UL eyes on $62.xx: Key Support zone may launch next Leg UpUL has been climbing nicely despite tariff tantrums.
Currently watching key support zone $62.27-62.36
Launch from here should pop to new local highs.
UNVB trade ideas
5/8/25 - UL: new SELL mechanical trading signal.5/8/25 - UL: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
UL - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 65.43
Entry SELL SHORT @ 62.58
Target Profit @ 56.37
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3/2B SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less or only slightly peaking higher than the preceding top price.
Unilever will continue to perform exceptionally wellUnilever has been growing steadily and healthily for years, offering increasing dividend yields.
Companies like NYSE:UL are always i deal to have in your portfolio. Right now, after hitting all-time highs, it has pulled back to its support level, offering a chance to buy the stock at a good discount.
As if that wasn't enough, it's close to its annual trend that's been developing for decades, which means it's one of the best times in history to buy, not just for short-term gains of around 20% in a few days, but also for long-term appreciation and dividends.
Unilever fundamentals
Unilever is set to keep growing steadily in the coming years. Analysts expect its earnings and revenue to grow by about 7.4% and 3.5% per year, respectively. The company's EPS (Earnings Per Share) i s predicted to increase by 5.7% annually . Plus, Unilever's return on equity is forecasted to be around 42.5% over the next three years.
Unilever's focus on sustainability and innovation is also expected to drive its growth. The company is recognized as one of the most sustainable globally, with significant efforts in renewable energy, circular economy, and decarbonization. These initiatives are part of Unilever's strategy to achieve sustainable growth and reduce its environmental impact.
Unilever: The most BORING stock in the UK, now INTERESTING?This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
Unilever is one of those stocks I’m aware of but have never had much interest in — it’s a large conglomerate that makes very boring things, like Dove soap (they also make Ben and Jerry’s ice cream). However, the great thing with boring companies is that they’re fairly predictable — if you think about companies that are inevitables, I guess Unilever is one of them.
The stock has done nothing for five years. The company had Paul Polman as CEO from 2009 – 2019, and the company did very well. After Polman stepped down the company entered into stagnation. There was nothing wrong with the company, per se – it just stagnated, and margins were largely boosted by price increases rather than organic growth. There was also the mistaken pushback to Polman’s “woke” ethos – from 2009 – 2019 the company roughly quadrupled in value. Subsequent management did not do this. “Woke”, works, in this context – Ben and Jerry’s has been one of Unilever’s fastest growing brands.
What are the catalysts to buy this company now?
1) New CEO. Fernando Fernandez – described as a “human tornado”. He has a mandate from the board to turnaround the company, which includes spinning off divisions.
2) The big issue here is the food division – it’s lower margin and on a peer basis is valued at a lower multiple. We need to start there.
3) The company has signalled it intends to spin-off its ice-cream unit, likely as a new company. The ice-cream unit renders around ~8bn in sales, and holds a 20% market share globally. That’s value, and the new co should list at a +2x revenue multiple, which implies a +16bn EUR valuation (analyst estimates are around +18bn)
4) I believe the market doesn’t truly value the ice-cream unit as it stands (as part of a conglomerate). Much like the listing of UMG (ex-Vivendi), I expect this implies +10bn upside.
5) You can find comparators with other consumer spin-offs, like Haleon and Kenvue – Haleon has appreciated +29% since listing, while Kevnue has appreciated +25% in the past year.
6) Management’s metrics are tied to indicators I like, like ROIC (Return on Invested Capital). Under Polman, Unilever had a +18% ROIC. It currently sits at 11% or so. If management can move the needle on this (by divesting, focusing, and leveraging their highly profitable units), then shareholders will see the compounding virtue of ROI.
I still have some pause — it isn’t that cheap for the UK market, so you need to consider the differential between the US (and those US listed consumer companies) and the UK. Then again — if you consider the spin-off of the ice cream business reducing the lower-margin food business portion of Unilever’s revenue down to about 22%, then there’s a case to be made for multiple revaluation…
UnileverThis is a monthly chart of the entire price history of the company Unilever (UL). Unilever engages in the manufacture and sale of consumer goods.
Applied to the chart is a log-linear regression channel. This channel helps me better visualize extreme price deviations from the mean. The red line is the mean price, the top blue line is the price that is 2 standard deviations above the mean, and the lower blue line is the price that is 2 standard deviations below the mean. Statistically, there is a 95% chance that the monthly closing price will remain in this channel.
Currently, the channel is showing that the bearish sentiment right now is too extreme and Unilever's stock is trading too low. The price is currently more than 2 standard deviations below the mean. Statistically, price only trades this low less than 2.5% of the time. One can extrapolate that there is at least a 97.5% chance that Unilever's price will go up over time. Obviously, anything can happen, trends can end and companies can decline. However, I only trade based on probability and this stock has a very high probability of going up over the long term.
Check out my post from May about Unilever. I posted this right when Unilever was near its bottom:
I thought I'd post again in case anyone missed my post in May, and because I think price may potentially retest the low or at least consolidate for a few weeks, in which case, it's a good second chance to go long. My strategy has been to swing trade this stock because price so far below the mean carries less downside risk than price far above the mean. I bought back at the May bottom, sold at the end of July and am now starting to accumulate cautiously during the seasonal volatility between mid-August and late October. After October, assuming the price goes up, I'll switch from cautious accumulation to swing trading up until price reaches its mean (mean is actually all the way up at $100), or until the higher time frames print bearish signals, whichever comes first. It may take months to years to reach either one of these triggers so this is a long-term strategy.
(P.S. If you're wondering what I mean by "cautious accumulation", the main thing I'm referring to is buying an asset using cash, and not using margin. A trader should never accumulate or average down using margin. If the price goes down too low while you're accumulating and triggers a margin call it can force you to sell right at the bottom and at a significant loss. Accumulating using cash allows you to just sit and hold the position until the price goes up. Another aspect of cautious accumulation is knowing when to stop buying more. If price gaps down, I don't just blindly add more. I may be forced to exit at a loss and then re-enter when price consolidates. Few people realize that exiting at a loss and re-entering higher can still be profitable. As long as it results in you always shifting money out of losing positions and into winning positions right when they breakout. Traders should always wait for consolidation to add a long position. If you're not waiting until the price is consolidating you are paying an opportunity cost, because you're throwing money at an asset that is falling in price when you could be throwing money at an asset that's ready to breakout.)
Back to the analysis: Here's another interesting chart that makes me view Unilever as a good long-term investment option.
The above chart shows two things: (1) Unilever historically outperforms the broader market (SPY) during the years leading up to and including recessions (see my post linked below for why I believe a more sizable recession is likely coming in the years ahead) (2) the yearly stochastic RSI looks ready to begin oscillating back up, which can provide a tailwind for Unilever to outperform the broader market over the long term.
It's important to keep in mind that these yearly charts take a long time to manifest and are not suitable for trade entry, one needs to time entry using a chart on a lower timeframe. Additionally, even though Unilever may outperform the broader market, if the broader market is declining, Unilever's outperformance could just mean less of a decline, so this relative analysis does not mean the price will go up. I use relative charts more as a hedge to risk, meaning that I'd rather swing trade by using an asset that is likely to outperform the broader market over the long term. The risk of decline is always there for all assets, but I'd rather trade on assets that are shifting from underperforming to overperforming over the time during which I plan to swing trade.
Finally, here's one last chart that shows that further downside risk is probably limited:
Again, this is a monthly chart of Unilever. On the bottom is the indicator "WaveTrend" by @LazyBear. You can see that a buy signal was triggered while the oscillator was overextended to the bottom of its range. Although past data do not guarantee future price action, this type of buy signal is nonetheless quite rare and can lead to lucrative long-term investments.
As @TradingView reminds us: look first, then leap. Do your own charting on this stock and consider if/when investing would work for your strategy and portfolio. As noted above, the best time to accumulate is as the price is consolidating, moving averages are converging, and price starts printing long lower wicks and bullish reversal candlesticks on the timeframe you trade on.
Not a trade recommendation. The stock market always carries risk of loss. Trade at your own risk. Best of luck on your trades!
Unilever (SHORT)(Speculation) Leo HanhartMotives
- Decease in FCF, bad business climate for unilever.
- Bearish momentum upcoming.
- (Opinion) The price is too high now compared to the numbers.
Please discuss with me about the situation, yes the macro environment is favor for CG.
FMCG, but Uni is in a segment where the buyers are pressured by inflation. I see this as a thread for the performance. This all makes that I see a bearish move very possible.
Short Idea Unilever Marco
- We have seen other consumer-related stocks suffer a lot doe to the upcoming session. We have seen the job-amount shrink, and we have seen consumer spending decrease all over the market spectrum. We will expect the jobless raise in an half hour. This will mean for stocks like Unilever that their earnings will go down soon. And so I expect the stock price will be.
Techincal
- uni is on a High right now, with heavy reaction on the market's tumbling. This could be a high risk high reward setup that A lot of traders will see.
- We have seen large sell volume hit the book that impacted the price.
- We expect less liquidity overtime doe tue market stress.
- We expect the liquidity will be less between the 55 and the 50 range. Not knowing what will follow.
ULVR HuntLooking to catch some reversals at the shapes in this project for anyone interested in UK stock market. I have a higher level of confidence in the projections of simulated scenarios which should catch at least one more reversal at any of the shapes. Will update follow up analysis on any relevant or interesting Japanese Candlesticks patterns or setups.
In this project the rectangles are not necessarily support and resistance zones as in most nen projects. This one on the other hand is focusing on the longer term on the daily time frame making the potential anticipation of any reversals, inflection or pivot points, quite a challenge. That being said, if the project catches more than one inflection point at an element, it raises the legitimate questions regarding the normal expected distribution of events and the probability of such a result while also considering the aspect of determinism in the grander context.
Project dedicated for the curios minds, the thinkers, the questioners, and the observers. May the force of Mathematical Advantage or edge and profits be with you!
Unilever long above 40Unilever im long as long as its stays over 40.
its just filled the gap between 42-43. I expect either a push to the next level of resistance while the rsi is still bullish at around 43.60 or it sells off now and bounces at support.
classic inverse head and shoulders played out.
im long Unilever with they're pricing power over inflation and with they're restructure.
IT COULD DROP DURING A BLACK SWAN WHOLE MARKET DROP
Buying Unilever on dips.Unilever (ULVR) - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 44.71 (stop at 43.89)
Daily signals are bullish.
Levels below 45 continue to attract buyers.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to buy dips.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Our profit targets will be 46.75 and 47.55
Resistance: 46.50 / 47.50 / 48.30
Support: 46.00 / 45.50 / 44.80
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Unilever (ULVR.l) bearish scenario:The technical figure Rising Wedge can be found in the daily chart in the UK company Unilever PLC (ULVR.l). Unilever plc is a British multinational consumer goods company. Unilever products include food, condiments, ice cream, cleaning agents, beauty products, and personal care. Unilever is the largest producer of soap in the world, and its products are available in around 190 countries. The Rising Wedge broke through the support line on 04/10/2022. If the price holds below this level, you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 31 days towards 3 647.00 GBp. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 4 178.00 GBp if you decide to enter this position.
In the first half of 2022, Unilever's growth accelerated again as its robust sales in the U.S., India, and other markets easily offset its lockdown-induced disruptions in China. It also raised its prices to offset the impact of inflation. For the full year, it expects underlying sales to grow by more than 6.5%.
Unilever's underlying earnings per share (EPS) rose 5.5% in 2021, but grew just 1% year-over-year in the first half of 2022 as the inflation and currency headwinds squeezed its margins. It expects its underlying operating margin to decline about 240 basis points to 16% this year.
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Is this buy signal, or bull trap?Hi, Unilever seems to jump up from the bull flag pattern from 2012. I will still observe as GBP is not stable at this moment while current CEO resigns. Yet, assumed recession considered, dividend history, this is good time to go long? Ichimoku is up. RSI is near overbought. Any opinions?
Buy $UL - NRPicks 13 MayUnilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company. It operates through the Beauty & Personal Care, Food & Refreshments, and Home Care segments.
Revenue TTM 59.9B
Net Income TTM 6.8B
EBITDA TTM 12.2B
Net Margin TTM 11.5%
Margin EBITDA TTM 20%
Total Debt/EBITDA TTM 2.7x
A short opportunity in Unilever.Unilever (ULVR) - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 44.49 (stop at 45.41)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term momentum is bearish.
44.60 has been pivotal.
44.60 continues to hold back the bears.
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
A break of 44.60 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
Our profit targets will be 42.31 and 41.71
Resistance: 45.30 / 45.60 / 46.00
Support: 44.60 / 44.00 / 43.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses
