HK50 - In Bullish TrendHK50 index in bullish trend with no divergence on 1H time frame. The trend is making HHs and HLs with beautiful trend line.
The Signal is:
EP: 17907
SL: 17597
TP: 18217
HSI trade ideas
Decoding HK33HKD: A Bullish NarrativeThe Hong Kong 33 (HK33HKD) index, representing the top companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, is showing signs of bullish momentum. Despite recent global economic challenges, several key fundamentals are aligning with a positive outlook for Hong Kong's market. The gradual reopening of China's economy and its potential stimulus measures are likely to boost regional trade and investment, benefiting Hong Kong's financial hub status. Additionally, the resilience of tech and financial sectors, which heavily influence the index, suggests potential for upward movement.
I'm maintaining a bullish bias on the HK33HKD. My strategy involves utilizing probability-based analysis. I plan to enter long positions when the probability of reaching Buyside Liquidity exceeds 50%. This approach allows for more calculated entries, potentially maximizing opportunities in the current market environment.
3M:
2W:
Hourly timeframes:
Don't hesitate to share your ideas and opinions.
ICT Longsetup HK50👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in HK50.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
The Hong Kong HSI index may now fall to around 11,000 - 12,000Technical Analysis of The Hong Kong (Hang Seng Index):
The HSI index thus shows a weak development, and has broken out of the long-term positive trend, and a further decline is signaled for the HSI index in the future.
The HSI index has broken below an important technical support level around the 18,000 - 20,000 level, and now faces significant technical resistance up against this level.
To change the now negative technical picture that the HSI index shows, the index must manage to break above the 20,000 level and establish itself above that level.
There is now little indication that this will happen, and a further decline is signaled for the HSI index in the short and medium term.
There is limited technical support for the HSI index further down now, before down towards around the 11,000 - 12,000 level (cf. chart).
The overall technical picture for the HSI index thus signals a further sharp decline for this important stock market index in Asia, and where a further fall from today's around 17,600 points down to 11,000 - 12,000 points is signaled during the next 6-12 months.
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HKEX to find buyers at market price?HS50 - 24h expiry
Selling posted in Asia.
Short term bias is bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Weekly pivot is at 17348.
We look to Buy at 17350 (stop at 17190)
Our profit targets will be 17750 and 17850
Resistance: 17870 / 18600 / 19780
Support: 17285 / 16695 / 15860
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HK33 - Channel breakThe HK33 index is in the 4th leg of a major consolidation, that commenced in early 2022.
This will likely be an ABC impulse
A Wave - From Jan - May 24, 2024, this index rallied from mitigated demand at 15,000 to approach 20,000.
B Wave - a corrective phase Jun- August 2024.
C Wave - the next impulse to complete this calendar year, will likely see index move towards 22,000 +.
On the daily chart we can see how the index has filtered lower within a Descending Channel, which is Bullish Structure.
On Monday 5th August, the VSA printed the largest High-volume Bar for the year. It signifies buyers coming into the market in a big way. (This was not an isolated event, as a number of equity markets experienced heightened volume ). This has culminated on last Friday, with a trending bullish candlestick, that broke the channel to upside. It is presently against the 200D MAV at 17578.
When and if the index breaks the 200 MAV, then the bias is likely to shift to one of a bullish sentiment and a greater consideration to go long on this index. This should then be reflected on the monthly chart VSA, with an uptick in volume (as there are plenty of buyers sitting out or on the sidelines for this China Market).
I think the low for this index printed at 15000, and we are very likely to see it appreciate sooner than later.
Potential for significant growth in the HK50 index Dear Investors,
We are pleased to share with you our latest analyst observations. The HK50 Index is showing impressive upward signals and here's why:
1. Strong support level on the daily timeframe:
On the daily chart, we see price stalled at a key support level. This signals that the market is finding a stable support point here.
2. The “W” reversal pattern on the lower timeframe:
When analyzing the lower timeframes, the “W” reversal pattern is clearly visible. This classic figure of technical analysis indicates a possible trend reversal and subsequent price growth.
HK33HKD to turnaround?HS50 - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 16917.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Buy at 16970 (stop at 16825)
Our profit targets will be 17270 and 17870
Resistance: 17285 / 17870 / 18600
Support: 16695 / 15860 / 14790
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
HK50 POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone!
How are you all?
HK50 is an instrument to watch this week, because it is shaping up very nicely for a bullish move that we can capitalize on.
So, I will be looking for a bullish reversal because of the following reasons:
1. The overall trend is bullish.
2. The price has formed a bullish reversal structure.
3. The price is approaching the value area.
Game Plan:
If the price rejects at the VA and makes a bullish impulse followed by a 15mins flag with two highs and lows.
Entry : will look for a risk sell entry within the flag or a reduced risk entry on the breakout of the flag.
Hong Kong 50 | Range Idea | Pre-MarketWithin a 100K Account Balance the split on Trade & Risk Management = 1/10% - 1/20% margin as an Execution Range, to set up an Order Entry and select a per Trade on Average, to avoid any drawdown hit regarding to Stop Loss & to execute Risk on Management Specifics. Trail Stop efforts are a Focus of Attention to the set up in general when Volatile-Price-Action is involved, mainly because of the usage of an Intraday-Scalp-Position tool on behalf on the Trade Plan in general
# POSITION & Risk Reward | 15 Minutes Time Frame
- Measurement on Session
* Rally | Short
* Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618
* Extension | 0.88 & 1
# POSITION & Risk Reward | 1 Hour Time Frame
- Measurement on Session
* 20 EMA
* 1000 EMA
* Retracement
# LOWER DEGREE | 4 Hour Time Frame
- Behaviour & Subdivision
- Measurement on Session
* Ascending Triangle
* 12345 Wave Set Up | Bearish & Bullish | Signpost
* Date Range | Bar Measurement & Amount of Volume(scale)
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
Hang Seng Slips after New Disappointing Chinese DataLast week’s soft CPI report showed that China has not escaped deflationary pressures and today’s data reaffirmed the weak consumer demand environment, as retail sales rose just 2% y/y in June and the worst print since late-2022. Adding to the woes, the economy grew by 4.7% y/y in Q2 and the slowest pace in more than a year.
HKG33 slips after the new disappointing data and remains in peril of breaching the ascending trend line from the 2024 lows and the 50% Fibonacci of the advance from that low (at around 17,200). That could open the door to further losses towards 16,000, but we are cautious around such moves.
This week’s new disappointing releases may aggravate concerns around the economy, but also raise the chances of more stimulus by Beijing just as the Third Plenum kicks off, where officials will have the chance to discuss supportive measures.
HKG33 can find renewed support as a result and last week it managed to gain ground, overcoming the poor inflation report. Although the upside remains unfriendly, the index tries to hold the initiative about the EMA200 (black line) that keeps it on track for 18,736, but sustained advance towards this year’s peak 19,794 does not look easy.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
HSI - longest bear market 2018 to 2024*Hopefully, this monthly chart reflects correctly that the bear market has ended this year in 2024 and not like some TA experts predicting that it will fall below the 15000 price level. Possible but imo, not probably......I could be very wrong so do take this with a huge pinch of salt......
If it does fall to 14, 487 price level, then it would forms a nice triple bottom formation which could means a possible trend reversal as well......
Judging from current macro environment, various government policies, etc, I gathered that price should move further up from here. Whether it is the intention of the government to let it fall further or not, it will definitely brings down the already depressed consumer sentiments that the local Chinese have towards the government. While the CCP has no worries like the US in terms of election vote, the common prosperity vision must still be uphold - this we can see the brutal yet necessary moves against the education sector, punishing the Tech giants with heavy fines and withholding their licenses ,etc.
China being the 2nd largest economy is on a fighting mode perpetually with so many areas that it needs to address - defence, aging population, corruption issues, employment, healthcare, trading, competition with other countries, etc.
If you are investing in China for the short term , then you will be disappointed as so many investors/traders had - after losing money in even blue chip stocks like Alibaba, Meituan, etc in the past years............
I believe the worst is over and now is the time for China to shine again......slowly but surely and there are many undervalued gems in China that one can choose to invest..........
HSI - Light at the end of the tunnel After 5 years of bear market, could we finally see the light at the end of the tunnel ? Possible. With this recent drastic measures , it becomes almost impossible to short the market and it leaves only those who are keen to LONG the market to come in. The short sellers, be it institutional or retail investors probably have to go elsewhere....
Those who are keen on longing the HSI index can go try the 2800 ETF which mainly comprises of tech stocks, property developers and financial institutions. Of the 3 sectors, I am bullish on the first and last but remain cautiously optimistic on the property developers.......
While there are ongoing and more measures coming up to combat the falling prices, the consumer confidence is sorely lacking. What we are seeing are the ultra rich picking up the high end properties at discounted price but those who in need of a home are still very concerned about the interest rates (Hong Kong mortgage rate is pegged to the US dollar) and until the FED starts to cut rates, this sitting on the fence approach may last for a while more, imo.
We must not forget the unemployment rates remain high as well as many graduates have yet to find jobs and with AI, robotics, etc becoming more mainstream, we can expect more manual type of work to be partially or fully replaced.
Already, we are seeing the Baidu robo taxis creating a scene in many cities that are being rolled out with the local Uber/Grab taxi drivers protesting..... If lesser people are booking the apps, then they have to work even longer hours to cover their fixed operational costs (rental of vehicles, diesel , operating costs ,etc)
The retail scene are not doing much better with many owners unable to continue their business due to consumers not spending enough or choosing to buy online from T mall, PDD, Shein, etc. And that has created another big opportunity for the livestream business where anyone can become a host to peddle their products - beauty, agricultural, cosmetics, etc.
All eyes are also on the upcoming Plenary meeting where the officials of the CCP will congregate and set the goals for the coming years and dish out new policies, incentives, etc to pull up the struggling sectors. With such low interest rates, business owners are not enticed to borrow as demand remains weak and consumers choosing to shop thriftily.
Let's hope more good measures will come up sooner than later........
HK50 POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone!
How are you all?
HK50 is an instrument to watch this week, because it is shaping up very nicely for a bullish trend continuation that we can capitalize on.
So, I will be looking for a bullish continuation because of the following reasons:
1. The overall trend is bullish.
2. The price has formed a continuation structure.
3. The price is approaching the value area structurally.
Game Plan:
If the price comes to the VA, and rejects at that level or sweeps the Low, and makes a bullish impulse followed by a 15mins flag with two highs and lows.
Entry : will look for a risk buy entry within the flag or a reduced risk entry on the breakout of the flag.
Hang Seng in Remains in Peril after Weak Chinese InflationChina’s post pandemic recovery is bumpy, troubled by a distressed property market, subdued factory activity and weak consumer demand. Today’s data showed that the country has not escaped deflationary pressures, with CPI hovering around zero for more than a year now. Inflation came in at +0.2% y/y in June, lower than expected and the weakest since January. On a monthly basis, it contracted by 0.2%. Strained Sino-Western relations meanwhile add to the woes, with the latest episode in the trade wars coming from the European Union, which slapped provisional tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs).
This unfavorable mix keeps pressure on HKG33, which runs its second straight losing month. The index is now in risk of breaching the ascending trend line from this year’s lows that would bring 16K in the spotlight.
On the other hand, Beijing has been taking measures to support the economy – even if timid – and more action could be announced later in the month, while weak inflation puts pressure on the central bank for rate cuts. Furthermore, the economy has shown some encouraging signs and the country pushes ahead with the new three pillars of growth consisting of solar, EVs and electric batteries.
HKG33 is in profitable territory for the year after the recent relief rally and can find support around the current levels. This would give it the opportunity to reclaim the EMA200 (blackline) and regain the initiative, but the upside is unfriendly.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
HSI - KWEB - FXI - YINN --- China UptrendChart is self explantory. Bottomline I think we came to the end of 4 year long bear market in China. If they don`t blow up the Taiwan issue, coast is clear.
Econ gathering on 14-16 July, CCP will explain it reforms. I don`t buy what they sell but they would most likely provde liquidity to the market pre and post this economic forum which they do every 5 years. Even for a small pop, this could be a nice play.
BABA - PDD - JD - Tencent...ideally I play with YINN but all the names will benefit eventually.
ICT Long setup H1 chart HK50👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in
HK50 for session trade (a couple of hours)
Weekly chart is in down trend!! So that you couid wait for a reversal to downside as a Swing Short trade after this upward pulse alternatively!
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
HangSeng likely more downside till 17000Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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HK50 SHORT POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone!
How are you all?
Hk50 is an instrument to watch, because it is shaping up very nicely for a bearish trend continuation.
So, I will be looking for a bearish continuation because of the following reasons:
1. The short term trend is bearish.
2. The price has formed a continuation structure and it is approaching the value area.
Game Plan:
If the price comes to the VA, and rejects at that level or sweeps the high, and makes a bearish impulse followed by a 15mins flag with two highs and lows.
Entry : will look for a risk sell entry within the flag or a reduced risk entry on the breakout of the flag.
