BTCUSDAn idea for long on BTCUSD, Liquidity grab, waiting for structure shift and a choch on lower TF to take an entry.
US30 trade ideas
Santa abandons the Dow 30Buyers in the Dow Jones are likely frustrated given the recent gains in other stock indices, and as sellers are aggressively challenging the bullish uptrend, with the index nearly erasing all gains of its 5% rally off the November 19 low. As the price approaches a prior consolidation zone between 43,319 and 43,557, a reaction is likely, potentially forming a bottom and pushing higher as the December Santa rally begins. We maintain a bullish bias above 43,111, the November 20 low.
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US30 Possible Bullish ideaUS30 has been on a straight sell for the past 9days and finally is approaching a strong area of Resistance turned support and an ascending trendline on the higher TF. Seeing it has two ascending trendlines we will objectively look at it. If market respects the ascending trendline and the area of support turned resistance, we will execute a buy but if it breaks that level, we will continue a sell to the second trendline and area of resistance turned support.
Remember, objectivity is the rule of the game. The market lads, we follow.
US30 Completed a Stop Loss Hunt twice overnight to fall againUS30 completed two market sweeps to gain liquidity which is a good indication that price is most likely closer to its reversal point.
Market makers swept stop losses and buy stop orders at 43700 and 43800 last night only to push price lower. As I mentioned over the last week. Price is likely to go all the way to 43300 at which it will likely begin to reverse.
Before it reverses, expect there to be a time of consolidation. Wait for the breakout and retest before deciding to take along trade.
While in consolidation look for the range low and range high to set your intraday trades for smaller profits.
The Mystery Of The Dow Index..Here is an interesting trend trade swing opportunity. I already have my index quota filled although as US index long is not the worst of ideas. The trend trade in question is the Dow Jones (US30) which is technically setting up and awaiting a daily buy signal/bar.
Here is the interesting aspect. Why on earth is the DJI dropping for over a week back to averages while the SPY/SPX remains near ATHs? This divergence is creating the DJI trend trade but the fundamentals behind it need to be understood.
Both indices should be behaving similarly as they have for quite a while now but the recent divergence has to be due to a combination of risk factors which are just now aligning that way. Sector composition is different, right? S&P is heavy tech and growth while DJI is traditional large caps. But they should react the same way to the sentiment environment and FED cut expectations so what gives?
Maybe it is just tech. Tech is booming again with AI so it stands to reason that the S&P would hold an edge. Still, the environment is the same for traditional stocks and even if there should be a difference in gains, there surely shouldn't be a 100% divergence?
Maybe it is investor sentiment? Markets are all in on AI while traditional stocks are seeing pre holiday profit taking? Could be. Is the December H2 Santa rally around the corner and the DJI dip buy is in play? That's a lot of speculation for such a divergence.
Then we come to macro and this is where I think things begin to look different. Inflation has been coming in hot. But so has some other macro, macro that favours growth - and the FED cuts do to - so the S&P strength is probably warranted. The DJI is not so much about growth and probably more sensitive to inflationary pressures. I think that the inflation prints coming in hot may have been brushed off by the S&P and broader market, including the FED... but not by interest rate sensitive sectors of the DJI.
US30 SWING TRADE IDEA, FOR 16TH, DEC 2024.The Dow Jones Industrial (US30) is technically on an overall uptrend but currently recovering from a short-term downtrend retracement, with possible chances for an entry if an opportunity presents itself.
NB: All ideas are personal and probable Analysis for educational purposes, no accountability will be held if any loss is incurred. trade carefully and responsibly because the markets are risky walk wisely.
US30Market still in the bearish trend, if any reversal pattern occur at the support zone will go long with the main direction..
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Thank you!!!!!
US30/DOW - LONG OPPORTUNITYTeam, the DOW is about to breakout, good entry
PREPARE TO ENTER LONG US30/DOW at 43610-15
STOP LOSS AT 45555
TARGET 1 AT 43667-75 - take partial and bring stop loss to BE
TARGET 2 AT 43736-52
TARGET 3 AT 43825
US30 /Bearish Momentum and Key Levels Ahead of FED Rate DecisionTechnical Analysis
The price has dropped about 700 points, as we mentioned previously, and remains under bearish momentum after breaking the bearish correction and trading below 43760.
As long as the price trades below 43760 and 43900, it is likely to drop further to touch 43350. However, it is also possible for the price to retest 43760 before continuing to drop.
On the other hand, the FED Rate Decision tomorrow will impact the indices. A rate decrease of 25 bps is expected, which could influence the bullish momentum depending on the market's reaction to the rate change.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43580
Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070
Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Momentum
Previous idea:
4-hr US30: Can We See a 2000 points Christmas Rally Following the US elections, the Dow Jones surged by an impressive 3300 points in a massive bull rally, generating significant returns. However, a correction is underway as early buyers begin to take profits. We anticipate the US30 could dip another 250 points to retest the critical 50% Fibonacci level. This expectation is supported by the emergence of a Death Cross, a classic bearish signal, indicating strong downward momentum.
If the 43,300 zone holds as support, there’s potential for a 2000-point Christmas rally. Buyers looking to capitalize on the broader uptrend might need to exercise patience, waiting for lower entry points to achieve a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This pullback could present an opportunity for strategic positioning in anticipation of the next rally.
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 43,318.65
1st Support: 42,643.34
1st Resistance: 44,526.39
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Bullish Potential for DJIA Towards 45,700 Amid Support BreakdownKey Observations
Fibonacci Extension:
• Fibonacci Extension is used to calculate potential price targets after a pullback.
• Fibonacci Extension Levels:
o 0%: 43,507.08 (beginning of the rise).
o 100%: 45,762.55 (full price target).
o The 45,762.55 level, as the 100% Fibonacci Extension target, serves as a potential take profit area if the price successfully rebounds from support and breaks through previous resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Main Support:
• 43,507.08: Key support near the trendline.
• 43,329.65: First horizontal support level.
• 42,738.60: Second support if breakdown occurs.
• 41,697.23: Last support that maintains the long-term bullish trend.
Main Resistance:
• 44,040.00: Initial resistance area.
• 44,369.69: Second resistance level.
• 44,902.61: Strong resistance (Fibonacci Extension 61.8%).
• 45,762.55: Fibonacci Extension 100% as the main target.
________________________________________
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
• If the price rebounds from the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65, there is potential for a move towards 44,369.69 and 44,902.61.
• A breakout above 44,902.61 will push the price towards 45,762.55 (100% Fibonacci Extension target).
Bearish Scenario:
• If the price falls below 43,329.65, the next critical support areas will be 42,738.60 and 41,697.23.
SMA 50:
• The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 43,509.70 still serves as dynamic support near the current price.
________________________________________
Conclusion
• The 100% Fibonacci Extension at 45,762.55 is the main bullish target if the price can rebound from support at 43,507.08 and break through the resistance at 44,902.61.
• The support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65 remains a crucial level to maintain the bullish momentum.
________________________________________
Bullish Strategy
Entry:
• Buy in the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65.
Target:
• Target 1: 44,369.69
• Target 2: 44,902.61
• Target 3: 45,700 (Fibonacci 100%).
Stop Loss:
• Below 42,738.60 to limit risk.
________________________________________
Bearish Strategy (If Breakdown Support)
Trigger Entry:
• If the price drops below 43,329.65 (horizontal support) and fails to rebound.
Target Profit:
• Target 1: 42,738.60 (next support).
• Target 2: 41,697.23 (strong last support).
Stop Loss:
• Place the stop loss above 43,507.08, the former support now turned resistance after the breakdown.
• This ensures that risk is controlled if the breakdown fails and the price reverses.
________________________________________
Important Notes
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 to maintain a profitable long-term strategy.
• Confirmation: Look for a bearish candlestick pattern or high volume during the breakdown to validate the signal.
US30 Short_ Buy Hello Traders and investor
US30 can Buy to 45,000.00
It's support will be 42,9000.00
Current price 43,000,00
It's 1st target will be 44,000,00 I have placed the remaining targets in detail in the chart
US30 Still Bearish and will likely fall to 43300US30 failed to stay above the 43800 support Line causing price to be stalled between 43800 resistance area and 43500 support area. This is a very week support area and price will likely gravitate to the 43500 line by tomorrow so an intraday short is an idea to consider. Price is nicely falling within the trend channel and shows no immediate or on coming sign of recovering.
Short- Look to take a short to 43500 TP1 or 43300 TP2
Good Trading.
US30 in consolidation patter but will likely fall someUS30 is showing resilliance at support level 43700 with the entire day hovering on or around that support line. Price is currently within the trend line channel and and therefore would have to consolidate above that support area in order to maintain its levels. If price within the next 8 hours does not recover above the current support line it will likely fall some more. The next support level is at 43500. Look to short the US30 from a retest of the current support line to at least 43500. Make sure to set your TPs properly because it will be a fast fall to a rebound when it does.
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US30We can attempt to buy US30 from specified level as it make HL , also 0.618 FIB level intact indicate that it moves upward.
SL , TP mention in chart.
US 30 Double bottomUS 30 has made a double bottom. A long position can be considered on the breakout.
US30 Potential ShortKey Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The chart shows a retracement of the prior downward move, and the price is currently reacting near the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 43,828.18.
The retracement failed to break through the 50% level (44,062.83), indicating weak bullish momentum and reinforcing the overall bearish bias.
Further rejection below the 0.382 level could signal continuation to the 0.236 level (43,533.57).
Price Action & Support/Resistance:
Price is consolidating just above 43,770 and appears to be testing the lower levels. A breakdown from this support could send price to test 43,537.19, which is aligned with previous structure and the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
If price breaks 43,828 and finds support, a pushback toward 44,062 (50% retracement) could occur.
Bollinger Bands:
Price is currently trading near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting potential short-term oversold conditions.
However, Bollinger Bands are widening, signaling increased volatility and a continuation of the current trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is hovering below 40, indicating bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
Any further decline below 30 would suggest strong bearish continuation.
A minor divergence may form if price creates lower lows but RSI fails to follow, which could hint at a reversal.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD histogram remains below the zero line, confirming bearish momentum.
The signal line is trending downward, but a smaller histogram bar suggests bearish momentum might be slowing.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
43,770 (Current support area).
43,533.57 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement, next major support).
Resistance Levels:
43,828.18 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement, immediate resistance).
44,062.83 (50% Fibonacci retracement, critical short-term resistance).
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias):
If price breaks below 43,770 with strong momentum, the next target would be the 0.236 level at 43,533.57.
Indicators like the MACD and RSI support bearish continuation unless a divergence forms.
Relief Bounce (Secondary Scenario):
A bounce from 43,770 or the 0.382 Fibonacci level could see price retracing back to 44,062.83.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation like RSI climbing above 40 and MACD showing convergence.
Recommendation:
Short Sellers: Monitor for a breakdown below 43,770 and target 43,533.57. Use stop-loss around 43,900 to limit risk.
Long Traders: Wait for a bullish confirmation (RSI divergence, MACD crossover, or a strong bullish candle) near support levels.
This setup favors a bearish continuation with the potential for short-term relief bounces.
Managing risk and waiting for confirmation signals is key and do not risk more than 1% of your account!
Us30Trading off the golden zone of 50% fib level , targeting buy side liquidity as first target which is the last recent high . We will monitor and see how it goes
Us30Trading off the golden zone of 50% fib level , targeting buy side liquidity as first target which is the last recent high . We will monitor and see how it goes
US30 Currently in consolidation. Bullish or Bearish Next? US30 has been consolidating since last night with no indication if it wants to go up or down. Price is currently sitting around the trend line and may break the trend line indicating it wants to rise but be mindful of the market makers and their desire to liquidate your funds. Wait for a clear entry point for a bullish move above the support at 44,000 or a clears short entry at 43777. Wait for a retest. If you take a trade now you me be in a consolidation mode for some time. Be patient and wait for a retest of the two zones mentioned.
Comment and let me know your thoughts.
