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Dow Jones Industrial Average IndexDD

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

44,217.27USDR
−0.800.00%
As of today at 22:02 GMT
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US30 trade ideas

Is It Over?Today's red Doji candle at the underside of the downtrend line is a high potential short entry point if not already. Despite the rally the past week or so, it is far from convincing...no real conviction to buy this market and who can blame them. The current wave 2 bounce will be followed by wave 3 down as the most likely scenario, or we are in a wave 4 to be followed by a wave 5 to complete, any firm close below the lows gives us our answer. Gold is selling off, our $3400 target was met and reversed in a now wave 4 down, this may approach the $3160 area, or a sideways move before another strong wave 5 up. This is a great opportunity to accumulate physical metals to protect yourself from the coming reset. Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading and God Bless you all!
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Fractal777
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment. 1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones. 1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations. Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth. 1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further. Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78. Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot. 1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears. 2. Technical Analysis The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025: Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000. Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78. Price Targets: Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78 Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones). 3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today. Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow. 4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast 4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025) PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off. Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7. Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns. 4.2. Dow Scenario Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025. 4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500 I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power. Idea: New Screenshot: 4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts: · Europe vs. Russia · India vs. Pakistan · Iran vs. Israel Brent (UKOIL): Natural Gas:
TShort
by SergioRichi
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 41,309.98 1st Support: 40,778.41 1st Resistance: 42,730.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
DOW/US30 - PLEASE FOLLOW THE STRATEGY ACCORDINGLYTeam, two are set up on LONG position for DOW/US30. if you have seen my video, how I trade and how much I made, you would notice the difference. With strategy 1, you make 10-15% profit on your capital, depending on how much risk you take. Please add your entry slowly. Do not trade plan one aggressively. also, follow the target range accordingly, make sure trail stop loss to BE once the first target is reached and take 50% partial With strategy 2, if the market allows, this is where we would kill the market. But we need to be patient. As you can see, in the last 2-3 days, I did not trade the DOW/US30 because I prefer to enter at a certain level and price action. Please follow the plan accordingly; once it hits target 1, take 30% and bring stop loss to BE I hope you understand my strategy. Let's make millions together.
PLong
by ActiveTraderRoom
US30 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 42,099/43, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 41,299.50 an overlap support . The stop loss is set at 42745.02, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TShort
by Tradu
US30 Recently will breakoutUS3O A new forecast a new downtrend zone Forecast from Mr Martin11 Date 14 May 2025 US30 Bearish Pattern Analysis Currently showing a bearish structure The price appears to be nearing a breakout to the downside. Targets to watch 1st Target 40,500 2nd Target: 39,500 if the bearish breakout confirms (possibly with strong volume and a close below recent support), the price may push toward these lower support levels. If you'd like, I can help you with a chart annotation or deeper technical analysis (e.g., support/resistance levels, RSI, MACD, Fibonacci retracement). you may find more details in the Chart Thanks Good Luck Traders.
BShort
by MrMartin_11
US30: Bullish Breakout on the Horizon – Next Target 44,000? US30: Bullish Breakout on the Horizon – Next Target 44,000? Since our last analysis, US30 has climbed +2.7%, rising from 39,300 to 40,400. The price is nearing a breakout from a large bullish triangle, which could trigger an even bigger upward move. After hitting a low of 36,500 on April 7, US30 has been steadily rising, forming a strong triangle pattern. A breakout could start a powerful wave toward 44,000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Previous analysis:
CLong
by KlejdiCuni
8
US30 Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle – Bullish Targets EyedUS30 (Dow Jones) has successfully broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. The breakout is occurring after a strong recovery from April lows, with higher lows supporting upward price pressure. 🔹 Chart Structure: Symmetrical triangle with a clean breakout above descending resistance. Series of higher lows indicating accumulation. Bullish breakout confirmed with price pushing above the 40,580 zone. 🔑 Key Levels: Current Price: 40,586 Breakout Confirmation Level: 40,580 Immediate Resistance/TP1: 42,762 Major Resistance/TP2: 43,924 Support Zone: 38,950 Invalidation/Stop Level: Below 38,950 ✅ Bullish Confluence Factors: Breakout of symmetrical triangle pattern Higher lows indicate bullish strength and accumulation Momentum shift visible on lower timeframes Positive correlation with improving US equity market sentiment Anticipation of dovish Fed tone could boost equities 🧠 Fundamental Context: Market is cautiously optimistic ahead of FOMC this week; dovish stance expected due to recent soft economic indicators. Earnings season tailwinds and lower bond yields support index gains. Ongoing political and tariff-related headlines may cause volatility, but technical breakout remains in focus. 💡 Trade Idea: Bias: Bullish Entry: On successful retest of 40,580 or continuation above 40,600 TP1: 42,762 TP2: 43,924 Stop Loss: Below 38,950 📌 Note: Watch for pullbacks to triangle resistance-turned-support. FOMC and US macro data releases midweek can impact momentum.
CLong
by ultreosforex
DOW JONES History shows that we're now targeting 68000.Dow Jones (DJI) recovered its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), sending a clear technical message that the 'Trade War' correction is over and the long-term bullish trend has been resumed. The bottom of that correction was on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the absolute long-term Support trend-line for the index, having broken by a large extent only during the March 2020 COVID crash. That was also a bottom for Dow's Bullish Megaphone pattern. The last time that the index handed a 1W MA200 bottom while trading within a Bullish Megaphone was on February 08 2016. On both bottoms, the 1W RSI hit the 30.00 oversold barrier. In 2016 that bottom rebound initiated a (blue) Channel Up that lasted for almost 2 years and peaked on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension level. If Dow continues to replicate that pattern, we are looking at a 68000 Target (Fib 3.0 ext) by mid-2027. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TLong
by TradingShot
1
DowJones INTRADAY key trading level at 41790US stocks point to slightly lower open as traders react to global and economic developments. Main drivers: Trump’s Gulf Visit: Markets are watching for any new investment deals or geopolitical tensions. A $600B Saudi investment deal was announced yesterday, and Trump is now heading to Qatar. Tariff Optimism: Hopes of US-China tariff easing have supported recent rallies and reduced fears of a slowdown. Rate Cut Expectations Lower: Stronger sentiment has reduced chances of near-term rate cuts by the Fed, ECB, and BoE. This may limit upside for some rate-sensitive stocks. ECB Outlook: ECB’s Villeroy said a rate cut is likely this summer, keeping some dovish tone in Europe. US CPI Impact: Markets are still digesting yesterday’s inflation data, which could affect future Fed moves. Trading Takeaway: Momentum is supported by global optimism, but fading rate cut hopes and geopolitical risks may keep gains in check. Stay alert for headlines out of the Gulf. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 42550 Resistance Level 2: 42910 Resistance Level 3: 43370 Support Level 1: 41790 Support Level 2: 41470 Support Level 3: 41220 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 Breaks Out of Wedge – Bulls Eyeing 43,000 Next?Big breakout alert on the Dow Jones Index (US30)! Key Technical Highlights: Falling Wedge Breakout: Price broke out of a large falling wedge pattern, often a bullish continuation signal. Clean Retest: We’ve seen a breakout above the neckline, followed by a minor consolidation – a healthy sign of trend continuation. Trendline Confluence: Price is now riding the ascending trendline, showing strong bullish structure and momentum. Next Zone to Watch: Immediate resistance near 43,000 could be the next key level. If bulls maintain momentum, that zone may be tested soon. Trade Outlook: Bias: Bullish, as long as price stays above 41,500–41,800 area. Invalidation: A drop below the ascending trendline would invalidate the breakout and shift sentiment to neutral. What do you think? Is this a bull trap or is the Dow ready to continue higher? Share your analysis below! Smash that like button, comment your setup, and follow for more clean technical charts. #us30 #dowjones #indextrading #priceaction #chartanalysis #breakoutstrategy #technicalanalysis #tradingview
ELong
by FrankFx14
US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Updat📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 14 May 2025 Update 🚨 Price action is consolidating just below 42,200, forming a tight bullish flag/pennant structure after a clean breakout run. The trend remains firmly bullish, with EMAs aligned and curling up 📈. 🔎 Quick Breakdown: 📍 Current Price: 42,185 ⏸ Consolidation Zone: 42,000–42,250 🧠 Market is resting after a strong move — textbook bullish continuation setup 🔥 What to Watch: Break and hold above 42,250 → 🚀 Expansion move possible toward 42,600–42,800 Failure + close below 42,000 → ⚠️ Minor retrace to 41,700 support (EMA catch zone) Volume is thinning out — breakout may come soon. Stay sharp. 👀 🧠 Mindset Tip: Markets move in impulse → correction → impulse. This pause is normal. ✅ Wait for confirmation ❌ Don’t chase inside chop
FLong
by h4rVey
1
DJI – Ready for the Final ActAfter the breakdown below the last support on March 11th, the price pulled back and formed P2. A frightening drop followed, reaching P3, then a sharp V-shaped recovery up to point (4)—just a few points shy of the Center Line. If P2 doesn’t get taken out, things could turn ugly again. Because in that case, my new target lies below the white Lower Median Line Parallel, at P5. Nothing is certain—never has been. But these days, *everything* feels off balance. The moves are insane. Governments trading ahead of the news, making hundreds of millions at the expense of ordinary people. It’s like reality has left the building. Tiny positions. Tight stops. Very high risk-reward ratios. And absolutely zero FOMO. That’s how these markets must be traded. Anything else, and we’re bound to get wrecked. \#backfromcontemplation
TShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Dow Jones set for summer surge? Why a dip could spark a rallyThe Dow is stuck below key resistance. In this video, I explain why a short-term dip could trigger a powerful bullish pattern. We look at the inverse head and shoulders setup and explore how tax cuts and trade deals could fuel a breakout toward 49,000. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
TLong
by ThinkMarkets
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification: Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Strong bullish reversal from recent lows. • MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum. • RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run). • Price reclaiming key moving averages. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Clear uptrend continuation. • MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum. • Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity. • MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave. Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context): • Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts. • Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations. • VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment. ⸻ Trade Plan (Long): • Entry: 42,360 Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes. • Stop Loss (SL): 41,850 Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk). • Take Profit (TP): 43,380 Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward). FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
DOW JONES WEAK TRENDDOW JONES WEAK TREND The Dow Jones has been experiencing some fluctuations lately. While it surged over 300 points recently, there are concerns about economic slowdown indicators, such as weak labor market data and declining consumer confidence. Some analysts believe that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in response to these trends. However, strong earnings from big tech companies like Microsoft and Meta have helped offset some of the downward pressure
TShort
by comprehensiveS68604