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US 500UU

US 500

5,061.4USDR
−317.7−5.91%
At close at Apr 4, 20:59 GMT
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US500 trade ideas

Opening (IRA): SPX May 16th 5130/5160/5850/5880 Iron Condor... for a 10.20 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV >21. Hesitant to add more long delta here, so going delta neutral in SPX and structuring the trade such that I receive one-third the width of the wings (30) in credit. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 19.80 Max Profit: 10.20 ROC at Max: 51.52% 50% Max: 5.10 ROC at 50% Max: 25.8% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, rolling down oppositional side on side test, but won't hesitate to take profit quickly if IV crushes in dramatically post "Liberation Day."
SP:SPX
by NaughtyPines
Strong Buying Zone with Confident The Green 4h Zone Acts as Strong Buying Zone. The Blue Zone POC/IC (Point Of Interest or Institutional Candle) is weak Support now since it been tested before. The Fresh Zone is the Green 4h which acts as Decent Support Zone. We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within Green Buying Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone. Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly. Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF. Regards, Take care.
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by Faisalzor
3/4/25 Trump Reciprocal Tariffs Yesterday's candlestick opened lower but reversed to close as a big bull bar in its upper half with a prominent tail above. However, the market traded significantly lower after the market closed. The market will open lower than the March 13 low today. Again, the bulls hope buyers are below the gap down, similar to March 31st and yesterday April 2nd. They want any follow-through selling to be limited, and the market to trade up after that. The bears hope to get follow-through selling after a brief pullback. They want the market to close near its low. Usually, when the market is opening significantly lower, which means that there are a lot of sell orders at the open. The market makers have to quote a price they are willing to buy for the stocks that they are trading. Usually, that price is near the day's low. So, at the open, if you are buying stocks that are gapping down, you are buying with the market maker. After the market opens, if there is no fresh selling, the market may then slowly float up, letting the market maker slowly clear off their position (remember, they bought at the open, buying when everyone has put an order to sell at the open). However, if there is fresh selling, the market then may continue to sell off after a brief pullback. If this is the case, then it can be a bearish day. The reason is that the market maker has been caught long at the open, and the fresh selling continues to push prices past their entry. The next price they would want to buy would be much lower. So if there are fresh large selling orders in the respective stocks after the market opens, the market makers would bid a lot lower so that they are not run over by a freight train. For today, traders will see if buyers will buy the gap down open like they did on March 31st and April 2nd. Or will the market form a brief pullback, and then continue to selloff into the close? If this is the case, the market may not be in a good place moving forward.
S
by Tech_Trader88
$SPX - Top of the MountainSPX is once again, since its uptrend began on 11/06/2023, breaking below the 3-month simple moving average and now also the Monthly Heiken Ashi average (black stepped line). This time, it seems to have the conditions to start its descent from the mountain and confirm that we reached the top on 02/18/2025. Looking at the vast majority of stocks in today’s pre-market, this appears to be the scenario. And this impacts my recent positions. In this scenario, it will seek the 1-year simple moving average, where it should make a pullback (HH or LH?). Time for caution and to avoid new long entries.
SShort
by Mordredis
S&P INTRADAY bearish below 5636President Donald Trump imposed the highest U.S. tariffs in a century, aiming to reshape the global economy. This move triggered threats of retaliation and a sharp market selloff worldwide. Stock markets reacted quickly and negatively. U.S. equity futures dropped as investors worried about corporate earnings. European and Asian stocks also declined. The dollar fell to a five-month low, while investors sought safety in Treasury bonds, and the yen strengthened. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5636 Resistance Level 2: 5713 Resistance Level 3: 5790 Support Level 1: 5413 Support Level 2: 5262 Support Level 3: 5200 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Post-Trump Dump: Bear Bias ValidatedPost-Trump Dump: Bear Bias Validated | SPX Analysis 03 April 2025 Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it. Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those "big gap, big drama" mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes panic. And while every headline’s now spinning a narrative about tariffs, Trump, and trade wars… Our community was already leaning in the right direction: Buy the rumour, sell the news. ✔️ No surprise here. My discretionary override to stay bearish below 5700 is paying off. No whim. Just discipline. So, what’s next? Simple. Stick to the plan. --- Market Cracks, But I’m Not Calling a Collapse Let’s get this out of the way first: I don’t think this is the Big One. No market apocalypse. No Armageddon. No bunker required. This looks more like a tariff reset than total collapse - a sharp repricing, not a system failure. But that doesn’t mean there’s no money to be made. Far from it. Here’s what I’m doing right now: Bearish swings are active and in profit below 5700. Aggressive add-ins under 5500 using: Pulse bars 10-min Tag ‘n Turn setups GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700. Why? Because a few ticks don’t warrant overcomplicating. I’ll reassess GEX levels at the open for any spicy shifts. And importantly… My bull swing hedge might finally be worth something - giving me room to de-risk last week’s exposure while continuing to profit on the downside. --- 🎯 Expert Insights – Don’t Change the Plan for Clickbait Here’s what most traders get wrong on days like this: ❌ They abandon their bias because of headlines. ❌ They tinker with rules based on GEX micro-movements. ❌ They overreact to volatility instead of letting price confirm action. What I’ve learned (the hard way, years ago): ✅ Structure matters more than spin. If you had your levels mapped, this wasn’t a surprise. ✅ Your plan is only as good as your commitment to it. Today is just another reason why I remain bearish until 5700 breaks. ✅ Reacting emotionally to news is a rookie mistake. Today’s dump was just a fast-forward to what was already brewing. 🧠 Fun Fact In 2018, when Trump first tweeted about tariffs, the market dropped over 1,100 points in a single session - then rebounded completely within 3 weeks. Moral of the story? Markets overreact. Patterns don’t. Your job is to follow the pattern – not the press conference. --- Video & Audio Podcast On Main Blog Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece --- p.s.Want to Stay Calm in Market Chaos? Today proves the value of: ✅ A mechanical strategy ✅ A clear structure ✅ And a mindset built for turbulence Join the Fast Forward Mentorship - trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's Learn how to profit from panic - without the panic. Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action. Let’s trade this system together - real time, real trades, real profit. LINK IN BIO
SShort
by MrPhilNewton
SPX has reached the top.SPX has reached the top. Based on a 3m period, SPX looks like it reached the top. Previous 3m candle closed below previous month. Signs of top, it can be fake-out but its near the RANGE (Red line) The G2S is in the bear market. The black indicator line is below the G2S (Blue Line) The 3m BREAKOUT indicator makes a lower high while price makes a higher high. 1 Year range looks very bullish, usually when you have a closed above the RANGE (Red line) its bullish, the price can go ballistic to the upside. This can be a fake-out too, we might have a big red candle at the end of the year. Time will tell, i don't trade SPX but if i will buy this stock, i will buy it at the RANGE (Green Line) or when its too close to it.
SShort
by Theordertaker
S&P 500 on Edge: How Trump’s Tariffs Are Reshaping Market TrendsMarket Overview: The Shockwave of New Tariffs The S&P 500 is facing heightened volatility following former President Donald Trump’s newly proposed tariffs. Investors are grappling with concerns over economic growth, inflation, and potential trade retaliation. While markets initially showed resilience, the broader trend suggests growing unease as analysts dissect the long-term impact. Since the announcement, the S&P 500 has shown choppy movements, attempting to hold key support levels. However, increased selling pressure could signal deeper corrections ahead. Breaking Down the Tariffs: What’s at Stake? Trump’s tariff plan includes: • A 10% baseline tariff on all imported goods • A 25% tariff on automobile imports • Additional country-specific trade restrictions These policies aim to boost domestic manufacturing but risk disrupting global supply chains, impacting corporate profit margins, and inflating consumer prices. The biggest concern? Potential retaliatory tariffs from trade partners, which could escalate tensions and further pressure equities. Technical Analysis: S&P 500 at a Crossroads Key Support and Resistance Levels • Support: 5,000 (psychological level), 4,850 (50-day moving average) • Resistance: 5,200 (recent highs), 5,300 (all-time high zone) The S&P 500 recently tested its 50-day moving average, a critical indicator of short-term market sentiment. If selling pressure intensifies, a break below this level could lead to a deeper pullback toward 4,800. Momentum Indicators • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Hovering near 45, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside pressure • Volume Trends: Increasing on red days, signaling distribution rather than accumulation The combination of technical weakness and fundamental uncertainty points to a cautious trading environment in the coming weeks. Sector Impact: Winners & Losers Winners ✔ Domestic Industrials & Manufacturing – Companies benefiting from protectionist policies may see increased demand. ✔ Defense & Aerospace – Historically resilient during geopolitical and economic uncertainty. ✔ Commodity Producers – Rising inflation could lift materials and energy stocks. Losers ❌ Technology & Semiconductors – Supply chain disruptions and higher import costs could weigh on margins. ❌ Automotive Industry – Higher tariffs on imported vehicles could hurt both manufacturers and consumers. ❌ Retail & Consumer Goods – Increased costs may be passed on to consumers, dampening demand. Investor Playbook: Navigating the Uncertainty Short-Term Strategies • Hedge with Volatility Plays: The VIX has been ticking higher, making it an attractive hedge against market swings. • Watch Key Support Levels: A break below 4,850 on the S&P 500 could signal further downside, while a bounce from current levels may present a short-term buying opportunity. • Sector Rotation: Shift focus to industries that historically perform well during protectionist policies, such as domestic manufacturing and commodities. Long-Term Outlook While the market is reacting negatively to tariff announcements, historical data suggests that initial sell-offs can eventually lead to stabilization as businesses adjust. However, if tariffs escalate into a full-scale trade war, expect prolonged market turbulence similar to the 2018 tariff battle with China. Final Thoughts The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture. If trade tensions escalate, expect increased volatility and further downside pressure. However, if negotiations ease concerns, markets could stabilize and resume their upward trajectory. For now, traders should proceed with caution, keep an eye on technical indicators, and be prepared for potential market shocks. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term correction or the beginning of a broader market shift. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock prices are subject to market risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
S
by Invest_MTS
S&P 500 Short Setup – Key Resistance in Focus!🔥 I’m watching this critical resistance zone on the S&P 500 (US500)! A rejection at this level could spark strong bearish momentum. A clear reaction at resistance is key for confirmation. 📍Entry: 5,726.50 USD – just below the key resistance, but only after rejection is confirmed 🎯Targets: TP1: 5,645.00 USD TP2: 5,610.00 USD TP3: 5,585.00 USD ⛔Stop-Loss: 5,768.00 USD ⚡ Patience is crucial, waiting for confirmation reduces risk and boosts accuracy! Would you take this trade? Let me know below! 👇
VShort
by EpicmindJournyFX
2/4/25 - Gap down, traders will see strength of FT selling The market closed as a bull bar in its upper half with prominent tails above and below. Yesterday, we said traders would see if the bulls could create follow-through buying. If they could, the market may trade a little higher towards the Mar 25 high area. The market looks like it will open almost 1% lower today. The bulls hope that yesterday's low will act as support. They hope to get a second leg sideways to up to retest yesterday's high, even if it only forms a lower high. They want the market to trade up strongly, similar to the March 31 gap down. The bears see the last 2 days simply as a pullback. They want a retest of the March 13 low and a strong breakout below. How the market closes today will tell us a lot moving forward. Trump will talk later in the day.
S
by Tech_Trader88
Wall Street vs GoldZilla. The End of 'Irrational Exuberance' Era"Irrational exuberance" is the phrase used by the then-Federal Reserve Board chairman, Alan Greenspan, in a speech given at the American Enterprise Institute during the dot-com bubble of the 1990s. The phrase was interpreted as a warning that the stock market might be overvalued. Origin Greenspan's comment was made during a televised speech on December 5, 1996 (emphasis added in excerpt) Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade? Greenspan wrote in his 2008 book that the phrase occurred to him in the bathtub while he was writing a speech. The irony of the phrase and its aftermath lies in Greenspan's widely held reputation as the most artful practitioner of Fedspeak, often known as Greenspeak, in the modern televised era. The speech coincided with the rise of dedicated financial TV channels around the world that would broadcast his comments live, such as CNBC. Greenspan's idea was to obfuscate his true opinion in long complex sentences with obscure words so as to intentionally mute any strong market response. The phrase was also used by Yale professor Robert J. Shiller, who was reportedly Greenspan's source for the phrase. Shiller used it as the title of his book, Irrational Exuberance, first published in 2000, where Shiller states: Irrational exuberance is the psychological basis of a speculative bubble. I define a speculative bubble as a situation in which news of price increases spurs investor enthusiasm, which spreads by psychological contagion from person to person, in the process amplifying stories that might justify the price increases, and bringing in a larger and larger class of investors who, despite doubts about the real value of an investment, are drawn to it partly by envy of others' successes and partly through a gamblers' excitement. The main technical graph represents a value of S&P500 Index in Gold troy ounces (current value 1.81 at time of writing this article), indicates that effusive Bull stock market goes collapsing. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
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by PandorraResearch
March Was Boring. April Could BiteMarch Was Boring. April Could Bite | SPX Analysis 02 April 2025 At the risk of sounding like a scratched CD (or whatever the Spotify kids call repetition), yes – I’m still bearish. Some might say I’m stubborn. I say I just know a pattern when I see one. And while March was about as exciting as watching paint dry in slow motion on a frozen chart... April's already teased a shift. Tuesday’s 0-DTE win added a bit of grease to the gears – finally. Movement. Profit. Action. But I’m not celebrating yet. My stance is clear: bullish above 5700, bearish below. Until we break out, I’m scanning for pulse bar setups, especially if price cracks below 5500 – that’s where things get spicy. And with Friday’s NFP looming on the calendar, the market may be about to wake up and pick a direction. I know which way I’m leaning. Bear slippers are still on. --- Why April Could Be a Whole New Beast Here’s the rundown: March = sideways snoozefest. April = already triggered a 0-DTE win. My trigger line for flipping bull remains 5700 – it’s the GEX flip, flag failure, and no-go zone. I’m watching for bearish pulse bars, ideally on: Morning setups Under 5500 With volatility in play Should we crack those levels with strong momentum, I’ll look to compound into existing bear swings, leaning on the mechanical setups that’ve done the job before. This week’s X-factor? Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report. Could be a nothing-burger. Could be the matchstick that lights the whole thing up. Either way, I’ll be ready. --- Expert Insights – Don’t Let Boredom Trade for You One of the most common trader traps? Forcing trades when the market isn’t doing anything. Here’s how to avoid it: ✅ Patience is a position. Waiting for clarity is a valid strategy. I didn’t force anything through March – and I’m better for it. ✅ Setups still work – just less frequently. Your system isn’t broken… the market was just asleep. ✅ The pros aren’t hunting trades every day – they’re waiting for the ones worth taking. That’s how the SPX Income System works – clear triggers, no second-guessing. --- Fun Fact - April: Historically Strong… Unless March Fails First The month of April is historically one of the strongest for the S&P 500, averaging gains of 1.5% since 1950. But guess what? Most of that strength happens after a strong March. When March is slow or bearish… April tends to flip the script. So don’t be surprised if volatility roars back this week – just be ready. --- Video & Audio Podcast Coming Soon on main blog... Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece --- p.s. Ready to stop scratching your head and start stacking profits? If you want to trade with clarity – not confusion – then it’s time to get serious about structure. Join the Fast Forward Mentorship – trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action. No fluff. Just profits, pulse bars, and patterns that actually work. Links In Bio
SShort
by MrPhilNewton