Dow Jones at Critical Levels!Dow Jones Technical Outlook:
Currently, the Dow Jones remains within a broader bearish structure ๐, trading near the lower boundary of its descending channel.
Nonetheless, the formation of higher highs and higher lows on the daily and 4H timeframes โฐ suggests that a potential bullish reversal may be developing ๐.
The 40,700 โ 40,300 range is a key decision zone โก๏ธ:
โข A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger a minor bullish rally ๐.
โข Conversely, a failure to hold above this area and the formation of new lower highs and lower lows would reinforce the ongoing bearish trend ๐.
Additionally, the recent bullish weekly and monthly closes ๐
support a bias toward further upside momentum.
In the initial phase, we may see a corrective move to the downside on lower timeframes to form a wick (shadow) for the monthly candle before any significant bullish continuation ๐๐.
Stay flexible and monitor price action closely! ๐
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
42,515.09USDR
+317.30+0.75%
At close at Jun 16, 20:37 GMT
USD
No trades
DJI trade ideas
DOW/US30 - we hope everyone make million last nightTeam, yesterday was a big win for all of us, twice the DOW/NAS massive win
today, the market will likely pull back toward the price set in the chart
make sure you have tight stop-loss
also, once it drops more than 50 points, bring stop loss to BE
we are looking at around 40930-40850
The interest rate decision within 12 hours time frame,
we expect the market will be volatile if it dumps toward our LONG entry position, which I set out in the chart.
Follow that, and you will kill the market with me
UNTIL then, I wish you all the best
US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 togetherโบ๏ธ
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41,170 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41,039..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
US30 Technical Analysis โ GTE VIP Buy SetupUS30 Technical Analysis โ GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price is respecting a strong ascending channel on the 1H timeframe, with multiple clean bounces off the trendline. Our GTE VIP entry was placed at the lower boundary of the channel, where price showed bullish rejection and confluence with previous support.
Stochastic also confirmed hidden bullish divergence, signaling continuation. Targets are aligned with the upper boundary of the channel and previous resistance zones at 41,230 and 41,319.
This is a classic trend continuation setup โ riding momentum back toward liquidity at the highs.
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 40,653.80
1st Support: 39,774.46
1st Resistance: 42,181.26
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Tariff Tension = Dow Explosion? | US30 Setup You Can't MissTechnical + News-Driven Outlook
๐ Whatโs Happening?
The Dow Jones (US30) is sitting at a critical decision point โ tightly consolidating while the market braces for potential tariff decisions from the U.S. government. With price stuck between key zones, the next move could be explosive. Here's what I'm watching:
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
โ ๏ธ Resistance/Imbalance Zone: 41,650 โ 41,750
๐งฒ Liquidity Zone: 41,000 โ 41,400 (range bound)
๐งจ Downside Target if Broken: 40,200 โ 39,750
๐ Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 41,400, expect a fast move toward 41,750, filling the imbalance. This setup could trigger especially if tariff news is positive (e.g., delay or reduction in trade penalties).
๐ Bearish Breakdown:
Failure to hold 41,000 support and a strong bearish rejection could send us back toward 40,200. A hawkish trade policy update could accelerate this sell-off.
โ
Trade Idea Summary:
Buy Above 41,400, Target: 41,750
Sell Below 41,000, Target: 40,200 / 39,750
๐ Wait for confirmation candles, avoid chasing!
๐ฌ Follow me for real-time chart drops, high-probability setups, and news-backed analysis.
๐ Consistency | Discipline | Risk-First Thinking
Rejection at Supply Zone โ Bearish Targets Loaded!Price has been rejected at the key supply zone near 41,119, with a sharp drop confirming bearish momentum.
Weโre now trading below 40,736, heading toward the first demand zone around 39,884. If that breaks, the next high-volume support area is 38,397, as shown by the visible range and demand zone.
Bearish Bias
Strong rejection from supply
Lower highs forming
Watching for breakdown below 39,884 to add more short positions
Upcoming Events:
Big US data + FOMC sentiment could accelerate the move. Stay sharp!
Whatโs your bias โ Short or Buy the Dip? Drop your thoughts below!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TradingView #SmartMoney #BearishSetup
$DJI & $NDX at MAJOR RESISTANCEDaily
The TVC:DJI has done well since April & we noticed a sentiment change. This is why we turned bullish. Only problem? Lack of volume. We can see that volume stayed under the pink dots. This is an average of 90 days.
We can also see this by the Money Flow. As of now the lowest peak since mid March on this indicator.
---
Weekly
The TVC:DJI RSI hasn't broken the halfway point. This is needed for more bullish momentum.
Money flow is slanting lower. The interesting tid bit is that volume for the week is not bad at all. But compare this to Jan 2024 and 4th quarter of the same year... LOWER.
Posted this yesterday, see profile for more info.
Trade Idea: Long (MARKET)Technical Confluence:
Daily Chart:
โข Strong bullish engulfing recovery from recent support (~37,700).
โข MACD starting to curl back up from deeply negative levels โ possible trend reversal.
โข RSI recovering above 50 (currently 52.49), suggesting bullish strength resuming.
15-Min Chart:
โข Sustained uptrend with pullbacks respecting the moving average.
โข MACD crossing positive territory.
โข RSI at 64.77 with room to move higher before hitting overbought levels.
3-Min Chart:
โข Tight consolidation after a sharp breakout to 40,766 โ forming a potential bull flag.
โข RSI at 58.89 โ mid-level with upward momentum potential.
โข MACD histogram shrinking โ possible continuation breakout imminent.
โธป
Fundamental Context:
โข Market Sentiment: U.S. markets are generally supported due to strong earnings reports and decreasing recession fears. Treasury yields have stabilized, and risk appetite is returning.
โข Upcoming Events: FOMC rate decision is key โ bullish bias if they hold or soften tone.
โธป
Trade Details:
โข Entry: 40,770
โข Price is consolidating just under this resistance. Enter on breakout with volume confirmation.
โข Stop Loss (SL): 40,350
โข Below recent support on the 15M chart and under the moving average. Conservative SL with volatility in mind.
โข Take Profit (TP): 41,450
โข Measured move from the flag pattern and aligns with Fibonacci extension and historical resistance.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
KEEP LONG ENTRIES FOR NEXT TOP AT 46500We will move our pivot point up from previous pivot, target price is 46500, timezone is marked between 2nd to 23rd December 2024 to align with the top. Price and time are growing out in well structured Phi models and we expect that if 46500 price is reached within the marked timezone then a strong market correction will follow.
Although our actual projection for the major market top still remains at 27th October 2025 we expect that markets will begin to stall if price reaches the 46500 price level earlier.
Trade safe
DowJones INTRADAY falling resistance at 41420Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41420
Resistance Level 2: 41900
Resistance Level 3: 42470
Support Level 1: 40240
Support Level 2: 39760
Support Level 3: 39150
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones Index (US 30) โ Further Recovery Potential?The Dow Jones Index (US 30) has moved steadily higher over the last 10 trading days as traders continue to unwind short positioning attached to the popular sell US assets idea that seemed to dominate at the beginning of April, in the pre President Trump 90 day tariff pause era.
At the start of this new week, after a period of quiet trading on Monday, mainly due to the UK bank holiday, the focus for traders across the next 4 days may well be on whether President Trump and his negotiating team can report progress on trade deals with allies, as well as the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday 1900 BST) and Press conference, led by Chairman Powell (commencing 1930 BST).
Now, while no change to US interest rates is expected at this meeting, the update from policymakers regarding their current outlook for the economy, inflation and path of interest rates across the rest of the year, could well generate some market moving headlines that may impact whether the US 30 continues to post fresh highs, or gives up some of its recent gains.
Technical Update: Further Recovery Potential?
The recent sharp sell-off that saw the Dow Jones Index fall more than 19% eventually found support around 36873, which was a level that was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to December 2024 strength.
This type of decline back to such a retracement can sometimes see a reactive recovery materialise from the downside extremes in price, and as the weekly chart below shows, 36873 seems to have helped prompt the recent upside move.
Interestingly, the reactive recovery in the index has now seen closing breaks above 40783, a level that is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of December 2024 to April 2025 price weakness, and traders may now be viewing this move as suggesting further possibilities for a more extended phase of price strength.
Assessing the Daily Chart
While the weekly chart levels are useful, it can also be helpful to assess the daily chart to try to gauge which levels, if broken, may suggest earlier clues for the next possible directional move in the Dow Jones Index, in the run up to, during and after the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Meeting and Press Conference.
Possible Resistance Levels:
With recent price strength breaking above resistance at 40783 (50% retracement of the latest decline) this may lead to a more sustained period of price strength.
As such, this may result in further attempts to push higher towards 41809, which is the 61.8% retracement, possibly even towards 42834, which is the March 26th session high.
Possible Support Levels:
The recent strong rally from the weekly support at 36873 (50% retracement of the October 2022 to December 2024 advance), possibly points to this as a long term support.
However, is there anything within the daily chart that may offer clues to shorter term support levels?
By calculating Fibonacci retracements of the April/May 2025 price strength, we can see the 38.2% level stands at 39991.
If closing breaks under this potential support were to occur, then risks might turn towards a more extended phase of price weakness towards 39570, the 50% retracement support level, even 39150, which is equal to the deeper 62% retracement.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesnโt represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldnโt be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isnโt to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readersโ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isnโt permitted.
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ US30 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bullish Break at 41000
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bearish Break at 40950
We are watching this zone closely.
โโโ
Analysis
๐ Market Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40850
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 41000
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 40800 โ Major support / Key level
โ 41000 โ Proven resistance
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 41000 โ ๐ฅ Bullish breakout level X 6 Swing Retest
โข 41100 โ Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
โข 40950 โ Equal lows
โข 41050 โ Equal highs
US30 (Dow Jones) โ Trade Update | May 6, 2025As shared earlier today, price tapped perfectly into the demand zone around 40,920, and we're now seeing the bounce unfold.
โ
Iโm currently looking to go long, targeting the 15-min FVG zone (around 41,160โ41,240) โ as per this morningโs projection.
๐ฏ Trade idea remains the same:
Valid bullish structure forming
Patience for price to push into the key supply/FVG zone
Will reassess for shorts once that level is reached
โ ๏ธ As always: This is my personal prediction, not financial advice. Please do your own analysis, especially on a volatile NFP day like today. Protect your capital first.
#US30 #DowJones #LongSetup #FVGTarget #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingUpdate #VERUMAcademy
Is everyone missing the leading diagonal Ive seen conflicting Elliot Wave Counts with both Bullish counts suggesting a new ATH is at hand as the decline is only a 3 wave decline and not five and bearish counts suggesting this is only a bear market rally since the Trump Tariff Tantrums.
However if we look at the decline as either a leading diagonal in a primary 4th Wave of an overall bull market or a leading diagonal which often occurs in reversal of trend from Bull to bear or vice versa.
What is not commonly recognized is that the C wave in these structures is often pronounced and extended.
If this count is correct the Dow has about 1000 points of upside before a very sharp decline in an E wave that will probably throw-over the lower trendline and find support in the 35000 area for a significant Wave 2 or B wave rally.
The typical characteristics of the e wave are sharp and deep.
US30 (Dow Jones) โ Bounce + Rejection Setup โ May 6, 2025๐ Setup Summary:
Price followed my Tuesday prediction precisely, breaking down from the mid-range and now tapping into a demand zone. From here, I expect a bounce into the descending channel, targeting the 15-min FVG and supply zone around 41,160โ41,220, before a potential rejection for a deeper move down.
๐ Trade Idea:
Waiting for confirmation of bullish intent from the current demand zone (~40,960โ41,000), with a potential retracement into the FVG zone. Iโll then be watching closely for bearish price action to re-enter short in line with overall structure.
โ
Confluences:
Demand zone reaction expected
15-min Fair Value Gap + trendline + supply confluence
Downward channel still in play
Previous prediction unfolding as expected
๐ Bias: Short-term bullish bounce, then bearish continuation
๐ Timeframe: 15-minute chart
๐ฏ Watch Levels:
Entry long: ~40,960โ41,000 (confirmation needed)
TP1 (for longs): 41,160
Re-entry short zone: 41,160โ41,220
Extended bearish targets: below 41,000
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer:
This idea reflects my personal analysis and bias. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research, apply risk management, and trade only when you have clear confirmation. Protect your capital first.
US30 Stalling Under Resistance โ 06/05/2025๐ US30 Stalling Under Resistance โ 06/05/2025 ๐
๐ฅ Relief Rally Slowing Down?
After bouncing clean from the 36,700s, US30 has been grinding higher and just tapped into 41,200โ41,300 โ the same resistance zone thatโs been rejecting price since early April. Now, the 1H EMAs are starting to curl, and weโre seeing signs of hesitation ๐ง.
Momentum is fading just under key resistance. Bulls still have control above 40,700, but if that level goesโฆ lights out ๐ก
๐ Key Technicals:
๐น Resistance Zone = 41,200โ41,300 (retested multiple times)
๐น Support = 40,700, key structure from April
๐น Final upside target = 42,359 if we break
๐น EMAs (blue/white) starting to compress โ volatility loading โก
๐ฏ Trade Scenarios:
๐ฐ Current Range = 40,700 โ 41,300
๐ Break + close above 41,300 = clean runway toward 42,359
๐ป If price loses 40,700 = short setups down to 39,775 then 39,200
Bonus ๐: If we flush fast, look for liquidity grabs below 39,775 to snipe scalp longs ๐ฅท
๐ง Mindset Notes:
โ
No breakout? No trade. Let the chart prove it.
โ Donโt short blindly into strength โ let levels confirm!
๐ Remember: "slow grinds up often lead to sharp dumps down"
US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค๐ฐโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (41000) Day/Swing trade basis.
๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 35000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธUS30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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