NAS100 SELL 1 HOUR TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Look how price reacted to this on the left
Formed a strong supply area
Gaps to fill
Expecting a 6:1 Risk to Reward Let’s see!
NAS100 trade ideas
NDQ100 Update - Overaction? Thanks for checking out our latest update. Today, we are looking at the NDQ100 daily chart.
What a 48 hours we have seen. After a plunge that wiped off up to 1 trillion dollars and close to 600 million off Nvidia, we saw a fast fightback at the end of the session and a recovery on Tuesday. The crash occurred after Chinese Tech company DeepSeek shocked the AI world with a powerful LLM.
Looking at the last price action, has support reformed? Will we see the new push higher after this last seller test? Buyers look interested, but we would like further confirmation with rallies that fill the gap or a test of the last high.
Good trading from Eightcap.
Expansion aheadThe Nasdaq is currently stabilising above 20559 and may likely continue to grow aiming to create future highs. As the indice grows, there will also be correction phases that will yield to upward continuation - until a future bearish catalyst that may lead to a transition away from the ongoing bull run.
NASDAQ: Now targets 24,000 by Q2Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NAS100USD: Bullish Momentum Aims to Fill Market InefficiencyIn today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow, indicating a favorable environment for bullish opportunities.
Key Observation:
The primary target in price action is the market gap, representing a clear inefficiency that the market aims to fill. This gap serves as a draw on liquidity, aligning with institutional objectives to rebalance price action.
Trading Plan:
Objective: Look for opportunities to align with the bullish narrative.
Target: Focus on the market gap as the key area of interest, anticipating it to be fully filled as the inefficiency is resolved.
By following the bullish institutional order flow and targeting the inefficiency, we align ourselves with the market's structural objectives.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis 28 January 2025
- Nasdaq-100 reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up from the support zone set between the key support level .00 (which has been reversing the index from December), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from November.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (2).
Given the strong daily uptrend, the Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 22000.00 (which stopped earlier waves (B) and (1)).
Nas100 - 15 min ( Buy Scalping after Retest Tp Range 300 PIP ) In the current market analysis of the NAS100 via FXCM, a pivotal bearish sentiment is observed following a retest of the key level in the 21400 area, accompanied by heightened trading volume. The analysis conducted emphasizes the significance of this threshold, denoting it as an optimal point for potential market entry. Our focus remains on delivering precise opportunities and insights rather than relying solely on quantitative metrics.
⚡️Nas100 / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bearish After Retest key level + High Volume / 21400 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
NASDAQ SHORTNQ just took out the previous day low and made a market structure shift and now am waiting for the current candle stick to close below the mss level and the sibi to stay open so i can have all my confirmation aligned but on the 5 minutes the trade is valide and it's already a sell, targeting the NDOL, first TP and the Take Profit is on the minor sell side liquidity. xoxo
NAS100 15MIN SELLS The Bearish Reversal Entry Model is one of the most effective setups in 2025. Here's how it typically plays out:
- Sweep the High of the Asian Range: Price often manipulates above the Asian session's highs, taking out liquidity.
- Change of Character (CHOCH): After the sweep, price reverses, showing a shift in market structure.
- Retrace: The price pulls back, creating an opportunity to enter a trade(sells).
- Target Daily Lows/Asian Lows (SSL) : Set your take-profit level at the Daily Low.
"US100 / US Tech / NASDAQ" Index Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US100 / US Tech / NASDAQ" Index Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 21,300.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 22,400.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The (US100 / US Tech / NASDAQ) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
🟡Macroeconomic Factors:
Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates is expected to support the US stock market.
Economic Growth: The US economy is expected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace, supporting the stock market.
Inflation: Low inflation levels are expected to support the stock market, as they allow for accommodative monetary policy.
🟢Fundamental Factors:
Earnings Growth: Strong earnings growth from major tech companies, such as Apple and Microsoft, is expected to support the NASDAQ100.
Valuations: The NASDAQ100 is trading at a relatively high valuation, but strong earnings growth and low interest rates are expected to support the index.
Sector Rotation: The rotation into growth sectors, such as tech and healthcare, is expected to support the NASDAQ100.
🔵Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis:
Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long the NASDAQ100, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bullish, with many analysts expecting the NASDAQ100 to continue its uptrend.
Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that the NASDAQ100 is in an uptrend, with a bullish breakout above the 13,000 level.
🟣Sentimental Outlook:
Bullish Sentiment: 65%
Bearish Sentiment: 20%
Neutral Sentiment: 15%
🟤Trader and Market Sentiment:
- 55% of institutional traders are long on the NASDAQ 100 index, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Retail traders are also optimistic, with 60% of traders holding a long position on the index.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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US100 Trade LogUS100 analysis: Three "buy zones" identified for potential entries with distinct risk levels.
1. "Zone 1" : Near the "4H Kijun" and prior weak high, aiming for short-term rebound with controlled risk.
2. "Zone 2" : Aligns with deeper "4H FVG" support. This setup offers a higher conviction for a reversal targeting the mid-range.
3. "Zone 3" : Major buy zone with strong confluence at the "PML" and "1H FVG" . Willing to risk 2% for a potential return of up to 10%, depending on upcoming earnings.
Each zone represents escalating risk-reward setups, ensuring precise risk management across macro support structures. Consider macro headwinds and earnings season's volatility.
NDX moves in Fibonacci number %. Just finished 100% leg NDX has frequent moves of 100X % 50% 61%. Since its lows in Oct 2023 has gained approx 100%
Expect some consolidation, reallocation of stocks. Trumps policy are inflationary. Tariff and expulsion of undocumented workers means no workers nor cheap labour. AI hype correction is underway. Headwinds from here on. Wont be surprised if it corrects to touch the lower trendline in next few months
Why DeepSeek Has Blown Up Nasdaq?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
DeepSeek the privately held company owned by co-founder Liang Wenfeng's quant investment fund High-Flyer has emerged as one of the most influential companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), revolutionizing financial and technology markets. Today we take a look at how its innovation has impacted key sectors and the promising future it envisions.
Transforming Markets
DeepSeek has consolidated its position in the technology industry thanks to advances in natural language processing, computer vision and machine learning. These technologies have found applications in sectors such as finance, healthcare, retail and automotive. In finance, its AI tools have optimized decision making, trend prediction and risk management. Banking institutions and investment funds have managed to reduce costs and improve their operational efficiency, which has strengthened investor confidence.
It is interesting to see how a project in which only $10 million has been invested has surpassed projects such as OpenAI (ChatGPT) in which large companies such as Microsoft are involved and have invested more than $10 billion in them, not to mention large market makers such as NVIDIA that dedicate a lot of resources to this purpose. This may be highlighting a potential financial speculation bubble brewing among the Magnificent 7. According to my DeepSeek estimates it could be valued as high as $345 per share, a higher price than OpenAI, currently mostly sponsored by Microsoft, and one of the companies most affected by yesterday's drop, could be worth in the market. The Magnificent 7 fell sharply. NVIDIA down -16%, Microsoft , Alphaben and Tesla down -2% respectively,and Broadcom down -17%. During yesterday's session, DeepSeek shares drove a drop in Nasdaq and S&P500 that only seems to reflect that the only reasons the market seems to be bullish on the AI bubble. The market closed with corrections of -612.47 points for the former and -88.96 points for the latter. 2 Billion dollars have been lost in a single day in the market, the largest loss of market capitalization in the history of the stock market led by NVDIA in absolute terms. All this has generated that hackers have tried to burst the DeepSeek service and for hours the registration of thousands of accounts that requested to have an account through Googleplay has been blocked. This impact has caused the index to partially recover its price.
What does it have to do with the fact that a small company has affected all the suppliers of all these outputs, even affecting companies from different sectors? Well, a company that has cost less to generate the same outputs with fewer inputs, i.e., with fewer hens, has obtained more eggs. Therefore, this has backfired on the U.S. government with the sanctions. If DeepSeek has just demonstrated that it is possible to reach the same result, consuming less capital, then the suppliers of these services will see their future sales negatively impacted (see GPU suppliers, energy, etc.), in order to continue developing and operating AI. This is a sledgehammer for very inefficient US AI companies, which can be replicated at fraction of the cost of what was currently considered.
Impact on Technology Companies
DeepSeek has redefined the dynamics in the technology sector by collaborating with giants such as software developers and hardware manufacturers. These partnerships have driven the integration of AI into products and services, from algorithmic trading platforms to smart devices.
For example, big data and cybersecurity companies have adopted its advanced algorithms to improve data protection and optimize resource management. This has generated a domino effect, where smaller technology firms have also leveraged DeepSeek's innovation to develop customized solutions.
The semiconductor sector has been another beneficiary, with increased demand for advanced chips designed to support DeepSeek's deep learning capabilities. This has increased sales and technology development in this segment.
Futuristic Advances
DeepSeek's future is promising. The company is focused on:
1. general AI development (AGI): they seek to create systems capable of performing human intellectual tasks, with potential impact in education, medicine and more.
2. Sustainability: Their algorithms help optimize energy use in smart cities and predict weather patterns.
3. Ethics and Transparency: Promote the responsible use of AI, gaining trust among regulators and consumers.
NASDAQ Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: USATEC)
Looking at the WACD in its three forms, on the overbought signal on the 24th and 27th there were already SELL signals indicating that the market was overbought. This was confirmed by the subsequent volume deltas shown in red candles and high trading volume in that direction. Later in the day yesterday, there were some glimpses of recovery and BUY signals were given again and the price partially recovered the decline to around 21,235 points. If we look at the 3 smoothed averages of the WACD we see that there has been a bearish confirmation and the direction has evolved strongly downwards and the direction seems to be softening slightly upwards. If conditions are right it could be that the Checkpoint (POC) at 21850 could be regained if the market decides that Deepseek is not as dangerous to its NASDAQ rivals. Technical indicators, yesterday put the RSI at 7% oversold, on the index, which has supported the index's recovery.
Conclusion
Three clarifications are in order, although we have been told that DeepSeek has received only 6 to 10 million, it is very likely that the Chinese state has funded the previous research cost, and this is not being imputed to the value of DeepSeek's R1, we also do not know if China has managed to circumvent the US chip and semiconductor sanctions, and they have underestimated the value on purpose, unofficially it could have employed more semiconductors than it has declared to avoid problems with the US government, and thus falsely demonstrate that the model in its training has employed less resources than they actually did. One can also take note that R1 has employed the chatgpt model O1, with shortcuts in its reasoning structure. If this were true, DeepSeek's R1 model has been developed thanks to ChatGPT and this could have been given thanks to OpenAI and would reduce the value of obtaining such success. The cost of using AI is one of the main arguments as to whether the demand for power and data targets is what will really determine the value of these companies. This has to be taken into account because if AI becomes a low-consumption standard, we will have AI in our soup and the aggregate demand for these elements will expand, and since we will be using it continuously, the high consumption of AI will increase.
This is what is known as the Jevons Paradox (the Jevons paradox implies that the introduction of more energy efficient technologies may ultimately increase total energy consumption and simultaneously lead to an increase in emissions) . Also to be taken into account is the AI recursive improvement paradox, of improving the mechanism of the AI reasoning process and efficiency. The positive implication is that small models would be able to distill the large AI models even if their model was closed and opaque, and this tool would not be monopolized by large companies but from the hand on a cell phone could apply improvements in these small models. The downside would be the opportunities and risks of AI, this recursive self-improvement brings us steps closer to artificial superintelligence, this has its risks.
The wisdom of Warren Buffet, often warns that no matter how clear we are that a certain industry is the future, it is very complicated to determine which will be the winning horses in that sector. A week ago NVIDIA AND CHATGPT were going to eat the world and overnight DeepSeek could end up sweeping the world in that specific sector. And any other startup could replace all of them. This already happened back in the day in the internet browsers era making what is Google Chrome today the main player or safari, when in other times there were other browsers like internet explorer, etc.
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Nas100 - 15 min ( Buy Scalping After Break The NAS100 index, as analyzed through FXCM's platform, indicates a bullish trend following a breakout at the key level of 21180, accompanied by significant trading volume. This analysis highlights the most precise opportunities available, emphasizing the importance of strategic insights over mere numerical data. Traders are encouraged to consider these findings in their decision-making processes to capitalize on favorable market conditions.
⚡️Nas100 / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break key level + High Volume / 21180 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional MoveTrading View Link: US Tech 100 – Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move for PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 by tv1lsqiw — TradingView
Main Chart Link:
Title: Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move
Just as US Tech 100 traders were starting to think about the potential for a renewed attempt at all time highs again after President Trump’s first week in office saw him apply a more measured approach to imposing tariffs on key trading partners, they were jolted back into reality yesterday with a sharp and immediate 3% drop from the open.
Buzz had been building around Chinese AI start up DeepSeek’s latest AI model, released last week, in that it was a credible alternative to the US offerings from OpenAI, for example. Over the weekend this buzz shifted to outright investor panic that DeepSeek was able to produce such a competitive AI model, given that they offer a much lower cost business proposition based on using less advanced chips.
This realisation, that DeepSeek could be a major low cost disruptor in the AI space initiated a recalibration of valuations which saw semiconductor stocks fall, led by a massive 17% drop in Nvidia stock which wiped around $600 billion from its overall value. All of which, pulled the wider US Tech 100 lower due to the large weighting held by Nvidia.
Now, looking forward, this week’s packed calendar of events could lead to increased volatility for the US Tech 100.
On Wednesday evening the Federal Reserve interest rate decision is released at 1900 GMT. No changed is expected so the emphasis is likely to shift towards the comments from Chairman Powell in the press conference which starts at 1930 GMT.
Traders will want to know whether his thoughts towards rate cuts in the first half of 2025 may have changed after the recent slowing in underlying inflation. They will also want to know how many rate cuts Fed policymakers now see across the whole of 2025.
If that wasn’t enough, later Wednesday night, Tesla, Microsoft and Meta release their earnings, with Apple’s results released after the close on Thursday. While expectations are high, traders will be keen to see whether there is any slowdown in growth relative to previous quarters. They will also want to know the details of AI related spending and revenue, with any disappointment leading to an increase in US Tech 100 volatility into the weekend.
Technical Update:
After Monday’s sharp decline, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Big Tech stock earnings are set to be important sentiment drivers for the US Tech 100 Index.
The question is, will these events lead to fresh buying, supporting the index after its recent falls, or will they be viewed by traders as another reason to reduce risk further, extending the downside moves?
Let’s have a look at the potential technical levels that may be worth watching over coming days.
Potential Support Levels:
Weakness such as that seen on Monday does not in itself mark the potential of a sentiment shift, as key support levels must give way to increase the possibilities of further declines.
With that in mind, Monday’s price weakness held above support at 20477, with is the low from January 13th. Having prompted the type of rebound it did yesterday, closing breaks below this level may be required if a more extended phase of weakness is to materialise.
Closes below 20477 may be an indication that the current weakness can extend to lower levels. If that were the case the next possible support may be between 20270/20309, which contains the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August 2024 to December 2024 strength and the November 19th session low.
If this area gives way, the next support could then be 19904, which is the November 4th 2024 low.
Potential Resistance Levels:
By running Fibonacci retracements using last week’s high at 21909 (January 22nd high) alongside Monday’s low at 20477, the 61.8% retracement stands at 21424. This may mark the first resistance that needs to be broken on a closing basis.
If there were a break above this Fibonacci level, then last week’s 21909 high may be the next important resistance level to monitor. This resistance level now marks an area where having found sellers before, it could so again, especially as it was strong enough to turn the recent advance lower in the way it did on Monday.
While breaks of previous highs may have resulted in fresh price strength previously, there is no guarantee they will do so again, and much will depend on future price trends. However, possible closes above 21909 can potentially open up a more prolonged phase of price strength to challenge, possibly even breach 22142, the December 16th all-time high.
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Outlook for the next weeks after really significant drop.Nasdaq fell because of the new concerns about the dominance of US´s AI. Spotlight was on Chinese startup DeepSeks latest AI model, which is cost-efficient and able to run on less advanced chips.
This startup is challenging companies like Nvidia and ChatGPT.
I was predicting some kind of drop after the weekend because the price reacted to the big supply zone, but the drop was more drastical and faster than i thought and i didnt catch it. I still feel like markets are going to heal from this drop, but it will take some time.
I am looking for markets to fill the nearest imbalance and then going slowly up. Or the second scenario is going far more down and taking liquidity and acumulate/consolidate.
Let me know your prediction :)
