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CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELDCC

CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELD

4.401USDR
+0.140+3.29%
At close at Apr 9, 18:59 GMT
USD
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TNX trade ideas

10Y Treasuries target 6% in an overextended wave 5The market is still convinced that everything will turn out just fine and treasury yields are something that the Fed can easily lower if they want to. Well, no, my dears. Ignorance won't save you :) Never underestimate the power of the last overextended wave 5. Once the 10Y paper starts moving above 3% the worldwide repricing of all yielding assets will begin and it will not be pretty. Apple can easily lose 75% of its current value and the rest of the market will follow. A spectacular run into the Dollar and the Yen will bring EURUSD to below 0.7999, USRJPY below 100, ERUJPY below 92. As far as the recent geopolitical events are concerned, US and EU will lose because they will run out of cash, and Russia will win because it has got oil, gas and low debt. After the dust settles and peace treaties are signed to a great disadvantage of the West and Ukraine, a tremendous bullish wave in RTSI will begin (from ~200 to 4000 - very realistic). I reside on the winning side, so I do feel really good about this, especially that the future developments look so extremely obvious.
TVC:TNXLong
by AndyM
1
TNX - Walking the Scarlet HarlotPoof, up - down - all around... 2.76 dipped in @ 2.702, good to see. With the FEDs distro of USTs and MBS well underway ahead of June 15... gobbling up Yields aren't working out so well. No. Supply Limited thanks to the Fellen over @ the Treasury... is now a catalyst for increased chasing. Jerry can offload the Junk to Banks desperate for Yields as they are seeing Loan Activity dry up like the Mohave. Going to be an interesting Liquidity Crisis unfolding again.
T
by HK_L61
TNX ZN TKT ZB - 10Year / 20Year / 30YearSh_t Mixed remain Bonds... every flight to Safety has been utterly and systematically crushed. It will be again and again as our Bond Market losses its Pillars of which there are 4. One by one these are failing. Longer-term, the lose/lose proposition will compound. _____________________________________________________________________________ Short term, we'll see how YCC and an overall Market Panic can trend Yields. The Fed has permitted the Bond Market to generate the necessary adjustments. Strenght - historically has been in control of only the short end. Operation twist is no longer relevant, the FED can simply clip coupons and trend into expiration of Holdings while reinvesting across the entire Curve. Sadly, engaging in Yield Curve Control (YCC) crossed the Rubicon. My thesis has been proven entirely correct - instability by design.
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by HK_L61
10 Yr T-note $TNX Break-out$TNX has broken out of its long-standing 35 year descending channel, first time breaking out above 50 EMA and pushinf towards 100 EMA since 1994. The descending channel includes both the dot.com and housing bubbles without breaking above the 50 EMA. Given add'l rate hikes on the table and bloated CB balance sheets, extreme supply of money in the markets, overnight reverse repo in the trillions... there's an incredibly long way to go walking back unfettered money printing, unless the Fed gives up and lets inflation run unabated. Either way, TNX isn't done climbing. Expecting a bear market rally to bring it back for a 50 EMA retest is reasonable and normal; however, the broader macroenvironment is unhealthy and there's more room for these yields to run this year.
TLong
by UnknownUnicorn20630062
ARIASWAVE MARKET UPDATE - The Everything Bubble is Popping!I have been going to great lengths in order to bring you a complete picture view of these types of changes that are happening in these charts. Sometimes less is more. During the process of writing my upcoming book I want to make sure that it ages well therefore I had to up my game. The reason that it helps to know the exact patterns that have occurred in the past is that it will help you with improving the level confidence and about what moves you believe will happen next. In the case of what we are seeing unfold now, it is like a perfect storm of patterns on these charts that really help confirm what the next move will look like. In this case we are going to witness large impulsive moves that will rewrite history in terms of price and (or) percentage movements that break records and make history in the process. Making the case for learning the waves puts you in control of your destiny instead of getting sucked into the constant and ever changing narratives and social mood biases. I strongly encourage to challenge yourself to be able to read a chart like its second nature as it will clarify how you identify risks and opportunities. I hope you enjoy this video and thank you for watching! Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
TShort
by AriasWave
$TNX Hyperinflation here we come.. The TNX has created a solid Hekin Ashi Resistance level in January of 2014 at 3.034% that has been tested multiple times on the yearly chart. This level is our first short to mid term target on the TNX looking to breakout from a decades long downtrend. Should the TNX break out above this level subsequent areas of resistance are circled as targets in white. This being a Bullish box on the Indicator would suggest that we will likely take that top target resistance created in Jan 1983 at 10.12% Should the shit really hit the fan, we have supply at 13.99 % circled in red. Hold on to your Butts..
TLong
by Midgar-
US10yr yield near topping point; TLT may fall more to 120-114TNX may be seeing a top soon at the 0.786-0.854 Fib zone somewhere near 2.81-2.83%. Also, if you measure the inverse head & shoulder move, TNX may peak at 3.25% which is a very significant pivot line. And if you look at the downtrend channel, TNX topped out several times at the upper channel. This time it overshoot due to the aggressive selling of TLT bonds doing the work for the FED. TLT, which is inverse to TNX, may also be nearing the bottom. It may still fall some more to the 120 to 114 support zone. (Very Good buy zone) Market is not acting normal these days: XLE bank stocks falling despite rising rates. Banks may be due for a bounce so watch carefully this earnings week for GS, WFC, JPM. Transports IYT is also diverging also seems reversing going up. It may be a more leading market indicator this time than IWM smallcaps. Watch carefully the reaction in TLT bonds & gold in the coming weeks. Not trading advice
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by xtremerider8
10 YEAR Bond Yield Just Broke Above Multi-Decade TrendlineHey Guys, in this video I give my opinion that the 10 Year Bond Yield has broken out above it's multi-decade downward trendline and it's set to go higher because inflation is growing significantly and is at historical extremes above the 10 year yield. I think it's because of the Fed that has absolutely over-flooded the system with liquidity, check out the chart below of central bank assets as a % of GDP. This has big long term implications for all investors and traders, it could possibly cause poor stock market returns for decades to come in addition to the already painful higher cost of living relative to wages. Imo, Fed official's have turned millennials pensions and investments into "boomer exit liquidity" for their own benefit. They borrowed from the future and we will pay the price for that for years to come. Let me hear your comments below with what you think about all of this? Did the Fed go too far? Are rates at the start of a multi-decade bull market? Jared
TLong
by Click-Capital