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Gold Futures

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2024-09-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - There it is. Another break above, which was expected more than bears breaking below 2500. Bulls want 2600 and I expect more profit taking and more sideways movement at that level. No interest in selling it. gold comment: New ath, which I have been writing about for many weeks now on the premise that as long as bears could not even break below 2500, there was no alternative to being bullish. The breakout was a matter of when and not if. Market refused to close below the daily ema for 5 days despite touching it 4 times. That’s strong bulls scaling into longs. What’s next? We are at the top of the bull channel and every time market made a new high, bulls took bigger profits. Will this time be different? I doubt it. Can bulls break above the bull channel for much higher prices? Doubt that too. Will look for weakness and scalp some shorts tomorrow. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 2500 - 2600 bull case: Bulls want 2600 and somewhat above to run stops. Nothing unexpected. I highly doubt that have bigger interest in printing much higher than 2600, given the previous sell offs after new ath. 15m 20ema was not touched on the whole move up, so look for longs once we get there before we hit 2600. Invalidation is below 2550. bear case: Bears gave up above 2560 and I can’t see them coming around big time below 2600 so don’t waste energy on looking for shorts until it’s clear that bulls have no interest in buying anymore. Bears need a break of the 15m and 1h ema to begin with. Invalidation is above 2610. short term: Bullish for 2600 and then only interested in shorts again. medium-long term: Will update on the weekend. Bulls are clearly much stronger than most expected. Market refuses to go down. current swing trade: None trade of the day : If in doubt, zoom out. 1h chart showed only strength since Globex. Buy anywhere and make money.
CLong
by priceactiontds
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : GOLD Breakout WINNERGetting through my morning with phone calls and coding - I took a break to check on the markets and what did I see? A huge breakout rally in GOLD. This huge move higher (+$40) is a massive win for those who followed my Plan You Trade Videos. I've been saying any price move above $2565-$2575 would be a gift and traders should attempt to BOOK PROFITS as Gold moves above these levels. I warned not to hold positions above $2585-2593. In fact, I'm expecting a bit of a metals flash-crash event to take place near mid-October. But, today is a winner day for gold traders. A HUGE WINNER day. I'm so happy to hear from all of you about your success with my Plan Your Trade videos. This is what it is all about - help you become a more skilled trader. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
CLong
by BradMatheny
Gold 2,538$, Sept 24'. Sharp Decline follows ContinuationHello Traders. This is my analysis of Gold for the medium term. We have CPI forecasted to decrease tomorrow and IR anticipated to be cut next week. We may observe heavy volatility and opportunity in the market. CPI Consumer Prices have been decreasing /cooling all summer 24' Labor Market began strong but has progressively cooled though Summer 24' Additionally, the Labor market began relatively strong through Q1 and Q2 24' but has eased into Q3 Interest Rates have remained the same through the summer 24' and remain unchanged since Sept 23'
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by ShrewdCatfx
1
Looked at about five markets9.9.24 there were some great moves at the end of last week and there were great reversal areas this weekend on Sunday especially with the ES and this follows the previous video when I predicted that the es would go down about 100 points. I botched up the silver on this video a little bit but it made a real nice movement lower and came down to support ... but I'm not quite sure if it's going to go higher or lower... so I talked about that on the video. I left some other Marcus that we've been following to be videos maybe later today or tomorrow.
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by ScottBogatin
#202437 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: Neutral. All bull wedges broken but the broad bull channel continues. Market only moved sideways, so no deeper meaning to this. Bears could not get a single daily close below the daily ema. Unless that changes, bulls are heavily favored to try 2600. Bears are only allowed to speak again once they have a daily close below 2500. Quote from last week: comment: Weekly inside bar. I am not lazy but I do not see any value in making up more words to fill the page so you can stay busy longer reading this. Market is neutral around 2530. Bulls need a daily close above 2570 and bears one below 2500. That’s it. Structure is still bullish. We have a big bull wedge on the weekly/monthly chart, nested bull wedges on lower time frames and sort of a bull channel upwards. I very slightly favor the bears to test 2500 again but only because bears closed last week at the lows. Daily ema held for 3 weeks now and there is no reason why it should break now and we are only 10 points above it. comment: 4th week between 2500 and 2570. 3rd consecutive bear bar on the weekly chart but does that mean this is bearish? Hell no. Bears still have no daily close below the daily ema and until that changes, bulls are in control but only barely anymore. The longer a trading range continues, the more neutral the market becomes and the odds for both sides are 50/50 again. No deeper meaning to this until we break below 2500 or above 2570. current market cycle: Trading range for many months now and it’s probably coming to an end over the next weeks/months. Bulls are currently still trading above the previous highs, which is sort of confirmation of the breakout but I am not 100% convinced. Need a daily close above 2570 for that. —unchanged key levels: 2400 - 2570 bull case: Bears not doing enough so bulls are happy to continue. They want 2600 next and have all arguments on their side as long as they stay above 2500. Only updated 2517 to 2500. Still unchanged bull case for weeks now. Invalidation is below 2500. bear case: Nothing changed for the bears. Either stop the bulls below 2570 or give up for 2600 and potentially 2700 over the next weeks. Bears need a 1h close below 2500 badly. That’s it. Exactly the same sentences as last week. —unchanged Invalidation is above 2570. outlook last week: short term: Neutral. Clear invalidation levels for both sides. Set up alarms and be patient. → Last Sunday we traded 2527 and now we are at 2524. Hope you did not longed the highs or shorted the lows. Spot on outlook that was. short term: Neutral. Clear invalidation levels for both sides. Set up alarms and be patient. —unchanged because we moved 3 points from Friday’s close to Friday’s close. medium-long term: Above 2570 I will update this. Until then we are in a trading range 2400-2570. current swing trade: None. chart update: Removed bull gap to 2490. It’s still there on the weekly but it currently does not help with the daily/weekly updates.
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by priceactiontds
GC1! - Sep 9-13 AnalysisMonthly : Monthly CRT (bearish) in progress. ERL -> IRL. Mostly likely IRL would be the monthly volume imbalance co-inciding with the 50% (2487.1) of the previous monthly candle. Overall monthly PA is still bullish. Hence multiple confirmations needed for bearish scenario. Weekly : last week completed the ERL-> IRL on weekly reaching the weekly fvg (in blue) and bouncing from there The bounce was also from 61.8% of the last 3 week's range which was expected but additional rejection was seen from weekly Volume imbalance (in red) weekly chart is neutral as of now. Need to see reaction of price at 50% and OTE of range to confirm any long or short bias Daily : Daily chart is also neutral with a slightly bearish bias as price looks to reject from the bearish daily OB. However would need a strong displacement early in the week (Mon/Tue)on the down side to confirm the bearish scenario. 4 hour: The 4h chart is seen consolidating in a range. We need confirmation here to confirm our bias on either side. Summary : Monthly action shows bearish conditions, but we need confirmation on lower time frames to confirm our bias. Most likely wait and watch for price to give a confirmation before engaging further. However range traders are most likely to find quick opportunities if the setup presents itself.
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by profitmaker2805
Smart Money Positioned to SHORT Gold - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Gold (GC) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max short of last 2 years = bearish. True Seasonal: Seasonal down to October. Supplementary Indicators: %R & Momentum (not yet confirmed) Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
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by Tradius_Trades
Akcapitals Gold Market Analysis: NFP News ImpactAkcapitals analyzed the gold market in response to the upcoming NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news release. The analysis suggests a potential downward sweep in prices to the range of $2537 through $2528 before the market reacts to the news. This movement could signal volatility, as the market may adjust before deciding its next direction following the NFP release. Traders should watch for reactions around these levels for signs of a potential shift.
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by Ak_capitalist