Oil trade missed - 3 lessons learntIn this live trading video,we explore the 3 lessons that we learnt on missing the Brent oil trade. You can cross transfer these principles on any strategy.
UUU.S. DOLLAR / BRENT CRUDE OIL
66.22USDR
−0.19−0.29%
As of today at 06:53 GMT
USD
No trades
USDBRO trade ideas
Brent Crude Oil. Short term prediction for 11-12th of March.Short term prediction for 11-12th of March.
Last Friday the 4hour candle closed
out of tunnel. I would expect that it goes down
towards 81.5(or around it.) It might do a
manipulation move towards back to the tunnel.
Or even it might do a hawkish move.
The idea of a bull market in oilGreetings
Dear analysts and traders,
I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it.
I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily.
I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him.
Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
Mr. Nobody
The idea of a bear market in oil
Brent Oil Getting Into A SqueezeLooking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:BRTUSD on our daily chart, we can see that the commodity is currently trading in a small range, roughly between the 81.83 and 83.98 levels. At the same, on the bigger picture, the price remains between two trendlines: a short-term upside support line taken from the lowest point of December 2023 and a downside resistance line drawn from the highest point of September 2023. This means that the pair is slowly getting into a squeeze. Although we might see some strong movement in-between the two trendlines, we would prefer to wait for a breakout first, before examining the next short-term directional move.
A push through the upper side of the aforementioned range and a break of the previously discussed downside line would also place EASYMARKETS:BRTUSD above the 83.98 barrier, possibly attracting more buying interest. A forthcoming higher high would be confirmed, potentially clearing the way towards the 87.87 zone, marked by the highest point of November 2023. If the buying doesn't stop there, the next aim could be at 89.58, which is the inside swing low of 19th of October 2023.
Alternatively, a price-drop below the lower side of the range and a break below the short-term upside line may set the stage for a move to lower areas. EASYMARKETS:BRTUSD could then fall to the 79.44 territory, a break of which might open the door for a move to the 76.64 level. That level marks the lowest point of February.
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UKOIL OUTLOOKUKOIL MARCH WEEK 3 OUTLOOK -
Daily - Looks like it's in a no man's land right now. longs above 82.99 and shorts below 80.29.
Origin - if price gets rejected from zone 82.17 - 82.90, then we can look for shorts. if it manages to hold above 82.90 we look for longs. if price holds below, then short ideas will be marked up and only Grade C risk will be allocated with quick entry and booking.
How to catch the daily candle?The daily candle as other candles contains body and two wicks. The best set up is when you open the trade in the bottom wick during long trend and in the top wick during the short trend for a current day. Here the 3 steps to catch the right set up.
1. Wait for asian range(purple box).
2. Identify daily bias long or short.
3. Open the trade below or above true day open price (blue line) depends on your daily bias.
DeGRAM | UKOIL short opportunityUKOIL is trading in the descending channel.
Price broke and closed below the resistance level at 83.00.
We can see the market has created a consolidation zone around this level, which means it's an important level.
We anticipate a bearish move by completing the AB=CD pattern.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
BRENT - Interesting buy zone!Hello everyone!
we're turning bullish on BRENT!
- Here's my view on BRENT :
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.ù
stay cautious.
That's why I see GOLD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
UKOIL (Brent) Technical Analysis - VideoIn my previous post, I shared my analysis on Brent crude oil. Here's a video explaining the reasoning behind my trade idea:
Currently, Brent is trading within a daily range-bound channel. It's pushing against the upper boundary, which hints at a possible retracement to test previous lows. Interestingly, historical data over the past decade suggests that March tends to be a bearish period for Brent.
Disclaimer: Remember, this analysis is based on technical factors and should not be seen as direct financial advice. Trading commodities is inherently risky. Before making any trades, always consult with a qualified financial professional and carefully consider your own risk appetite.
UKOIL LONGSame thing as always. I am looking for a pullback all the way to 82.56 - 82.39 zone and looking for price to get absorbed there.
more than usual volume traded in oil yesterday which is repeat of similar pattern observed in Jan this year before first run up in oil.
for me to get an entry I am looking for almost 1% drop so let's see if I get it.
UKOIL (Brent) Technical AnalysisBrent crude oil is presently confined within a daily range-bound channel. The price is currently testing the upper bounds of the range, suggesting a potential retracement to retest previous lows. This analysis incorporates a seasonal perspective – historical data over the past decade indicates a tendency for Brent to experience declines during the month of March.
Disclaimer: This analysis offers a technical viewpoint and does not constitute direct financial advice. Trading commodities carries inherent risk. Always consult a qualified financial professional and carefully evaluate your individual risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
UKOil Bullish**Monthly Chart**
UKOIL last month candle closed bullish after it tested the demand zone in Dec 2023 around 70 levels. This suggests a continuation of the bullish trend at least to test the MC around 95 level.
**Weekly Chart**
UKOil weekly chart shows bullish momentum although it has been moving in consolidation mode for the past three weeks. Last week's candle closed bullish and it is currently moving towards balancing the IPA (FVG) and MC around 92 level.
**Daily Chart**
The first target as per the daily chart is at 85 level (imbalanced area), then will look for a trade setup to take it long in the next few weeks. However, it might be a risky entry around this level because of IPA which might create resistance.
BRENT - Interesting buy zone!Hello everyone!
we're turning bullish on BRENT!
- Here's my view on BRENT :
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.ù
stay cautious.
That's why I see GOLD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
BRENT - Interesting buy zone!Hello everyone!
we're turning bullish on BRENT!
- Here's my view on BRENT :
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.ù
stay cautious.
That's why I see GOLD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
Brent (ICE) may fall to 81.80 - 82.30Pivot
83.10
Our preference
Short positions below 83.10 with targets at 82.30 & 81.80 in extension.
Alternative scenario
Above 83.10 look for further upside with 83.60 & 84.00 as targets.
Comment
As long as the resistance at 83.10 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 82.30 remains high.
Supports and resistances
84.00
83.60
83.10
82.74 Last
82.30
81.80
81.50
Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.
