STOCK MARKETS TO HIBERNATE FOR A DECADE?STOCK MARKETS TO HIBERNATE FOR A DECADE?
Dow Jones is squeezed at historical resistance and rising support.
Momentum has been lost and at risk of more pronounced failure.
US30 trade ideas
US30 - NEW HIGHS COMING (Weekly Outlook) Price is CONSOLIDATING
Our previous move before Market Closure was a Manipulation leg following suit to collect previous sell side Liquidity and Imbalance.
As the Previous Historical Move presented the exact same setup before impulsing towards a new high and I expect price in this move to do the exact same thing.
I do expect price to make some smaller movements on Monday and possible Tuesday before pushing out of this smaller consolidation zone before we get that large volume of price
Good luck to any traders that follow
Price rise from support areaThe strength of investor support for the Dow Jones is very high, and currently, with the price correction, it will come towards the support range. The identified support area is one of the areas that investors are interested in, and this range can be considered strong support.
Big drop comingI am not a financial advisor, but here are my thoughts on the market. With everything going on politically I see the market coming down to around 36k. The market is definitely due for a cool off correction. So much fake news that pumped the market in the past 4 years. Real numbers are now coming out from DOGE Elon and Trump. That it is creating a panic in the markets. More to come in the next few months. I definitely see the market cooling off to around 36K.
US30: Example of trading range situationIn this trading range situation neither the buyers nor the sellers have the upper hand.
Indeed, to gain the upper hand on one or the other, one of the two lines must be broken with force, that is to say the resistance line or the support line.
In the present case it is the support line which was forcefully broken by the sellers where supremacy over the buyers thus led to a heavy decline.
US30What is US30?
The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that represents the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is a price-weighted index, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have more influence on its movement. The US30 serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market and economy.
SIR ,Jerome H. Powell serves as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, which is often referred to as "the Fed." He plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy decisions for the United States
How Do Fed Monetary Policies Affect US30?
The Federal Reserve's monetary policies significantly impact financial markets, including indices like US30. The primary tool used by the Fed to implement these policies is adjusting interest rates.
(1)Interest Rates and Their Impact
Raising Interest Rates: When inflation rises or economic growth becomes too rapid, increasing interest rates can help slow down economic activity by making borrowing more expensive. This typically leads to decreased spending and investment in stocks, potentially causing indices like US30 to decline.
(2)Lowering Interest Rates: Conversely, when economic growth slows down or during periods of low inflation, reducing interest rates makes borrowing cheaper. This encourages spending and investment in stocks, potentially boosting indices like US30.
(3)Market Sentiment: Changes in interest rates affect investor sentiment towards equities. Lower rates generally boost investor confidence by making it cheaper for companies to borrow money for expansion or investment.
Economic Indicators: Since US30 reflects major U.S.-based corporations' performance across various sectors (e.g., technology and finance), changes in monetary policy can influence these sectors differently based on their reliance on borrowing costs.
(3)Volatility: Adjustments in monetary policy can lead to increased volatility in financial markets as investors react quickly to potential shifts in economic conditions signaled by rate changes.
In summary, Fed monetary policies directly influence how investors perceive risk and allocate capital between different asset classes such as bonds versus equities (like those tracked by US30). These perceptions drive market movements based on expectations about future economic conditions influenced by central bank actions
Dow drops on inflation expectations of US consumersThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline . A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43680 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
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One Last Rally!The Dow will conclude years of a bull run in the next few weeks, a very last push to new highs...by March, the top should be in.
Gold's rally the past few weeks should take it to $3000 U.S or more...coinciding with the markets last push.
Trump's tariff campaign will only ramp inflation, long term pain will come and he will be remembered for all the wrong reasons.
Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless and good trading!
sell buy sell He will probably be able to do such a move in the future, at first he hits an upper and then a fall and again a upper and then the main fall
US30 - 6H OutLookHi all feel free to add input into this outlook.
Looking to sell directly off the OB within the 71% range of the OTE entry model.
Aiming to take out sell side Liquidity and possible move into the Demand zone after a couple days
Good Luck if you decide to follow and be sure to leave your input
US30 I Bearish Continuation Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 344,295.65, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 43,313.48, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is set at 45,048.64, a swing high resistance.
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US/30, dropping down to daily support price smashed through the 1 hour support area, now i think price will react of 4 hour support
or head down & react of the daily support area. still bullish overall, i will be looking for
buys off the 4 hour support & daily support areas. we could get some lower timeframe sells if this continues to drop to the daily support area.
Bearish drop?S&P500 is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 44,428.26
1st Support: 43,846.79
1st Resistance: 44,809.04
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DOW JONES Rectangle bottom formed. Bullish.Dow Jones hit today its MA200 (4h) and rebounded.
This has come too close to the bottom of the Rectangle pattern that dominates the price action in the past 3 weeks.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy again if the price closes above the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 44450 (MA50 4h and Falling Resistance).
2. 45000 (top of Rectangle).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold and rebounded like on the February 3rd Low. Strong buy signal.
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