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US Composite IndexUU

US Composite Index

19,529.95USDR
+231.50+1.20%
At close at Jun 6, 23:22 GMT
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IXIC trade ideas

Daily Market Update for 7/1Summary: The first day of the second half of the year saw markets rise after dipping in the morning. However defensive stocks still lead with the Utilities sector on top. Treasury yields fell throughout the week, falling again on Friday. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Friday, July 1, 2022 Facts: +0.90%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 98%, Body: 58% Green Good: High closing range, long lower wick Bad: Lower high, volume lower on gain Highs/Lows: Lower high, Higher low Candle: Half green body above long lower wick Advance/Decline: 1.25, more advancing than declining stocks Indexes: SPX (+1.06%), DJI (+1.05%), RUT (+1.16%), VIX (+3.11%) Sector List: Utilities (XLU +2.45%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.84%) at the top. Materials (XLB +0.71%) and Technology (XLK +0.23%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview The first day of the second half of the year saw markets rise after dipping in the morning. However defensive stocks still lead with the Utilities sector on top. Treasury yields fell throughout the week, falling again on Friday. The Nasdaq rose by +0.90%. Volume was much lower than the previous three days. The 58% green body sits above a long lower wick and ends with a 98% closing range for the day. There were more advancing stocks than declining stocks. The Russell 2000 (RUT) led the major indexes, gaining by +1.16%. The S&P 500 (SPX) advanced +1.06% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose by +1.05%. The VIX Volatility Index was up by +3.11% All eleven S&P sectors rose. Utilities (XLU +2.45%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.84%) were the top two sectors. Materials (XLB +0.71%) and Technology (XLK +0.23%) were at the bottom of the sector list. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for June was 53.0. It was expected higher at 54.9. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by +0.36%. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields fell. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices rose. The gap between High Yield Corporate Bonds and short-term Treasury Bonds continued to widen. Brent Oil rose to $110 a barrel. The CNN Fear & Greed index is in Extreme Fear. Four of the big six mega-caps gained. Microsoft (MSFT) rose by +1.07% to close above its 21d EMA. The biggest gain of the day goes to Amazon (AMZN) which advanced by +3.15%. Meta (FB) had the biggest loss, declining by -0.76%. Amazon also topped the broader mega-cap list followed by Coca-Cola (KO) which rose by +2.34%. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Nvidia (NVDA) were at the bottom of the list, falling by -5.81% and -4.20%. The best stock in the Daily Update Growth List was Etsy (ETSY) which gained a huge +9.02%. Nvidia was at the bottom of the growth list. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Markets are closed on Monday for the Fourth of July Holiday. Tuesday will start off the week with Factory Orders data for May. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq traded below the 21d EMA for the last four days. Today's brief rally at open turned into a sell-off and then a steady gain through the rest of the day. If the index follows the one-day trend line, that would end near the trend line from the 6/16 low and result in a +1.16% gain for Tuesday. The five-day trend line points to a -3.24% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Have a wonderful Fourth of July weekend! Stay healthy and trade safe!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 6/30Summary: Markets closed the worst first semester in over 50 years with another decline, falling on concerns over economic growth and corporate debt concerns. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Thursday, June 30, 2022 Facts: -1.33%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 57%, Body: 6% Red Good: Closing range above 50% Bad: Lower high, lower low, lower close, on higher volume Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Spinning top candle signals indecision Advance/Decline: 0.57, almost two declining for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-0.88%), DJI (-0.82%), RUT (-0.66%), VIX (+1.95%) Sector List: Utilities (XLU +1.11%) and Industrials (XLI +0.31%) at the top. Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.47%) and Energy (XLE -2.11%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets closed the worst first semester in over 50 years with another decline, falling on concerns over economic growth and corporate debt concerns. The Nasdaq finished lower by -1.33%. Volume was slightly higher than the previous day. The candle has a thin red body in between a long upper wick and an even longer lower wick. The candle is a spinning top that signals indecision in the market. The lower wick came during a sell-off just after the market opened. The index recovered, but not enough to regain all the losses. There were nearly two declining stocks for every advancing stock. The S&P 500 (SPX) declined by -0.88%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell by -0.82%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) lost -0.66%. The VIX Volatility index rose by +1.95%. Four of the eleven S&P sectors gained mostly defensive sectors. Utilities (XLU +1.11%) and Industrials (XLI +0.31%) were the best two sectors. Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.47%) and Energy (XLE -2.11%) were at the bottom of the list. Core PCE Price Index data grew 4.7% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month. That was less than the expected 4.8% and 0.4%. Personal Spending (MoM) grew by only 0.2% compared to an expectation of 0.4% and the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index also fell short, registering at 56.0 instead of the expected 58.0. So inflation may be tapering, but spending is also cooling. The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell by -0.34%. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasuries all declined. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bonds continue to diverge from Treasury bond prices, signaling the concern over corporate debt. Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices are tracking along with Treasuries. Brent Oil dropped to $108.42 a barrel. The put/call ratio (PCCE) dropped to 0.996. The CNN Fear & Greed index is in Extreme Fear. The NAAIM money manager exposure index rose to 30.66 from 19.86 the previous week. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead ISM Manufacturing data will be released in the morning after the market opens, giving a heads up on economic demand. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq almost 3% after the market opened but regained some of the losses, resulting in an intra-day trend line that slopes upward. If the index returns to the trend line from the 6/16 low, that would require a +3.31% gain for Friday. The one-day trend line points to a +1.82% gain. The five-day trend line ends with a -1.51% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up It was a choppy session as investors close out the first half of the year. Economic data in the morning didn't help paint a solid picture for economic direction and investors sided on the fear side, selling growth and buying defensive stocks. Let's hope for a better second half of the year. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 6/29Summary: GDP for Q1 was revised lower while investors are trying to calculate what possible moves the Fed will make to combat a recession. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wednesday, June 29, 2022 Facts: -0.03%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 69%, Body: 11% Green Good: Closing range above 40% Bad: A/D ratio, lower high and low Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: On neck candle where close is near a previous day which was long red (continuation candle) Advance/Decline: 0.42, more than two declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-0.07%), DJI (+0.27%), RUT (-1.12%), VIX (-0.71%) Sector List: Health (XLV +0.87%) and Consumer Staples (XLP +0.63%) at the top. Materials (XLB -0.72%) and Energy (XLE -3.48%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview GDP for Q1 was revised lower while investors are trying to calculate what possible moves the Fed will make to combat a recession. The Nasdaq declined by -0.03%. Volume was higher than the previous day. The on-neck candle has a thin green body that opens and closes near yesterday's close, signaling a continuation in a downtrend. The continuation will be confirmed if tomorrow's low breaks today's low. The closing range of 69% comes above a longer lower wick which formed right at the open of the market. There were more than two declining stocks for every advancing stock. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) held onto gains for the day, rising by +0.27%. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell by only -0.07% while the Russell 2000 (RUT) declined by -1.12%. The VIX Volatility Index declined by -0.71%. Five of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained. Health (XLV +0.87%) and Consumer Staples (XLP +0.63%) led the gaining sectors. Materials (XLB -0.72%) and Energy (XLE -3.48%) had the biggest losses for the day. Energy followed Brent Oil prices lower. GDP growth for Q1 was revised to -1.6% compared to the previous calculation of -1.5%. GDP Price Index Data was also revised, rising to 8.3% from the previous measure of 8.1%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by +0.59%. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all moved lower. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices declined while Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices rose. Brent Oil prices declined by -1.63% to $111.69 a barrel. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 1.26. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved back into the Extreme Fear range. Four of the big six mega-caps gained today. Meta (FB) had the biggest gain of the six, advancing by +2.03%. Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) declined by -1.79% and -0.28% respectively. Meta was the top gainer in the broader mega-cap list as well. The biggest loser in the list was Exxon Mobil (XOM), which declined by -3.69%. Digital Turbine (APPS) received some positive reviews from analysts, helping it top the Daily Update Growth List by gaining +5.76%. At the bottom of the list was Lemonade (LMND) which lost -7.28% today. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Our next look at inflation comes in the morning with the release of the PCE Price Index and Personal Spending data for May. We will also get the weekly Initial Jobless Claims. The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for Jun will be released after the market opens. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq dipped after the open but then recovered and traded in a tight range the rest of the day, closing near yesterday's close. If the index returns to the trend line from the 6/16 low, that would mean a +3.28% advance. The five-day trend line points to a +0.88% gain for Thursday. The one-day trend line is flat and points to a +0.2% gain for tomorrow. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up The market continues to show uncertainty over future economic growth. More companies are beginning to scale back labor and purchases, adding more worries to the list. That's all bad news, but now it also has some analysts predicting a 2023 rate cut from the Fed to fight against recession. Although Treasury bond prices rose, Corporate junk bond prices declined, signaling a move to safe-havens. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
IXIC (NASDAQ) - June 29hello? Traders, welcome. By "following", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Like". Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (IXIC (Nasdaq) 1M Chart) The 11167.51-11490.19 section is the boundary between an uptrend and a downtrend in the long term. (1W chart) The overall support section is 11167.51-12131.13. However, it can be divided into sections 11167.51-11490.19 and 11805.0-12131.13. If it crosses around the 11167.51-11490.19 section, it is expected to form a bottom section. If support is found in the 11805.0-12131.13 section, it is expected to continue the upward trend from a mid- to long-term perspective. (1D chart) The 11167.51-11490.19 section mentioned in the 1W chart refers to the maximum section 10492.50-11490.19. You need to wiggle up and down to form a floor. This oscillation forms a bottom as the period of volatility is shortened and the movement emerges within a certain sideways interval. However, there must be movement above 10492.50. ------------------------------------------------------------ ----------------------------------------------------- ** All indicators are lagging indicators. Therefore, it is important to be aware that the indicator will move accordingly as price and volume move. However, for the sake of convenience, we are talking in reverse for the interpretation of the indicator. ** The MRHAB-T indicator used in the chart is an indicator of our channel that has not been released yet. ** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.) ** Support or resistance is based on the closing price of the 1D chart. ** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment. (Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.) ---------------------------------
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by readCrypto
Daily Market Update for 6/28Summary: Consumer Confidence data shocked investors as it hit a 16-month low and raised worries over slower economic growth. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Tuesday, June 28, 2022 Facts: -2.98%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 1%, Body: 79% Red Good: Nothing Bad: Drop below 21d EMA, higher volume, closing range Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Huge red body below a long upper wick Advance/Decline: 0.26, four declining stocks for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-2.01%), DJI (-1.56%), RUT (-1.86%), VIX (+5.23%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +2.70%) and Utilities (XLU -0.37%) at the top. Technology (XLK -3.00%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -3.99%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Consumer Confidence data shocked investors as it hit a 16-month low and raised worries over slower economic growth. The Nasdaq fell by -2.98% with higher volume than the previous day. The 79% red body is below a long upper wick which formed right at the open before the economic data was available. The market sold off the rest of the day, leaving the Nasdaq with a 1% closing range. There were four declining stocks for every 1 advancing stock. The S&P 500 (SPX) was the next worst-hit index, falling by -2.01%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) declined by -1.86%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) closed the day -1.56% lower. The VIX Volatility Index rose by +5.23%. Only one of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained. Energy (XLE) followed oil prices higher and closed up by +2.70%. The worst two sectors for today were Technology (XLK -3.00%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -3.99%). CB Consumer Confidence came in at 98.7, lower than the forecast of 110.4. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock showed much higher demand than expected with inventories falling by -3.799 million barrels compared to the expectation of -0.110 million barrels. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to +0.52%. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all declined. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices moved opposite of Treasuries, declining for the day. Brent Oil rose to $113.54 a barrel. The put/call ratio ended the day at 0.810. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved back to the edge of Extreme Fear. All big six mega-caps declined. Meta (FB) had the biggest decline, falling by -5.20%. Apple (AAPL) had the smallest decline, but still lost -2.98% of its value today. Exxon Mobile (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) topped the broader mega-cap list, advancing by +2.77% and +1.61%. Nvidia (NVDA) was at the bottom of the mega-cap list, falling by -5.26%. The entire Daily Update Growth List declined today. Twitter (TWTR) held up the best, losing only -1.02% while much of the declined by more than 5%. Peloton (PTON) had the biggest decline, losing -8.62% and landing at the bottom of the growth list. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead An update on GDP numbers for Q1 will be released in the morning. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 9:00 am. Crude Oil Inventories get a weekly update after the market opens. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq fell back below the 21d EMA. If the index would return to the trend line from the 6/16 low, that would require a +4.53% gain. The gain required to get back to the five-day trend line is only slightly better, requiring a +3.69% gain. If the one-day trend line were to continue into Wednesday, that would mean another -4.14% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Big tech and growth stocks took another hit as Consumer Confidence dips on inflation worries. The US Dollar's continued strength relative to other currencies is also a headwind for large multinationals who need to repatriate a large portion of their revenues, bringing the forecast for top line and bottom line performance down. The lower market outlook for US companies is reflected in the widening gap between Corporate bond yields and Treasury bond yields. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 6/27 Summary: After one of the best weekly gains of the year, the index kicked this week off with a pullback. Growth stocks led stocks lower, but small caps held onto gains for the day. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Monday, June 27, 2022 Facts: -0.72%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 20%, Body: 72% Red Good: Stay above 21d EMA, higher high, higher low, volume lower on decline Bad: Closing range Highs/Lows: Higher high, Higher low Candle: Thick red body between small upper and lower wicks Advance/Decline: 0.78, more declining than advancing stocks Indexes: SPX (-0.30%), DJI (-0.20%), RUT (+0.34%), VIX (-1.03%) Sector List: Energy (XLE +2.93%) and Utilities (XLU +0.81%) at the top. Communications (XLC -0.95%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.05%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview After one of the best weekly gains of the year, the index kicked this week off with a pullback. Growth stocks led stocks lower, but small caps held onto gains for the day. The Nasdaq declined by -0.72% after gaining +7.49% last week. Volume was much lower than Friday's 80% surge in volume. The 73% red body sits below a tiny upper wick and slightly longer lower wick. The index started the day with gains, but then moved lower, ending with a closing range of 18%. There were more declining than advancing stocks. The Russell 2000 (RUT) held onto gains for the day, advancing by +0.34%. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed -0.30% lower and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined by -0.20%. The VIX Volatility Index declined by -1.03%. Only three of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained today. Energy (XLE +2.93%) and Utilities (XLU +0.81%) were the top two sectors. Communications (XLC -0.95%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -1.05%) had the largest declines. Durable Goods Orders in May were higher than expected, rising 0.7% month-over-month compared to the expectation of 0.1%. Pending Home Sales for May were expected to decline by -3.7% but instead rose by 0.7%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) declined by -0.17%. US 30Y, 10Y, and 2Y Treasury Yields all rose. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices declined. Brent Oil rose by +2.36% and topped $110 a barrel again after new sanctions against Russia were proposed. The put/call ratio (PCCE) rose to 0.761. The CNN Fear & Greed Index is back in the Fear range after being in Extreme Fear early last week. The NAAIM Money Manager Exposure index dropped to 19.86 last week. All big six mega-caps declined today. Of the six, only Meta (FB) is below its 21d EMA. Alphabet (GOOG) is the only of the big six above both the 21d EMA and 50d MA. Exxon Mobile (XOM) was the top mega-cap of the day, gaining by +2.45% as oil prices rose again. Amazon (AMZN) was at the bottom of the broader mega-cap list, declining by -2.78%. Most of the Daily Update Growth List declined today, but there were some gainers. RobinHood (HOOD) had the best gain, advancing by +14.00% after an upgrade by Goldman Sachs. Sea Limited (SE) was at the bottom of the growth list with a -6.74% decline today. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead CB Consumer Confidence for June will publish after the market opens. We will also get the Goods Trade Balance and Retail Inventories for May. Later in the afternoon, the API Weekly Crude Oil Stock will publish. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq rallied in the first few minutes of the market but then faded the rest of the day. The low held well above the 21d EMA. If the index returns to the five-day trend line, that would meet up with the trend line from the 6/16 low and result in a +1.92% gain for Tuesday. The one-day trend line leads to a -0.32% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up After the massive volume on Friday and the weekly gains of over 7%, it's not a huge concern if the market pulls back a bit. The low of the day is well above the low of last Friday and volume was lower as the index declined. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
The end of MMTThis is quite symbolic graph comparing NASDAQ Composite Index to the interest rates since the end of gold standard in USA in 1971 and beginning of the Modern Monetary Theory where FED economists thought country can't bankrupt because always more money can be printed. Each time since 1971 when there was a crisis and stock market going down the best solution was QE (quantitative easing) to flood economy with more printed money, each time however decreasing the living standards for people because of inflation . And here we are now when the rates are nearly zero and we are facing next big crisis, but first time since 1970's according to MMT the central bank can't lower interest rates because we are already at the bottom, there is no speace for easing. How this will end? Nothing good is waiting for us in the nearest future in my opinion. There is high inflation and to stop it the interest rates would have to be much higher, even double digits in the US and Europe but central banks won't like to do this because the countries have huge debts and high interest rates means they could just go bankrupt (which would be the best option - let it bankrupt and clear this economy). I think hitting the ground will be very hard.
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by UnknownUnicorn29290293
Daily Market Update for 6/17Summary: Big tech and growth stocks recovered some of the heavy losses from Thursday's selling. The bounce comes at the end of one of the worst weeks in the market since the start of the pandemic. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Friday, June 17, 2022 Facts: +1.43%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 65%, Body: 41% Green Good: Gain on higher volume, closing range good Bad: A/D ratio, long upper wick Highs/Lows: Higher high, Higher low Candle: Small body under a longer upper wick, short lower wick Advance/Decline: 0.32, three declining for every advancing stock. Indexes: SPX (+0.22%), DJI (-0.13%), RUT (+0.96%), VIX (-5.52%) Sector List: Communications (XLC +1.43%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.09%) at the top. Utilities (XLU -0.93%) and Energy (XLE -5.47%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Big tech and growth stocks recovered some of the heavy losses from Thursday's selling. The bounce comes at the end of one of the worst weeks in the market since the start of the pandemic. The Nasdaq rose by +1.43%. Volume was at its highest since March. The rally reached the intraday high and then subdued, leaving behind a longer upper wick and a 65% closing range over a 41% green body. The gains were not broadly shared. For every advancing stock, there were three declining stocks. The Russell 2000 (RUT) gained +0.96%. The S&P 500 (SPX) climbed by just +0.22% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined by -0.13%. The VIX Volatility Index fell by -5.52% but remains elevated. Only five of the S&P 500 sectors gained. Communications (XLC +1.43%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.09%) were the top gainers, while Utilities (XLU -0.93%) and Energy (XLE -5.47%) had the biggest declines. Industrial Production for May grew by only 0.2% compared to the expectation of 0.4%. The US Dollar strengthened with the index (DXY) rising by +0.82%. US30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all rose. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices rose. Brent Oil fell sharply to $111.43 a barrel. The fall in oil prices sent the Energy (XLE) sector lower. Timber, Copper, and Aluminum were all lower for the day. The put/call ratio rose to 1.24, another high reading at the close. The CNN Fear & Greed Index is in Extreme Fear. The NAAIM Money Manager Index fell to 32.18 from 50 last week. All of the big six mega-caps gained Friday. Amazon (AMZN) gained +2.47% for the day, beating the other five. Microsoft (MSFT) had the smallest gain but still rose by +1.09%. The big six topped the broader mega-cap list along with Nvidia (NVDA) which gained by +1.79% today. At the bottom of the mega-cap list were Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) which fell by -4.57% and -5.77%. Growth stocks did well today. The Daily Update Growth List has only three declining stocks. The biggest gain was by Enphase (ENPH) which rose by +8.94%. Just behind it was another new energy stock, Solar Edge (SEDG) which climbed by +8.44%. UP Fintech (TIGR) was at the bottom of the list, declining by -4.03%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Markets will be closed on Monday for the Juneteenth holiday. On Tuesday morning, we will get the Existing Home Sales data for May. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq opened with a whipsaw action in the morning before climbing to the intraday high in the early afternoon. If the one-day trend line continues into Tuesday, we can expect a +1.35%. If the index returns to the five-day trend line, that would mean a -0.75% decline. A return to the trend line from the 6/2 high would mean a -4.19% decline to start the short week. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up The gain on high volume is positive for the Nasdaq, but it was confined to a small percentage of stocks in the index. We need those gains to be shared more broadly across the index to build support for further improvements. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
NASDAQ : IXIC to bounce back Quickly to be in Parallel ChannelI'm expecting some bounce back in NASDAQ:IXIC as per my Technical Analysis. It has moved out of Parallel Channel which it was following since start of this year. It is currently following a downward trendline. On Upside, it can touch levels of 11384 really quick, as bounce from current levels would be sharp. Chances of fall looks bleak, but if it does then it should follow downward parallel channel and as per Fibonacci Retracement it should touch levels of 10268 not before July 29th. Goodtime to put money in Quality Megacap stocks of NASDAQ like NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:INTU .
NLong
by simplyansh
Daily Market Update for 6/15Summary: The Fed increased interest rates by 75 basis points as many expected after last week's inflation data. Initially, the market dipped, but then a rally came after Jerome Powel's comments following the rate hike. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wednesday, June 15, 2022 Facts: +2.50%, Volume higher, Closing Range: 62%, Body: 35% Green Good: Advance on higher volume, closing range, A/D ratio Bad: Long upper wick after buying slowed Highs/Lows: Higher high, Higher low Candle: Medium body in center of candle, longer upper wick Advance/Decline: 1.98, two advancing for every one declining stock Indexes: SPX (+1.46%), DJI (+1.00%), RUT (+1.36%), VIX (-9.39%) Sector List: Consumer Discretionary (XLY +2.81%) and Real Estate (XLRE +2.29%) at the top. Materials (XLB -0.03%) and Energy (XLE -2.21%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview The Fed increased interest rates by 75 basis points as many expected after last week's inflation data. Initially, the market dipped, but then a rally came after Jerome Powel's comments following the rate hike. The Nasdaq advanced +2.50% on higher volume than the previous session. The candle has a 35% green body underneath a longer upper wick and a 62% closing range. Both the lower wick and upper wick came after the Fed's interest rate decision. The lower wick formed on the decision and the upper wick formed after public comments by Jerome Powell. There were two advancing stocks for every declining stock. The S&P 500 (SPX) was the second-best index, rising by +1.46% today. The Russell 2000 (RUT) advanced by +1.36%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose by +1.00%. The VIX Volatility Index declined by -9.39%. Nine of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained. Consumer Discretionary (XLY +2.81%) and Real Estate (XLRE +2.29%) were at the top. Materials (XLB -0.03%) and Energy (XLE -2.21%) were the two losing sectors. The decline in Energy was likely related ot the decline in Brent Oil prices. Core Retail Sales, which excludes automobiles, grew by 0.5% in May compared to the expectation of 0.8%. Including automobiles, total Retail Sales declined by -0.3% . The Export Price Index rose by 2.8% while the Import Price Index declined by -0.6%, the impact coming from the strong US Dollar. Crude Oil Inventories were higher than expected, rising by 1.96 million barrels. The forecast was for a -1.314 million barrel shortage. The US Dollar Index (DXY) declined by -0.6%. The US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields all declined as the yield curve continues to recover from its inversion earlier this week. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices both followed Treasury bond prices higher and the spread between corporate junk bonds and short-term treasuries narrowed. Brent Oil dropped to $116 a barrel. Timber, Copper, and Aluminum prices rose after selling off sharply for several days. The put/call ratio dipped below 0.7 but then ended the day at 0.933. The CNN Fear & Greed index remained in the Extreme Fear range. All big six mega-caps gained. Tesla (TSLA) led the gains with a +5.48% advance, followed closely by Amazon (AMZN) which gained by +5.24%. All six charts showed good gains on higher volume, but there is still much work to do before showing any strength. Tesla and Amazon were also the top stocks in the broader mega-cap list, followed by Nvidia (NVDA) which gained by +4.36%. The big energy companies of Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) were at the bottom of the list, declining by -1.26% and -1.96% respectively. There were only five declining stocks on the list. All but two stocks in the Daily Update Growth List gained today. Beyond Meat (BYND) was the top stock on the list, soaring by +13.95%. Many of the top gainers in the list today were stocks that were the most beaten down in recent months. RobinHood (HOOD) was at the bottom of the list, declining by -2.49%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Building Permits and Housing Starts for May will be published tomorrow morning. We will also get the weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for June. Adobe (ADBE), Kroger (KR), and Jabil (JBL) will release their earnings on Thursday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq opened with a gap-up but filled the gap after the interest rate decision. The index then had a quick rally after the public statement by Jerome Powell. If the one-day trend line continued into Thursday, that would mean a +1.13% gain. The steep five-day trend line points to a -4.35% decline. The trend line from the 6/2 high is even steeper, pointing to a -6.33% decline for Thursday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Is the rally after the Fed interest rate hike good news for investors? Let's wait and see. Last month, the market rallied in the afternoon following the Fed's interest rate decision. And then it dumped for two days. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
Daily Market Update for 6/14Summary: A wait-and-see day ended with a further dip across the market, but a bounce in technology stocks helped the Nasdaq end the day with a gain. Investors' full attention is on the Fed's rate-hike decision on Wednesday. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Tuesday, June 14, 2022 Facts: +0.18%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 49%, Body: 36% Red Good: Ok closing range Bad: Lower high, lower low, A/D ratio weak Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Thin red body in upper half of candle, long lower wick Advance/Decline: 0.61, three advancing for every two declining stocks Indexes: SPX (-0.38%), DJI (-0.50%), RUT (-0.39%), VIX (-3.91%) Sector List: Technology (XLK +0.63%) and Energy (XLE +0.19%) at the top. Consumer Staples (XLP -1.18%) and Utilities (XLU -2.53%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview A wait-and-see day ended with a further dip across the market, but a bounce in technology stocks helped the Nasdaq end the day with a gain. Investors' full attention is on the Fed's rate-hike decision on Wednesday. Nasdaq advanced by +0.18%. Volume was much lower than the previous day as most investors are waiting for Wednesday's Fed meeting. A 36% red body sits above a long lower wick that formed late in the session as the index dipped to a lower low before recovering some of the losses and ending with a 49% closing range. There were three declining stocks for every two advancing stocks. The other major indexes retreated further. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined by -0.50%. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost -0.38%. The Russell 2000 (RUT) fell by -0.39%. The VIX Volatility Index retreated from its high level the previous day, declining by -3.91% today. Two of the eleven S&P 500 sectors gained. Technology (XLK +0.63%) and Energy (XLE +0.19%) had the gains after steep declines yesterday. Consumer Staples (XLP -1.18%) and Utilities (XLU -2.53%) had the biggest declines today. Produce Price Index data didn't do much to reduce fears over inflation, but it didn't add any fuel to the fire. The Core PPI came in a 0.5% month-over-month compared to the forecast of 0.6%. Total PPI, which includes food and energy, matched the expectation of a 0.8% month-over-month increase. The US Dollar Index (DXY) continued its climb, rising by +0.26% today. The Yield curve nearly reverted from yesterday's inversion but is still at a very narrow spread. The 30y, 10y, and 2y yields all dipped and the 2y yield dropped back below the 30y yield. High Yield (HYG) Corporate Bond prices rose for the day but Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices continued to fall. Brent Oil is back below $120 a barrel. Timber and Copper/Aluminum Futures continue to fall. The put/call ratio (PCCE) remained bearish but fell to 1.09. The CNN Fear & Greed index is in the Extreme Fear range. Four of the big six mega-caps gained. Tesla (TSLA) had the biggest gain with a +2.39% advance today. Amazon (AMZN) declined by -1.31% today. Alibaba (BABA) continues to swing up and down, finding itself at the top of the broader mega-cap list today with a +6.81% gain. Coca-Cola Company (KO) was at the bottom of the list, declining by -3.44%. The top four gaining stocks in the Daily Update Growth List were Chinese companies. NIO Technologies (NIO) topped the list with a +16.70% gain. At least half of the list advanced today. RH (RH) had the biggest loss, declining by -4.91%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead Several economic indicators will publish in the morning. Retail Sales and Export/Import Price Index for May are due before the market opens. Weekly Crude Oil Inventories are due after the market opens. None of those will likely impact market direction. Investors are waiting for the Fed Interest Rate Decision which will come at 14:00. That will be followed by closely-watched remarks from Jerome Powell as he carefully lands their economic assessment and Fed strategy to control inflation without causing a recession. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq set a lower low in the afternoon before recovering enough to gain for the day. If the one-day trend line continues, it will result in a -0.13% decline for Wednesday. The trend line from the 6/2 high points to a -1.19% decline. Following the five-day trend lien would result in a -5.89% decline. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up We wait for the Fed. Then we wait for the market reaction. Some analysts see a 75 basis point increase as a good thing that the Fed is willing to follow the data instead of a pre-determined plan. Others see such a rate hike as guaranteeing a recession. So it is not clear whether the market reaction will be good or bad to a 50 basis point increase nor whether it will be good or bad with a 75 basis point increase. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321
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Daily Market Update for 6/13Summary: Markets capitulated in grandiose style with eleven stocks declining for every advancing stock on the Nasdaq. Both stock and bond prices dropped sharply as worries about inflation grew. Notes Ideas always welcome in the comments. Errors will be amended as comments on TradingView or corrected inline in my blog. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Monday, June 13, 2022 Facts: -4.68%, Volume lower, Closing Range: 12%, Body: 60% Red Good: Nothing Bad: Everything Highs/Lows: Lower high, Lower low Candle: Gap down leads to thick red body and small tiny wick with low closing range Advance/Decline: 0.09, more than eleven stocks decline for every advancing stock Indexes: SPX (-3.88%), DJI (-2.79%), RUT (-4.76%), VIX (+22.59%) Sector List: Consumer Staples (XLP -2.16%) and Financials (XLF -2.98%) at the top. Real Estate (XLRE -4.81%) and Energy (XLE -5.22%) at the bottom. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Market Overview Markets capitulated in grandiose style with eleven stocks declining for every advancing stock on the Nasdaq. Both stock and bond prices dropped sharply as worries about inflation grew. The Nasdaq fell by -4.68% on higher volume than the previous trading day. The index opened with a gap-down for the second day and proceeded to sell off creating a thick red body with a short lower wick. The 60% red body is below a short upper wick created just after the opening. A tiny lower wick was left after a 12% closing range. There were more than eleven stocks that declined for every advancing stock. The Russell 2000 (RUT) did even worse, declining by -4.76%. Both the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 are more than 30% lower than their all-time-highs. The S&P 500 (SPX) entered a bear market with a -3.88% decline today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell by -2.79%. The VIX Volatility Index soared by +22.59%. All eleven S&P 500 sectors declined. Consumer Staples (XLP -2.16%) and Financials (XLF -2.98%) were the best performing but still declined by more than 2%. Real Estate (XLRE -4.81%) and Energy (XLE -5.22%) were at the bottom of the list. The US Dollar Index (DXY) made a new high, rising by +0.97% today. US 30y, 10y, and 2y Treasury Yields rose sharply as bonds sold off. The yield curve inverted once again, reflecting the poor outlook analysts have for the near-term economy. High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) Corporate Bond prices dumped as well and the gap between junk bonds and treasury bonds grew to its widest since 2020. The put/call ratio rose to 1.36. That's the highest closing level since March of 2020. The CNN Fear & Greed index moved back into Extreme Fear. All big six mega-caps fell. Tesla (TSLA) had the biggest loss, declining by -7.10%. Apple (AAPL) held up the best but still lost by -3.83%. None of the stocks in the broader mega-cap list gained. Coca-cola (KO) performed the best, declining only -0.11%. Alibaba (BABA) was the biggest loser, declining by -10.31% to land at the bottom of the list. Beyond Meat (BYND) topped the Daily Update Growth List, but still declined by -2.58%. Only five stocks on the list declined less than 5%. DraftKings (DKNG) had the biggest loss, declining by -15.80%. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Looking ahead We'll get Producer Price Index data tomorrow which is a forward-looking measure of inflation. Producers pass higher prices along to consumers. API Weekly Crude Oil stock comes in the afternoon. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Trends, Support, and Resistance The Nasdaq dropped below 11,000 early in the session and continued lower. This is the first close below 11,000 since October 2020. If the index returns to the downward regression trend line from the 6/2 high, that would require a +1.97% advance for tomorrow. The one-day trend line points to a -0.67% decline. Following the five-day trend line, would result in a -1.61% decline for Tuesday. -=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=-=x=- Wrap-up Ouch. Stay healthy and trade safe!
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by drewby4321