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GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATE FUTURESGG

GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATE FUTURES

1.2931USDD
+0.0046+0.36%
Last update at Apr 2, 15:45 GMT
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GU1! trade ideas

British Pound (GBPUSD) is getting close to 2007 crash!!! CoT index shows Commercials(blue line) are in 3-year extreme low AND Retailers(green line) are in extreme high. Almost every time we are in this situation the asset goes down. The last time was May 2021 you can see what happened afterwards. This is the CoT indicator of commercials net positions. Commercials net position is getting close to 2007 level where the big sell off took place. Here is the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicating that the market typically reaches a peak around August first. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
CShort
by XardasX
8
British Pound Futures 6BV3Disclaimer-Doing this mobile, it really sucks to be honest but here we go. British Pound October 2023 - Short Why V instead of U, concerns about the open interest on the September contracts on the CME. Open interest shirks about one month out, don’t get left holding the bag. For option traders, this does not affect your trade, your preference should be 6BU3 not 6BV3, futures is different. In the last 15 years has a probability of success of 66%. Not the greatest however this 66% is “targets achieved” so as long as it is managed and not “set and forget” you should get some profit out of it. My first target for assessment is at 1.25$ or about there (mobile) that is a .02->.03 draw down and then the king killer target is at 1.21 which is over the last 15yr the high end for profit (.07$) which also lines up with support levels. However just because it lines up doesn’t mean sh*t. Setups could include a calendar spread, back end contract best option would be March imo, or you can hedge the risk on the USD (DX! U3 or V3 on ICE or something)on a long dated or tight (close stops)6BV3 contract. Option dawgs Best case you buy the put and are in it for a short time bc extrinsic value on the option contract will increase so I would not leave it open til the 29th unlike a futures contract. Selling premium here instead is safer however you won’t make as much $ as a bought put. I may wait on the credit side until it recovers in Dec. Whether you’re running the option naked or as a debit spread it should be managed regularly. I cannot post external sites/info however reach out to me and I can provide further documentation. Hope this is readable…… “Where are the kids?” -kewlkat
CShort
by kewlkat
GBP (GBPUSD. 6BM2024, GBP FUTURES)... BULLISH!Bias is Bullish. Came very close to the DOL, and barely missed the FVG. I expect both will be tapped next week. The IFVG, price trading through the swing high, and the +FVG, are multiple confluences that support the idea that price will find support at these levels and continue higher. Expecting price to tap the +FVG before heading higher. Thank you for viewing! Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! May profits be upon you.
CLong
by RT_Money
2
6BV3On the backside of the short we can ape in for the bounce off the bottom, would not recommend futures as the open interest on the contracts will be low, options is how to play this. Safe side is sell the put (don't advise selling naked unless you can manage the trade at all hours) or a credit spread to hedge any risk. This will provide ample time to collect the premium through any volatile price actions. I will be buying the call (naked) this is a much riskier trade and the "WIN HERE" line is meant for me not sellers of the premium. Disclaimer I took the trade out yesterday but still feel there is room to publish the idea. This is why I recommend selling the premium rather than buying the call.
CLong
by kewlkat