fiercely.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Nasdaq Scenario NFP day 07/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we expect the NFP to have a negative impact on the dollar, so we anticipate a Bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : NFP kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna ayji negative l dollar hadchi 3lach kanchofo Us30 Bearish
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Bullish bounce?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 19,903.74
1st Support: 19,625.20
1st Resistance: 20,525.10
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2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets.
As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals.
The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets:
- Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average).
- Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence).
- Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”).
Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline.
Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity.
This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
NASDAQ Ultimate Support test on the 1week MA50.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Channel Up since the start of this Bull Cycle after the late 2022 bottom.
The price is about to test the 1week MA50, which is the ultimate Support of this bullish trend and has been holding since March 13 2023 (almost 2 years).
It is important for the index to keep a weekly closing over it. If it does we will have the most optimal buy entry case.
The previous two bullish waves interestingly enough both increased by +49.55%.
Buy and target 25500.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ 100: Is a Bottom Forming? Key Levels and Risk-Reward InsiThe NASDAQ 100 is testing its 200-day moving average, a historically significant level for trend reversals. If it holds, the risk-to-reward setup looks attractive, with potential upside of up to 9% versus a limited downside. The we consider past reactions, political factors, and trade dynamics. A break above key resistance could confirm the move, though waiting for a V-shaped recovery might impact the reward ratio. What do you think? Share your thoughts.
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NDQ is kissing SMA 200 being under SMA 50: bears in controlHello everyone!
Once upon a time, I read the thesis that Algos would start selling aggressively if the Ticker reached its SMA 50 Close. If the ticker reaches and breaks down its SMA 200, the sell-off continues, and we can call the environment bearish, not being formally in a bear market. Under a Bear market, we assume here a decline from the latest top ~20% for the major indices.
Fine. The practical question is how to use this information for your trading strategy as a retail trader?
For me, it is still a work in progress.
Why? I am a relatively newbie in the market (since 2019), so my learning curve is in progress. For example, I understood, based on my reduced deposit in 2022, that defining the environment, then relatively strong sectors and tickers makes sense and really helps to decide what trading strategy to apply to the stock that performs stronger vs. the general market ( SP:SPX , for example) or the weakening stock.
From the chart above, the obvious conclusion is that NDQ is weakening and at a decision moment, so trading long the bounces intraday and mainly keeping the longs overnight is a risky approach. I like to sleep well, so I do not hold long overnights. Now, it does not matter how the chart is; it is amazingly tempting to do so. Learned the hard way. Conversely, I play longs intraday because bounces might be rewarding during the intraday.
For sure, all boring stocks from a field of defensive sectors are now more right to be with longs according to textbooks. Everyone chooses their way.
Stay profitable!
PIVOTAL POINTAfter three weekly bearish candles, there seems to be some dope rejections from this low, price action promises that there will be a stop here or a bit further manipulative sell into the range of the zone, the closing of the week might direct us into understanding if next week carries some weekly retracement buys or if we still will be stuck on the zone
NASDAQ LAST LONGS RECESSION GONGS: its a TRUMPCESSIONWe have many takes for me ive been waiting for this moment my whole year FY24
somewhere around 23-24k its gonna be showtime im making this idea brief
price back at resistance expecting a break and retest after it rejects and goes higher
also impulse might not even complete considering how strong the support is
dxy wiped out months progress in 4 days
investors are gonna seek safe havens i hope trump listens to expert advisors
like steve hanke
in my opinion
the markets have always been too overbought - SELL
the u.s is losing trust and likeability among allies with these tariffs
the u.s has entered trade wars wether its too strong a phrase to bring up
booms and bust ou cant rig the economy the time cycle has arrived
NASDAQ 100 INTRADAY capped by 20600 resistanceBearish Scenario:
The intraday sentiment remains bearish, with recent price action suggesting a corrective pullback. If the index faces rejection at the key resistance level of 20,600, it could trigger renewed selling pressure. A downside move could target 20,000 as the first support level, with further declines extending toward 19,800 and potentially 19,660 if bearish momentum strengthens.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 20,600 and a daily close higher would invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If sustained buying pressure emerges, the index could rally toward the next resistance at 21,000, followed by 21,315 and 21,590 as upside targets.
Conclusion:
The 20,600 level is pivotal in determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this resistance reinforces the bearish outlook, while a decisive breakout could signal renewed bullish strength. Traders should monitor price action at this key level for confirmation of the prevailing trend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Hanzo l Nas100 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 20360 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
NAS100 | Reversal Incoming? Bulls Defending Key Support!📌 Tech Stocks Facing Pressure – Oversold Bounce?
🔸 The Nasdaq 100 has been in a strong downtrend, but price is now testing a major demand zone at 20,200 - 20,500.
🔸 Weakness has been driven by:
✅ Rising bond yields hurting growth stocks.
✅ Profit-taking after extended rallies in AI & tech.
✅ FOMC rate outlook uncertainty creating volatility.
💡 Upcoming Catalysts
🔹 The NFP report & Powell's speech will be crucial for short-term direction.
🔹 If inflation data remains high, rate cut expectations could be delayed → bearish for NAS100.
🔹 However, if bond yields cool off, tech stocks could see a strong relief rally.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Demand Zone: $20,200 - $20,500 (Strong support)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
🔸 $21,126 – First upside target.
🔸 $21,901 – Major supply zone (potential reversal area).
📊 Possible Bullish Reversal Setup
📌 Price is testing a high-probability demand zone, suggesting buyer interest.
📌 If price breaks above $20,512, we could see a rally toward $21,126 & $21,900.
📌 Bullish confirmation if price closes above $20,600.
📈 Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Scenario
Buy near support if price shows rejection.
Target 1: $21,126
Target 2: $21,901
Invalidation: If price breaks below $20,200.
❌ Bearish Alternative
If price fails to hold above $20,200, expect a deeper correction.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Nasdaq is at a critical support level – will bulls step in, or will sellers dominate? Comment below with your bias! 📉📈
