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Dow Jones Industrial Average IndexDD

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

44,897.21USDR
+337.66+0.76%
As of today at 16:56 GMT
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US30 trade ideas

Dow Jones in a Bear Market: Is Now the Time to Buy?Hello folks, it's Tradevietstock again. Today, global stock markets are facing a string of "red-hot" sessions after the U.S. announced tariffs on various countries. Let’s explore the mid-term investment opportunities and assess the risks and rewards in this complex environment. I will gather data on the Dow Jones. Is a harsh winter on the horizon, or could this be a historic opportunity? i. Dow Jones Index 1. Statistical analysis Currently, the Dow Jones is down nearly 20% from its peak, with a steep decline that stands out as rare in its history. Such sharp drops are uncommon for the index. Us Stock Market Index DJI - 2025 Stock Market Crash - The Biggest Bluff (Tradevietstock) When filtering quantitative data, we can observe the following scenarios. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Dow Jones is likely to form a major bottom, setting the stage for a strong upward cycle. Based on probabilistic modeling, the Dow Jones is expected to hit its bottom from the 50th trading session onward, counting from April 4, 2025. The projected bottom range is approximately 32,184 to 33,717. The recent recovery doesn’t yet represent the major bottom, meaning we’ll need to wait longer for that turning point. => Conclusion: The Dow Jones has not yet formed its major bottom and likely needs to decline another 8% or so. However, the recent recovery marks the first sign that it’s gradually approaching a significant bottoming zone. 2. Market cycle analysis The DJI has experienced multiple breakouts below the True Range Bands. These bands are calculated to determine the true range of price movement, meaning that each breakout is carefully considered as a potential reversal signal, indicating that the price is breaking away from its recent trend. However, this is not the only factor we use to guide our trading decisions. According to Cycle Theory, the DJI is currently in its Phase 1, which represents a bear market. This is further supported by the extreme bearish phase shown in the indicator below. As shown in the example below, the DJI fell significantly after a strong rally, entering a bear market phase. Following this, the index experienced a small recovery after the Extreme Bearish Phase (highlighted by a red background) before retesting its recent bottom. At this stage, there’s a possibility that the DJI could form a lower low. This is why I emphasize the need for additional confirmation signals and statistical analysis before making any decisions. The strongest confirmation signals for a new uptrend occur when the price breaks above the True Range Bands, as shown in the image below. This breakout happens only after all the other criteria, such as those mentioned earlier, have been met. This marks the beginning of an uptrend ii. Sentiment Data Currently, the market is in a zone of extreme fear, consistent with our previous analysis that a major bottom is forming in this region. The sentiment index is hovering around ~4 points, a low level comparable to August 5, 2024. This panic isn’t limited to one region—global markets are in extreme turmoil, as shown by the CNN Fear and Greed Index. This indicator has dropped to the extreme fear zone, and historically, every time it hits this level, the S&P 500 forms a significant bottom. => Global markets are gripped by fear and chaos. This is a positive signal for picking up undervalued stocks. Whenever the Sentiment Index reaches this zone, markets tend to form major bottoms and rise in the mid-to-long term.
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by TVSltd_algoindicators
US30 – Descending Channel intact after False BreakoutFX:US30 is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price action continuously being restricted by the upper trendline. The recent decline indicates that sellers are in control, suggesting the possibility of continuation. Price has recently broken through a key support area and may come back to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bearish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 34,100 target, which aligns with the boundary of the channel. As long as price remains below this support area, the bearish outlook remains intact. A false breakout may occur to "trap" buyers, so it is necessary to wait for clear reversal candle confirmation before entering a trade. Remember, always confirm your setup and use appropriate risk management.
FShort
by LindaTrend
US30 | Massive Demand Zone Bounce – Is the Bull BackUS30 just tapped into a strong demand zone (38,166 – 38,287), and we’re now seeing bullish price reaction. This zone has held up well despite recent heavy selling pressure. Key Observations: Demand zone reaction confirmed with strong bullish engulfing candle Liquidity grab below the previous low – stop hunt? Bullish momentum building as price reclaims 38,287 level Next potential targets: 39,401 = minor resistance 40,549 = major supply zone (watch for reactions) What to watch next: Clean break & retest of 38,287 for confirmation Possible early entries with tight risk below the zone Strong upside potential if bullish momentum holds into the week My Bias: Bullish short-term. Looking for confirmations on retest. SL below demand zone, targeting 39.4K and above. What’s your take? Are you bullish or bearish on US30 right now? Drop your thoughts and charts in the comments! #US30 #DowJones #SmartMoney #PriceAction #DemandZone #TradingSetup #BreakoutOrBounce #TradingView #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis
FLong
by FrankFx14
US30 Approaching Key Resistance–Potential Reversal Setup in Play🧠 Chart Overview Asset: US30 (likely the Dow Jones Industrial Average) Timeframe: Appears to be 1H or 2H Indicators: EMA 50 (Red): 40,119.5 EMA 200 (Blue): 39,897.3 Price at time of chart: Around 40,503 🔍 Key Technical Levels 🔴 Resistance Zone Range: ~40,750 to 40,850 Price has tested this level multiple times and is currently hovering near it. The resistance is holding, and no strong breakout has occurred. 🟦 Support / Focus Zone Range: ~39,200 to 39,600 Marked as the “FOCUS POINT” – likely the expected target on a breakdown. EMAs Insight: Price is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, suggesting short-term bullishness. However, since it’s stalling at resistance, it could flip bearish on rejection. 🧭 Price Action Narrative The chart suggests a potential fakeout above resistance, followed by a sharp rejection. The path drawn shows a short-term dip, targeting the FOCUS POINT (support zone). Rejection at resistance aligns with typical distribution behavior. 📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias) Entry Idea: Short near or just above the resistance level (~40,800) Target: 39,400 zone Stop-Loss: Above the resistance level (~40,900+) Risk/Reward: Favorable if price fails to break above resistance convincingly 📉 Bias: Bearish Reversal Unless price breaks and closes above resistance with strong momentum, the chart favors a pullback scenario.
CShort
by MrStellanSight
2
US30 Weekly: Support Under Threat - Prepare for More Downside?US30 Weekly Analysis - Potential Trading Setup Technical Outlook — 21 April 2025 Current Market Condition: US30 on the weekly timeframe is trading within a long-term ascending channel. Price recently experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the middle of the channel and is now testing a key support zone. Potential Trading Setup: Potential Reversal/Long Setup (Primary Scenario): Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals within the current support zone (around 37,500 - 38,500). This could include bullish candlestick patterns on the weekly or daily timeframe, coupled with the Stochastic indicator showing a bullish divergence or crossing up from oversold territory. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the reversal signal or below the lower boundary of the support zone (below 37,500). Take Profit Targets: TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (around 40,500 - 41,000). TP2: The upper trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 44,000 - 45,000, and rising over time). Bearish Continuation Setup (Secondary Scenario): Entry: If bullish reversal signals fail to materialize and the price breaks decisively below the current support zone (below 37,500), look for short entry opportunities. The Stochastic indicator confirming downward momentum would add confluence to this setup. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above the broken support zone. Take Profit Targets: TP1: The next significant support level around 34,000 - 35,000. TP2: The lower boundary of the ascending channel (currently around 32,000 - 33,000, and rising over time). Important Considerations: Weekly Timeframe Significance: Trading setups on the weekly chart require patience and can take time to play out. Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for clear confirmation signals, including price action and signals from the Stochastic indicator, before entering any trades. Channel Dynamics: The ascending channel trendlines are dynamic and will change over time. Risk Management: Employ appropriate position sizing and always use stop-loss orders. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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by MarketsPOV
US30 Trade Update – 21/04/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Update – 21/04/2025 🚨 📉 US30 Continues Downtrend! The Dow Jones remains under heavy pressure after rejecting 40,701 resistance last week. Price is now grinding below EMAs with a bearish structure and eyeing the next support at 38,400. 🔍 Key Observations: ❌ Strong rejection from 40,701 📉 EMA 8/21 crossover remains bearish 🔻 Price consolidating near 38,800 ⚠️ If 38,400 breaks → eyes on 36,743 next major support 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔻 Short below 38,400 → Target 36,743 🔹 Long only if price flips 39,800 and holds 🧨 Bearish bias intact unless bulls reclaim trend control 📌 No signs of reversal yet. Trend favors sellers — watch 38,400 for breakout or bounce.
FShort
by h4rVey
Bears Dominate US30 – 36,800 In Sight?Price broke below the 39,070 support zone and is continuing lower. Bears remain firmly in control, with no signs of reversal yet. All eyes on the next key support at 36,800🔽. 🔼 Resistance: 39,070 🔽 Support: 36,800 As long as price remains under 39,070, bearish bias holds. A retest of broken support could act as a resistance for short opportunities. No clean bullish setup unless we reclaim that level. 📰 Sentiment: Risk-off tone continues with traders cautious around economic data and earnings season. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by SPOT_FX
US30 sellI believe US30 is heading lower for numerous reasons: - It is really hard to deduce anything from price action on the 3 month and monthly timeframe. - However, price on the weekly did hit a major liquidity level at 37,250 and rejected it with a lot of bullish orders. - 40,750 is a liquidity level that has price has failed to close above in two consecutive weeks. - Moreover, the two previous weeks, price has rejected 40,750 by forming a lower low the next week, which indicates that price is bearish. - Last week, we saw a bearish candlestick closure on the weekly, which indicates that there is not enough momentum/buy orders for price to go higher. - Hence, the weekly timeframe is bearish - The daily timeframe confirms the weekly bias with a number of confluences. - First of all, we see that price took a lot of buy orders at 37,250 and formed a double bottom. - Price peaked at 40,750 and the level has been rejected twice with a double top. -What confirms my bearish bias is that price is that we saw a candlestick closure below 39,560 (this is a region where we see a daily body closure). - On the daily, price is hence bearish and the next liquidity points are at 38,250 and at 37,500. - I believe that price is headed to those regions - On the 4 hour timeframe, we see that price has already formed a textbook sell setup. - Price collected sell orders at 40,000 on Thursday. - Price then retraced from the 39,000 level and collected more sell orders at 39,400. - My 4H take profit is at 38,650. - Until then, my job is to monitor whether price will fail to reach that target and collect more sell orders at 39,400 or at 39,000.
FShort
by allan_mwenja2000
2
US30 – Monthly Market Structure Analysis (April 2025) – OLHC BUY As we analyze the monthly structure of the US30 index for April 2025, several key technical developments and strategic insights are worth noting: 1. Monthly Low Established: The price action for this month has thus far established a significant low, indicating a potential bottoming pattern that may signal the beginning of a bullish move. 2. Key Support Level and First Rejection: A strong bullish rejection was observed at the 37,000 level, which has proven to be a substantial support zone. This level held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest and institutional accumulation. 3.Target Projection: My primary take-profit target for this upward move is projected at **41,834.42** , which aligns with higher timeframe resistance and Fibonacci extension levels. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for long entries. 4. Waiting for Confirmation: At present, I am closely monitoring price behavior near a **minor support zone**, where I anticipate another rejection that could provide the ideal entry signal for initiating buy positions. Patience remains key as we await further confirmation. 5. Strategic Considerations: - Risk Management: Traders are advised to apply proper risk management protocols. Avoid over-leveraging, and ensure your trade size is appropriate to your account equity. - Discipline: Do not rush into trades. Wait for solid confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns or momentum shifts, before committing capital. - Market Conditions: Be aware of upcoming economic events or fundamental news that may impact US indices, and adjust your strategy accordingly. 6. Community Engagement: If you found this analysis insightful and aligned with your trading view, feel free to like, share, and follow for more structured market updates and trading ideas. Let’s trade smart, stay patient, and manage risk with precision. All the best this month!
BLong
by ezeepips