US100 MARKET OUTLOOK Price may fall back to a pullback resistance of 20349.9 as we continue to see a sell pressure being exerted on lower timeframe prices. A buy opportunity is envisaged if we’d get a bounce off the pullback support level.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ 4 more months before next correction.Nasdaq (NDX) has been rising non-stop with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since it first broke above it in March 13 2023, following the 2022 Inflation Crisis Bear Cycle.
This continuous period of growth has been built on a prolonger Bearish Divergence based on the 1W RSI, which has been on Lower Highs since June 05 2023. It is not the first time in recent history that the index has seen this pattern, as in the last 10 years we have had 2 periods of similar growth.
The 2014 - 2015 phase came to a sudden end in the first week of January 2016 after having marginally topped above the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. The 1W RSI Bearish Divergence eventually kicked in and the price dipped below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while an RSI below 40.00 formed the bottom.
Similarly, the 2018 - 2019 phase got hammered in early February 2020 after topping very close to the 4.0 Fib ext, again sharply declining below the 1W MA100, finding support exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). We need to point out that this was a (technically) exaggerated price collapse though due to the COVID lockdowns.
As mentioned above, we are facing again an RSI Bearish Divergence and if the price action follows the previous two periods that both, amazingly enough, lasted for 742 days (106 weeks) from the first RSI High, we should be expecting a technical peak around June 23 2025 (exactly 4 months from now) near a 4.0 Fibonacci extension at 23500.
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$NAS100 IdeaIf the monthly close occurs as projected, we will confirm a double liquidity purge, signaling a bearish scenario. Additionally, buyer liquidity will have been absorbed, with the price closing within the range, further reinforcing the downside perspective for NAS100. However, we still have one more week to validate this bias. On the daily chart, we will wait for a market structure shift before considering short positions.
NAS100 short positionprice swept an insane amount of liquidity trendline and reversed agressivelly to the downside
im confident in taking a 2% trade here
4-hr US100: 500-point Rally on the Horizon The NASDAQ 100 index is showing strong bullish momentum, as evidenced by the formation of a Golden Cross on the chart. This classic buy signal occurs when the short moving average crosses above the long term moving average, suggesting that upward momentum is gaining strength. This technical pattern is widely regarded as a confirmation of a continued uptrend, attracting more buyers into the market.
Currently, the price is testing a key support area around the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, a historically significant zone where buying interest has previously emerged. This provides a strategic opportunity to enter long positions, as the level may act as a springboard for further price appreciation.
We favor initiating buy positions at the current level, with a stop-loss placed below the 61% Fibonacci retracement to minimize downside risk. Our profit target is set just below 22,200, aiming to capture gains before potential resistance emerges. This setup ensures a favorable risk-reward ratio while aligning with the prevailing bullish trend.
Trade idea 24 Feb 2025Please refer to marked chart
A break and close of 30 min candle above 21740 i will buy - targeting zone above
A break and close below 21585 - i will sell targeting zone below
You can short if 30 min candle closes below 21665 targeting 21610 however this is too high risk
Goodluck!!!
Possible push down for NAS100After A strong Bearish push, price action is filling the inefficiency left behind. Price is currently testing the structure lows previous support. The bearish move and retracement is the 78.6% PRZ
Wait for your lower time frame play to enter. This is an over all counter trend trade, however this could have a nice quick move down to retest the Daily previous structure high area of 21,843
Daily Chart has a Bearish Divergence that is playing out.
**Caution** on the macro bullish trend, this recent pull back retraced back to the 23.6 lvl with a wick while "retesting" the previous structure high on the H4 time frame....Enter with caution.
Upcoming Weekly AnalysisFA Analysis:
1- World economy and US economy are slowing down; risk of recession is up again.
2- Inflation is up
3- Trump tariffs and reciprocity are not helping.
4- Deep Seek news is currently behind the scene but it has a huge negative impacts on AI and semi-conductors for the ST and MT.
All the above factors are negative for stocks and equities (i.e., NQ).
5- This week, we have key data starting by the Consumer Confidence, to GDP to PCE.
Bad news is bad news for equities .
6- On Wednesday, we have NVDA earnings after market closes. This news is extremely important for the ST/MT direction. Any undershoot data will send NVDA and NQ to the LL of Year 2024. Overshoot, it will stop the drop and test back the top of the range. Inline data, it will give a short live up before resuming down. I think Inline scenario will prevail.
7- Trump tweet risk: Trump needs a daily dose of attraction; keep an open eye and manage your risk.
TA Analysis:
Weekly Analysis:
From strictly TA weekly perspective, we got an irrelevant close; we got an inside bar. But based on the FA analysis, we may consider it bearish.
Price needs to close below/above the previous weekly green candle for a decisive direction.
Daily TF:
1- We got a strong bearish close. A continuation down is expected.
2- I think market will continue the sell off until Wednesday. Based on NVDA data, we will see either:
a- Bad data: A straightforward and deep drop;
b- Inline data: A short live bounce up;
c- Green data: A retest of ATH.
That's all for this upcoming week! Trade safely and happy green week to all of you! GL!
NASQ 100 - Still trade within daily R and S range.Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
NAS100 Losing Strength? Bearish Reversal in Play!NAS100 is showing weakness to the upside, with signs of a short-term (possibly longer-term) bearish reversal. Similar to SPX, its typically bullish nature appears to be fading. How far could the drop go? No one knows for sure, but right now, the signs for strong long positions are limited.
Nasdaq 1MSmall incremental purchases and fluctuations indicate a phased entry of liquidity into the market and have created a variable or fixed support level in these stocks. A sharp decline in the short term and a return of the price to the resistance level can be expected from this analysis.
Sasha Charkhchian
US100 Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for US100.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,588.3.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 22,205.6 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Nasdaq needs a decent correction in order to gain strengthI'm not calling for a crash, but generally when markets keep pushing higher, it needs to cool off, the problem with bulls is that they have no restraint, bears are way more tactical and when bears make a move, it is fast, furious and a lot of complacent bulls get slaughtered....I expect nasdaq to reach their 0.618/0.5 retracement levels and if structure remains in tact, markets should push higher....If the correction had happened much earlier, there wouldn't be so much fear in the market....I don't expect serious buyers to step in unless nasdaq is available at more discount....You will see some short covering in between, but don't confuse that for serious buying.....There is no bottom wick in the daily candle, so basically, bulls didn't even make an attempt, also double top on daily, mini uptrend channel break, so try to focus on shorts on the way down...I could be wrong, but I don't think buyers will have much advantage unless it reaches lower levels.....
NAS100 - Can 1D Trend Hold?Dear Friends,
How I see it:
# Very strong 3 Day rejections at ATH = 22235.00
## Strong RED daily close on Friday
### Impressive 1D trend since 7th August 2024, still holding!
Potentially price can continue down looking for support -
1) 50% Fib retracement @ 21415.00
2) 1D Trend support @ 21200.00
3) Psychologic support @ 21000.00
4) Strong demand @ 20600.00 - 20470.00
Potential long - (I don't want to guess what it will do first)
1) Imbalance to fill up to 21870.00
Keynote:
If this 1D trend is breached and the break is confirmed -
Price can easily fall back down into the 17000 's region.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Possible long ?I’m looking at going long on nasdaq
There are some economic factors to consider trump.has imposed new tariff threats softening consumer demand Tariffs would affect lumber and forest products previously imposing tariffs on imported cars semi conductors and pharmaceuticals.
Tesla has also dropped because of recalls on the cars do to electric power steering defects
However I’m curious as to what trump will say in the later days considering he uses tarrifs as a bargaining chip. We have seen the last time this has happened that Nasdaq was able to recover the following week
In addition the 1h and 1d chart looks like a cup and handles pattern and price has coincidentally dropped Friday to create the handle
Down below I have two logical areas to consider 21,570 and 21,400
US100: Weekly Bullish, Short-Term Bearish—Two Key ScenariosThe US100 (Nasdaq) remains bullish on the higher (Weekly/Daily) timeframes, but short-term (4H/2H) indicators suggest a correction or pullback. This creates a split bias: either the market finds support and resumes the uptrend, or it breaks key levels and continues lower.
• Support Zones:
• 21,580–21,400 (immediate short-term supports)
• 21,200–21,000 (major daily support, 100 SMA area)
• Weekly Support extends down to ~19,500–21,000 on deeper pullbacks
• Resistance Zones:
• 21,900–22,000 (key intraday resistance + pivot)
• 22,200–22,300 (recent peak & bearish order block)
Scenarios
• Scenario A (Bullish Continuation)
• Look for price to hold 21,580–21,400 support and reclaim ~21,700–21,800 on higher timeframes.
• Aggressive traders may front-run a bounce near 21,580 (tight stops below 21,530).
• Conservative traders might wait for a Daily close above ~21,900 with momentum (RSI >50, bullish MACD).
• Invalidation: A daily close below ~21,000 could trigger further downside.
• Scenario B (Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction)
• If price fails at 21,700–21,900 or breaks below 21,580 decisively, watch for a move to 21,400 or even 21,000.
• Aggressive shorts may enter on a retest of 21,700–21,800 (broken support → resistance) or a clean break below 21,580.
• More conservative bears might wait for a Daily close under 21,000–21,200 and a confirmed downtrend on momentum indicators.
• Invalidation: A strong 4H close back above 21,900–22,000 would weaken the bearish case.
Risk Management / Disclaimer
Use stops, manage position sizes, and monitor macro news. This post is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
Sells for this week and buys by the end of this monthNasdaq providing us with some great opportunities over the next few weeks. very nice sale going into next week. I am hoping for an even further drop towards the end of the month then potentially a buying up on the last few days into early next month.
Could be promising.
NASDAQ - Short term downtrend.Bearish downtrend on the NASDAQ, targeting the Daily STL as nearest draw on liqudity. Expecting a retracement into the 4H BaG (Pink area) to then continue the current down-trend to sweep the liquidity at the daily STL.
As we can see, the recent bullish expansion to the upside actually took Monthly liquidity which then saw a sharp reversal which has taken out most of the bullish orderflow created in the expansion to the upside, where we created bullish FVGs moving into the HTF areas of interest. Trend turned bearish after the M high was taken, and we have created Bearish BaG on the 4H moving away from the area, as well as a potential Daily FVG being created after Mondays open.
The overall daily range for the year so far (2025) has been somewhat consolidatory, so im anticipating any move below the Daily STL we have as our target, to be a sweep and premium price action to then become our draw on liqudiity.
Happy trading!
