PHM7 trade ideas
$MO Rally - Base - Rally Breakout say no to this stuff ( word substitute)
About Altria Group, Inc.
Altria Group, Inc. is a leading US-based holding company in the tobacco industry. Here's a brief overview:
* Founded in 1919
* Headquartered in Richmond, VA
* Operates through three main segments:
+ Smokeable Products: cigarettes, machine-made large cigars, and pipe tobacco
+ Oral Tobacco Products: MST, snus, and oral nicotine pouches
+ All Other: NJOY, Helix ROW, and the IQOS System heated tobacco business
As a major player in the US tobacco market, Altria Group, Inc. has a long history of innovation and growth.
Altria $MO to $57+ if They Beat Earnings on ThursdayAltria NYSE:MO is trading at a P/E ratio of 9 right now, which is pretty crazy. Tech sectors overall are also showing signs of extreme uncertainty, which furthers the fundamental argument for value stocks like NYSE:MO and NYSE:PM as they approach earnings. 🔥🛡💎
If Altria provides a solid report on Thursday morning (pre-market), then I think this inverse head and shoulders pattern can take the stock back up to $57-$58 in the week(s) that follow. 💸📈🎯
NYSE:MO rallied +10% as a result of its last earnings report on October 31st. I see no reason it can't happen again! As we always say at WAVE$ Cap, history does tend to rhyme. 😮💨🏆
$MO Double D Bottom BreakoutHere on NYSE:MO we can see a very clearly defined double bottom on the Quarterly chart with the current quarter candle pushing into and above the breakout zone.
Quarterly CCI is also firmly broken out into positive momentum sure to keep those milky double d bottoms producing sweet sweet buttermilk all the way up to our 75$ Price target.
Get some baby!
MO - ALTRIA RECOVERY SCENARIOPoor financial results (earnings) in certain situations can lead to a quick decline followed by a rapid rebound. Altria is a stock that operates in industries heavily affected by US taxation, such as the so-called "sin tax." This implies that people are unlikely to give up their habits during times of uncertainty; on the contrary, they may stick to them even more firmly. Keep in mind the first 2 institutional holders are Blackrock and Vanguard.
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Buying MO should be your only M.OTop 3 Technical Reasons MO Will Rise
Breakout from Support: MO recently bounced off its $41 support level, a floor it has respected for months. Buyers are clearly showing up to the party, and the stock looks ready to grind higher.
Strong Relative Strength: The stock’s RSI has climbed out of oversold territory and is now trending upwards. This signals that momentum is finally shifting in favor of the bulls.
Golden Cross Setup: The 50-day moving average is curling upwards toward the 200-day, hinting at a potential golden cross. This classic bullish signal tends to lure technical traders like moths to a flame.
Top 3 Fundamental Reasons MO Will Rise
Dividend Magnet: With a fat dividend yield north of 8%, Altria attracts income-focused investors like flies to honey. As rates stabilize, the stock’s high payout looks increasingly attractive compared to bonds.
Resilient Revenue: Despite ongoing regulatory challenges, Altria continues to rake in cash thanks to its pricing power in cigarettes. Add its strategic investments in alternatives like smokeless tobacco and cannabis, and you’ve got a company diversifying for the future.
Recession-Proof Demand: Let’s face it—people don’t stop smoking when times get tough. If anything, vice products tend to hold up better during economic uncertainty, making Altria a steady defensive play.
Potential Paths to Profit
Lowest Risk: Buy shares outright, sit back, and collect dividends while the stock aims for $45–$46.
Options Play: Sell cash-secured puts at the $42 strike to either pocket premium or get assigned shares at a discount.
Covered Call Combo: Own shares and sell January $45 calls to generate additional income while capping upside around 10%.
Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final.
Altria Group ($MO) Pushing Higher with Cup & Handle BreakoutNYSE:MO is showing strength after breaking out of a Cup & Handle pattern, aiming for a target near $70, a potential 27.8% upside.
Cup & Handle Breakout – Recent breakout points to a target near $70, supporting a bullish outlook.
Channeling Upward – Moving within a strong ascending channel, providing structure for the uptrend.
SMA 150 Support – The 150-day SMA sits below, adding stability to the trend.
Volume and CCI – Volume at 1.28M shows solid interest, while the overbought CCI hints at potential short-term resistance.
Key Support – Strong support around $54.55, close to the 52-week high, reinforces a solid base.
If NYSE:MO holds its momentum within the channel, that $70 target could be within reach, although it may retest support at $54.55 first.
MO oversold - Long at 51.72Buying as long as it stays oversold and sell each lot as it becomes overbought and profitable.
I'll post details later but system is 23-1* in the last 12 months on this ticker. Not huge average gains, but if the Fed cut is bigger than expected, its 8% dividend is a safe haven. Nice uptrend too.
Not investment advice - just edutainment.
TREND OF MARLBOROI shared it from my phone before, so the graphic was not clear. This time I am posting it more clearly from the computer. Reverse shoulder head and shoulders pattern worked on Marlboro. Bullish confirmation was also received from the neck area. Formation target $50.94
No need for indicators at all
MO services smokers who always need another LONGMO moves on the 2H like a large caps and seems to have upside in its current trend up.
I am targeting recent pivot highs and an overall trade of 10% . I will look at call options as well.
MO has two minor earnings beats in a row after a miss. Albiet minor fundamental momentum,
I will take it as a sign that MO will do well. Its business model is keeping smokers content
and being competitive with its margins to prevent demand destruction.
The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 StepsNow when you are looking at this stock I want you to understand
that this type of strategy is good for investment purposes only
This means you are not allowed to use margin
To trade these types of stocks.
Otherwise, you will lose your money to trading commissions
and market volatility
So instead you can use the rocket booster strategy to take advantage
of this market move
You may think to yourself
"What is the rocket booster strategy?"
The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 Steps:
Step 1 - The 50 Day moving average has to cross above the 200 Day Moving Average
Step 2 - The 200-Day Moving Average has to be below the 50-Day Moving Average.
Step 3 - The price should be above both the 50 Day moving average and the 200 Day Moving Average.
If you follow these steps then you will see the buying signal as shown in this chart above
Rocket boost its content to learn more.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice please do your own research before you buy or sell anything
Bullish Patterns on [MO] stock + 9.59% Dividend Yield (Wyckoff) The cumulative volume of the "Wyckoff/Weis Wave" shows an interesting accumulation of a solid company. After the recent declines, we can see a clear basis for the price rebound. The Wyckoff Wave Volume Indicator shows the distribution of buying and selling wave forces. From the current impression, we can conclude that sellers are losing strength and we see more and more active buyers. I expect an upward movement in the coming weeks. Additionally, it is a company with solid foundations that also pays a dividend of 9.59%
Altria: Down the hatch! 🍺The price of Altria is still struggling to break below the $40.35 support level. We expect the price to dip below this support and reach the magenta Target Zone between $38.52 and $37.39. Only here do we expect the end of wave-(b) and thus the transition into the last sub-wave of the turquoise wave B
ALTRIA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 020124 Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 42.2/61.80%
Chart time frame : D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Altria Group Inc (MO): Navigating Challenges & Driving Growth
In the ever-evolving landscape of the tobacco industry, Altria Group Inc (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) stands as a resilient force, weathering challenges and steering towards growth. The recently released 2023 financial results and 2024 guidance provide a comprehensive insight into the company's strategic moves, financial performance, and its commitment to shareholder value.
Challenges and Resilience:
Altria (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) faced a challenging year in 2023, with a 2.4% decrease in net revenues, reflecting the industry-wide struggle against stricter regulations and evolving consumer preferences. The decline in shipment volumes of traditional cigarettes by 9.9% highlights the ongoing shift away from conventional tobacco products. However, amidst these challenges, Altria (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) demonstrated resilience by achieving a 2.3% growth in adjusted diluted EPS, reaching $4.95. This growth is a testament to the company's ability to adapt to changing market dynamics and capitalize on opportunities in the smoke-free and alternative nicotine products segment.
Strategic Investments and Diversification:
Altria's (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) strategic investments have played a crucial role in its resilience. With a 10% stake in Anheuser-Busch InBev and a 42% interest in Cronos Group, the world's largest brewer and a leading player in the cannabis market, respectively, Altria has diversified its portfolio beyond traditional tobacco. The recent acquisition of Njoy Holdings further exemplifies the company's commitment to staying at the forefront of evolving consumer preferences.
Smoke-Free Initiatives:
Amidst declining cigarette shipments, Altria's (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) focus on smoke-free alternatives has become increasingly evident. The report highlights the company's investment in NJOY vapes and its on! nicotine pouches. Despite a 32.8% growth in on! nicotine pouches shipment volumes, the company faces the challenge of a shifting customer base towards newer nicotine consumption methods. Altria's (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) dedication to innovation and adapting to evolving consumer habits positions it well in the face of increasing competition from alternatives like vapes.
Financial Outlook and Shareholder Value:
Despite a slight decline in quarterly net revenues in its smokable products division and challenging economic conditions leading to some customers migrating to cheaper brands, Altria (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) remains confident in its financial outlook. The announcement of a new $1 billion share repurchase program underscores the company's confidence in its financial stability and its commitment to delivering value to shareholders.
Conclusion:
Altria Group Inc's (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) 2023 performance showcases a company navigating a dynamic market with strategic foresight. The growth in adjusted diluted EPS, coupled with strategic investments and a commitment to smoke-free alternatives, positions Altria (NYSE: NYSE:MO ) as a key player in the tobacco industry's transformation.
Altria: Next Try 🔜As envisaged by our primary scenario, Altria shares made another attempt last week to finally break through the support level of $40.35 to the downside. It has been moving sideways along this level since Thursday. We expect a downward resolution of this sideways movement soon, as we expect the low of the expanding wave (b) in magenta to be in the same color Target Zone between $38.52 and $37.39. Long positions can still be taken within the Zone; those wishing to hedge here in the sense of sensible risk management could do so, for example, with a stop loss 1% below the lower edge of the Target Zone.
[Positional] Altria Buy IdeaHigh Yield Dividend stock.
Note -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives.
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Altria: Swoop 🦅With an impulsive jump to the downside, Altria fell back to the support level of $40.35 just yesterday. Our primary scenario now envisages a fall below this level and a run-up to the turquoise Target Zone between $38.52 and $37.39, where we expect the magenta wave (b) to be completed. As we subsequently expect corrective but significant rises in the course of wave (c) in magenta or the superordinate wave B in turquoise, the Target Zone is suitable for positioning on the long side.
MO Altria Group possible A=C plus bear flag Let's discuss it.Hi ,
Well, first of all, it's important to note that I have an open position in this dividend-paying stock because I want to hold it for the long term.
However, we should not ignore the fact that we will start wave C of a possible ABC correction soon. We can also see a bear flag shape. Both have a price target of ~$14 to $15.
Regarding the fundamentals, some important things:
Traditional tobacco companies have to face the fact that their products are becoming more and more expensive, thus many people buy cheaper products.
Vapor and liquid alternatives are increasingly popular among the younger generation. Because they are fragrant, tasty and cheaper.
Although these companies have made a lot of profit in the past decades, they are now facing another challenge. If they want to stay competitive, they have to develop to catch up with their competitors who produce products based on new technologies.
Altria Group is constantly working to achieve this. However, the transformation of the production technology and the necessary permits (e.g. FDA) are essential for its success. It's all money and time.
All in all, I think that stocks of traditional tobacco companies are still a good long-term investment. However, it should be taken into account that they may underperform in the coming months. And they can hit new lows.
That's why I didn't use all my resources that I intended for this stock. Because if we actually reach the ~$15 zone, then I want to significantly increase my position size there.
Please tell me what you think about it. And share your thoughts.
Do not forget. This does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before entering a position.
