NAS100 - Stock market is waiting for tariffs!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets, but if it does not rise and corrects towards the demand limits, you can buy the Nasdaq index with appropriate reward and risk.
Three months ago, Donald Trump postponed the imposition of severe retaliatory tariffs, granting America’s major trading partners more time to reach new agreements that Washington views as “fairer.” Now, as the White House’s July 9 deadline approaches, only two official trade deals have been finalized—one with the United Kingdom and another with Vietnam. As for China, merely a fragile temporary truce has been reached, which has so far prevented any additional tariffs from being enforced.
Although reports suggest promising progress in negotiations with India, Japan, and South Korea, no final agreements have been secured with these countries yet. Interestingly, talks with the European Union—which had previously stalled—have suddenly taken a positive turn, and prospects for a deal with Canada in the coming days have also improved.
However, given the limited time left, it seems unlikely that trade agreements with all of America’s 18 key partners will be reached before the deadline. This situation has raised a critical question for the markets: Will Trump set a new deadline for the remaining countries, or will the suspended tariffs be reinstated?
The prevailing view is that the U.S. president will once again resort to threats before granting any extensions—this time not merely by reviving the “Liberation Day” tariffs, but also by promising even heavier tariffs to extract the last concessions from the remaining trade partners.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett stated that if no agreements are reached by August 1, tariffs will revert to the levels announced in April. He also emphasized that Washington’s core strategy in these trade talks is to apply maximum pressure. According to Bassett, letters will be sent to various countries, outlining the August 1 deadline for reaching deals. This news, which broke during the market’s closing hours, sparked a wave of risk appetite in the financial markets.
In a week when the U.S. economic calendar is notably devoid of major data releases, investors are focusing their attention on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June FOMC meeting—a document that could offer fresh insights into the trajectory of interest rates for the second half of the year.
June’s strong employment report, which exceeded market expectations, has effectively dashed hopes for an interest rate cut this month. Now, if the positive economic momentum persists, the likelihood of a rate cut in the September meeting may also gradually be priced out by the markets.
According to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. employers announced 47,999 job cuts in June, marking a sharp decline from 93,816 in the previous month. Compared to June of last year, layoffs have dropped by 2%. However, total job cuts in the second quarter of 2025 reached 247,256—a 39% increase from the same period last year (177,391) and the highest second-quarter layoff figure since 2020.
With no significant economic reports scheduled for the coming days, investors will be closely analyzing Wednesday night’s Fed minutes and the limited remarks from central bank officials—statements where every word has the potential to significantly move the markets.
NAS100 trade ideas
US100/Analysis *📊 US100 (NAS100) – 4H Analysis & Trade Signal*
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*🔎 Chart Observation:*
- *Current Price:* 22,764
- *Structure:* Market rejected downside strongly with a *Bull Wick* (demand zone reaction).
- *RSI (14):* 60.38
- Momentum is rising again, just under overbought.
- *Bearish divergence* still visible, but price is defending structure.
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*📌 Key Levels:*
- *Support:* 22,715
- *Resistance:* 22,865 → 23,000
- *Strong Bullish Zone:* 22,720–22,750
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*📈 Trade Idea: BUY Setup*
- *Entry:* 22,760–22,770
- *SL:* 22,690 (below wick)
- *TP1:* 22,865
- *TP2:* 23,000
- *TP3 (optional):* 23,150 if breakout occurs
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*🧠 Smart Money View:*
- Likely a *liquidity sweep* below wick zone.
- Demand zone got respected → smart money possibly reloading longs.
- If next candle closes bullish, more confirmation for continuation.
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,000.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
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Discount Zone Reversal Play Entered a long position after identifying an short formed W formation within discount territory, mapped from yesterday’s high–low range. Price action showed clear structural symmetry, with the second leg completing at a key demand zone.
📌 Buyside liquidity at 22,692.27 acted as the inducement level—price swept it and respected the zone, signaling smart money accumulation.
Key Confluences:
- Extended W structure with balanced legs and volume support
- Price operating below EQ before trigger, favoring bullish reversal
- TP placed just above EQ to anticipate reaction without overextending
- Structure confirmed by neckline retest and bullish candle ignition
This setup aligns with a classic liquidity sweep and reversal narrative, targeting measured premium zones while managing drawdown with tight risk control. The trade is guided by structure, liquidity, and session timing—a patient play with clean narrative flow.
Ustec - longs📈 NAS100 Long Reversal — Powered by ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Indicator
Timeframe: 15-min
Instrument: NAS100 (US Tech 100)
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✅ Signal Setup (Long Entry)
This clean reversal was captured using my custom ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion indicator, which detects:
• RSI-based exhaustion conditions
• Precise reversal signals (green “UP” label on the chart)
• Trend-aligned confirmations
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📌 Entry Criteria:
1. Oversold RSI conditions signaled potential exhaustion of the downtrend.
2. A clear bullish reversal candle closed with confirmation from the indicator.
3. The “UP” label marked the ideal entry candle just before the impulsive breakout.
4. RSI momentum shifted positively at the point of signal.
⸻
🎯 Execution Plan:
• Entry: At close of the signal candle with the “UP” label
• Stop-Loss: Placed just below the recent swing low (see red zone on chart)
• Target: Up to previous intraday structure and recovery zone
⸻
💡 Key Observations:
• Early signal allowed high RR entry before breakout
• RSI structure confirmed direction shift
• Strong sustained price action into close
⸻
📚 Learn More:
This trade is part of a larger system combining:
• RSI signal dynamics
• Momentum shift detection
• Session and structure alignment
If you’d like more information about the indicator or how to use it in your own strategy, feel free to follow or reach out.
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There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisa
Usrec longs after drop📈 US Tech 100 | 15-Min Chart
✅ Live Trade Example using ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
⸻
This setup was captured using the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion indicator. A clean BUY signal was triggered after an extended move, followed by a sharp reversal — perfectly timed and visually confirmed by the indicator’s built-in logic.
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Nas100With speculation about no rate cuts we can expect to see Nas100 plumet with Fed Powells upcoming speech.
If we look at the technical side we can see that Nas has been somewhat consolidating over the past 2 days creating a fair amount of Sell side liquidity. We can expect Powell to speak about rat cuts today in his upcoming speech and we will use this to our advantage waiting for early buyers to push up the market triggering our setup.
We can look for a plus minus 100 pip move before Nas turns around, we will however closely monitor the movement of Nas now until the speech so that we can execute a trade with the least amount of risk.
Remember to like and subscribe for more A+ setups.
NASDAQ Possible short-term pull-back.Last time we analyzed Nasdaq (NDX) was a week ago (June 23, see chart below), giving a comfortable buy signal as the price was rebounding at the bottom of the 6-week Channel Up:
The price hit our 22300 Target and has now touched the top of the Channel Up. Based on the 4H RSI, it resembles the May 15 price action, which soon after pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
It is possible to see such relief profit taking on the short-term and a test of 22200 (Fib 0.382).
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USNAS100 |Bullish Trend Holds Above Pivot – Eyeing 22790 & 23000USNAS100 | Bullish Movement
The price has stabilized above the key pivot level at 22640, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend toward the next resistance at 22790.
As long as the index remains above 22640, the uptrend is expected to extend toward 22790 and potentially 23000, with minor pullbacks likely to retest the pivot.
Currently, USNAS100 is consolidating between 22640 and 22790.
A 1H candle close below 22640 would signal a bearish correction toward 22520 and possibly 22410.
Pivot Line: 22640
Resistance Levels: 22790, 23000
Support Levels: 22520, 22410
previous idea:
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,651.9.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,171.9.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward.
Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December.
Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock market—an appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks.
In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Friday’s 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors.
Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-taking—possibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year.
Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum.
Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data.
On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursday—one day earlier than usual due to the holiday—will see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index.
Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trump’s tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely.
Friday’s PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigue—a combination that presents challenges for policymakers.
Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%—its lowest level this year.
On the inflation front, the core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fed’s 2% target, with persistent price pressures in services—particularly non-housing services—still evident.
Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sector—especially under a potential Trump tariff scenario—could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.
NASDAQNASDAQ If the price cannot break through the 22728 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NAS100 LongNow that we have an official strong bullish close breaking previous highs on the weekly and monthly time frame. We will look for a potential pullback. The 3M candle is currently on track to closing as a strong bullish engulfing. Also, a 1M morning start followed up by a bullish momentum candle.
NASDAQ| - Continuation Setup Fueled by Momentum📌 Pair: NAS100 (NASDAQ)
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Strong bullish momentum unfolding with structure showing clear intent to continue higher. No major signs of reversal—smart money appears to be driving price up.
🧭 MTF View (30M → 2H clarity):
Using the 2H for cleaner narrative. Waiting for a clean sweep of sell-side liquidity (SSL) into a refined OB to continue the move. 30M showing structural alignment with the bullish bias.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
LTF CHoCH → Liquidity sweep → OB mitigation
Confirm the shift and execute on the return.
🎯 Target: Structure highs above
🧠 Mindset Note:
Momentum is your ally—but don’t let speed replace structure. Follow your confirmation sequence, stay surgical, and let price do the work.
Bless Trading!