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Volatility S&P 500 IndexVV

Volatility S&P 500 Index

16.88USDR
−0.27−1.57%
As of today at 16:37 GMT
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VIX trade ideas

Black Swan Is HereThe BBWP Indicator on the VIX weekly chart suggests a looming 'black swan' event, characterized by a sudden spike in market volatility following a period of calm. This pattern, previously seen before major market shifts like the SVB Bank collapse and COVID, signals an impending rise in the VIX. Current data points to a significant volatility increase starting January 16th, peaking around early March 2024, within a 52-day window. The anticipated increase is around 287.84%, with a potential fluctuation range (standard deviation) of 193.32%. This translates to a VIX range between 25.64 and 76.60, peaking between February 11th and April 3rd, 2024. Historical instances support this forecast, showing substantial VIX rises over varied durations. Investors are advised to stay vigilant and prepare for possible dramatic market changes. In other words, "hold onto your butts." The raw data for the past six iterations shows that the VIX has increased by 337.27% over 70 days, 52.79% over 21 days, 452.16% over 34 days, 221.04% over 91 days, 588% over 70 days, and 75.75% over 28 days. This data indicates that investors should be cautious and prepare themselves for potential market shifts, as this scenario could represent a significant threat to market stability and profitability.
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by in3rti4
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
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by dpuleo19
VIX Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 011924Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 14/61.80% Chart time frame : B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress : B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) Hit the bottom D) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
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by fibonacci6180
🔄🌐 Preparing for Market Shifts - Time for Forex 💹🔍8+8 Risks🔄 Preparing for Market Shifts - Time for Forex 🔄 In 2023 I was very much focused on Crypto and especially Bitcoin. It ended upbeing a Great decision. Bitcoin remains my favorite asset but as a Trader i need to make the first decision right: What shall i focus on Trading now? Well, looking at the VIX a shift in our navigational charts could be prudent. Changing 'Market conditions'? Very likely inbound. Yes... 🌊 Navigating Calm VIX Seas - The Calm Before the Storm 🌊 The unassuming lull on the VIX, marked by a sub-7% hush, is a siren's call. With economic indicators suggesting a softening of the inflationary winds and a potential ease in rate hikes, the market's next cycle looms on the horizon. 💹 Back to school - Forex Awaits 💹 The pivot to forex is not a retreat but a strategic maneuver. The forex market, with its vast array of currencies, offers a diverse battlefield as we prepare for the next wave of market volatility. It's in these fluid forex waters that we can capitalize on the slightest economic ripples, turning currents into opportunities. 📊 The Forex Advantage - A hedge to Bitcoin and Crypto! 📊 Crypto will remain my favorite arena but Forex trading beckons with its promise of agility and scope, critical in navigating the uncertain tides ahead. The shift to forex and equities signals my readiness to embrace broader markets and old frontiers as we anticipate the VIX's silent warnings of change. 🔍 A Watchful Eye - What can go wrong 🔍 These are the main 8 areas where 'Trouble can Arise': 1. 🇨🇳 China's Challenges: Property Pressure Cooker 🏗️💥 The world economy has 2 lungs, USA and China. In 2008 the USA Lung got pneumonia.. and i am worried that soon a similar Chinese crisis could follow. Unlike Westerns, Chinese are savers but still: Chinese growth is worry number one. 2.🗳️ US Elections: Political Pendulum 🎭📊 The US political landscape is a battleground of ideologies, the crowds are fanaticized and these elections smell like TNT. Needless to say it's a Global worry that America has failed to have a Strong Political leader this period. I don't like what i see...this is worry number 2 3.💳 Debt Dynamics: The Global Balancing Act 🌍⚖️ You know what i mean... Is it under control and for how Long? This is worry number 3 4.🌐 World Wars: Geopolitical Flashpoints ⚔️🔴 The grim prospect of war requires a keen eye on safe-haven currencies and risk management. The situation in Ukraine could be ending but Middle East and shipping routes are a ticking bomb. Let's pray for peace 5.🤖 AI's Ambition: Promise or Peril? 🧠💡 Artificial Intelligence advances at breakneck speed, offering innovation but also posing systemic risks if gone awry. AI is faster than we thought and that would pose a new threat. In this section add the possibility of a Global network's failure of some kind and disrupted communications. We depend on the internet. 6.📈 Inflation's Impact: Trade and Turmoil 🚚📉 Disrupted shipping lanes spell trouble for global trade, stoking inflationary fires. As supply chains twist in the winds of change, Forex markets react in real-time, presenting challenges and opportunities amidst the chaos. 7. 💱 USD Currency Supremacy: A Throne Contested 👑🔄 The US dollar's reign as the premier global exchange currency faces tests from rising contenders. The battle for supremacy can redefine currency correlations and demand adaptive trading approaches. 8. 🏦 Banking Sector: The Keystone of Stability 🏛️🚨 We saw what happened last year. Banks can go bust and this is a valid scenario one better be prepared for...just in case! Another 8 factors could be: 🌿 Environmental Crisis: Disrupted Climate Costs 🌪️📈 🛢️ Energy Market Volatility: Wars over Lithium next? 🔄⛽ 🚀 Satellite Security Concerns 🛰️🔒 🌐 Cybersecurity Threats 🔐💻 🌍 The Incontrollable migration Frontier unrests 📉🆕 🏭 Manufacturing Migrations: Shifting Supply Chains 🔄🏭 🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Social Instability: The Cost of Inequality 👥💸 🌱 Food Security: Agricultural Anxiety 🌾🚜 As a trader i need to be prepared and I need to be hedged. Time to hedge my Crypto exposure with some FOREX trades this year. ... Just in (8+8) cases! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
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by FX_Professor
Don't Be Fooled, Eyes on a Bearish VIXThe S&P 500 has dismissed (thus far) a failed Santa Claus rally by climbing to all-time-highs this week. But the VIX's low double digit position, even during the broader market's less-jolly, pullback into 2024, is a much more sure-footed warning historically, rather than a reason for investors to believe this time is different. The good news and not to look a gift horse in the mouth, pricing for protective hedges on stock and / or index holdings, is by and large, attractively cheap and a much stronger option than jumping in and out of the market imho.
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by tyler.chris
Bullish RSI divergenceVIX has bullish RSI divergence on the 1hr timeframe. 20 SMA is switching from a resistance roll to a support roll soon. 50 SMA is acting as resistance line for falling wedge. 100 SMA and 200 SMA will converge and act as heavy resistance and prevent full breakout of wedge. VIX will fall back inside the wedge to the lower trendline for a little longer. (I had a longer more in-depth post but I had to delete it because I forgot something the first time, and forgot to copy the description. Not writing more)
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by cbenedetto10
VIX is showing signs of awakeningAs the stock market is beginning to manifest weakness, we are paying close attention to the VIX, which is starting to exhibit signs of awakening. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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by Tradersweekly
VIX follows gas pricesGas prices seem to have predicted volatility better than other assets in the past half year. Could the trend persist? Both VIX and NG1 are poised to grow on a separate action. The winter is coming which means surging demand for electricity. A seasonal increase up to $3 seems attainable. VIX could gain if the reversal of the uptrend in the market will occur, which is quite likely considering that main indices all climbed up to ATH which historically causes correction in their prices
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by barneysimps_on
VIX showing that tension is expected soon in the stock markets.The Volatility Index (VIX) is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the September 28 2022 High, which has also been the start of the 2023 recovery year for the stock markets (SPX illustrated by the thin black trend-line). Being negatively correlated in nature, when VIX declined within this Channel, the stocks rose and vice versa. Since October 23 2023, VIX started to decline again and that sparked the stock rise which is holding up to this day, the end-of-the-year rally. However, we see a deceleration on VIX's decline, while its 1D MACD has formed a Bullish Cross since December 01. Being so close to the Channel Down bottom, a technical rebound is technically plausible and the pattern is recurring as it resembles a lot the previous Lower Lows. If it does reverse upwards, the SPX can react a few days later as during the previous bottom process and reversal (June 22 - July 27) it lagged. In any case, this pattern shows that by January 2024, we should expect heightened volatility translated potentially into a (short-term at least) pull-back on the stock market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
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by TradingShot
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