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SOLUST trade ideas

#SOL/USDT #SOL The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 187 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 Entry price 203 First target 219 Second target 234 Third target 250
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
SOL (Solana) my notes for long-termThe price is having difficulty making new highs, and the RSI confirms this. $170 is the most important support; if this is lost, the $130-155 range can be tested. Below, $110 and $80 are important supports. Positive scenario; if the price gets continuous support from $170, new ATH attempts may come. (260 - 415 - 510 - 670 dollars) Negative scenario: If $170 is lost, the price will search for the supports I mentioned below for a long time and consolidate between these supports. It could be a sideways market or a downtrend. These are the situations I am currently watching and expecting. This is not investment advice.
by murat355555
Solana’s Turning Point – Bearish Target Hit, But Is the Bull RunNow that we’ve reached our bearish target, I’m not flipping to full-on giga bull mode just yet—the big green level still needs to be taken out before that happens. Here’s my take: I want to see the brown structure play out first. We’ve already seen some minor reaction inside our turning area, but let’s be real—the move so far has been weak and underwhelming. That’s not enough to convince me. My plan? Wait for a defining structure break. A new lower low—marked by the blue arrow—would be the confirmation I’m looking for. Once that happens, we’ll reassess and see what the market has in store next. Watch, wait, win.
Long
by xSamu_TA
Solana-ETF Hopes and Price OutlookVanEck's Matthew Sigel and Patrick Bush recently shared their Solana price prediction on X (formerly known as Twitter). I will copy their text for you here. VanEck Our Solana Price Target by the End of 2025 is $520 We value Solana (SOL) based on its projected year-end market share within the smart contract platform (SCP) market. Our SCP market cap forecast is derived from U.S. M2 money supply growth, given its strong historical correlation with crypto market capitalization. We project M2 to reach $22.3T by the end of 2025, maintaining its 3.2% annualized growth rate since its last trough in October 2023. Using regression analysis, we estimate total SCP market capitalization will grow 43% to $1.1T by year-end 2025 (vs. $770B today), surpassing its 2021 peak of $989B. Historical data shows a strong correlation between M2 and SCP market cap, with a 12-month moving average R² of 0.36 and a t-statistic of 5.7 (p < 0.0001). Currently, Solana holds 15% of SCP market cap, but we forecast its share to rise to 22% by EOY 2025. This projection is supported by Solana’s developer dominance, increasing market share in DEX volumes, revenues, and active users. Using an autoregressive (AR) forecast model, we estimate Solana’s market cap will reach ~$250B, implying a SOL price of $520 based on ~486M floating tokens. The $520 price target is unlikely to be achievable without the approval of a Solana-based spot ETF in the U.S. Therefore, we should assess the likelihood of such approval and when it might occur. ETF Approval Date Currently, there is some misleading information circulating on social media claiming that BlackRock CEO Larry Fink stated that the SEC will approve a spot ETF in the U.S. as early as February 2025. In reality, Larry Fink never made such a statement. The creators of these fake screenshots likely used Photoshop to fabricate them. According to official information, the SEC is expected to make a decision on the Solana-based ETF between October 2 and October 18. Now that the timeline is clear, let's discuss the odds. ETF Approval Odds Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have estimated the likelihood of approval for various cryptocurrency ETFs in 2025. Data from their table indicates that they estimate a 70% chance of a Solana ETF being approved in 2025. We can gauge market expectations using the Polymarket platform. Currently, there are two betting options available. Only 36% of participants are betting that SEC approval will be granted in the first half of 2025. Meanwhile, 84% of participants are betting on SEC approval occurring at some point in 2025. Based on this data, it is more likely that approval will be granted, but only in the second half of 2025. Technical Analysis On the chart, we can clearly see the channel within which the price has been moving for several months. At the moment, the market is bearish in the short term. For this reason, it is highly likely that the price will approach the lower boundary of this channel in the coming months. This roughly corresponds to a price of $170. Buying at $170 or even lower would be an excellent opportunity to open a long position. However, for the trade to be successful, the price needs to remain above the lower boundary of the channel.
Long
by robofi
Comprehensive Technical Analysis of SOLANASolana has emerged as one of the digital currencies that attract traders’ attention due to its high price volatility and advanced technical capabilities. In this article, we will present a technical analysis of the SOLUSDT.P pair, relying on a variety of technical tools and indicators to provide a comprehensive outlook on the potential trends and short-term price movements. 1. Market Overview Solana has experienced both upward and downward movements over the recent period, oscillating between critical support and resistance levels. Its price movement is affected by several factors, including: Price Volatility: Given the nature of the cryptocurrency market, volatility is an inherent part of the price action, requiring close monitoring of key technical levels. Economic Factors and News: In addition to technical analysis, news related to technological developments and institutional endorsements can play a significant role in determining market direction. 2. Support and Resistance Levels Identifying support and resistance levels is a crucial step in understanding market dynamics: Support Levels: Some technical readings indicate the presence of strong support in the lower price area, with potential support levels ranging around $150-$155. Maintaining this level is important for traders, as a break below could lead to deeper corrections. Resistance Levels: On the upside, the asset faces major resistance typically located between $250 to $300. A breakthrough above these levels may signal the continuation of bullish momentum. Conversely, failure to break through may prompt traders to anticipate potential trend reversals. 3. Technical Indicators and Tools A. Moving Averages Moving averages are useful tools for determining the overall price trend: Moving Average Crossovers: The crossover between shorter-term moving averages (such as the EMA25) and longer-term ones (such as the EMA99) signals potential changes in direction. A shorter-term average crossing above a longer-term average is considered positive, while the opposite may indicate weakening momentum. B. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The RSI is used to measure overbought or oversold conditions: RSI Readings: An RSI reading near 70 indicates overbought conditions, while a reading below 30 suggests oversold conditions. Monitoring the RSI helps in assessing the strength of the current momentum. C. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) The MACD analyzes momentum and identifies potential turning points in the market: MACD Crossovers: Crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line are indicators that often precede potential trend reversals, whether bullish or bearish. 4. Chart Patterns and Price Formations The SOLUSDT.P chart exhibits several technical patterns that may reveal market tendencies: Cup and Handle Pattern: In certain time frames, a “cup and handle” pattern can emerge—a classic bullish formation. If this pattern meets all its criteria, it may indicate a continuation of the upward trend following a period of consolidation. Other Reversal Patterns: Patterns such as the “head and shoulders” or descending channels should be monitored, as they can indicate a possible reversal toward a downtrend if momentum weakens. 5. Potential Scenarios Bullish Continuation Scenario: Support and Breakout: If the price maintains its key support levels (around $150-$155) and manages to break through the upper resistance levels (between $250-$300), bullish momentum may resume. Positive Indicators: The appearance of positive moving average crossovers along with neutral to overbought RSI readings can support this bullish scenario. Bearish Reversal Scenario: Break of Support: Should the price break below its primary support level, the market could enter a deeper downtrend. Negative Indicators: The emergence of bearish moving average crossovers and low RSI readings may indicate weakening bullish momentum, increasing the likelihood of a more significant correction. 6. Risk Management and Investor Tips Traders should consider the following points: Use of Stop-Loss Orders: Setting stop-loss levels is crucial for limiting risk, particularly in highly volatile markets. Portfolio Diversification: It is advisable not to rely on a single asset but to diversify investments to mitigate risk. Staying Updated with News: Keeping track of technological developments and economic news is essential, as these factors can directly impact price movements. Conclusion The analysis of SOLUSDT.P shows that the asset is oscillating between critical support and resistance levels, with the potential for continued bullish momentum if resistance is broken, or a reversal toward a downtrend if support is breached. The future direction of the asset depends on several technical and market factors, necessitating close monitoring of daily changes and the use of diverse technical indicators to make informed trading decisions.
Short
by luta_ksa
SOL/USDT 1H: Bullish Bias – Accumulation & Hidden Divergence?SOL/USDT 1H: Analysis Current Market Structure: Price: $200.30, currently in the equilibrium zone. RSI: 50.70 (neutral), but note the hidden bullish divergence when compared to price action. Structure: Bullish bias with higher lows forming, supporting an upward trajectory. Trade Setup: Position: Long Entry Zone: $198 - $200 (after a retest of the current equilibrium zone with a bullish order block formation). Targets: T1: $207.50 T2: $215 Stop Loss: $195 (placed below the recent swing low). Risk Score: 7/10 Rationale: Favorable risk-to-reward ratio, but precision on the retest is key. Smart Money Analysis: Accumulation: Visible in the $190 - 195 zone. Premium Zone: Established at $220, suggesting a target for market makers. Market Maker Behavior: Likely to trigger stops below $195 before propelling the price upward. Volume Profile: Supports the continuation of bullish momentum. Key Recommendation: Action: Wait for a retest of the $198 - $200 zone accompanied by a bullish order block formation before entering a long position. Caution: Avoid shorts given the overall bullish market structure.
Long
by Cryptokijker
SOLUSDT Binance DGeneral 2025 SOL mcap: $97B, sol px = $201 Visa mcap: $674B (6.9x, SOL px = $1,386) Mastercard mcap: $519B (5.3x, sol px = $1,075) AMEX mcap: $222B (2.23x, sol px = $460) Tailwinds - SOL ETF - Firedancer goes live on mainnet - largest number of dev in crypto (?) - largest gainer in 2024 - AI agents moving onto SOL(?) Headwinds - largest gainer in 2024, can it continue(?) - memecoin mania cool down(?) - $trump launch, to sell and buy ETH <<< biggest concern. ======================== PA - awkward looking double top, without a clear neckline. - bounced off support & 0.382 today - 11 & 22 MAs looking to cross 50sma OBV - scares me a bit, as its been on a downward trend. - needs to reclaim support!!
by kj_trades
SOL/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Progress – Rebound to $208 PossibleSOL/USDT 1H:Analysis 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Structure: Price trading at $199.14 with a bearish structure, forming clear lower highs and lower lows. Current consolidation within the $196-$204 range suggests potential accumulation. Smart Money Concepts: Institutional buying is evident within the accumulation zone ($196-$204). Hidden bullish divergence on RSI (39.38) indicates a potential reversal setup as Smart Money positions for a move higher. Key Levels: Entry Zone: $199-$200 Targets: T1: $204 (key resistance). T2: $208 (next resistance level). T3: $216 (extended target). Stop Loss: Below $196 (recent support). Risk Score: 7/10 – Moderate risk, with clear invalidation below $196 and potential upside supported by divergence and volume. Market Maker Intent: Smart Money appears to be accumulating within the $196-$204 range. Volume profile supports a thesis of reversal, with potential for a breakout above $204. Recommendation: Long entry favorable within the $199-$200 range. Monitor for a break above $204 to confirm bullish momentum. Maintain tight stops below $196 to mitigate risk. Confidence Level: 7.5/10 – Bullish setup supported by divergence and accumulation signals. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
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