USDCADTook the first wave of USDCAD and rode that successfully and we've have been given a re-entry for yet another long position. The pair is on some recovery as it makes it's way to the downside on the overall timeframe so entry has to be calculated carefully.
Trump's Tax tariffs, some friction with Canada, lingering war between Russia, the EU and Ukraine really having some effects on this pair
We would ride this pair all the way to the upside carefully so, brace up!
USDCAD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas
USDCAD INTRADAY bearish below 1.4060The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3825, with further potential declines to 1.3700 and 1.3540 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4160 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4270 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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Weekly Buy Trade Plan โ USD/CAD (April 2025)This is a weekly timeframe bullish setup on USD/CAD, focusing on a high-probability buy opportunity based on key support structure and RSI dynamics.
๐ง Technical Outlook:
Price has strongly rejected a major historical support zone around 1.37781 โ 1.38800, highlighted by the green horizontal line.
This level has acted as strong support multiple times in the past, making it a key demand zone for potential reversal.
After a strong bearish leg, the current price action suggests exhaustion in selling pressure, indicating a likely bounce from this level.
๐น Why Long?
Price is sitting right above the support zone, with buyers stepping in around the 1.38800 level.
This area aligns with previous structure and is a likely zone where institutional buyers may accumulate.
๐ RSI Analysis:
RSI (14) is at 39.99, entering the oversold territory and showing early signs of potential reversal.
Although momentum is still bearish, this is where contrarian entries often occurโanticipating a bounce back toward midline (50+) or higher.
โ
Trade Setup Details:
Entry: Around 1.38800 zone (current support zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.37781 (to protect against deeper correction)
Take Profit: Targeting the 1.42000 โ 1.43000 resistance zone
Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:2.5 or better, offering a solid return potential if price rebounds
โ ๏ธ Trade Management Tips:
Watch for bullish confirmation candles on the daily or H4 for added confluence.
Monitor USD and CAD fundamentals for short-term volatility (e.g., interest rate decisions, oil prices).
Secure partial profits near 1.41000 and trail your stop.
WHY USDCAD IS DROPPING ?? DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD is currently reacting from a strong daily supply zone after a sustained upside move, and we are now seeing clear signs of bearish structure forming. Price has broken through multiple short-term supports and is now trading around the 1.38600 level, sitting right above a key demand zone that held in late 2023. Given the aggressive sell-off and rejection from the 1.43400โ1.44500 resistance range, the market appears to be preparing for a deeper retracement. My bearish target is 1.34600, which aligns with the previous major demand level and psychological support.
Technically, the chart shows two strong bearish engulfing moves from supply, followed by lower highs and lower lows. This shift in structure combined with repeated rejections from resistance zones indicates the momentum is shifting in favor of sellers. If the current zone fails to hold on the retest bounce, we could see a strong continuation leg down. I expect a minor correction toward 1.41600 before further downside resumes, offering an ideal risk-reward short setup for swing traders.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar remains firm, supported by strong crude oil prices as WTI holds above $85 amid geopolitical tensions and production cuts. At the same time, recent U.S. data has shown mixed signals, with sticky inflation keeping the Fed cautious, but slowing job growth and consumer spending raising concerns. If oil prices remain elevated and Fed rate cut expectations increase later this quarter, the USDCAD pair is likely to stay under pressure.
With CAD strength driven by energy markets and the USD facing headwinds from softening macro indicators, this setup aligns both technically and fundamentally for a bearish continuation. Iโll be watching for clean rejections from the 1.40000โ1.41600 resistance zone before loading more shorts toward 1.34600. Patience is key โ this could be a high-probability move in the coming weeks.
USD/CAD โ Bullish Reversal Zonea at Trendline + Morning StarUSD/CAD is currently forming a bullish reversal setup, which often signals a potential upside move.
Right now, the price is testing a key support and a historical demand zone, while also printing a Morning Star candlestick pattern on the daily timeframe, which is a classic bullish reversal signal. โ ๏ธ
If buyers hold the trendline and we see a breakout above the recent minor high around 1.3950, we could see a bullish move toward the 1.4050โ1.4170 zone. ๐ฏ
๐น Trade Setups to Consider:
1๏ธโฃ Aggressive Long (Based on Morning Star Pattern) ๐ Entry: 1.3915
๐ Stop Loss: 1.38143
๐ฏ Targets: 1.40248 โก๏ธ 1.41290
๐ฌ Whatโs your view on USD/CAD? Drop your thoughts below ๐
#Forex #TradingSetup #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeIdeas #FX #USDCAD #Reversal #MorningStar #CandlestickPatterns #TrendlineSupport
USDCAD-BUY strategy 12 hourly chart - Regression channelsThe pair seems to be in a corrective mode currently. The 90-min chart still has some underlying weakness, but overall we are improving. I feel we may have a chance to test 1.3990 and en-route 1.4078 recovery level.
Strategy BUY @ 1.3875-1.3900 and take profit near 1.4067 for now.
LONG IDEA ON USDCADI am looking to buy USDCAD from the london zone highlighted on my chart, if i dont find a reversal pattern, i will wait for price to drop to the NY zone i mapped out and look for reversals/by opportunity from there.... My major reversal patterns are doube bottom, divergence, or any other reversal candle stick. Good luck
USDCAD H4 | Bullish Rise Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.3908, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.4055, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3828, a swing low support level.
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USD/CAD bears eyeing deeper downside flushUSD/CAD bears will be eyeing a meaningful downside flush with the pair breaking and closing beneath the 200-day moving average on Thursday, hitting fresh year-to-date lows in the process.
The price now finds itself below 1.3947, the high set in August last year. The break may encourage others to join the bearish move, generating a setup where shorts could be established with a stop placed above the level for protection.
1.38115 screens as an initial target, with other minor levels such as 1.3748, 1.3700 and 1.3647 also in play. Momentum indicators favour retaining a bearish bias, with RSI (14) trending strongly lower but not yet oversold. MACD further bolsters the bearish signal.
If the price were to reverse back above the 200DMA, the overall bearish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
After CAN CPIs, it's time to prepare for BoC rate decisionLooking at the CPI numbers that came out, we are noticing some weakness in the CAD right now. This weakness may spill over into tomorrow's trading, as the BoC is expected to keep the rates unchaged.
Let's dig in!
FX_IDC:USDCAD
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
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USDCAD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
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Stop Loss ๐:
๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.40500) Day/Swing trade basis.
๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 1.36000 (or) Escape Before the Target
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
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