META is now Net-ShortMETA has broken the uptrend on the regression break down-wards.
I am considering this trades vs other in the market at this time.
META trade ideas
Meta Platforms Finishing Local Trend. METAElliott Wave impulse is possibly finished, yet relying on Elliott counts alone comes with unfathomable risk, I looked for a constellation of additional pieces to qualify a short position on the 12H chart.
That is fairly strong bearish price action with lower lows, and indicators are generally bearish or downgoing in the least. More relevantly, RSX left OBOS territory, MIDAS curve has been crossed, and VZO/Ehler's StochRSI have crossed almost in tandem.
Ultimate goal is bottom of A, which an elliotician will recognize to be frequently 0.382 retracement, which interestingly forms a Fib cluster with the supposed fifth wave at 0.786 minor retracement.
How long will META stock fall?It made a new high on February 14th, after a long series. Since then, the price has been falling. After such a big move, it either goes sideways and processes it over time or falls, that is, processes the new high with the price. It is currently around the 0.382 Fibonacci, below the 10 and 20-day moving averages.
I am curious to see if it will go to the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. For the latter, the 50 moving average and the support around 640. From here, the February 14th high is 15% away, where it can be cheap for the bulls, which is why I think it is a strong level technically.
I consider a reversal when it bounces off one of the Fibonacci levels so that the MACD gives a buy signal above zero. This would require 2-3 green candle days, 1-2 smaller red candle days, during which the MACD turns into the aforementioned buy signal.
Breathe deeply, be patient.
META Shorts - IntradayOne approach to identify bearishness in an asset is the gap it leaves and rejects from recent PD arrays. In this case, the setup was there as the price didn't even gravitate towards the H4 SIBI and rejection from RB giving confirmation for Draw on Liquidity for Previous Day low.
META Stock Rises for 19 Consecutive SessionsMETA Stock Rises for 19 Consecutive Sessions
According to the Meta Platforms (META) stock chart:
→ Based on closing prices, the stock has posted 19 consecutive daily gains since 17 January.
→ META has reached an all-time high, solidifying above the key $700 per share level.
Bullish sentiment was driven by a strong Q4 earnings report that exceeded analyst expectations:
→ Earnings per share: reported $8.01 vs. expected $6.75.
→ Revenue: reported $48.38 billion vs. expected $46.99 billion.
Additionally, media reports highlighted:
→ Meta Platforms announced a 5% dividend increase.
→ Over 3.3 billion people interact with its apps daily.
→ Mark Zuckerberg stated that 2025 will be a turning point for AI at Meta.
→ Strong ties between the company’s CEO and President Trump.
Technical Analysis of Meta Platforms (META) Stock
Price movements have formed an ascending trend channel (blue) since 2024, with its lower boundary acting as stable support. However, the daily RSI indicator has entered extreme overbought territory, signalling potential vulnerability to a pullback.
If a correction occurs, the $700 psychological level may be tested, similar to how $680 was previously.
Former resistance at $636, reinforced by the channel's lower boundary, appears to be a strong support level.
Analyst Forecasts for Meta Platforms (META) Stock
According to Yahoo Finance:
→ In the past week, 23 analysts raised their earnings per share estimates for META in 2025.
→ 56 out of 65 analysts rate META stock as a "strong buy" or "buy."
TipRanks data indicates an average 12-month price target of $764.61 for META stock.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
META: Buy ideaHigh probability of an uptrend depending on the chart configuration.
This upward trend will first occur by the strong break of the resistance line and then be confirmed by the break of the vwap indicator. It is at this moment, after the vwap breakout that you can enter a buying position.
Meta 2-21🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Bearish; recent breakdown from highs, testing support.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $703.50, $710.00.
Support: $692.00, $685.00.
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish momentum, indicating continued weakness.
RSI: 39.68, nearing oversold conditions.
Supertrend: Bearish, confirming downward pressure.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping
Buy near: $693.00, targeting $700.00 (+1.0%).
Sell near: $703.50, targeting $695.00 (-1.2%).
Stop-loss: Below $690.00.
🩸 2. EMA Pullback Scalping
Buy near: $692.00 (EMA 9), targeting $699.00 (+1.0%).
Sell near: $703.50, targeting $694.00 (-1.3%).
Stop-loss: Below $689.00.
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping
If $703.50 breaks, enter long toward $710.00 (+1.8%).
If $692.00 fails, short toward $685.00 (-1.2%).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If price holds above $692.00, a bounce to $710.00+ is possible.
If it breaks below $685.00, expect further downside pressure.
The trend remains weak unless a strong rebound occurs.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Meta reduced stock-based compensation by 10%, signaling cost-cutting.
Investors remain cautious despite record stock highs.
Weakness across tech stocks adds pressure.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalping between $692–$703.50 is the best play.
🩸 Mid-term: Bearish until a reclaim of $703.50.
🩸 Ideal Play: Trade with tight stops as downward momentum persists.
👑 Final Verdict:
Catching falling knives requires skill—trade smart or bleed out.
🔥 LucanInvestor:
"Markets don’t care about emotions. Adapt or be eliminated."
Shooting Star Pattern: Meaning and Trading RulesShooting Star Pattern: Meaning and Trading Rules
In the fast-paced world of trading, recognising key chart patterns is crucial for informed decision-making. One pattern that traders often look for is the shooting star trading pattern. This article will delve into what a shooting star pattern is, how to spot it on a chart, its associated trading strategies, and its distinctions from similar patterns.
What Is a Shooting Star?
A shooting star in trading is a bearish candlestick pattern that can signify a potential reversal of an uptrend. It consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
- A small body that is located at the lower end of the candlestick.
- A long upper shadow that is at least twice the length of the candle's body.
- A short or nonexistent lower shadow.
The appearance of the setup suggests that the price opened near its low and rallied significantly during the trading session but ultimately closed near its opening price. This pattern indicates sellers regained control after a brief period of bullishness.
While the formation is considered more probable when it closes red, it’s possible to see a green shooting star. A green shooting star candlestick simply indicates that sellers weren’t able to push the price down quite as aggressively.
How Can You Trade the Shooting Star?
The shooting star trading strategy involves the following key points:
- Entry: After identifying the candle in the strong uptrend, consider entering a short position. To validate the pattern, you may wait for the next one or two candles to close below the shooting star.
- Take Profit: Although candlestick patterns don’t provide specific entry and exit points, you can use common technical analysis techniques. For example, you may set a take-profit level based on the support level, Fibonacci retracement level, or nearest swing lows.
- Stop Loss: You may want to protect your position with a stop-loss order. This is usually placed above the high price of the shooting star. This helps potentially limit losses if the pattern doesn't lead to a reversal.
Let's consider a live market example of a shooting star in the stock market to illustrate the concept. A trader analyses the Meta stock chart and spots a shooting star stock pattern after an extended uptrend. They wait for confirmation, i.e. for the next bar to close lower. Upon confirmation, they decide to enter a short trade, setting their take-profit target at a significant support level and placing a stop loss above the formation’s high.
How Traders Confirm the Shooting Star Signals
Confirming the shooting star pattern's reliability involves a multifaceted approach, adding robustness to your trading decisions. Traders look beyond the candlestick itself, integrating various technical analysis tools to validate signals.
Key confirmation methods include:
- Volume Analysis: A high trading volume accompanying the shooting star candlestick pattern can strengthen the signal, indicating that the reversal is supported by significant market participation.
- Subsequent Candles: Observing the next few candles for bearish confirmation is essential. A strong bearish candle following the shooting star suggests that sellers are gaining momentum.
- Technical Indicators: Indicators can offer confirmatory signals, particularly momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator. A moving average crossover can also add confluence.
- Support and Resistance Levels: The proximity of the shooting star to established resistance levels enhances its significance. A shooting star forming near a resistance zone often signals a strong reversal point.
- Above Swing High/Low: A shooting star pattern that breaks into the area just above a key high or low before reversing can signal a stop hunt/liquidity grab.
- Contextual Analysis: The broader market context, such as prevailing trends and economic news, can influence the pattern's effectiveness. Aligning the shooting star with broader market sentiment increases the pattern’s reliability.
Shooting Star and Other Candlestick Formations
Let's compare the shooting star with other patterns with which it is often confused.
Shooting Star vs Inverted Hammer
The shooting star and inverted hammer look similar – they have small bodies and long upper shadows. However, they differ in their implications. The former is a bearish reversal pattern found in uptrends, while the latter is a bullish reversal formation seen in downtrends.
Shooting Star vs Evening Star
Both formations signal an uptrend reversal; however, the shooting star is a single-candle setup, whereas the evening star consists of three candles, including a large bullish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a large bearish candle.
Shooting Star vs Gravestone Doji
The shooting star and gravestone doji are both bearish reversal patterns. The shooting star features a small body at the lower end of the candlestick with a long upper shadow, signifying a failed rally.
In contrast, the gravestone doji has no or a tiny real body, as the open and close prices are identical or nearly identical, with a long upper shadow and no lower shadow. The gravestone doji suggests strong indecision in the market, with buyers initially driving prices up but ultimately failing to maintain that momentum, which often signals a sharp reversal.
Shooting Star vs Hanging Man
The shooting star and hanging man also share similarities but differ in appearance and market positioning. The shooting star is a bearish pattern occurring after an uptrend, indicating a potential reversal as bears managed to pull the price down at the end of a trading session.
Conversely, the hanging man appears at the top of an uptrend as well but has a small body at the upper end and a long lower shadow, reflecting that sellers were able to push the price down significantly before buyers pulled it back up. The hanging man suggests that selling pressure is starting to outweigh buying interest.
Advantages and Limitations
This formation offers traders valuable insights, but it comes with its own set of advantages and limitations. Understanding these can help traders use the pattern more effectively within their strategies.
Advantages
- Early Reversal Signal: It provides an early indication of a potential trend reversal, allowing traders to prepare for or act on a change in market direction.
- Simplicity: The pattern is straightforward to identify, even for less experienced traders, making it an accessible tool for technical analysis.
- Versatility: It can be applied across various markets and timeframes, with traders often spotting the shooting star in forex, stock, and commodity markets as well as across both short-term and long-term charts.
Limitations
- False Signals: The pattern alone is not always reliable and can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets or when not used with other confirmation tools.
- Lack of Precision: It does not provide exact entry or exit points, requiring traders to rely on additional indicators or analysis to determine these.
- Dependency on Context: The effectiveness of the formation is highly dependent on the broader market context and trend strength, limiting its standalone use.
Final Thoughts
Understanding chart patterns like the shooting star is essential for making informed decisions in trading. Remember that while this formation can provide valuable insights, it is more effective in conjunction with other tools for signal confirmation. As a trader, staying informed about market developments and continuously honing your skills could be a key to effective trading in the dynamic trading environment. Open an FXOpen account today to trade in over 600 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips.
FAQ
Can Candlestick Patterns Be Time-Sensitive?
Yes, candlestick patterns vary depending on the timeframe. A shooting star on a 1-minute chart provides short-term signals, while a shooting star on a daily chart may signal a longer-term reversal. However, the choice of timeframe goes hand in hand with your market strategy and goals.
How to Improve Candlestick Pattern Recognition Skills?
Improving your candlestick pattern recognition skills requires practice and study. You can analyse historical charts, use trading simulators, read educational materials like those at FXOpen, and engage with experienced traders to gain insights and practical experience.
Why Are Candlestick Patterns Important in Trading?
Candlesticks visually represent price action and help traders identify potential trend reversals, continuations, and key support and resistance levels. They are valuable tools for technical analysis.
What Is the Meaning of a Shooting Star Pattern?
The shooting star pattern is a bearish reversal candlestick that forms after an uptrend. It signals a potential shift in market sentiment, where buyers initially drive the price higher, but sellers take over, pushing the price back down near its opening level.
Is a Shooting Star Candlestick Bullish?
No, a bullish shooting star does not exist. It is a bearish pattern, indicating that an uptrend may be losing momentum and that a reversal to the downside could be imminent. A similar bullish formation is the inverted hammer.
Is a Shooting Star a Doji?
A shooting star is not a doji. While both patterns can signal reversals, a doji has nearly identical opening and closing prices with no significant body, reflecting indecision, whereas a shooting star has a small body with a long upper shadow, indicating a failed rally.
How Can You Trade a Shooting Star Candle?
Trading this candle involves looking for confirmation of the reversal, such as a bearish candle following the pattern. Traders often set stop-loss orders above the shooting star's high and target profit levels near key support zones or previous lows.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
META ... An about Face ?Meta is the last of the Mag 7 to continue the trend of recent new highs. The other 6 have shown weakness in recent weeks.
A nice Wolfe Wave is forming and should cap the price near the $735 area.
I would expect a decent reversal by 2/19 if not before.
My initial target is $685 by mid-March and $640 by the end of April.
Not Investment advice . Do your own due diligence
S
META: 2nd Expansion Era targets $900 by the end of the year.Meta may have only now turne bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.480, MACD = 20.520, ADX = 63.183) but on 1W it has been on an exceptionally healthy bullish tech (RSI = 66274) since the October 2022 bottom. Ever since that was formed, Meta entered its 2nd Expansion era with similarities in price and RSI terms obvious with the 1st Expansion era of 2012-2018. As long as the 1W MA50 supports, we can see a similar Channel Up targeting $900 by the end of 2025.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
META at a Critical Reversal Zone! Trade Setups for Feb. 20Technical Analysis (TA) Overview
META is currently trading near 701, in a downward channel after rejecting from 740. It recently found support around 690-695, which aligns with a key put wall support zone. If bulls can hold this area and push above 709-715, META could see a reversal toward 720-730. However, failure to reclaim 709 could lead to further downside toward 690-680.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: 709.95 (resistance zone), 715 (gamma resistance), 720-730 (major breakout area)
* Support: 695-690 (major demand zone), 680 (next strong put wall support)
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish but showing early signs of flattening—possible shift.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought at 81.78, meaning bulls may struggle for immediate upside.
* Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume near 701-703, suggesting possible consolidation before the next move.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance):
* 715: Short-term gamma resistance—bulls need to break this level for momentum.
* 730-750: Major call resistance—META would need strong buying pressure to reach these levels.
🔹 Put Walls (Support):
* 690: Strong put support—buyers may step in here.
* 680: If 690 fails, next major support zone.
🔹 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 9.3 (low implied volatility—potential for a sharp move).
* Call Open Interest: 16.9% – Low bullish positioning, indicating cautious sentiment.
Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow
✅ Bullish Setup:
* If META breaks above 709-715, expect a push toward 720-730.
* Ideal entry: Above 710, stop-loss below 705.
* Profit targets: 715, 720, 730 (extension).
❌ Bearish Setup:
* If META fails at 709 and breaks below 695, expect a move toward 690-680.
* Ideal entry: Below 695, stop-loss above 700.
* Profit targets: 690, 680, 675 (extension).
Probability Estimate for META’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 709-715 (Targets 720-730)
Scenario Probability (%): 45%
Reasoning: META is attempting to bounce from key put support (690-695).
• Needs strong buying volume to reclaim 709-715. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 690-710) | 35% | - Volume profile suggests heavy activity around 700-703, meaning price could consolidate.
* MACD is bearish but flattening, signaling indecision. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 695 (Targets 690-680) | 20% | - Put support at 690 is critical, but if it fails, bears could take control.
* If selling pressure increases, expect downside to 680-675. |
Final Thoughts
* META needs to break 709-715 for further upside toward 720-730.
* If 695 fails, selling pressure could increase, pushing price to 690-680.
* Low IVR suggests a breakout is coming, but direction is uncertain.
🔹 Best Trading Plan:
* Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 710 → target 715-730.
* Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 709-710 or a break below 695 → target 690-680.
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.
Meta scalping + forecast (2-19)🔥 Market Overview (Meta - META)
Trend: Meta is experiencing a correction after a strong uptrend. Price is currently testing support.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $714.65 (Supertrend resistance)
Support: $701.54 (200 EMA), $690.00 (psychological support)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $703.49 (Short-term trend resistance)
EMA 200: $701.54 (Crucial support level)
MACD: Bearish crossover, weak momentum.
RSI: 41.21, nearing oversold territory.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $700-$702, targeting $710-$714.
Sell near: $714-$715, targeting $700.
Stop-loss: Below $698.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If $715 Breaks)
Buy above: $715, targeting $720-$725.
Stop-loss: Below $712.
🩸 3. Momentum Scalping (For Quick Trades)
Short near: $714-$715, targeting $702.
Buy near: $700-$702, targeting $710-$714.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
META needs to hold above $701-$702 to confirm a bullish continuation.
If rejected at $714-$715, expect a pullback to $690.
RSI indicates possible short-term downside before recovery.
🔥 News & Market Context
Meta remains one of the top-performing tech stocks, benefiting from AI and digital ad growth.
Market-wide sentiment is mixed, with tech earnings and macro data influencing movements.
Earnings guidance and institutional activity will determine future momentum.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp between $700-$715, favoring long positions at support.
🩸 Mid-term: Watch for confirmation above $715 for continuation.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy near $700, sell near $715, or long on a breakout.
👑 Final Verdict:
META is at a crucial support level. A bounce could push it to $715+, but failure to hold could trigger a drop to $690.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"Support and resistance define the game—trade within them or break through." 👑
META’S Q4 2024—$META RIDES AI AND ADS TO VICTORYMETA’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:META RIDES AI AND ADS TO VICTORY
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! Meta’s Q4 2024 earnings landed—$48.4B revenue, up 21% YoY, topping estimates 📈🔥. A 16.5% stock rally seals the deal. Let’s unravel NASDAQ:META ’s big win! 🚀
(2/9) – AD & AI POWER
• Q4 Revenue: $48.4B, 21% jump from last year 💥
• Profits: Nearly $21B—up 49%—efficiency shines 📊
• Ad Surge: Biggest driver, fueling the cash flow
AI’s humming, ads are king—Meta’s on fire!
(3/9) – KEY WINS
• AI Spend: $60B+ lined up for ‘25 🌍
• Users: 3.35B daily logins—record crowd 🚗
• Meta AI: 700M monthly fans—AI’s buzzing 🌟
Stock’s tearing up the charts—hot streak alert!
(4/9) – SECTOR SMACKDOWN
• Forward P/E: ~28x, leaner than Amazon’s 33x
• Ad Game: 21% growth beats Google’s 12% 📈
• User Pull: Social king—rivals can’t touch it
NASDAQ:META ’s a growth beast—hidden value or hype? 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE HORIZON
• Regs: EU and U.S. eyeing fines—trouble brews? 🏛️
• AI Bet: $60B spend—payoff’s a question ⚠️
• Saturation: 3.35B users tough to top 📉
High stakes in this tech showdown!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Ad Muscle: $46.8B in Q4—ad king rules 🌟
• AI Edge: 700M Meta AI users—future’s here 🔍
• Cash Pile: $52B free flow in ‘24 🚦
NASDAQ:META ’s flexing serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Metaverse burns SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B , AI costs stack 💸
• Opportunities: Threads hits 100M+, AI ads shine 🌍
Can NASDAQ:META spin risks into wins?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:META ’s Q4 rocks—what’s the vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and ads keep it roaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Big spends clip its wings.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Meta’s Q4 dazzles—$48.4B revenue, $21B profit, AI soaring 🌍🪙. 28x P/E vs. peers, but growth’s electric. Regs and AI costs loom—gem or gamble?
Riding Wave 5: Is $700 Just Around the Corner?Hey Realistic Traders, Will META Bullish Bias Continue ? Let’s Dive In....
In the Daily timeframe, META rebounded above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, marking the completion of wave 4. Within this wave, a Descending broadening wedge pattern was formed. Recently the price has broken out of the pattern. This breakout was further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, signaling increasing momentum and strengthening the case for a continued upward move.
Based on these technical signals, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $638. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally continues toward a new high at $700.
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 550.00.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on META.
META (NASDAQ: META) – Oversold & Ready for a Bounce?📊 Meta Platforms (META) has pulled back from its recent high of $740.88, but signs are emerging that a bounce may be near as price approaches key support levels. With the stock now oversold, buyers could step in for a potential recovery.
🔹 Why META Could Rebound Soon
✅ 1. RSI is Oversold (38.75) – The RSI has dropped below 40, which historically signals a buying opportunity as sellers exhaust momentum.
✅ 2. Key Fibonacci Support Levels – META is currently testing $714.57 (0.236 Fib) and could bounce toward the $719-$723 range if support holds.
✅ 3. Potential MACD Reversal – The MACD remains bearish, but momentum could shift if the MACD histogram starts reducing its red bars, signaling a possible crossover.
✅ 4. 200 EMA ($707.98) Could Act as Strong Support – If the price tests this level, buyers may step in aggressively.
🔹 Key Resistance & Bounce Targets
📍 $719.60 (0.382 Fibonacci) – First resistance if price begins recovering.
📍 $723.66 (0.5 Fibonacci) – Midpoint resistance; reclaiming this level signals stronger bullish momentum.
📍 $727.72 (0.618 Fibonacci) – A breakout above this would confirm a trend reversal.
🔹 If META Reclaims $721.65 (20 EMA), Expect a Stronger Move Higher.
📈 Bullish Trade Setup: Buy Above $715
✅ Entry: Buy META above $715 (support bounce confirmation).
🎯 Target 1: $719.60
🎯 Target 2: $723.66
🎯 Target 3: $727.72
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below $710 (invalidates support hold).
🔍 Confirmation Needed:
✔️ RSI reclaiming 40+
✔️ MACD turning bullish
✔️ Sentiment indicator shifting green
📌 Final Thoughts: META May Be Ready for a Rebound
📈 META is in an oversold condition and sitting on key support zones. If buyers step in, we could see a bounce toward $719-$727 in the coming sessions. Watch for a shift in MACD & RSI for confirmation.
⚠️ Warning: If the next candle closes below $710 with strong volume, expect further downside toward $706-$700.
Chart Patterns: Are We at a Key Reversal Zone?
📌 Current Formation: Possible Bullish Reversal Zone
META is retracing within a Fib retracement zone, meaning it is likely in a pullback phase rather than a full trend reversal.
Patterns to Watch:
✅ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Breakout Expected)
If the price is making lower highs but consolidating near support, this could trigger a breakout toward $723-$727.
✅ Double Bottom Formation (Reversal Signal)
If META tests $710-$707 twice and holds, it confirms a double-bottom formation with an upside target of $727-$735.
✅ Trendline Retest (Bounce Play)
If price holds the trendline from February’s uptrend, we could see a continuation higher.
🔹 Bearish Scenario? If META breaks below $710 and forms a bearish flag, expect a drop to $700-$698.
💬 Are you bullish on META? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
#META #StockMarket #NASDAQ #Trading #Bullish #BuySignal #StockAnalysis
Why booze stocks are so cheap (part 1002)This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
Now, I do not think Brown Forman will return to 32x earnings anytime soon — if ever — but if you even half the implied return from multiple expansion you still have plenty of upside.
Ditto Remy — I do not love Remy because Cognac, for lack of a better term, is screwed. But there’s still obviously value there and it trades on a very depressed multiple — what’s to say the family has had enough and finds a buyer?
Finally, Diageo. Less upside but more certainty — Guinness sells very well among Gen Z while their spirits portfolio continues to ebb along, if only growth in the low single digits.
Valuations always tend to normalise, especially for companies which make staples. Paying 30x earnings was always too much — I used to look at Brown-Forman enviously, and wish it were cheaper. Well, now it is! And nobody likes it. On chart is a couple of headlines from Barron’s.
I love to go counter-consensus to the media, because usually that’s a sign of peak pessimism. On chart are some headlines about Meta when everyone hated the stock in 2022/2023.
Obviously, the booze stocks are not Meta — Meta is a cash flow machine! Zuck wears a gold chain! Zuck would like us to know he is a Cool Guy!
But still — price drives narrative. Everyone was dissing Meta in 2022 (and I felt like an idiot buying it), now they love it. Ditto booze stocks. People aren’t going to stop drinking. That’s it. That’s the thesis.
META Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights Feb 18Technical Analysis (TA) for META
* Current Price Action: META is in an uptrend, forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. The stock has been making higher highs and higher lows, confirming strength.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $740 - This aligns with the current high and a potential breakout level.
* First Support: $727 - If price pulls back, this area could act as a retest zone.
* Major Support: $715 - A breakdown of $727 could lead to testing this lower support.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $709 - A failure to hold here might signal a trend reversal.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Shows signs of weakening momentum, but still bullish.
* Stochastic RSI: Near overbought levels, indicating a possible cooldown or retracement before another leg up.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $750 → This is the major call wall and could act as a strong resistance.
* 49.36% Call Wall: $730 → META is currently testing this level, meaning a breakout could fuel a strong move toward $750.
* Put Wall Support: $715 → If META drops, this is the area where options market positioning may provide support.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 6.1 → Low implied volatility, making options cheaper for buyers.
* IVx Avg: 31.1 → Slightly lower than usual, suggesting muted volatility.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 4.6% → Slightly bullish, but not extremely aggressive.
Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $740 with confirmation.
* Target: $750+ (Gamma Squeeze Potential).
* Stop Loss: Below $727.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $727.
* Target: $715 or $709 (strong put support).
* Stop Loss: Above $735.
Final Thoughts
* META is in a bullish structure, but the rising wedge suggests caution if momentum weakens.
* Options flow aligns with a potential move to $750, but a failure to hold $727 could trigger a pullback.
* Best Trade Approach: Monitor price action near $740 & $727, and use options positioning to confirm directional bias.
🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
Meta 2-17 (scalping + forecast) 🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Meta Platforms (META) remains in a strong uptrend, making new highs, but signs of exhaustion are emerging.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $740 (recent high, potential breakout zone).
Support: $719–$720 (Supertrend support).
Indicators:
EMA 9: $731.79 (acting as dynamic support).
EMA 200: $649.11 (long-term bullish confirmation).
Supertrend: $719.66 (trend remains bullish as long as this holds).
MACD: Bullish, but momentum is slowing.
RSI: 67.32 (approaching overbought conditions, a pullback is possible).
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping:
Buy near: $730–$732 if momentum sustains.
Target: $740–$745.
Stop-loss below: $720.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping:
Long if price breaks above: $740, targeting $750.
Short if price rejects $740, targeting $725.
🩸 3. Range Scalping:
Sell near: $740–$745 resistance.
Target: $725–$720.
Stop-loss: $746 if breakout occurs.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If META breaks $740, a rally toward $750–$760 is likely.
A rejection at $740 could trigger a pullback to $720–$700.
RSI is near overbought, signaling a potential short-term retracement.
🔥 News & Market Context:
AI & Ad Revenue Growth: Meta continues to lead in digital ads and AI development.
Tech Sector Strength: The stock follows a broader tech uptrend but may see profit-taking.
Market Sentiment: Investors are optimistic but cautious ahead of key economic data.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Look for a breakout above $740 or a rejection for shorting opportunities.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish, but needs confirmation of sustained strength.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy on dips near $730, or short if price struggles at $740.
👑 Final Verdict: Meta is in a strong uptrend, but momentum is slowing. Bulls need to clear $740 for the next leg up. Caution is advised as RSI nears overbought levels.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote: "The trend is your friend—until exhaustion takes over."
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for MetaMarket Overview:
Trend: Meta is in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$740 - $750
Support: ~$725 - $734 (weak), ~$675 - $680 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Slight bearish divergence forming, showing potential weakness.
EMA: Price is above both 9 EMA & 200 EMA, confirming a bullish structure.
RSI: Overbought zone, with multiple bearish divergence signals—potential correction ahead.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? Price is testing resistance but remains within a strong bullish channel.
How?
Buy near $725 - $734, targeting $740 - $745.
Sell near $740 - $750, as resistance is forming.
Stop-loss below $720, as a deeper pullback could follow.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Volatility Kicks In)
Trigger: A breakout above $750 or breakdown below $725.
Execution:
If META breaks $750, scalp long targeting $765 - $770.
If META drops below $725, scalp short to $710 - $700.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? META is trending above 9 EMA, meaning buying dips is still effective.
Execution:
Buy pullbacks to 9 EMA (~$730 - $735).
Short only if META breaks below the 9 EMA & confirms rejection (~$725 - $720).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bullish → Neutral
Why?
Strong trend continuation, but RSI is showing overbought signals.
Bearish divergence on RSI & MACD indicates a potential slowdown or correction.
If META holds $725+, a push to $765 - $770 is likely.
Failure to hold $725 could lead to a drop toward $700 - $675 before continuation.
🔥 News & Market Context:
No bearish news, but META is heavily extended after a long rally.
Big tech sentiment remains strong, but a pullback is possible before further upside.
Earnings-driven momentum might slow down, leading to sideways action.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping long on dips remains valid, but watch for signs of exhaustion.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless META loses $725+ support.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy dips, scalp resistance, and monitor volume strength.
👑 Final Verdict:
META remains strong, but a correction could come before further highs. If it holds $725+, expect $765+ next. 🔥
$Meta and U.S equity Bull Run Almost Finished? Was just having a little fun before bed and brainstorming on the NASDAQ:META chart. Our darling as of late. I love trying to find similarities and patterns between macro swings and cycles. Human psychology and business cycles have a way of repeating themselves pretty often. As they say, history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes.
This recent melt up reminds a lot of the price action NASDAQ:META saw in 2021-2022. RSI overbought both times, currently approaching the 2.618 fib when connecting them to major high and low points. Decreasing volume on the moves up.
There's a lot of other data to support a bear market may be on the horizon:
Weak housing data/stocks (I do see some outlier stocks in the housing sector).
The yield curve un-inversion which typically precedes major bear markets 6-12 months after un-inversion.
The dollar seems to want to keep going higher. However it has shown a lot of weakness here lately which could help fuel the rest of the bull market.
The unwinding of the Japanese Yen carry trade has seemed to play a big factor in U.S equities as of late. Every time the BOJ hikes interest rates, a lot of U.S. equities see pretty sizable bearish volatility shortly after.
Being the darling that NASDAQ:META has become, once this trend line breaks it will be a signal that everyone should be taking note of in my opinion. I think the risk of a bear market increases dramatically. Maybe we get a shallow or 2022 style bear market next year and continue to make one last lag into new highs in 2027.
Here are some ideas that could support that theory:
China seems to be coming out of a depression-style bear market and is beginning to inject liquidity into their economy. This could help give U.S. equities a little more juice to run higher for longer
chips could make a major comeback and fuel SPY/QQQ higher for longer.
Names like Google, Tesla and Amazon can continue to show strength and we could see a rotation into them.
Maybe we get some more significant quantum breakthroughs with the help of AI.
These are things to keep in mind, but I think the probabilities of this this bull market we've enjoyed since 2008 is A LOT closer to the end than the beginning.
I base most of my sentiment off the 18.6 year real estate/land cycle theory that I have been following since 2022. I also give a lot of credibility to U.S. yield curve un-inversions sending shockwaves through the global economic system.
What do you guys and gals think?
Facebook,Can we call at least a MINOR Bottom by the End of Sep.?Meta corporation shows some sort of balance both price and time
I think we can call a Bottom , at least a minor one by the end of this month
look like the Q4 shows some optimism
IMO, look for good entries according to your plan in lower time frames.
we are @ previous supportive area .
Trade Safe
Dr.Sherif Aborehab
META (META) Speculation – $630 Target Today?META is forming a strong ascending channel with consistent higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) on the 1H chart. If this trend continues, we could see a push to $630 today. Here's why:
Key Observations:
Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The last two breakout moves gained approximately $2 each time, suggesting a similar breakout could push us to $630.
Support Holding: Price is respecting the green ascending trendline, providing a strong bullish base.
MACD Bullish Momentum Building: MACD is still in positive territory but needs a stronger cross-up for confirmation.
RSI Trending Above 50: Across multiple timeframes (9, 14, 20), RSI remains above 50, indicating healthy bullish momentum.
If price holds the trendline and volume picks up, we could see $630+ today. Watch for a breakout confirmation above previous HH.
My Target:
$630 Today – Based on previous moves and trend continuation.
What’s your take? Will META hit $630, or do you see resistance coming in? Drop your thoughts below! #META #Trading #Stocks #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
