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SP500 trade ideas

Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6596 .Dear colleagues, I haven't made a forecast for the SNP500 in a long time and was waiting for a correction, but it seems that a major correction is not yet close, and at the moment the price continues to be in an upward five-wave movement. Therefore, I believe that we should expect to reach the 6596 area, which will mark the end of the medium-term wave “3.” The corrections are not very deep at the moment, but the price may reach the 6317 area before continuing its upward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
16
S&P 500 Index Reaches Another All-Time HighS&P 500 Index Reaches Another All-Time High On 13 August, we wrote about the S&P 500 reaching an all-time high following the release of the CPI report. At that time, we suggested that the price might move towards the upper boundary of the ascending channel (highlighted in blue on the chart). Since then: → the price has set a new record, forming peak 0 near the upper boundary of the channel; → it then fell back towards the lower boundary, where block A was formed; → and subsequently rose again to a fresh all-time high (F), coming close to the 6500 level. The resilience of the blue channel underlines the prevailing bullish sentiment, which is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September – an event seen as positive for the economy and potentially boosting corporate earnings. This optimism is so far outweighing the fact that Nvidia’s shares slipped slightly yesterday after the company’s earnings release (despite results exceeding investor expectations). But is the outlook entirely cloudless? S&P 500 Chart Technical Analysis Looking at the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500, there are grounds to make slight adjustments to the slope and width of the ascending channel to better reflect the latest data. At first glance, the picture appears bullish: → long lower shadows around block A point to strong buying interest; → downward pullbacks (B→C following impulse A→B, and D→E following impulse C→D) halted near the classic 50% Fibonacci retracement; → higher lows in late August give reason to consider the formation of a cup and handle pattern. However, the bears also have their counterarguments: → the 6,500 level could act as psychological resistance (with the risk of a false bullish breakout); → the upper boundary of the channel may provide resistance; → the marked extremes resemble a bearish rising wedge pattern. Progress in establishing new highs is becoming weaker each time – it seems that the S&P 500 bull market is running out of steam. This raises concerns about a correction – and with September’s long-standing reputation as the most unfavourable month for markets, a noticeable pullback could happen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 5, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading sessions of the previous week, the S&P 500 Index exhibited a notable downward movement, reaching the Intermediary In Force Pullback Extension of 6370. An Odds-on Secondary Rebound subsequently followed this decline, as the index restored its upward trajectory by achieving the Mean Resistance level of 6502, although it subsequently settled below this benchmark. It is essential to acknowledge that the current rebound from the Mean Support level of 6447 suggests a significant probability of a sustained upward movement toward the long-term objective, namely the Outer Index Rally at 6543, as detailed in the prior S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis. Conversely, one must consider the potential for a substantial pullback to the Mean Support extension level of 6413, which would likely precede another rebound. Moreover, it is critical to recognize that the ongoing price fluctuations may induce a considerable pullback after the fulfillment of the Outer Index Rally target at 6543. Following this anticipated downward adjustment, the index will likely resume its upward trend, targeting the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6420.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Weekly Forecast# S&P 500 (US500) Technical Analysis: Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy & Weekly Forecast Current Price: 6,464.4 (As of August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4) Asset Class: US500 / S&P 500 Index Analysis Date: August 30, 2025 --- Executive Summary The S&P 500 continues to demonstrate strong bullish momentum, currently trading near all-time highs at 6,464.4. Our comprehensive technical analysis utilizing Japanese Candlestick patterns, Harmonic analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, Wyckoff methodology, W.D. Gann principles, and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook with key resistance levels approaching. The index has successfully achieved conservative targets around 6,474-6,504 level, with the next major target zone near 7,000. --- Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Analysis The S&P 500 appears to be in the final stages of a major impulse wave (Wave 5) within a larger degree cycle. The wave structure suggests: Primary Count: Currently in Wave 5 of (5) of Target Zone: 6,800-7,000 for wave completion Invalidation Level: Break below 6,147 (July low) Wyckoff Market Structure The current phase aligns with Wyckoff's Distribution Phase characteristics: Phase: Late Markup Phase transitioning to potential Distribution Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on recent highs suggests weakening demand Price Action: Narrowing trading ranges indicating potential climax conditions W.D. Gann Analysis Applying Gann's comprehensive methodology: Square of 9 Analysis: - Current price 6,464.4 sits at a significant Gann square level - Next major resistance: 6,724 (45-degree angle projection) - Time cycles suggest potential reversal window: September 15-20, 2025 Angle Analysis: - 1x1 angle support from July low: 6,200-6,250 - 2x1 angle resistance: 6,700-6,750 Price & Time Harmonics: - 90-day cycle completion due mid-September - Price squares suggest natural resistance at 6,561 and 6,724 --- Japanese Candlestick & Harmonic Patterns Recent Candlestick Formations (Daily Chart) Spinning Top: August 28-29 showing indecision at highs Long Upper Shadows: Indicating selling pressure at resistance levels Volume Confirmation: Bearish divergence with declining volume Harmonic Pattern Recognition Potential Bat Pattern: Completion zone 6,480-6,520 ABCD Pattern: Active completion at current levels Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension target at 6,756 --- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Current Cloud Structure Price Position: Above Kumo (bullish) Tenkan-sen: 6,431 (short-term trend) Kijun-sen: 6,378 (medium-term trend) Senkou Span A: 6,405 Senkou Span B: 6,341 Chikou Span: Positioned above price action (confirming bullish sentiment) Future Kumo: Thinning cloud ahead suggests potential volatility increase --- Key Technical Indicators Analysis RSI (Relative Strength Index) Daily RSI: 68.7 (approaching overbought territory) Weekly RSI: 71.2 (overbought but not extreme) 4H RSI: 72.1 (overbought with bearish divergence forming) Bollinger Bands Analysis Position: Price trading at upper band Bandwidth: Contracting, suggesting low volatility environment Squeeze: Potential breakout setup forming VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) Daily VWAP: 6,442 Weekly VWAP: 6,398 Volume Profile: Low volume acceptance above 6,450 Moving Average Structure 20 EMA: 6,419 (immediate support) 50 SMA: 6,371 (key support level) 200 SMA: 6,198 (major trend support) Golden Cross: 50/200 cross remains intact (bullish) --- Support & Resistance Levels Primary Resistance Levels 1. R1: 6,480 (immediate resistance - Harmonic completion) 2. R2: 6,520 (psychological level) 3. R3: 6,561 (Gann square resistance) 4. R4: 6,724 (Major Gann angle resistance) 5. R5: 6,800-7,000 (Elliott Wave target zone) Primary Support Levels 1. S1: 6,431 (Tenkan-sen support) 2. S2: 6,378 (Kijun-sen support) 3. S3: 6,300-6,150 (Monthly pullback zone) 4. S4: 6,200-6,250 (1x1 Gann angle) 5. S5: 6,147 (July low - critical support) --- Multi-Timeframe Strategy Framework Scalping Strategy (5M & 15M Charts) 5-Minute Timeframe: Entry Signals: Look for pullbacks to 20 EMA with RSI oversold (<30) Profit Targets: 15-25 points per trade Stop Loss: 10-15 points below entry Volume Confirmation: Above average volume on breakouts 15-Minute Timeframe: Range Trading: 6,440-6,480 current range Breakout Strategy: Volume spike above 6,480 for continuation Mean Reversion: Fade moves beyond 2 standard deviations from VWAP Intraday Strategy (30M, 1H, 4H Charts) 30-Minute Strategy: Trend Following: Long above 20/50 EMA confluence Target: 6,520 initial, 6,561 extended Risk Management: 2:1 reward-to-risk minimum 1-Hour Strategy: Pattern Recognition: Monitor for bull flag formations Volume Analysis: Require volume expansion on breakouts Time-Based Exits: Avoid holding through 3:30 PM ET volatility 4-Hour Strategy: Swing Setup: Long on pullbacks to Ichimoku cloud support Momentum Confirmation: Wait for RSI to reset below 50 Position Sizing: Adjust for overnight gap risk Swing Trading Strategy (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) Daily Chart Strategy: Trend Continuation: Long on breaks above 6,480 with volume Pullback Entries: 6,378-6,300 zone for swing longs Profit Targets: 6,724 (primary), 6,800-7,000 (extended) Weekly Chart Strategy: Long-Term Trend: Remains intact above 6,200 Position Management: Scale out at resistance levels Risk Assessment: Monitor weekly RSI for extreme readings --- Daily Trading Plan: September 2-6, 2025 Monday, September 2, 2025 (Labor Day - Markets Closed) Pre-Market Preparation: - Monitor overnight futures for gap scenarios - Review weekend news for market-moving events - Prepare watchlists for Tuesday's session Tuesday, September 3, 2025 Market Outlook: Post-holiday session with potential low volume Key Levels: Resistance: 6,480, 6,520 Support: 6,431, 6,378 Strategy: Morning: Range-bound trading likely; fade extremes Afternoon: Watch for institutional flows post-holiday Entry Zones: Long 6,430-6,440 area, Short above 6,480 Wednesday, September 4, 2025 Market Outlook: Mid-week momentum session Key Events: Monitor for any Federal Reserve communications Strategy: Breakout Play: Above 6,480 targets 6,520-6,561 Volume Confirmation: Required for sustained moves Risk Management: Tight stops in low-volume environment Thursday, September 5, 2025 Market Outlook: Potential volatility increase ahead of Friday Key Levels: Critical Resistance: 6,520-6,561 zone Support: 6,400-6,378 (buy zone) Strategy: Trend Following: Momentum plays above key resistance Counter-Trend: Fade moves on declining volume Friday, September 6, 2025 Market Outlook: Weekly close positioning and potential NFP impact Strategy: Early Session: Position for weekly close Late Session: Prepare for weekend risk management Options Expiry: Monitor for pinning effects at key strikes --- Geopolitical & Macroeconomic Considerations Federal Reserve Policy Impact President Donald Trump has called on the Fed to cut rates by 3 percentage points, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noting that "any model" would put the benchmark federal funds rate at least 1.5 percentage points lower than its current level of between 4.25 percent and 4.50 percent. This political pressure on the Fed could create market volatility as investors weigh the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts. Key Risks to Monitor 1. Federal Reserve Policy Divergence: Potential conflicts between Fed independence and political pressure 2. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical fragmentation is being fueled by COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, U.S.-China relations and more 3. Economic Data: Any significant deviation from expected economic indicators 4. Market Structure: Elevated valuations increase sensitivity to negative catalysts Earnings Season Considerations - Q3 earnings season approaching in mid-October - Current valuations require strong earnings growth for justification - Sector rotation potential based on earnings guidance --- Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Guidelines Scalping: 0.5-1% risk per trade Intraday: 1-2% risk per trade Swing Trading: 2-3% risk per position Maximum Portfolio Risk: 6-8% total exposure Stop-Loss Protocols Scalping: 10-15 points maximum Intraday: 25-40 points based on volatility Swing: Below key support levels (6,300 for current longs) Profit-Taking Strategy Scale Out Approach: Take 50% at first target, 25% at second target Trailing Stops: Implement once position moves 2:1 favorable Time-Based Exits: Close positions before major news events --- Weekly Outlook Summary Bullish Scenarios (Probability: 60%) - Break above 6,480 with volume expansion - Federal Reserve maintains dovish stance - Strong technical momentum continues Targets: 6,520, 6,561, 6,724 Bearish Scenarios (Probability: 40%) - Failure at resistance with volume decline - Geopolitical shock or Fed hawkish surprise - Technical breakdown below 6,378 Targets: 6,300, 6,200, 6,147 Base Case Expectation: Continued range-bound trading with upward bias, eventual breakout to 6,520-6,561 zone before more significant pullback to test 6,300-6,200 support area. --- For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by sunya
SP500 4H Trading Outlook for Major Currency Pairs and Indices, Especially Gold and Silver, in the Upcoming Week In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and market outlooks. As can be seen, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance area near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or break of these levels will determine the subsequent price trend up to the next specified levels. Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to identify key price levels and potential market reactions, and the analyses provided should not be considered as trading signals.
VANTAGE:SP500
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
Green Energy & Carbon Credit TradingIntroduction The 21st century has been defined by two monumental shifts: the urgent need to combat climate change and the technological transformation of how we produce, distribute, and consume energy. At the center of these developments lies green energy, a term that embodies renewable, sustainable, and low-carbon energy systems. Alongside it, carbon credit trading has emerged as one of the most innovative market-based solutions for mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Together, green energy and carbon credit trading form a powerful duo: while renewable energy reduces direct emissions, carbon credit markets provide financial incentives and frameworks for industries and countries to reduce or offset their carbon footprints. Understanding both requires exploring the dynamics of global energy systems, environmental policies, financial markets, and international cooperation. Part I: Green Energy 1. Defining Green Energy Green energy refers to power derived from renewable, natural sources that are not only sustainable but also generate minimal or no greenhouse gas emissions during operation. Common forms include: Solar Power – harnessing sunlight through photovoltaic panels or concentrated solar thermal plants. Wind Energy – converting wind’s kinetic energy into electricity via turbines. Hydropower – generating electricity using water flow in rivers or dams. Biomass & Bioenergy – energy from organic material such as crop residues, wood, or algae. Geothermal Energy – tapping the Earth’s internal heat for heating or power generation. Ocean Energy – wave and tidal systems converting marine energy into power. Green energy distinguishes itself from fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) by being replenishable and having a substantially lower carbon footprint. 2. Drivers of Green Energy Adoption Several forces are driving the adoption of green energy worldwide: Climate Change Awareness – Rising global temperatures, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events demand urgent emission reduction. Energy Security – Countries aim to reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels. Technological Advances – Falling costs of solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries have made renewables cost-competitive. Policy Support – Governments incentivize renewables through subsidies, tax credits, and renewable portfolio standards. Corporate Commitments – Multinationals pledge to shift toward 100% renewable energy (RE100 initiative). Consumer Demand – Citizens increasingly prefer sustainable energy and products. 3. Global Green Energy Landscape (a) Europe The European Union (EU) has been at the forefront, with policies such as the European Green Deal aiming for carbon neutrality by 2050. Countries like Germany (Energiewende), Denmark (wind leader), and Spain (solar power) dominate renewable penetration. (b) United States The U.S. has seen a major green energy boom, led by solar and wind, despite political swings. States like California and Texas lead, and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA, 2022) provides historic renewable energy subsidies. (c) China China is the world’s largest investor and producer of solar panels, wind turbines, and EV batteries. Its ambitious goal is to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. (d) India India aims for 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030, with strong growth in solar and wind, supported by policies like the National Solar Mission. (e) Rest of the World Africa shows potential in solar, the Middle East is diversifying from oil into renewables, and Latin America (Brazil, Chile) is expanding hydropower and solar. 4. Challenges in Green Energy Intermittency – Solar and wind are weather-dependent, requiring backup systems or storage. Storage – Battery technology is improving but still expensive at scale. Grid Infrastructure – Old grids need modernization to handle variable renewable energy. Investment & Financing – Upfront capital costs can be high, requiring supportive financing models. Land Use & Environmental Concerns – Large solar or wind projects may affect ecosystems. Policy Uncertainty – Inconsistent policies discourage long-term investment. Part II: Carbon Credit Trading 1. Concept of Carbon Credits A carbon credit represents the right to emit one metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO₂e). These credits are part of market-based mechanisms to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. There are two key approaches: Cap-and-Trade Systems (Compliance Markets) Governments cap total emissions and issue allowances. Companies must hold enough allowances to cover their emissions, but they can trade if they emit less or more. Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCMs) Corporations and individuals purchase carbon offsets voluntarily to neutralize their emissions, often funding renewable energy, reforestation, or clean technology projects. 2. Origins of Carbon Credit Trading The concept was popularized under the Kyoto Protocol (1997), which introduced three flexible mechanisms: Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) – Developed countries invest in emission reduction projects in developing nations. Joint Implementation (JI) – Projects between developed countries. Emissions Trading – Countries with surplus allowances can sell to others. Later, the Paris Agreement (2015) established a more global framework with Article 6, which enables international cooperation through carbon markets. 3. How Carbon Trading Works Example: A cement factory emits 1 million tons CO₂ annually. Government sets a cap of 800,000 tons. The factory must reduce emissions or buy 200,000 credits from another company that reduced emissions below its allowance. This system incentivizes efficiency and low-carbon investment while rewarding overachievers. 4. Compliance Markets vs Voluntary Markets Feature Compliance Market Voluntary Market Basis Regulation (laws, caps) Voluntary CSR, sustainability goals Participants Governments, industries Corporations, NGOs, individuals Examples EU ETS, California Cap-and-Trade, RGGI Gold Standard, Verra (VCS), Climate Action Reserve Size Larger, more liquid Smaller but growing rapidly Objective Meet legal emission targets Achieve carbon neutrality & branding 5. Carbon Credit Standards & Certification For credibility, carbon credits must meet strict criteria: Additionality – Reductions wouldn’t have happened without the project. Permanence – Reductions are long-term (e.g., forests not cut down later). Verification – Independent third-party audit of projects. Leakage Prevention – Emission reduction in one area shouldn’t cause increases elsewhere. Prominent standards include: Verra’s Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) Gold Standard (WWF-supported) Climate Action Reserve American Carbon Registry (ACR) 6. Criticism & Challenges of Carbon Trading Greenwashing – Companies may buy cheap offsets instead of real emission cuts. Double Counting – Same credit claimed by two entities. Project Integrity – Some projects (like forest offsets) face permanence risks. Price Volatility – Carbon credit prices vary widely, affecting planning. Equity Issues – Developing countries may face exploitation if credits are undervalued. Part III: Intersection of Green Energy & Carbon Credits Green energy projects often generate carbon credits by displacing fossil fuel energy. For example: A solar farm replacing coal power saves emissions, generating credits. A biogas project using agricultural waste reduces methane emissions, creating tradable credits. Thus, green energy is both a direct decarbonization strategy and a carbon credit revenue generator. Many corporations purchase renewable energy certificates (RECs) or carbon offsets from green projects to meet net-zero pledges. Part IV: Global Case Studies 1. European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) World’s largest compliance carbon market. Covers ~10,000 installations in energy, industry, aviation. Credits traded across EU countries, providing billions in green investment. 2. California Cap-and-Trade Program (USA) Launched in 2013. Includes industries, fuel distributors, and electricity providers. Linked with Quebec’s carbon market. 3. China’s National ETS Started in 2021, initially covering power plants. Expected to expand to cement, steel, and aviation. Will be the world’s largest market by emissions coverage. 4. India’s Green Energy & Carbon Trading Push Renewable energy projects (solar, wind) generate millions of CERs under CDM. India plans a national carbon trading scheme aligned with its 2070 net-zero goal. Part V: Economic & Financial Dimensions Carbon Pricing as Economic Signal Carbon credits put a price on pollution, internalizing environmental costs. This incentivizes cleaner technologies. Investment in Green Projects Carbon revenues make renewable energy and reforestation projects financially viable, especially in developing countries. Emerging Financial Instruments Green Bonds Carbon ETFs Carbon futures and options on exchanges like ICE and CME Corporate Net-Zero Strategies Companies like Microsoft, Google, and Shell rely on both green energy and carbon credits to achieve carbon neutrality. Part VI: Future Outlook Growth of Voluntary Carbon Markets Expected to grow from ~$2 billion (2022) to over $50 billion by 2030. Digital Carbon Trading Blockchain and tokenization are enhancing transparency and traceability of credits. Integration with ESG Investing Carbon performance will be a key metric in investment decisions. Global Cooperation More linkages between national carbon markets (e.g., EU, China, North America). Corporate Accountability Greater demand for high-quality credits and real emission reductions rather than symbolic offsets. Conclusion Green energy and carbon credit trading represent two sides of the same coin in the global climate action narrative. Green energy reduces emissions at the source by replacing fossil fuels, while carbon markets provide flexible, market-driven tools to finance emission reductions and incentivize global cooperation. However, both face challenges—technological, economic, and ethical—that must be addressed. Transparency, integrity, and equitable benefit-sharing will be essential to ensure that these systems truly help achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement. The future will likely see tighter integration between renewable energy expansion, carbon pricing mechanisms, and sustainable finance, creating a global ecosystem where climate responsibility and economic opportunity go hand in hand.
SP:SPXEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
DivergenceLike I have said in the previous idea, this divergence looks very similar to the divergence we saw in June. It can be broken on some extremely positive news, but now some correction will likely take place. The previous one ended with a tiny undercut of previous low and a positive 4h (2h) divergence. Maybe this time we will see a small correction with 6420 low undercut or maybe it will go lower (who knows). I'm shorting it. Will increase the short position if it goes higher first and will get out if I see atleast 1h positive divergence.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Supergalactic
"US500 BREAKOUT – TIME TO LOAD LIMIT ORDERS FOR THE PUMP?"🔥🦹‍♂️ "SPX500 BANK HEIST – LAYERED BULL RAID IN PROGRESS!" 💰📈 (Thief Trader’s Multi-Limit Order Bullish Ambush – No Weak Hands Allowed) 📍 ASSET: US500 / SPX500 (S&P 500 INDEX) 🎯 HEIST PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT 6500.00 💣 ENTRY: ANY PRICE LEVEL (Thieves use Layered Limit Orders – adapt like a pro!) 🔫 SAMPLE LAYERS: (Scale in like a boss!) BUY LIMIT LAYER 1: 6475.00 BUY LIMIT LAYER 2: 6460.00 BUY LIMIT LAYER 3: 6440.00 (Add more layers if needed – flexibility is key!) 🛑 STOP LOSS: 6400.00 (Thief’s Emergency Exit – adjust based on your risk!) 🎯 TARGET: 6600.00 (First profit zone – trail or take gains!) 🦹‍♂️ THIEF TRADER’S MASTER PLAN: "We don’t ask for permission – we take profits." 🔹 ENTRY TACTICS: Use multiple limit orders (LAYERED STRATEGY) – like planting timed explosives at key levels. No panic entries – thieves strike with precision, not emotion. DCA if needed – but keep bullets for the real move. 🔹 STOP LOSS RULES: 6400 = Danger Zone – if price breaks, abort mission & regroup. SL too tight? You’ll get stopped out by market noise. SL too wide? You’ll bleed. Find balance. 🔹 TAKE PROFIT STRATEGY: First TP @ 6600 – secure partial profits. Let runners ride with trailing stop – or full exit if momentum fades. 🚨 THIEF’S GOLDEN RULES: ✅ Only LONG – no revenge shorts, no greed traps. ✅ Trade in SILENCE – avoid high-impact news (CPI, NFP, Fed). ✅ Risk management = Survival – don’t blow your account on one play. ✅ BOOST & SHARE – if this plan helps, spread the word! 📢 FINAL WARNING: "This is not financial advice – it’s a thief’s blueprint. Plan your escape before entry. Market heists require discipline." 💬 COMMENT "ROBBING SPX" if you’re in! 🔥 LIKE & BOOST if you ride with the Thief Trader crew! 🦹‍♂️ THIEF TRADER OUT. 💸 STEAL SMART. GET RICH. REPEAT.
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by The-Thief
3
SEPTEMBER, the worst month for the S&P 500?What trend for the S&P 500 index this September 2025? A highly anticipated September as the fundamental back-to-school issues are crucial for the year-end trend. September is the worst month for the S&P 500 index in terms of seasonality, and investors fear a drop in the US stock market this September while fundamental challenges are not lacking (the FED on Wednesday, September 17) and the S&P 500 is as expensive as it was at the end of 2021 in terms of valuation. Is this bearish consensus a trap? On the topic of the S&P 500 valuation, I invite you to reread the analysis we published on July 30 by clicking on the image below. 1. Is September really the worst month in terms of performance for the S&P 500 index? YES! Yes, September is indeed the worst month in the history of the S&P 500 index in terms of average performance. The average performance of September is negative, and no other month of the year shows a negative performance for the S&P 500. However, be very cautious with this type of statistics, as it is only an average, and still, 47% of the September months in S&P 500 history have recorded a positive performance. The data source below is indicated at the bottom right of the table. 2. The final performance of September 2025 will be dictated by fundamentals, in particular the Fed’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 17. The Fed has not lowered the federal funds rate since the end of 2024, and the US stock market now needs an accommodative monetary shift to preserve its long-term bullish trend. In one of my articles last week, I examined the 3 possible scenarios for the federal funds rate by the end of the year as well as the stock market impact for equities, bonds, the US dollar, and Bitcoin. The table below summarizes the 3 possible cases and the potential market impact; you can access all details by clicking on it. It is Powell’s Fed monetary choice on Wednesday, September 17 that will determine the final September performance for the S&P 500 index. The next two figures likely to influence the Fed’s decision are the PCE inflation on Friday, August 29 and the NFP report on Friday, September 5. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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SP:SPX
by Swissquote
SP500's Final Bull Run and the Looming 2030sFollowing up on the analysis of the Russian market, let's synchronize our view with the situation in the US. Technical Perspective: Based on the wave structure, the price appears to be completing a diagonal pattern (likely an Ending Diagonal). This final topping process is expected to be a drawn-out affair. Near-Term Fed Impact: Following yesterday's dovish commentary from the Fed, which signaled a more accommodative policy stance, the market will likely continue to drift higher for some time. We can expect several bear traps: price will complete nested wave patterns and experience sharp, short-lived sell-offs, only to snap back and make new highs. Conclusion: Much like the Russian market, the final stage of the current bull market is likely to culminate around the end of this year or the beginning of the next. The Big Picture: On a macro scale, this is likely not the final cycle top. The true major reversal is not expected until the 2030s.
FX:SPX500
by Energeia_Charta
S&P500 3-month Channel Up still valid. Buy.The S&P500 index (SPX) kept its 3-month Channel Up intact last week despite a short-term correction as the price stopped exactly on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and following Chair Powell's remarks on rate cut possibilities, it rebounded aggressively. Given also that the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been its long-term Support since May 01, the stage is set for the pattern's new Bullish Leg. With the last one being +8.80%, we expect the index to hit at least 6750 next. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
SPX500 & NAS100 AT RESISTANCE CROSSROADS, GOLD GAINING STEAMIn this weekend's analysis on the SPX500 and NAS100 indices, I see a potential bullish trend continuation but also at a key resistance level with hidden bears ready to attach bulls. This is one of the setups that patience is more rewarding than taking a bet. Gold is gaining strength to the upper range and still in the sideways channel. Here too patience for a clear breakout will be more rewarding. I think based on the length of the sideways, once there is a clear breakout, Gold will really rally to it's next targets. Please watch the entire video to understand my analysis and thoughts. Cheers and have a great trading week.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by RICHINVESTOR
1
SPX is in a clear breakout trend! SP:SPX has triggered 2 larger bullish patterns. Both patterns result in higher price. Despite the weakness in NVDA the markets have shrugged off the decline. We are trading into new all time highs so price discovery mode is in a effect. When you have no resistance pivots or volume to trade against at new all time highs you really have to be careful if you're shorting the market. Volume trends. extension moves, ATR, deviations should all be included in your analysis to define upside target zones. We continue to remain net long the markets with key shorts in place.
SP:SPXLong
by Trading-Capital
2