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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Outlook: Patience Is Key in Uncertain MarketsThe EUR/USD pair is gaining traction as the US Dollar Index retracts from its peak of 107.06, while the euro rebounded from the 1.0500 level yesterday. The exchange rate remains within a key demand zone, and as noted previously, a price pullback could occur if it breaches this range, leading to retracement opportunities. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has remarked that the US economy is performing "remarkably well," which paves the way for a gradual reduction in interest rates. In contrast, the minutes from the European Central Bank's October Monetary Policy Meeting suggested a growing inclination towards rate cuts, tempered by concerns over domestic inflation. Today’s release of US Core Retail Sales and overall Retail Sales figures may shed light on the economic outlook. Should the euro continue its upward momentum, traders might contemplate a long position in the upcoming week. Our forecasting model indicates a potential price surge during this period; however, it’s important to recognize that market conditions are influenced by significant movements, including the Trump's rally that has been propelling the DXY to new highs. Thus, exercise patience before entering any trades is recommended at this stage. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
2
EURUSD POTENTIALLY BEARISHWe saw a massive strength gain to the USD yesterday which shifted a lot of expectations in the market direction. The previous low @1.07682 on FX:EURUSD was broken and now we are seeing market back at the zone again for a retest. If the zone holds as a new found resistance, and we see some form of price action candle to confirm the exhaustion of the retest, I will go in for a short (sell) with targets at 1.05147 and 1.00773. Until then we keep our fingers crossed. For every position you look to trade, use proper risk management as past results does not guarantee future results. #EURUSD
Short
by Mbjoey
2
Euro D1 | Pullback resistance at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0618 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.0680 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.0466 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
EURUSD : the yellow line is not a trendlineThe yellow line is NOT a TREND line. As I have said many times, I do not believe in trendlines. We should have asked, there are so many 'methods' out there teaching us how to trade FX - but just NONE of them is mathematics-related. Some may say Fibonacci is maths, but I think it is just numbers. Calculus is an important branch of mathematics. It is a study of change and the rate of change in mathematical function. The rate of change is the SLOPE or how steep the line is. So the yellow line is the slope. Since I know the slope, I only need one point to place the slope. Which is why it is not a trendline. A trendline needs two points. Good luck.
Long
by i_am_siew
UPDATE:EUR/USD Eyes Major Upside Pending Key Resistance BreakHello, FX:EURUSD is experiencing continued upward momentum following the election, with a significant upside anticipated. The profit target is set between 1.109412 and 1.098881. First, confirmation from the 1-week/1-day pivot points is necessary. Once achieved, a cross and hold above the 1-day strong resistance at 1.061738 will solidify this scenario. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
EURUSD ADR Continuation Swing to 1.06500Weekly swing trade level - using ADR from level 2 -Level 1 & 2 Confirmed, - Target 1.06500 Area False day start (1/3 ADR) W at volume profile imbalance area 78.60 intraday Fib. confirmation Divergence and trend continuation Backup order below at 1.04900 area due to potential larger reverse distance on level 2 -Retail formation possible confirmation with liquidity grab -Multiple red news events upcoming in the day Reach out for TG notfier And please give boosts!
Long
by YungEmsi_254
EURUSD Will Go Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 1.048. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.053 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD - Nearing a Bullish BreakoutEURUSD is nearing a breakout and potentially a Bullish move if the trendline holds. Otherwise we are heading to lower level. Best approach is to go from level to level rather than aiming for a swing move as sentiments can switch anytime. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
Trading EURUSD this week | Judas Swing Strategy 25-27/11/2024The Judas Swing strategy has recently seen a surge in activity. After experiencing a week of losses, it rebounded last week with a 1% gain. This week appears promising, as a setup emerged on Monday, positioning us to take advantage of the opportunity that presented itself After observing a sweep of liquidity at the high of the trading zone, we shifted our focus to look for potential selling opportunities. However, to capitalize on a clear setup, we require a break of structure to the sell side. This price leg must create a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a retracement into this FVG will assist us in securing an entry point for the trade. At 10:30 EST, all the criteria on our entry checklist were met, allowing us to proceed with the trade. Upon entering this trade, we experienced minimal drawdown, which is the ideal scenario every trader seeks. Sniper entries are highly coveted, but it's important to recognize that they won't occur with every trade. Therefore, it's essential for traders to allow their trades sufficient space to fluctuate and to place their stop-loss at a point where, if triggered, it signifies the invalidation of the trade setup We were in this trade for just 1 hour and 15 minutes, and with only a 1% risk, it yielded a 2% return for the day On Tuesday, we returned to scout for trading setups, but unfortunately, none emerged that matched the Judas swing strategy, so we took no action. Notice what we did? Nothing. And why? Because no trade setup fulfilled the criteria on our checklist, and we didn't force any trades. Whenever a trade doesn't meet your checklist requirements, avoid forcing a trade. The likelihood of regretting that decision is high, and even if a forced trade happens to win, it means you're developing a bad habit that could haunt you later on We showed up on Wednesday to scout for trades again and late in the session a setup started forming. We got a sell bias early but getting a confirmation for sell trade took forever to form, but when we got that confirmation we didn't hesitate to take this trade. We entered a sell for this trade setting our Stop loss at 1.05788 and our TP at 1.05383 After executing the trade, the subsequent bullish candle, which was a bullish marubozu, went straight to our stop loss and then reversed in our intended direction. However, since our stop loss was triggered, it marked the end of our trading day. According to our rules, we do not re-enter the trade. We accept the 1% loss with dignity and prepare to trade another day. This loss means that we are now only 1% in profit on EURUSD for the trading period from November 25th to 27th.
Education
by CleoFinance
Eur/usd Bulls To dominate the week @1.07000This week, we have seen the dollar lose its momentum to the upside, thus losing its strength with the other currency pairs. Meanwhile, fears of a potential decline in Eurozone exports due to US President-elect Donald Trump's imposition of hefty tariffs have slightly eased, which could offer more support to the Euro. That being said, I would expect within the coming few days the Bulls to go in and drive the pair around the 1.07000 handle. am expecting the pair to test my fair value price @1.05241 before the bulls take over and drive the market to my expected zones Take Profit Levels: Two take-profit (TP) targets are TP1 at 1.07272. TP2 at 1.08784.
Long
by que
The EUR/USD trend appears bearish, with a significant turning poHere’s how this could be interpreted: 1. Below 1.05600: If EUR/USD breaks below this level, it could confirm further downside momentum, signaling continuation of the bearish trend. 2. Above 1.05600: If EUR/USD holds above this level, it might suggest a potential reversal or consolidation phase. Use technical indicators (e.g., RSI, moving averages) to confirm breakout or reversal signals around the 1.05600 level.
Short
by wisdomfreely427
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 28, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD was supported in the market on Wednesday, taking the pair on a new course towards 1.0600 in the middle of the weekly trading session. The bullish bounce in the market was mainly due to investors taking a step away from recent dollar buying pressure, rather than any intrinsic strength in the euro itself. Wednesday's data list included a wide range of U.S. economic indicators before stock exchanges close for the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, followed by shortened trading hours on Friday. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) rose by an expected 2.8% on an annualized basis in the third quarter, coming as a surprise to no one and having little impact on investor momentum. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) accelerated to 2.8% for the year ended October, also meeting expectations. While rising inflation readings are usually bad for market expectations for future rate cuts, the upward movement was widely expected, and the monthly reading's persistence at 0.3% m/m helped to portray that the surge in prices was a thing of the past. On Friday, traders will be eyeing preliminary European Union inflation data, the harmonized consumer price index (HICP). EU inflation is forecast to rise in the near term, further aggravating the European Central Bank (ECB) as ECB policymakers struggle to find the words to maintain investor confidence in the lopsided European economy. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0600, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004