Get to the copper! 🐻🚁The industrial metals market often goes unnoticed by many traders, although some excellent trading opportunities are often to be found here. And with that, we say, "Get to the copper!" For things should get moving here quite soon. The completion of wave (ii) in magenta should be imminent here, the copper price should therefore initiate a bearish trend reversal in our target zone (highlighted in blue) and then indulge in extended sell-offs. Thus, depositing short positions between $3.89 and 3.96 should present an excellent opportunity to profit from the lift-off of the bearish chopper - which is, of course, headed south. We anticipate a significant sell-off before wave (iii) in magenta will at some later point be completed, at which point the bulls are expected to report back.
CE1! trade ideas
Looking for down on COPPER FridayI'm looking for copper to retract at least part of Thursday's upmove for the following reasons:
1. DXY (Dollar Index) delivered an inefficiency yesterday and looks to be turning higher to go redeliver some 1hr - 4hr inefficiencies higher.
2. Copper delivered a weekly inefficiency yesterday and traded above previous day's high in the Asian session, which is a liquidity signature.
3. Now, Copper just broke the low that took us to the high above PDH, so I'm looking for a downmove on copper.
ICT
copper longBuy: 4.730 or lower
Stop: 4.550
Notes: maybe copper will catch up to other metals
The model:
The Ingenuity Trading Model is a Geometric Markov Model with specific inputs related to Price, Time, Volume , and Volatility. The model attempts to predict local minimums and maximums in price on a daily and weekly basis. A fancy way of saying a trading system that detects specific patterns in price, time, volume, and volatility and indicates whether to buy or sell.
On winning trades after 1 day take at least ⅓ of the position off and move stop to breakeven
Copper (HG) Low Likely in Place with 5 Waves RallyShort Term Elliott Wave in Copper (HG) suggests the metal ended wave ((2)) pullback at 3.54. The metal has turned higher in wave ((3)). Rally from wave ((2)) low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((2)), wave (i) ended at 3.618 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 3.578. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 3.694 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 3.667. Copper then extends higher again in wave (v) towards 3.711 which completes wave ((i)).
The metal then corrected in wave ((ii)) towards 3.622 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 3.627, wave (b) ended at 3.694, and wave (c) lower ended at 3.622. This completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. The metal then extends higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 3.656 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 3.624. The metal rallies higher in wave (iii) towards 3.7315 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 3.676. The metal extends higher again in wave (v) towards 3.789 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 3.686. Wave ((v)) higher unfolded as a diagonal and ended at 3.833. This completed wave 1 in higher degree. Wave 2 pullback is in progress now as a zigzag structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 3.735. While rally in wave ((b)) fails below 3.833, expect the metal to turn lower in wave ((c)) to complete wave 2. As far as pivot at 3.54 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
COPPER FUTURES Chart Fibonacci Analysis 060523 Trading idea - Entry point > 3.64/61.80%
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 3.64/61.80%
Chart time frame : C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
HG1! One word - CLEAN!COMEX:HG1! One word - CLEAN!
What a beautiful chart for copper! Technically it's ever so clean, when it comes to set ups like this - Be careful of fake breaks.
Pattern - Triangle/Pennant
Highs: 4.2100
Lows: 3.8255
A break of highs I expect: 4.3550 & 4.5570. However, a break of the lows I expect: 3.6740 & 3.5040 and perhaps lower!
Currently, as long as we within this channel and within these ranges... until break either side!
Have a great week ahead & it's a long weekend for some of us!
🔆 Trade Journal 🔆
Copper: Like a Lead Weight ⚖️No worries – we didn’t confuse our metals! However, like a lead weight, copper should continue to sink further, heading for the green zone between $3.08 and $2.59 in the south. Already the price has broken free from the recent sidewards movement and has developed a new low, showing more and more downwards momentum. Once copper has arrived in the green zone, it should complete wave 2 in green, marking a distinctive low, which should then introduce a strong upwards movement.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 22/05Major indexes in the US were weaker as Debt ceiling concern weighs on bulls. European markets ended the week in the green while Asian markets were mixed. Traders will be closely watching news for some sort of agreement on the US debt ceiling once Congress finishes playing politics. For now, I expect a tentative Asian market open and for major risk to remain on the sidelines.
Expecting tentative open on Asian markets with the ASX200 and Hang Seng expected to open flat while the Nikkei to open slightly lower.
Debt ceiling talks and coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I expect that the debt ceiling will be raised once again as if they do not, volatility will spike hard and investors will drive Indexes lower.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Will Copper find sellers at previous support?XCUUSD - 24he expiry - We look to Sell at 3.828 (stop at 3.868)
Our bespoke support of 3.820 has been clearly broken.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Previous support, now becomes resistance at 3.820.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look for a temporary move higher. A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 3.728 and 3.708
Resistance: 3.744 / 3.770 / 3.820
Support: 3.700 / 3.671 / 3.640
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Wyckoff Accumulation Patterns - Copper LongRecognized accumulation pattern
A - decreasing volume on lows
B - decreasing volume on lows
The lows in pattern B did not break the lows from A. This indicates that the market is strong and well controlled by large operators. In the lows of pattern B, the last one on the lowest volume forms a very large, bullish engulfing candle.
C - the largest buying wave not only in the entire accumulation pattern but also the largest since the beginning of the decline - showing strength, breaking out of the range on very high volume.
The recent 4h candles on the chart are testing the breakout.
It seems that the pattern is set up for an upward move.
I'm providing two targets...
Indicators used: Wyckoff Wave Chart
What do you think about this chart?
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VolumeDayTrader
COPPER: 4month Support on the 1D MA200. Bullish.Copper is trading inside a Channel Down pattern that is approaching the bottom of a Rising Megaphone pattern. The price is almost neutral (RSI = 44.491, MACD = -0.036, ADX = 22.406), stuck between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200.
As the RSI is on the S1 Zone as well, the conditions for a longterm buy are pilling up. First we target the Channel Down top (TP = 4.1000) and if we get a daily closing over it, continue buying to R1 (TP = 4.3500).
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Copper: lifting its head (again)?A price action above 3.85 supports a bullish trend direction.
Further bullish trend confirmation for a break above 4.05.
The target price is set at 4.15.
The stop-loss price is set at 3.80 (200-day simple moving average).
Fading downside price momentum supports the bullish trend.
Also retracting from the lower range of the Bollinger bands.