S&P500 INDEX (SPY) Bullish Rally Continues S&P500 broke and closed above the resistance based on the all time high. It opens a potential for a further bullish continuation. I will expect more growth at least until FOMC on Wednesday. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ Longby VasilyTrader114
Add long SQQQ May 31st $10.50+ Calls HereI bought long SQQQ $10-$10.50 May 24th to 31st calls this morning, if we hit 5400 i'll add. The VIX is bouncing as suspected at $12 and the S&P500 wants to dip below and confirm a 5300 fake out which was my bias and the DOW (DJIA) wants to do the same at 40k bitcoin is faking out above 67500 into an expanded flat pointing to my 63,300-63,500 short term short trajectory Shortby candlestickninja3
SPX in 6M chart.Hello everyone I know if I show you this time frame it might be possible that some of you criticize me but it is my wavy and I always get good views for my next months. One important thing is that all technical and elliott rulse are becomes more reliable as long as you go to higher timeframes. In this chart, we are in a break out candle (I named it) that will remain for 2 month and it has just 2 choice. 1: goes up and confirms our break out and rally 2: goes down and make a bearish pin bar According to Elliott principle, we know that after a correction we should have another trend (Rally for up trends) and then repeat it again because unlike Forex market that is most of Corrective patterns, in the stock, securities, and so on we just ave up trends (In large timeframes). If you consider this huge bearish candle that started at 4820.40 USD, as a correction (Probably Wave 2 Grand Cycle) then it is rare that this correction in where we are can make another bearish RED candle in this chart. To be clear, I think we will pass a shallow correction and continue to the rally (With Crypto Market). Maybe I right Maybe not Just time can reveal that. ThanksLongby AMA_FXUpdated 226
Beautiful Monday Great start to the week SPX 5300 held ES 5330 held .. Stay Frosty!03:24by Beyond_Charts0
SPX500 wrestling with overhead resistanceeThe short-term hourly SPX500 has resistance around 5,320. However, the longer-term daily is still positive, implying short-term pullbacks may be dips in the broader uptrend. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.Long03:15by FXCM1
SP500 INDEX (Correction Then Continuation)Stocks Set to Open Higher as Investors Await FOMC Minutes and Nvidia Earnings Fed Governor Michelle Bowman stated on Friday that she expects inflation to remain elevated for "some time," but she also anticipates that price pressures will eventually diminish if interest rates are maintained at their current level. Bowman also reiterated that she would not rule out the possibility of raising rates if necessary. "While the current stance of monetary policy appears to be at a restrictive level, I remain willing to raise the target range for the federal funds rate at a future meeting should the incoming data indicate that progress on inflation has stalled or reversed," she said. Additionally, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday that three regulatory agencies might significantly reduce a planned increase in capital requirements for the largest U.S. banks. According to the report, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and other big bank CEOs lobbied hard, leading the Fed, FDIC, and the Comptroller of the Currency to cut the proposed 20% increase by approximately half potentially. Investors are also closely watching developments in the Middle East following the helicopter crash that resulted in the deaths of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and the nation’s Foreign Minister. Technically: Currently, the SP500 is undergoing a corrective retracement targeting 5281. At this point, we should monitor whether it breaches 5281 and 5266. Stability below that would indicate a continuation of the bearish trend towards 5226. Conversely, stability above 5281 would signal the potential beginning of a bullish trend. but now stability above 5320 before correction, means will continue the bullish trend to get the targets we mentioned. Pivot Line: 5301 Resistance Levels: 5320, 5340, 5357 Support Levels: 5281, 5263, 5227 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5264 and the resistance 5370.by SroshMayi6
SPX MAY 2024 WEEK 4 OUTLOOK - Daily - bullish. above R1 so either this move will be like Nov 23 or Dec 23. either way, trading SPX for the rest of May will be a little tricky. Origin - 2 zones to look out for **5290.13 - 5254.28** and **5232.06 - 5215.50**. if price pulls back to these zones and I see buyers stepping in, I will look to get involved. that being said, if price continues up from here, I will look to get involved based on my trigger TFLongby Osiris9921
US500 S&P Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Taking a comprehensive view of the US500, we observe a prevailing bullish trend, particularly evident when analyzing the monthly and weekly charts. Although there was a recent minor downturn, the daily chart exhibited bearish movements. However, the overall sentiment is optimistic once again. Notably, we’ve identified bullish price action—a decisive break in market structure on the 4-hour timeframe—which could potentially shift the 4-hour trend to bullish. In our video, we delve into trend analysis, explore price action dynamics, dissect market structure, and introduce key technical analysis concepts. Toward the video’s conclusion, we present a trade idea. It’s essential to emphasize that this information serves educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. 📈 Long11:06by tradingwithanthony4
Myth Busting: Market Style!I have been very lacking in producing educational content. I know a lot of you follow for my analysis, some others for my indicators and some others for my educational content. While I have been getting back in the groove of posting for the later 2, I have neglected those interested in educational content. So voila, here we are with an educational post! In this post, I want to dispel and or validate some market conjecture based on actual research and my own observations, from indicators, to chart patterns to different market theories. The post will be formatted in the great MYTH BUSTER format! Hope you enjoy! Myth #1: All indicators are interchangeable and one indicator can be used for any type of equity. You all likely have seen, whether on tradingview or other sites, the magical indicators that “work in all markets!”. And you tell yourself, “oh wow, too good to be true, right?!” And the fact is, it is too good to be true. This is a myth and is absolutely false. No one indicator will be cross compatible for multiple different equity types. No one indicator will be sufficient even within the same equity types (i.e. just because RSI works for MSFT doesn’t mean it will work for NVDA). You can actually objectively view this for yourself if you apply my ATREE indicator . Just as a quick explanation, the ATREE indicator uses MFI, Stochastics, RSI and Z-Score to determine sentiment. It will also provide you with back-test results as to how effective it is at gauging sentiment based on these individuals technical. If we look at ATREE for NVDA: Pay attention to the backtest results on the right side of the screen. These provide the raw success rate of its sentiment estimations. For NVDA, we can see that Stochastics can predict sentiment roughly 76% of the time on the daily timeframe. However, if we flip on over to MSFT We see that Z-Score is actually much more effective at determining sentiment than RSI, Stochastics or MFI. This is just an example, but to show you another one, let’s take the Ichimoku cloud with buy and sell signals and put it on MSFT: We can see, it nailed the buy but pretty hit or miss for the sell. I wouldn’t say this is a great indicator to use for MSFT shorting. However, if we flip on over to SPY with the same indicator: Its been a bit more on point. Understanding unique individual ticker intricacies is my whole shebang. I produce models to predict sentiment. If you are part of my community you know there are 4 commonly used models that we employ, from LSTM, to ARIMA, to Eucledian Distance models to Momentum Technical Models. Not all are equal for all stocks. For example, we will reference momentum for tickers like NVDA, but Eucledian distance is better for tickers like SPY. How do you figure this out? Backtesting! I’ve said it in other educational ideas and I saw it again, you always need to backtest your strategy! Myth #1 Verdict: So, are all indicators good for all markets? NO! This is BUSTED! Myth #2: Trendlines and chart patterns are helpful and pivotal for trading stocks There tends to two schools of thought to this. Train 1 is that trendlines are pivotal for trading and making assumptions. Train 2 of thought is that they are not helpful and quite frankly useless. However, in mainstream trading theory and teachings, trendlines are a often cited and often taught method of market determination. But are they useful? Well, it depends. Trendlines can give us context, without trendlines we would have no context and would just be trading random candles on a blank space. The degree of efficacy of these trendlines can depend on things like: a) The duration of the trend, b) The skill of the chartist, c) The number of tests of the trendline, d) The overall economic climate that a stock is in. Obviously, I personally found trendlines problematic, hence my resorting to computer modelling. However, in my years of experience and my maturity in the market, I reapproached the trendline theory as supplemental to modelling and have made some relevant observations, which I will discuss below. The first point is that not all tickers are created equal. Sound familiar? Yeah this was the basis of Myth #1 about technical indicators. The truth is, it applies to trendlines, too. Let’s take a look at DUO, a small cap stock: DUO recently did, arguably, a dead cat bounce and produced this pennant you see in the chart above. Now DUO is small cap, low volume stock that barely moves. Suddenly, we have this pennant out of nowhere and with no major catalyst. So what happened? Nothing, it ended up selling into EOD multiple times. Let’s take a look at NVDA: NVDA broke down from a major trendline around April 3rd. This would signal a short. And indeed, it was a short, for a short duration of time. It mostly was rangy and stagnant. But it did sell. This trendline was from January of 2024 and ended in April of 2024, a relatively long and stable trendline. NVDA is also a large cap stock with huge amounts of liquidity and volume, So we can expect follow through on major trendlines. Trendlines have also been pivotal for intra-day trading. Let’s look back at NVDA (since its my daily go to for day trading): During open, on the 1 minute chart, we could see NVDA forming a pennant. Based on the modelled data we had two potential price targets, a bull target of 957 and a bear target of 929. What NVDA does with this pennant (breakout or breakdown) can help us ascertain which target price is correct. What happened? NVDA broke down, and then it travelled all the way down to that 929 target: So it would seem that chart patterns are indeed useful. However, they are not overly helpful with indicating target price, As well, they are only useful when the stock has high volume, good liquidity and is heavily traded. The efficacy of trendlines and chart patterns likely comes from volume of traders who are looking at similar trendlines. In order for trendlines to influence a stock movement, you need volume from traders who are paying attention to the same thing in order to move it. This is why penny stocks and low float, small cap stocks do not respect trendlines and patterns in the same way. Verdict for Myth #2? CONFIRMED! Myth #3: Market theories such as Elliot Wave Theory (EWT) and Efficient Market Theory are applicable to all tickers and the market as a whole? If you are a trader, likely you subscribe to one market theory or another. If you are investor, its likely you subscribe to modern portfolio management theory (which emphasizes diversification). If you are a day or swing trader, perhaps you subscribe to the Efficient Market Hypothesis or EWT. These all remain “theories” because they have yet to prove valid or invalid in research. However, aside from the investor mindset of diversification, no one theory of the market works for all tickers. In fact, some research has come out about EWT specifically and has indicated that it can be useful in predicting some markets (such as the S&P); however, the results are not generalizable to others (specifically Crypto and some individual tickers). The same can be said about the efficient market theory/hypothesis and many others that have been researched, disproven in some circumstances and proven in others. So, what is the verdict here? This is BUSTED. Market theories, aside from an investor mindsight, are not generalizable to all equities, instruments and markets. This is semi based on my own observations but mostly from academic research I have reviewed on this topic (hence why I have no beautiful charts to display for this myth). And the last myth I will cover in this post: Myth #4: Diversification is pivotal for day traders The wisdom here is that, you need to diversify for day trading. You need to identify setups on whatever stock has those setups and play whichever stock confirms best to your setup. The truth is, this is rarely necessary. In fact, sticking to a handful of routine stocks can be advantageous, as you will grow to learn the intricacies of the particular stocks you are trading routinely. I go through phases but right now, 99% of the time I am trading NVDA. This works for me because there is usually always a setup available on large cap stocks. Let’s review some of the setups I have taken on NVDA: You can see NVDA loves its morning triangles, and I love them too! You can absolutely get back with trading one ticker, provided that it has good volatility and movement. In times of economic stability (i.e. currently), its best to avoid the indices as a day trading candidate as they tend to move slower and more purposefully. So what is the verdict of Myth #4? Thanks for reading everyone! I may do more of these myth buster posts, they’re fun to research and find examples and really reflect on what I have learned as a trader. Feel free to submit any myths you live by in the comments and I can look into them for maybe a future post! Safe trades as always! Editors' picksEducationby Steversteves4480
Aggregate Rate of Return All 401(k) PlansThe purpose of this chart is to show how retirement funds are drained once returns reach 20%. The reason this happens is because the purpose of the 401(k) is to prevent working people from ever reaching anything that resembles financial independence. From the time we begin our careers to the time that we reach retirement age, we are CONSTANTLY told that if we do NOT use the 401(k), we are "leaving free money on the table". But look at the chart. The reality is: retirement funds get drained, people lose their life savings ('08), and big institutional funds (supposedly fiduciaries) get bailed out, WHILE YOU LOSE EVERYTHING YOU WORKED TO BUILD. All I'm saying is: if you work with a "financial professional", you have a right to ask questions. You have a right to seek answers. You have a right to know what THEIR plan is for YOUR money. Look at the S&P 500. Ask your advisor: What causes these massive drops? Why does this occur? Am I protected? I will build on this in my subsequent chart publishing.Shortby ChiefMacro770
SPX: overbought momentumThe S&P 500 managed to reach a fresh all time high at 5.322 during the previous week, supported by the market optimism. This was a gain of 1.5% on a weekly level. There are currently several reasons for such a move. Certainly, economic data is currently one of the most watched by the market. Posted inflation data in the US for April, showed that the inflation was moving in line with market expectations, and a bit lower from the March data. This supported market confidence that the first Fed's rate cut might come in September this year. There have also been notes from some Fed officials that the inflation developments in April are perceived positively, however, the Fed will still need more confidence that the inflation will indeed move to the lower grounds in the coming period. On the other side are relatively strong earnings from some companies included in the index of 500 most valued companies in the US. The information technology sectors continue to lead the market, however, the previous week we have seen that the real estate sector is emerging from the period of high pressure due to high interest rates, which was 2.5% higher during the week. Overbought momentum continues to be evident for the index. Some relaxation might be possible in the week ahead, however, the market continues to be highly bullish on the US equities. by XBTFX15
SPX and Presidential Elections [Monthly Chart]Here's taking a look back at the past few presidential cycle and how it correlates with the markets. Despite the meteoric rise of the S&P and making new highs, since the lows of 2022, nothing could have compared with the performance of the SPX during Obama's First year which grew by +106%by laughingchartist0
SPX and Presidential Elections [Monthly Chart]Here's taking a look back at the past few presidential cycle and how it correlates with the markets. Despite the meteoric rise of the S&P and making new highs, since the lows of 2022, nothing could have compared with the performance of the SPX during Obama's First year which grew by +106%by laughingchartist2
Week 21 Analysis (20May24) + Week 20 ReviewWelcome Fellow Traders! Tech Analysis for the coming week + review of the current! Usually takes about 15-20 mins, sharing as much as possible, Stay Tuned! If you find the content useful to you, do follow me on trading view and give me a Rocket BOOST!U16:48by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys1
SPX: And Mrs. Market says not yet!!Well, my previous idea for a higher degree wave 4 got busted! Market is not ready to be bearish just yet. On Friday we got a breakout from the trendline resistance and retest. Next week we should expect a move upwards toward the next resistance at 5402. However, it seems like Market is poised to run towards the 1.236 fib extension of waves AB which is also around the 0.618 fib extension of Primary waves 1 and 2. If the contracting diagonal theory is correct, then that would be an area of interest to see the market turn for a bigger correction. If market decides to blow through those levels, then we need to rethink this whole count and maybe get even more bullish. For now, still looking for a higher degree top and a good 25%-30% correction in the next few months. Longby mukit13
5-Year SPX500 Expectations - Greatest Opportunity Of Your LifeWould you believe me if I told you the US & global markets (some) will rally more than 65% to 125% (or more) over the next 4 to 5+ years? You would probably call me crazy for even suggesting that will happen in a reasonably short time frame. But, what if I could show you how structurally (using Elliot Wave concepts and Fibonacci) this incredible rally may already be baked into the markets? What if I could show you that, barring any major economic destruction event, the US Fed and Global Central banks may have unleashed the inflation beast - which could lead to massive Hyperinflation over the next 5+ years? Would you be prepared for it? Would you even believe me if I could show you evidence that it may happen much quicker than you can imagine? And would you believe me if I told you Gold/Silver will rally more than 500% over the next 5+ years while attempting to hedge global debt/inflation risks? Now is the time to prepare for the greatest opportunity of your life. You must understand the structural mechanics of price related to the current global market dynamics. Please boost and share this video with your friends. Everyone needs to be aware of what is likely to happen over the next 5+ years so they can prepare for and profit from these exceptional price trends.Editors' picksEducation17:44by BradMatheny2929187
Long - Term S&P 500 - Elliott Wave Count -05/17/24The SPX appears to be in the mid phase of an Elliott wave Expanding Flat. If a peak is made it will be labeled as Primary wave “B”. The next move could be a multi-month drop to at least the October 2022 bottom. A Common Fibonacci relationship between wave “B” and wave “A” in an Expanding Flat is wave “B” 1.382 the size of wave “A”. The January 2022 to October 2022 decline – Primary wave “A” was 1,327.04 points. 1,327.04 x 1.382 = 1,833.97 added to the October 2022 bottom of 3491.58 targets SPX 5,325.55. The SPX high on 05/16/24 was 5,325.49. The weekly RSI has a significant bearish divergence vs. the March 2024 peak. Please note this is similar to what happened at the January 2022 peak. The SPX could be on the verge of a multi- month decline. Shortby markrivest11
Wait for the correction down on SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up some more. For next week this pair could go up a little more but we could see the correction down soon. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! EduwaveLongby EduwaveTrading2
us 500 retested ready for buyus 500 broke the resistance and tested this resistance. The next target is 5370 USD, which is the 1.272 level of Fibonacci. I think you can open a buy position by placing the stop loss at 5275, which is the Fib's 1 level.Longby foxforex32
SPX - don't be so bearish matehi traders, SPX is correcting and many traders becoming super bearish here. Don't panic here! Let's make a plan! We expect SPX to retest high from January 2022. 4800 could be a great entry for a long position. It's a Golden Pocket Fibonacci therefore some buying pressure may be expected. Retesting this level would be very bullish as it's previous resistance so now it's time to retest it and confirm it as support. From there, more upside is likely. The next target is around 5900. Time will tell but feel free to leave a comment and share your opinion ! Longby vf_investmentUpdated 5
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 17, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 10th, it was observed that the market successfully retested the Key Resistance at 5260 and the Outer Index Rally at 5280. It is suggested that the Outer Index Rally at 5342 will be reached after hitting the newly established Key Resistance at 5314, followed by a potential move to the primary down target Mean Support at 5221. Additionally, there is a possibility of further advancement towards the Inner Index Rally at 5408 and the next Outer Index Rally at 5460, with the secondary triggering points at destination points.by TradeSelecter1
S&P 500 Macro Outlook (2022-2024 Forecasted Targets/Tops/Bottom)3950-4K micro-target followed by the melt-up rally. Linear top: 5325 Log top: (Separate post): 6000 Extension linear top: 6500 60-80% Bear Market follows; Target 1: 2150 Target 2: 1555 End of Bear Market: Q3/Q4 2024 due to QE5/6, aka Infinite easing. P.S. Disregard target 3 on the chart; Depression isn't expected this decade.by ILuminosityUpdated 1
SPX - Enjoy the rally while it last!For those who have been here since 2022 early 2023 when there was so much fear in the market and we called the market had bottomed. I think it was the right call, even though we had a lot of naysayers. Now I think we are nearing the end of this rally which I estimate will be sometime in February 2024. I have two outcomes the green line below which I highly favor and believe that is the path and the grey line which is definitely possible but unlike in my opinion due to election year. Also it looks like we are following the cup and handle. I have also explained in my other ideas why I think we are like in 1990 and 2012 (base on the fear). If the grey line happens, Biden loses the election guaranteed so I am certain the fed will hold the stock market at least until after the election. Give a like if you find helpfulLongby BlackisKingUpdated 272733