VIX is on strong supportVIX seems really bullish as it retests support and broken curve trend - Expecting a bounce up - which makes me bearish for stocks and risk-on assets.
VIX trade ideas
VIX is getting close to its support level, againAs mentioned before, I dont expect VIX to move till mid Jan, than i expect it to explode!
Im still long with 35 Apr calls and will be adding those to max size mid Jan as I expect the price to 3x from around here
Warning VIX model is now set up to SOAR My work posted a few days back call for a drop to below 20 .Today we saw this and I was 85 % plus net long goint into this morning in trow spy qqq smh aapl and calls I HAVE SOLD EVERYTHING net gain 3.5 to 4.6 % I am now back to 100 % cash the net gain for 2022 is now back above 64.2 % . I stated this rally would be very strong into jan 3/10 2023 see 1973 chart dec 15 . The issue is now that the VIX did not get up to mid 24 /27 as I had hoped . So what is next well we had 4 days below the bb bands which on odds rallies min back into it and we saw that today . I do NOT like the pattern in the vix see the arrows and this formation the last 4/5 times the VIX SOARED > I am flat and I will not short . I am NOT SURE with this setup I must PROTECT GAINS as everyone else takes losses of min 20 % see forecast dec 2021 model min drop 20% for 2022 well 2023 I think we will see another 16.8 to 21 % drop I am working on the cycles as well as the SPIRALS . best of trades WAVETIMER
DGSTACC: VIX MACRO ANALYSIS / CONFIRMED CHANNELS & RESISTANCEIn the chart above I have provided the following:
1. Channel confirmation on the daily timeframe.
2. Current downtrend channel in VIX that appears to be coming to an end that should definitely expire by January 24th.
3. Resistance marker at 25 from previous tests can indicate strong support for SPY in return as it can force VIX to stay in demand zone.
VIX BULL$VIX is creating a Bullish 1-2-3 Pattern at its previous market structure bottom (Support marked by the grey box). Price is currently consolidating at support and what historic price action tells us is that price usually has a period of consolidation known as a pullback or "Retracement" before it continues in its overall direction. I have price returning to an older higher-low Level @25.50 and beyond.
Market Update 12/18/2022TimeStamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 1:03
NDQ,DJI,SPY 5:12
BTC 6:24
DOGE 8:38
HD 10:50
DKNG 14:00
META 15:18
PYPL 16:18
Just an overview since the last video and some thoughts moving forward.
I hope you all are doing well. Sorry for not being on as much as I used to. I hope to be on more in the future.
VIX is gonna MIX it UP UP UP!!Please refer to last weeks post.
Market has shown its hand, I seen enough strength in daily volume profiles supporting my composites zones.
Will it RIP to the upside next week and into the new year?
There is a much higher probability on the facts I have seen.
FEAR not only has crept in - but now I see it!!
Keep SL's tight its gonna get crazy!
Nuf said peace out!
Opening gap, and VIX rising more than 9%We want to hint at the opening gap in the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX), potentially foreshadowing big moves in the market.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
This was post 2 days ago, sorry been very busyApologize, will TRY & keep posting here as well. Hard to post with all the info and multiple charts we provide
VIX filled gap much faster than anticipated... We resold the $VIX Puts bringing premium & do not mind getting put (January)
2 days ago
Running $VIX working well
DEMAND out of $ options, protection likely
Even stated markets $DJI $SPX $NDX had more⬆️
***Called 2 things that more than often DIVERGE***
If that doesn't deserve some credit
Anyway
Holding #VIX for long term, HEALTHY
#stocks #options
Eventual fill 2023
VIX technical analysis, does that even work?Could be making a megaphone for santas rally. Would need to break the median $21ish area to continue down and fill the gap. It made a lower price from the area it broke out of the recent down trend. Breaking $21 would be confirmation of a Re-test of the down trend line. If the median holds i would suspect VIX to continue upwards and make a higher high taking the wind out of santas sleigh.
VIX Watch the close above that yellow trendline and ideallyVIX Watch the close above that yellow trendline and ideally above yesterday's close to get a confirmation of the turn today
If SPX gets to my first support zone at 3984-88 then VIX has a potential to get above that yellow trendline
Now lets do it
Double BottomThe VIX showed signs of bottoming and wanting to head higher in December.
Right now, the VIX is signaling the market may have a rise in volatility with index losses as we exit 2022.
Things change though.
The VIX is a derivative of the S&P 500's options and not the index itself. The VIX is based on the out-of-the-money calls and puts of the S&P 500 30 days out. The options market provides insight into the market's expectations, thus allowing it to be a tool for where the S&P 500 is headed.
Will we have a Santa Claus rally?
Dunno
No recommendation
VIX closed above the maj bull trendline!Its a very important close for the VIX, all in one day!
VIX closed at HOD and the markets closed above HOD!
Tomorrow's expected move 3.7% on average
- If CPI comes at 7.8% it will be 5% down day
- If CPI comes at 6.9% then it should go up 6-7%
My bet is we go lower or the vice versa from Oct 13th, where it gap down and then bid all day. So if second scenario then we should gap up in markets tomorrow and sell all day!
