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Hang Seng IndexHH

Hang Seng Index

24,035.39HKDR
−331.56−1.36%
At close at 08:08 GMT
HKD
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HSI trade ideas

HANG SENG 30th MAY 2022In China, authorities are holding an unprecedented national meeting by teleconference in a bid to boost the economy hit by Covid-19. Investors' concerns about tightening monetary policy seem to have eased. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index led the strengthening of Asia-Pacific markets today. One of the driving factors was the soaring stock of Alibaba. Premier Li Keqiang also warned that China's current economic difficulties outweigh the severe shocks at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. So the bearish possibility could occur before they actually get out of the fight against the pandemic.
HSI:HSIShort
by DNP-FX
HSI bearish trend might be overturnedMoving into the last month of Q2, the HSI has entered a very interesting zone, which might become a turning point that indicates the end of the current bearish trend. Whether the new trend will be a sustainable bull, or just a bigger consolidation band of a higher timeframe, we don’t know yet, but at least in the short term the trading opportunity will be on the long side. Fundamental Update Last week the Chinese premier Le Keqiang had hosted an internal economy forum to discuss policy to rescue Chinese from global recession as well as covid zero policy. This meeting is a very important indication that the party has finally started to actively (and publicly) unwind their conflicting policies on the issue of public health and economic stability. More than 100,000 participants from the central state council and local provincial government had joined, which showed the weight of this meeting. One strong message from the meeting is that the central government would give more leeway for the provincial government to take their own action to secure their own economy. Given land sales is still the major source of income for most provinces, the tightening policy for real estate markets should see a reversal from this point onward. In fact, one should get the same message from the recent lowering of the five-year loan prime rate from 4.6% to 4.45%, which lowered the cost of borrowing for Chinese home buyers. On May-17, the Chinese vice-premier Liu He had shared his comments on the Chinese government support toward platform economy and overseas listing of Chinese tech firms. Coming from Liu He, that was a strong indication that there is a rising popularity in the party in prioritizing economic growth versus other internal conflicts. While this might be the turning point of the 2 years long tech crackdown, we shall continue to monitor how the story continues to unfold on the government side, as well as on the tech company side if these 2 years have caused some irreversible damage to their fundamentals hence futures. Chart Perspective The downward trending 50 days moving average has been the ceiling of the current bearish trend since 2021-Jul The market had tested the bottom from May-5 to May-12, but failed to reach the Mar-15 low at 18235 If the current rebound successfully break the 50 days moving average, there will be increasing chance that this bearish rebound might turn into the beginning of a consolidation band, or even bullish trend Key levels to watch are 20850 (50 days moving average) to 20927 (May open) . Note that if the index can close above 20927, it will form a reversal candlestick pattern in the monthly chart (i.e. hammer/dragonfly doji), which is very bullish. Trading Opportunity The breakout trade Long HSI futures (or bullish HSI CBBC product) when index rises through 20800 level. Recommend to adopt a trailing stop strategy for profit taking. Breakout trade should be exit if index traded back under 20800 The bullish trend following trade As of today, the index is still trading under the 50 days moving average, meaning the bearish trend is still effective. Any higher than intra day time frame bullish trade should be considered as front running. I am not encouraging or discouraging front running, as long as one understands the frontrunner is gaining the cost benefit by taking the trade at a lower winning probability pricing or timing. To take this frontrunner trade, I recommend buying at the money or <10% out of the money June or July HSI call option (or equivalent derivative warrants product). Compared to holding an outright long future position, I prefer to make use of the exponential payout curve nature to reduce my P&L volatility when waiting, as well as increasing my delta exposure when the trend is in my favor. Option position for this longer term setup should be rollover 2 weeks before expiration to avoid theta causing material harm to your P&L. This frontrunner trade should be close if the index go below 19200-18200 (it’s a range not a level, feel free to adjust within according to your level of conviction)
HLong
by geoffreyip523
HK50 Index Intraday Technical AnalysisHK50 Intraday Technical Analysis: HK50 took support from 19240 in Asian session with an intraday closure of 19622 in Asian markets. The Asian index is expected to face resistance from this level . my target is the support of 19440 in intraday. My idea is entry at 19600 resistance level with the target of 19400 and 19200 support levels. If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics
PShort
by JBShark
HK50 Index Intraday Technical AnalysisHK50 cash index opened with a gap towards downside. The price is expected to take support at 19500. My idea is that the price will make a false breakout towards downside and then reverse the trend. My target is support of 19500 with the goal of resistance of 19800 for intraday. If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics
PLong
by JBShark
HK50 Index Intraday Technical AnalysisHong Kong 50 index continued its downtrend during the hongkong / shanghai session. The HK50 index is trying to find support between 20700 and 20500. My idea is entry at 20500 and 20700 after confirmation of support and my goal will be the resistance of 21000. If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics #HK50 #HongKongStockExchange #CashIndices
PLong
by JBShark
Steve's Gun2Head Trade - Selling HKXHKD Trade Idea: Selling HangSeng (HKXHKD) Reasoning: Bearish engulfing on hourly chart after stalling at resistance. Forming a potential bearish flag on the 4hr chart Entry Level: 20831 Take Profit Level: 20031 Stop Loss: 21031 Risk/Reward: 4:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FShort
by Signal_Centre
HSI TREND FOR 01 MAY TO 05 MAY========================== ====== DISCLAIMER ========== ============================= This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour And we do not be responsible for your own loss Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you. ========================= Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE) ========================= Greetings, now i would like to share some of my opinion of HSI trending. I hope everyone has bought on dips for the past four day, and here we go, the trend now meets the first pressure at 20850, only if the trend can stand above this pressure, then the uptrend will keeps going. IF THERE IS NO BAD NEWS, THE TREND WILL CONTINUE. ====================== At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment . Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
TLong
by lsking0425
1
HSFI - Reaching Lv-2 of retracementComment : 1) HSFI has come nearly to Lv-2 of retracement at 19642, if it breakdown Lv-2, next destination is Lv-3 at 18615 2) FundFlow+ indicator - Fund flow still going down, no sign of short-term reversal 3) Tricol+ indicator - weak/no banker sentiment bar (RED) Support & Resistance : S : 19642+/- DISCLAIMER: Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
T
by TheWinningDay
HSI trend Prediction for 22 and 23 APRIL 2022========================== ====== DISCLAIMER ========== ============================= This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour And we do not be responsible for your own loss Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you. ========================= Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE) ========================= Greetings, now i would like to share some of my opinion of HSI trending. The trend has appeared oversold signal today, and it break through 20750, which means the trend will go down for a short period until it has searched its bottom. Therefore, we predict that 22-23 APRIL (Thursday and Friday) will godowntrend again before 20085, or go side retracement trend between 20750 - 20085. Our advise is: May start to buy on dips if it meets new low everytime, and observe it will rebounce or not before 20085, if not, may be careful ====================== At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment . Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
TShort
by lsking0425
1
HSI trend prediction for 19 April 2022 (One day only)========================== ====== DISCLAIMER ========== ============================= This chart and trend analysis is MERELY an OPINION, not the PROFESSIONAL ADVISE This analysis does not provide any trading suggestion and ask for selling and buying, please be responsible for your own investment behaviour And we do not be responsible for your own loss Also, the future might change anytime and everything won't go as what we predicted, so please accept this analysis as an entertainment, don't be serious about fail prediction or wrong concept and prediction. Thank you. ========================= Analysis Start ( GOOGLE TRANSLATE) ========================= Greetings, now i would like to share some of my opinion of HSI trending. Now the trend go in sideway retracement almost One Month, and the next important change date will be at 19 April 2022. The trend is now between 20750 to 22500, now is waiting for a IMPORTANT NEWS to help change the trend in the future, and we predict it might come up during this weekend. Our suggestion : May buy on dip when it meets new low everytime, but if the trend break through 20750, the risk of downfall will become bigger and should have to observe whether the trend will refill the gap below 20750 or not. ====================== At last, all the prediction above IS MERELY AN OPNION, and probably won't go as we predicted, so please jsut accept all this prediction as a entertainment . Hope all of you may gain more and more profit in Stock market, good luck
T
by lsking0425
This could be the bottom for HSIRead latest news here A quick look at the RSI indicator shows it has went below the 30 mark and like Aug 2015 period, it did not immediately rally but bottomed 6 months later in Feb 2016 where we witnessed an over 80% rally. If you wish to take a long position, make sure it is for the long haul as we still have ongoing Covid cases in China (read here ), ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, forthcoming Fed's interest rates hike ,etc. So, it could be quite volatile down the road. Tighten the seat belt and enjoy the roller coaster ride !
TLong
by dchua1969
Elliott Wave View: Hangseng Index Pullback Should Find SupportShort Term outlook in Hangseng Index suggests pullback to 18235.48 ended super cycle wave (II). This is a 4 year correction which started from January 2018 high. Super cycle wave (III) is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (II) low, wave 1 ended at 19075.75 and dips in wave 2 ended at 18584.04. Index then resumes higher in wave 3 towards 21823.07 and pullback in wave 4 ended at 21096.31. Final leg higher wave 5 ended at 22423.51 which also completed wave (1). Wave (2) pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from March 15, 2022 low. Wave (2) pullback should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and while the pullback stays above 18235.48, expect the Index to resume higher again. The 60 minutes chart below shows a possible zigzag corrective internal structure within wave (2). If the Index instead rallies and breaks above wave (1) at 22423.51 without doing further pullback, this may suggest wave (2) has ended at 21202.69. In the alternate scenario, the Index should then continue higher against 21202.69 in wave (3) already.
T
by Elliottwave-Forecast