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NAS100 trade ideas
US100 NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
NAS100USD: CPI Volatility & Institutional Continuation Sell-OffGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish following a significant CPI news release. This high-impact event resulted in a sharp bearish displacement, reinforcing the ongoing bearish narrative. Yesterday, I shared an analysis predicting this continued bearishness. For those interested, you’ll find that analysis attached at the end of this description for deeper context.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
CPI-Induced Displacement : The CPI release triggered a large downward move, forming a massive single candle that left behind a noticeable inefficiency—a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Liquidity Grab & Fair Valuation: After sell stops were taken, price retraced to fill the FVG, restoring fair valuation. This retracement fully closed the gap, confirming a continuation of bearish order flow.
Premium Price Zone: We are currently in a deep premium price range, which aligns with institutional distribution zones. These areas offer excellent opportunities for confirmation-based sell entries.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation at the current premium price level before entering short positions.
Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at lower prices, as these are the areas institutions will likely target to take profits.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
For more context, here’s yesterday’s analysis below.
Happy Trading!
The Architect 🏛📊
NASQ 100 - Buy pattern formed Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
NASDAQ: Ready to break out of consolidation and aim for 24,600Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.119, MACD = 45.480, ADX = 25.617) as it is trading sideways for the last 2 months. The 2 year Channel Up is intact and such consolidation patterns have broken out aggressively in the past to the new HH. As long as the 1W MA50 is supporting, the long term bullish trend will stay intact and we can aim for a total of +43% price increase (TP = 24,600) from the last HL, a -4% drop rate from the last one.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago.
Levels to watch: $30.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NAS100 SELL AT SUPPLY ZONE SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price has form a supply around level of 21667.59 which is likely to continue moving down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 20195.22 and 18783.19 . Use money management
Market Alert: Considering Shorting NASDAQ?he NASDAQ is showing signs of potential weakness amid rising bond yields, geopolitical tensions, and mixed earnings reports. Key tech stocks are under pressure, and the index is testing critical support levels.
Why Short NASDAQ Now?
Rising interest rates are weighing on growth stocks.
Overbought conditions in tech suggest a pullback could be imminent.
Bearish technical patterns forming on the daily chart.
USNAS100 Awaits CPI – Will 21,560 Hold or Break?📊 USNAS100 Technical Analysis
The market is expected to be highly volatile today due to the CPI announcement. The expected CPI is 2.9%, the same as the previous reading, indicating no change in inflation. This is likely to have a negative impact on indices, as it suggests no shift in Federal Reserve policy.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If CPI remains at 2.9%, price is expected to drop to 21,560.
A confirmed break below 21,560 will extend the bearish trend toward 21,390 and 21,215.
The descending channel structure suggests continued selling pressure unless a reversal occurs.
🔹 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 2.9%):
If the price stabilizes above 21,560, it could attempt a recovery toward 21,807 and 21,900.
A CPI release below 2.9% would likely trigger a bullish breakout, pushing price toward 22,100 and beyond.
🔑 Key Levels
📌 Pivot Point: 21690
📈 Resistance Levels: 21807, 21900, 22100
📉 Support Levels: 21560, 21390, 21215
Trend Outlook:
Bearish below 21,560
Bullish breakout potential if CPI is lower than 2.9%
💬 Will USNAS100 break 21,560 or bounce toward 21,807? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
NSDQ100 Consolidation capped at 21820 levelThe NSDQ100 (USTec) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 24th December 2024 the NSDQ100 index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 21400, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21400 level could target the upside resistance at 21820 followed by the 21950 and 22130 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 21400 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21240 support level followed by 21940.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Rally Faces Strong Resistance at 22,000Nasdaq remains within the borders of its 2-year up-trending channel, and a break above 22,000–22,200 is needed to confirm the next rally toward 22,800–22,900.
On the downside, tariff pressures and AI competition have led to temporary dips to 20,800. A firm close below 21,200 and 20,800, particularly below the 2-year channel boundaries, could extend losses toward 20,300, 19,900, and 19,700, aligning with the December 2024–January 2025 down trending channel boundaries.
🔍 Key Events to Watch:
- Fed Powell’s Testimony – Part 2
- U.S. CPI Report & Monetary Policy Outlook
- AI Innovations & Rising Chinese Competition
- Tariff Announcement
- Razan Hilal, CMT
US100 Trade Log - CPI Pre-ShotUS100 long ahead of "CPI release" , pre-shot long for Asia session.
- Entry at "1H Kijun" and deep into "15m FVG" , aligning with pre-triangle accumulation.
- Structure is "hyper discretionary" but leans into my bullish bias.
- "Max pain: 2%" , treating this as a CPI momentum trade.
- If price respects the level, expecting an upside expansion. If not, I eat the loss.
NAS100 BEARISH 800PIPSBearish Forecast Explanation:
Bearish means you expect the NAS100 to decline in value.
You're targeting a move down by 800 points.
Your stop loss is set at 300 points if the trade moves against you.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The risk-to-reward ratio (R/R) is a critical aspect of this setup:
Risk = Stop loss (300 points).
Reward = Target profit (800 points).
Thus, the risk-to-reward ratio is 800/300, which simplifies to 2.67:1. This means that for every point you're risking, you expect to make 2.67 points in profit if the trade goes as planned.
Market Forecast:
To forecast whether the NAS100 is likely to fall by 800 points, we would generally need to assess the following factors:
Technical Indicators:
Support and Resistance Levels: Look for significant resistance near your entry level. A break of key support could push the index lower.
Trend Analysis: If the NAS100 is currently in a downtrend, your bearish outlook has more confirmation.
Indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages can help confirm momentum. If these indicate oversold conditions or the market is moving downward, it may support your bearish outlook.
Economic Data:
Interest Rate Changes (from the Fed or other central banks), economic data releases, or corporate earnings reports can impact the NAS100 significantly.
A strong bearish catalyst like disappointing tech earnings, poor economic data, or geopolitical uncertainty could potentially drive the market down, aligning with your forecast.
NAS100USD: False Breakout & Institutional Sell ModelGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe a recent bullish shift in price action; however, this appears to be a false break of structure rather than a genuine bullish continuation. The market behavior suggests a classic liquidity raid, clearing buy stops before setting the stage for a potential bearish continuation. Let’s break this down in detail.
KEY OBSERVATIONS
1. Liquidity Raid & Displacement:
Price aggressively pushed above the engineered trendline to clear liquidity resting above it. Following this raid, we observed a strong displacement toward the downside, signaling that smart money likely distributed sell orders against the buy stop liquidity.
2. Premium Price Zone:
Price is currently positioned within a deep premium range, a high-probability zone for institutional traders to initiate sell positions. This premium alignment strengthens the case for further bearish movement.
3. Rejection Block as Resistance:
The market is reacting to a rejection block, which serves as a critical institutional resistance zone—the last line of defense for bearish momentum. This reinforces our bearish bias and offers a potential entry area.
TRADING PLAN
1. Entry Strategy:
Wait for confirmation at the rejection block to ensure a high-probability entry.
Focus on short opportunities in line with institutional order flow.
2. Target Zones:
Aim for discount liquidity pools resting at lower levels. These areas are prime targets for institutional traders to offload positions and take profits.
Conclusion:
By recognizing the false break of structure and understanding the liquidity dynamics at play, we align our strategy with the institutions’ intentions. Patience and precision will be key in capturing this opportunity.
Stay focused and trade smart.
The Architect 🏛️📊
NASDAQ in an important multi-month congestioncontext
I prefer trading individual stocks to indices because indices behave in a counterintuitive way. they work well with reversion-to-the-mean strategies as they happen to represent an aggregate picture, and that is what aggregates do.
opinion
indices are amazing at pointing out consolidation and expansion phases. they do this naturally as stocks move in bursts, mostly in unison.
observation and implication
NASDAQ approaches a critical period of congestion. an upside breakout will mean a further rally for the magnificent 8 (or as I call them, titans); and for RUT2000.
a downward break would mean the inception of a bearish trend. titans shall fall, and eventually they will drag down all the frontrunners. the stocks to go up would be in the utility, energy, aerospace and defence (of course) sectors. stocks hidden from the average sigma beta capsicum hedge funds will have some time to react, hopefully.
the trade
speculation aside,
- bullish on NAS if price breaks above $22900
- bearish on NAS if price breaks below $20450
