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GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATE FUTURESGG

GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATE FUTURES

1.3531USDD
−0.0056−0.41%
At close at Jun 13, 19:43 GMT
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GBP/USD Turns Bearish: Analyzing the Key Factors Behind DeclineThe GBP/USD pair has recently turned bearish after reaching a significant Supply area around 1.3228. This level, clearly visible on the weekly chart, has proven to be a formidable resistance, halting the pair's upward momentum and reversing its course. As of today, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3125, marking a notable decline from the previous highs. Weekly Chart Economic Calendar and Market Sentiment Today’s economic calendar highlights the USD ISM Manufacturing PMI, a critical indicator of economic health in the United States. As a leading indicator, the PMI reflects the purchasing managers' outlook, which can offer valuable insights into the overall economic sentiment. Businesses tend to react swiftly to market changes, making this data particularly relevant for understanding the current economic landscape. In contrast, the UK's economic calendar is sparse this week, offering little to support the GBP. The lack of high-impact economic data leaves GBP traders focusing on external factors, particularly from the US. The US economic calendar, however, is packed with significant data releases, including the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures spread throughout the week. However, the spotlight remains on US labor data, with key prints scheduled for Thursday and Friday. Thursday’s US ADP Employment Change will be the first major data release, serving as a precursor to Friday’s highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This week's labor market updates are crucial as they represent the last significant data points before the Federal Reserve's rate decision on September 18th. Before these critical releases, the market will also be watching the US JOLTS job openings, scheduled for Wednesday. The JOLTS data is expected to remain steady near 8.1 million for July, closely aligning with the previous month’s figure of 8.184 million. Technical and Sentiment Analysis: Indicators of Further Decline From a technical perspective, the recent rejection from the 1.3228 Supply area signals a potential continuation of the bearish trend. In addition to this, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting dynamic. Retail traders are currently extremely bullish on GBP, which often serves as a contrarian indicator, suggesting that a reversal might be on the horizon. Seasonal trends also support the bearish outlook for GBP. Historically, this period tends to favor a continuation of the downtrend, aligning with the current market sentiment and technical indicators. Conclusion: A Confluence of Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook The confluence of technical resistance at the Supply area, bearish seasonal trends, and contrarian sentiment indicators all point towards a continuation of the GBP/USD decline. As the market awaits critical economic data from the US, traders should remain cautious of further downside risks. The alignment of these factors underpins our bearish outlook on GBP/USD, reinforcing the idea that the pair may continue to trade lower in the near term. OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CShort
by FOREXN1
1
Game-changing analysis technique that will elevate your strategyAs many of my loyal followers know, my analysis toolkit goes beyond just the standard fare of CME options data and COT reports. I dive deeper, utilizing additional filters like the average long and short positions of retail traders. These insights are publicly available, and while I won’t name specific sources to avoid any hint of hidden promotion, I’ll give you a clue: look for a website with the word "book" in its title. 📚 For years, I’ve relied on this data, and it has proven to be both reliable and insightful. The average positions of market participants serve as both filters and indicators. But what do I mean by indicators? Let’s break it down. When the price interacts with these levels, it reveals the market sentiment. For instance, if the price is below the average long position and breaks through easily, it’s a bullish sentiment. Conversely, if it hovers below the level and struggles to break through, that’s still bullish, as it indicates buyers are being drawn into profitable territory. Now, let’s flip the script for the bears: if the price breaks down from above or struggles below the average short position, that’s a bearish sentiment. The price isn’t responding to sellers, dragging them into a profit land. There’s more. Often, you’ll notice different behaviors near these key levels, allowing you to enter positions with an incredible risk/reward ratio of 3:1, 5:1, or even better! This clarity gives you insight into the current market mood—who’s being punished and who’s favored at that moment. Now, let’s take a look at the screenshot of the British Pound futures chart. Here’s what you’ll see: - A green line representing the average long position of retail traders. - A red line for the average short position. - The breakeven point of a put option contract for the June futures expiring on May 22, with 1,320 contracts at a strike of 1.295. Take a moment to study the chart. What do you observe? 🤓 Ok, breathe in, breathe out. Tomorrow, we’ll dive deeper into this analysis. Don’t forget to subscribe so you won’t miss the continuation of this story! The insights I’ll share are definitely worth your time, as I aim to shift your perspective on the market by demonstrating a clear methodology without relying on indicators or technical patterns. Stay tuned; it’s going to be incredibly valuable! 🚀✨
CEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
The next trade idea for “6B” GBPUSD FX FuturesCME:6B1! This trade idea is built on very simple premises. Simplicity in trading is what we all strive for. Where possible, we should aim to simplify our strategies rather than complicate them with excessive information—unless the additional inputs add clear, actionable value to the trade thesis. While that holds true in this analysis, for the sake of clarity and simplicity, we’ve chosen not to include volume profile study or levels derived from volume profiling. Also, don’t forget to check out how our example trade idea in Crude Oil played out —posted earlier this Tuesday. 6B Weekly Time frame: Key Levels Weekly Resistance: 1.3400 – 1.3425 Daily Double Top: 1.3425 April 21 Mid: 1.3350 April 2025 Developing Mid: 1.3067 Scenario 1: Break and Continuation In this scenario, we anticipate further upside in 6B futures and GBPUSD. A break above the double top at 1.3425 could lead to a push toward 1.3550. Look for confirmation across other FX futures and signs of Dollar weakening to support this thesis. Example Trade Idea 1: Entry: 1.3425 (wait for an hourly candle to close above the double top, then enter on the pullback) Stop: 1.3350 Target: 1.3550 Risk: 75 ticks Reward: 125 ticks Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.7 R Scenario 2: Swing Failure on Weekly Timeframe Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, 1.3425 aligns with a potential swing failure at prior resistance near 1.3423. A pullback from this level could provide a short opportunity. Watch for Dollar strength and pullbacks in 6E and 6J to further support this thesis. Example Trade Idea 2: Entry: 1.3350 (wait for sellers to regain control at Monday’s mid) Stop: 1.3425 Target: 1.3067 Risk: 75 ticks Reward: 283 ticks Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.7 R Important Notes: These are example trade ideas provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered trade recommendations. Traders are encouraged to perform their own independent analysis and thorough preparation before entering any positions. Please note: Stop losses are not guaranteed to execute at specified levels. Actual losses may exceed predetermined stop amounts.
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by EdgeClear
GBPUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: Wait for BUYS!In this video, we will analyze GBPUSD and GBP Futures for the week of March 31 - April 4th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The GBP has been a bit stronger than its counterparts, and currently in consolidation. I am waiting for a high probability setup, which would entail as sweep of SSL and a tap of the Weekly +FVG before moving higher. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CLong
by RT_Money
GBP/USD (Futures Contract) – Weekly Elliott Wave AnalysisChatGPT ha detto: GBP/USD (Futures Contract) – Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis GBP/USD found support around the 1.2097 level, initiating a rally that is currently facing resistance near 1.2900. Based on Elliott Wave structure, this resistance zone is expected to trigger another corrective decline, potentially driving prices toward the 1.1923 - 1.1566 area before the next impulsive bullish leg develops. The primary count suggests that this decline would complete a corrective structure before resuming the larger-degree uptrend. However, a break above 1.3420 would invalidate this scenario and favor an alternative wave count, indicating that the impulsive bullish movement is already in progress. Key levels to monitor: 📉 Bearish Target Zone: 1.1923 - 1.1566 📈 Bullish Confirmation Level: 1.3420 Traders should watch for price action signals around these zones to confirm whether the anticipated corrective move plays out or if the alternative bullish scenario takes precedence.
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by COLOMBINI-TRADING
GBPUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14th In this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The GBP has been a bit stronger than its counterparts, and has shown bullish intent in recent days. Friday's candle was very strong, and price is likely to see higher prices over the next week. A correction to Friday's candle is likely, followed by longer term bullishness. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CLong
by RT_Money
GBP Economic Outlook -BEARISH SENTIMENTUnited Kingdom Economic Analysis – February 2025 The UK economy is showing clear signs of weakness, with growth stagnating, inflation remaining stubborn, and business and consumer confidence deteriorating. GDP growth was flat at 0.0% in Q3 2024, down from 0.4% previously, confirming a lack of recovery momentum. Although annual GDP growth improved slightly to 0.9%, it remains dangerously close to recession territory. The labor market is also struggling, as unemployment rose to 4.4%, signaling that Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts have failed to stimulate job creation. Inflation, meanwhile, remains a problem at 2.5% YoY, with a worrying monthly uptick of 0.3%, suggesting price pressures are still present. Projections indicate inflation could reach 3.7% by Q3 2025, raising fears of stagflation—where inflation rises while growth remains weak. The UK’s external position remains a major concern, with a trade deficit of £4.76B and a current account deficit of -£18.1B (-3.3% of GDP), making the economy highly dependent on foreign capital. Government debt has climbed to 97.6% of GDP, leaving little room for fiscal stimulus, while persistent budget deficits (-4.4% of GDP) suggest potential austerity ahead. Business sentiment has collapsed to -47, the worst since the COVID-era, while both manufacturing (PMI: 48.3) and services (PMI: 50.8) show little to no growth. Consumer confidence has also fallen sharply to -22, leading to weaker retail sales, which declined by 0.3% in December. High corporate (25%) and personal (45%) tax rates continue to discourage investment and limit disposable income, further weighing on domestic demand. Conclusion The UK economy is facing a tough road ahead, with no clear signs of recovery. Growth is stagnant, inflation remains a problem, and both businesses and consumers are losing confidence. With government debt near 100% of GDP and no fiscal space for stimulus, the burden falls on the BoE, which has already started cutting rates. However, these cuts have not yet helped the economy, and with inflation expected to rise, the central bank may find itself trapped. Given the weak fundamentals, the outlook for the British pound remains bearish in the near term.
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by jshafx
Cable analysis based on seasonal dataWhen looking at this chart, I ask 3 questions: 1). Bias = What trend are we currently in? - Downtrend, P2 2). Are we following a seasonal pattern? - Yes, 20 years pattern 3). What does this mean? - Seasonals show us a move to the upside, but we are in a downtrend so this is a P2 - Seasonally we expect a market high around 31/01 before a move lower, this could be around the monthly pivot point as previously highlighted for other P1's
CShort
by jordzz2007
1
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD is Bearish. Look For SELL Setups!This forecast if for the week of Dec. 16 - 20th. GBPUSD is bearish, and a bit weaker than the EURUSD. Will this weakness continue into next week? WIth a strong USD, the answer is yes! Wait for sells and look to target the sell sid liquidity. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CShort
by RT_Money
Why GBP Is the Alpha Wolf: Decoding the Market's Next Big MoveThe COT strategy has revealed potent setups once again. The codes are unlocking the market’s next likely moves. What you’re about to read is no ordinary analysis—this is how the game is truly played. This week, GBP and CHF stand out. EUR and NZD also look promising. So, why focus on GBP & CHF? The answer is strength. While EUR & NZD took out their April lows, GBP & CHF did not. The strong remain strong. Align yourself with the wolf leading the pack. Consider GBP. It’s more than just a setup—it's a symphony of signals: Code #1: COT Indexes Commercials: 100% Bullish Small Specs: 100% Bearish The crowd is fading into weakness. The pros are betting on strength. Code #2: Small Spec Positioning The masses are nearly maxed out on shorts. History tells us their extreme is our opportunity. We fade the crowd. Code #3: Valuation Using the WillVal tool: GBP is undervalued relative to Gold, Treasuries, and USD. This is a fundamental misalignment—the market is screaming 'buy.' The code agrees. Code #4: True Seasonal Seasonal trends align. GBP’s true path is bullish up to Jan/Feb. Time and trend converge. The final pieces of the puzzle: Accumulation: Insider activity shows heavy buying pressure. Weekly %R: Sitting in the buy zone. Rate of Change (ROC): Near the bottoming zone. Strength is brewing. So why GBP over the others? Comparative Strength. GBP & CHF resisted weakness while EUR & NZD faltered. The strong wolf will not be dragged down by the weak. This isn’t a trade—it’s a strategy rooted in probabilities, not guesswork. Triggers have fired. I’m already long. But remember: this isn’t an invitation to blindly enter. Fundamentals identify the opportunity, technicals time the precision strike. Discipline is the edge. The question is simple: What will you do with this information? Will you continue wandering the Matrix, chasing shadows in the market? Or will you learn to see the code that governs it all? The choice is yours. I can show you how deep this rabbit hole goes. DM me if you’re ready to truly learn how to trade commodity futures like a pro. There’s no turning back once you see the truth.
CLong
by Tradius_Trades
GBPUSD | "Cable" Weekly Forex Forecast: Bearish! Sell The -FVG!GBPUSD is weak, and has currently retraced into a Daily Imbalance, overlapped by a Weekly Imbalance. It is from this point of Internal Range Liquidity that I expect price to seek the next External Range Liquidity, down at the low, @1.2487. This will be the draw on liquidity for the upcoming week, imo. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CShort
by RT_Money
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD Is Indicating Strength! GBPUSD had a strong close to last week. This led to a bullish BOS on the Daily TF, in the Weekly -FVG. I expect there to be a short term reaction to the imbalance, and then a resumption of the bullish momentum at the bullish FVG on the Daily TF. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CLong
by RT_Money
WHAT'S FLOWING: CRYPTO / COMMODITIES / FX / EQUITIES In today's episode of What's Flowing, we navigated key market trends across multiple asset classes with a deep dive into the following insights: Crypto Bulls: UNIUSD and ZENUSD showed strong upward momentum, signaling bullish opportunities with favorable accumulation zones. Commodity Spotlight: Brent oil exhibited continued strength, marking a bullish trend, while metals like M6E22024 and SI2024 displayed bearish tendencies, reinforcing the importance of hedging strategies. Forex Trends: AUDNZD and EURCHF revealed bearish structures, while NZDCAD highlighted a strong bearish sentiment with a trendline breach and declining momentum. Equities and Indices: The IWM, XLU, and RSP sectors demonstrated robust bullish trajectories, reflecting broader market optimism. GER30, however, showed a bearish reversal, suggesting caution in European equities. This episode underscored how our tailored technical analysis tools, coupled with advanced TPO visualizations, help traders identify critical entry and exit points, ensuring precise execution. Stay tuned for more actionable insights as we continue to track evolving market flows!
C
by moneymagnateash