Is this 2008 again for RUT?Russel 2000 trend line looks wobbly and could easily break on some bad news.
US2000 trade ideas
US Stocks in Counter Trend BounceRussell 2000 (RUT) is an index of 2000 stocks. It can be seen as a barometer on the health of the US economy as mid-size and smaller companies are included in the index.
RUT has been declining in an impulse wave. The decline was not deep enough to count a completed wave from the all-time high.
Today, the price is rejecting the underside of the trend line that extends back 1 year ago to October 2022.
If any further rally is required, it is viewed as a corrective bounce that might reach $1776 or the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
RUSSELL 2000 Spearheading the next stock market run?Russell 2000 / RUT closed the 3rd green day after hitting the Support A Zone that is holding since June 16th 2022.
This is turning into a major long term buy signal and will be validated when tomorrow the 1day MACD forms the lowest Bullish Cross since March.
Technically the bullish break out happens after the price crosses over the 1day MA50, but on a broader horizon, the current level is low enough to attempt a buy.
Target 2000 (bottom of Resistance Zone A).
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RUSSELL 2000 Support Zone rebound?Russell 2000 (RUT) entered on Friday the wide Support Zone (1700 - 1630) that was formed on the May 12 2022 Low. The 1D candle closed inside it so unlike the bottoms that had wicks that recovered and closed above the Zone, this is most likely similar to the June 16 2022 and September 23 2022 breaches.
A low is to be expected around 1640 but the index is already a strong long-term buy, as the cyclical behavior of the Sine Waves suggests. The tops match perfectly with the Waves. In any case, from now on the first sign of 1D RSI Higher Lows (Bullish Divergence if the candles are on Lower Lows), will be the last confirmation we need of an upcoming bullish leg, which was the characteristic of all previous 3 bottoms.
On top of that, 10 days ago a 1D Death Cross was formed and even though that's a technical bearish pattern, last time it signalled the bottom. Our target is 2000, just below the 2008 - 2027 Resistance Zone.
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Why is Dow Jones leading Nasdaq and S&P this time?Why is Dow Jones a better indicator to measure the coming recession?
Reference for trading:
E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $5
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $0.50
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What Pitchfork Says About Russellthe detail is shown in the above Idea.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Pitchfork Tool.
This chart beautifully shows the Russell support and resistance and Trend lines
golden line : level 0.61.8 1.618 ....
green line : level 0.382 ...
black line : level 1 2 ...
RUT/NDX ratio tells you to keep investing in tech!Something a little different today.
Was looking a some stock ratios and decided to regress the standard Russell 2000 against the risky technology index, the Nasdaq.
This RUT/NDX ratio has been inside a Channel Down since the Dotcom Bubble send it sky high, collapsing the tech sector.
The Channel Down has never been broken since and made a new Low this month.
What does this tell you? Keep investing in tech!
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RUSSELL 2000 Holding the key Bull Cycle Support. Disaster below?Russell 200 (RUT) has had a big safeguard on the current Bull Cycle following the Housing Crisis bottom in 2009. The symmetrical Zone that was formed on the previous All Time High (ATH) has always held once it transitioned into Support upon periods of corrections (with the natural exception of COVID) and provided the framework for the rebound initiation of the next rally.
This time the previous ATH Zone has been continuously tested since May 2022 and so far has closed all candles above it. October has already entered this Support Zone with the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) right below it and the longer it holds, the sooner it will also enter the Zone. When the 1M MA100 broke during the COVID collapse, the flash crash extended almost as low as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
Naturally the market conditions now are severely different than then, but the Support Zone must hold at all costs. If it breaks, the distress signal that will send may echo across high cap markets, especially the technology sector.
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HEAD & SHOULDERSSloping neckline noted. Not all necklines are straight.
This pattern often occurs at or close to a top.
The neckline is support until broken.
This pattern consist of 2 shoulders with the both shoulders having price in the same ballpark. Rarely do the shoulders share the exact same price. They should be relatively equidistant from the head which is a higher peak than either shoulder and is in the middle of the 2 shoulders.
The pattern is not valid until the neckline is broken with a downtrend.
Short if the neckline is broken but retests are common. Once the neckline is broken, it becomes resistance.
No recommendation
Small Caps Are Leading to the DownsideIndexes of big companies like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 neared record highs in July, but not the small cap Russell 2000. Today we’ll use a weekly chart to consider how it’s leading to the downside.
The first pattern is the series of lower highs starting in August 2022. RUT unsuccessfully tested that area in January and again in July, which could suggest it’s become resistance.
The price action is noteworthy because SPX and NDX both cleared those respective levels from the summer of 2022. With relative strength already negative, will the weak get weaker?
Second, the 1650 area was resistance in late 2020. RUT bounced there in June 2022 and again last October. Traders may now view that level as a downside target.
Third, consider the macro environment. Some strategists have recently noted that small caps are more vulnerable to rising interest rates (unlike bigger companies that locked in long-term financing at lower rates). They’re also more associated with risk appetite because of their focus on industrials and financials. That could increase their difficulties if volatility increases further.
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