VixFound support At 14.50 today
4hour CCI and RSI tells me look for a bounce to 18.50 and maybe higher over the next week
VIX trade ideas
VIX (SVIX)....easy trade with great upsideThis is one of my darlings and it has taken a few days to get to this point so pay attention to potentially make some delicious lemonade....First, don't place a position until it crosses the yellow / red lines! 10 SMA / 50 SMA and see an upward slope trend shown by the LRS indicator. The target price here is around $15 "ish" with some health drawdown that is the toll to go on this highway. But this baby can easily go up to 17/18ish in a matter of hours or few short days.
Place your notification alerts early, but realize there could be some consolidation before it jumps back up again....you can do it!
Best of luck, do your own DD, and safe trading!
Watch it very carefully , this is not its normal pattern....This channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management
service.
It is just an educated guess.
VIX Falling Wedge Pattern Identified Yesterday – Breakout $13.85"Yesterday, I identified a falling wedge pattern on the VIX 30-minute chart, signaling a potential bullish breakout. The price respected the key support levels at $12.72 and $12.34, forming a strong base for the move upwards. The breakout occurred as expected, with the price surging to $13.85, hitting my target zone.
Key Analysis:
Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
Support Levels: $12.72 and $12.34
Breakout Level: $13.22
Target Achieved: $13.85
This move was supported by increasing momentum as the price exited the wedge, confirming the breakout. A textbook example of pattern recognition and technical analysis in action!
#VIX #Trading #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Stocks #Investing #MarketVolatility
VIX to Trend Lower: Consider Short Positions for Next Week
- Key Insights: The VIX index has shown a decline in volatility, presently at
16.13, suggesting market stability but underlying apprehension remains.
Investors should consider short positions as expert forecasts indicate a
target around 15.5, which aligns with current market sentiment. The decrease
in the VIX suggests a risk-on environment, but caution is warranted due to
potential geopolitical and macroeconomic risks that could suddenly escalate
volatility.
- Price Targets:
- Next week targets:
- Target Level 1 (T1): 15.76
- Target Level 2 (T2): 15.5
- Stop levels:
- Support Level 1 (S1): 17.35
- Support Level 2 (S2): 19
- Recent Performance: The VIX has decreased by approximately 4.84%, moving from
a higher volatility state towards a more stable environment. The index has
reported a reduction of about 1.25 points, reinforcing the sentiment of
declining market volatility.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts are predicting a continued trend of lower
volatility, with estimates suggesting a potential target for the VIX around
15.5. Despite this trending lower, recent fluctuations highlight an
underlying nervousness among investors, which could prompt an uptick in
market activity as positions are reassessed.
- News Impact: The current state of lower volatility in the VIX is reflective of
a cautious yet optimistic investor outlook. Nevertheless, external factors
such as macroeconomic reports and geopolitical tensions could trigger sudden
changes in market sentiment, making it essential for investors to remain
vigilant in their trading strategies.
VIX is dying and the markets are flying!TVC:VIX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
Do you see now!👀
Yesterday I posted about the TVC:VIX making a bear flag pattern and showed you what's happened the last two times!
The VIX is dying and the markets are flying! The TVC:VIX has a lot more room to the downside as well.
You know what that means! 🚀
VIX Monday Trading Plan: Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets!
### **Chart Key Levels:**
1. **Support Levels**:
- **Yellow Line (Entry Point)**: Around **18.35**.
- This serves as a potential entry zone based on the current consolidation and trendline support.
2. **Stop Loss (SL)**:
- **15.11** (White Support Line): This level represents a key support zone. If breached, it indicates a further decline in volatility, invalidating the setup.
3. **Targets (T1 & T2)**:
- **Target 1 (T1)**: **22.01** (Red Line) – A key resistance level and first profit-taking zone.
- **Target 2 (T2)**: **26.54** (Green Line) – The next resistance zone for a larger move, aligning with recent high levels.
### **Entry Setup**:
- Enter the trade near **18.35**, as this zone aligns with horizontal and trendline support.
- Look for confirmation like a bounce or bullish momentum before entering.
### **Trade Risk and Reward**:
- **Stop Loss**: Tight stop loss at **15.11** to minimize risk if the price breaks below support.
- **Reward**:
- T1: Approximately **3.66 points** from entry (around 20% gain).
- T2: Approximately **8.19 points** from entry (around 45% gain).
### **Potential Scenarios**:
1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- If the price holds above **18.35** and shows strength, it can move toward **22.01** (T1) and eventually **26.54** (T2).
2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- If the price breaks below **15.11**, the setup fails, and further downside is expected.
This plan is based on the current technical analysis and key levels observed on the chart. Monitor price action closely at entry and adjust stop loss and targets based on Monday's market momentum. Let me know if you'd like additional clarification or adjustments!
Conclusion:
By entering near 18.35 with a strict stop loss at 15.11, this setup provides a favorable risk-reward ratio targeting 22.01 and 26.54, aligning with key support and resistance levels.
the US stock market will get nuked tomorrow or mondayHere's a TVC:VIX analysis. Check SP:SPX 15m, just see the momentum. Feel it. Apparently it's the sharpest plummet of the past months. the US stock market and CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the crypto market, TVC:GOLD , as well, will get down for 20 or 30% in the coming weeks or a month. TVC:DXY and the US dollar FX_IDC:USDEUR would be get high since the dollars from the sold assets fload into the liquidity space. After that, for months I guess, FX:USDJPY get lower and EUR, JPY wins for some years.
Save Millions by Monitoring Your Portfolio with the VIXGreetings Everyone,
Let’s face it: trading is hard.
You’ve done your research—checked and triple-checked everything. The fundamentals of the company? Solid. The option chain? Looks great. The volume? Perfect. You’ve been patient, waiting for that perfect breakout, confirming the validity of the support level on the retest. Confidently, you hit “buy,” and for a moment, you breathe a sigh of relief.
This trade will work out… right?
But just a few days later, horror sets in. One single wick—just one—obliterates your positions. Thousands of dollars gone. Your carefully constructed trades set ablaze by volatility you didn’t see coming.
Enter the Volatility Index (VIX)
The VIX, often called the “Fear Index,” is a real-time pulse of the broader market, derived from the S&P 500 options market.
Unlike your standard indicators, the VIX offers insights into market volatility and trader sentiment. It tends to move inversely to the market—when fear is high, the VIX spikes, and when confidence reigns, the VIX calms down, often reverting to its historical average (a concept known as mean reversion).
What Makes the VIX So Powerful?
1. A Market Barometer
The VIX is like a weather forecast for traders. Here’s what the levels mean:
• VIX Below 20: Markets are stable, with low volatility expected. Ideal conditions for trend-following strategies.
• VIX Above 30: High volatility is brewing. Risk-on positions could be in jeopardy, and hedging becomes critical.
2. Real-Time Sentiment
The VIX is calculated minute-by-minute from SPX options, capturing real-time expectations of market volatility over the next 30 days. This means you don’t just rely on hindsight—you get a forward-looking view.
How to Use the VIX in Your Trading Strategy
1. Portfolio Risk Management
Use the VIX as an early warning system. Spikes in the VIX can signal when to reduce your exposure to equities or risky positions. For example:
• High VIX (>30): Consider hedging with options, selling high-beta stocks, or adding defensive assets.
• Low VIX (<20): A good environment for taking calculated risks or riding existing trends.
2. Timing Your Trades
• Mean Reversion Opportunities: If the VIX spikes to extremes, it often reverts to its average (~20). This can signal an opportunity to go long on stocks after the panic subsides.
• Avoid Complacency: When the VIX is at historic lows, the market may be overly complacent. Watch for potential pullbacks or corrections.
Why Does This Matter?
Because volatility can destroy your portfolio if you’re not prepared. The VIX allows you to anticipate market conditions, adjust your risk exposure, and stay one step ahead of the next move.
It’s not just about finding the perfect trade setup—it’s about understanding the environment in which you’re trading. The VIX gives you that critical context, turning the market from a chaotic gamble into a manageable system.
My Strategy:
As of late, I have been taking a trend trading approach to monitoring the VIX (fear index)
Is the price ranging or Is it trending?
If it’s trending I ask myself what direction is it trending in —- is it a bullish trend or a bearish trend? From there I can monitor closely daily or every couple days to see how it’s developing.
This indicator helps 1. Reduce Trading Anxiety 2. Helps me deleverage sometimes just at the nick of time 3. Keeps me objective.
Final Thoughts
The next time you are making a decision about a trade, realize that your ticker does not exist in a vacuum.
Thanks for checking out my post please leave a like!
Thanks,
CL
VIX inverse related to BTCUSD - with reference to my last postIn my last post I showed the inverse relationship of BTCUSD to the VIX. Looking on the current price trend of BTC and relate VIX/BTCUSD, we want "to make a shoe out of it".
I related therefore the VIX to BTCUSD instead of BTCUSD to the VIX to put following question accross:
- Given the fact that BTCUSD and VIX are inversely related - how deep do you think the VIX can fall from its present level? (focus as well on the rythmic cycle sequences of the VIX).
- Can it go down below 12? Then of course BTC can go up to 120.000 US$ or higher!
- What will it take for BTC to go to projected levels like 200.000 US$ or more of some optimistic fellows? VIX to high levels above 35 (and for BTCUSD to drop to say 85.000 US$) and then to rise sharply while VIX is coming down.
Play with this kind of thoughts - it will help you to see light in the present jungle of wild BTC projections. Have fun.....
Countdown to Mega Volatility?#vix #volatilityindex has been declined 2 times after 5th August top. The last declination was at US elections day. Now, it' s clearly seen that TVC:VIX has broke out the trendline resistance for 4 months!. With retest or without retest if this #vixindex is not a fake out, then a great volatility is expected in nearly all markets in short / mid term. A pump in index will surely damage nearly all markets. Avoiding high risky positions is recommended.
