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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Institutional Market Structure: How to Mark It!2025 ICT Mentorship: Lecture 2 Video Description: 📈 Unlock the Secrets of Institutional Market Structure! Hey traders! Welcome to today’s video, where we lay the foundation for mastering how the market truly moves. Understanding market structure is the key to improving your trading precision and analysis. In this session, we’ll break down the difference between minor swing points and strong swing points—a crucial distinction for objective and accurate structure analysis. You’ll learn how to mark market structure properly, keeping emotions in check and aligning with solid trading psychology. 🎯 What You’ll Gain: ✅ Identify market structure like a pro ✅ Enhance your objectivity and reduce impulsive decisions ✅ Master institutional techniques for improved accuracy If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level and build a strong foundation, hit play and let’s dive in! 💬 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more game-changing insights. Share your thoughts below—I’d love to hear how this helps your trading journey! Enjoy the video and happy trading! The Architect 🏛️📊
Education
by The_Archi-tect
6
Lingrid | EURUSD support LEVEL Long TRADE PotentialFX:EURUSD market has gained bullish momentum. It formed a large bullish candle on the weekly chart that closed above the previous week's high. The price appears to have completed an ABCD pattern, which often precedes a pullback. Consequently, a price dip below Friday's low and potential retest of the previous week high is anticipated. If the price finds support in this area, I think it may continue its upward trajectory, targeting the liquidity zone above the prior resistance. I expect the price move higher considering that TVC:DXY is pushing lower. My goal is resistance zone around 1.05650 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
EUR/UISD - Strong Trade Setup (XCI Model)Hi all, If you have been following you would have seen I have been winning a lot of trades recently.... well, I have a new entry model Ive been playing with that works on any time frame in any market. Im naming it XCI. I wont be posting with how it works in here but I will be sharing my trade setups I use it in. This is one of them Liquidity Sweep taken on a Long Term Bearish Market. Market jump left Imbalance to fill giving us a strong level to sell from. We have our OTE Zone Marked out with the discount zone we want to see price move into before selling off Good Luck to the traders that follow
Short
by jamesibartram
1
EUR/USDThe EUR/USD daily chart continues to respect its broader downtrend , with price action failing to sustain bullish momentum. The pair is currently trading around 1.031, struggling to hold above key support levels. The moving averages (50 EMA - orange & 200 EMA - red) remain bearish, indicating that sellers are still in control. The MACD indicator reflects weakening bullish momentum, as the MACD line is crossing below the signal line, which could confirm a continuation of the downward move. Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 43.13 suggests that the market is still in bearish territory but not yet oversold. A break below 1.0300 could accelerate losses toward the psychological level of 1.0000 , while any short-term bullish reaction is likely to face resistance at 1.0395 - 1.0440. Until we see a clear breakout or trend reversal, the bias remains bearish, with sellers looking to dominate below key resistance levels.
Short
by alejandrofernandezp_
2
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on EUR/USD with you. Based on the EUR/USD chart, I expect the price to push upward toward the level of 1.03493. After reaching this level, I anticipate it to resume its downward movement. My first target for the drop is 1.01978, followed by the second target at 1.00938. However, if EUR/USD breaks above the 1.04340 level in the 1-hour timeframe, I expect further upward movement toward 1.05673. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Break above 1.04340 targeting 1.05673. Bearish Scenario: Drop after hitting 1.03493, targeting 1.01978 and then 1.00938. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.03493, 1.04340, 1.05673 Support: 1.01978, 1.00938 💬 What’s your outlook on EUR/USD? Share your thoughts in the comments below! Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
2
What Will Trigger the Next Big Move?The US dollar had a bit of a mixed week, ending a little lower than where it started. But don't worry, it's still showing signs of strength! The market is a bit jumpy right now, with lots of things happening around the world. We've got the US and China still figuring out their trade deal, some interesting US job numbers and everyone's waiting to see what happens with inflation. Let's break down what's going on and what it might mean for FX market this week. US and China: Still Talking, Still Uncertain The US and China are still trying to work out a trade deal, but it's not easy. Every time there's a bit of news, the market reacts. The dollar got stronger at first when the US announced new tariffs on some Chinese goods, but then it weakened again when it seemed like maybe they were getting closer to a deal. This back and forth is making the market a bit nervous, and we might see more ups and downs in the dollar and other currencies until things settle down. US Jobs: A Mixed Bag, But Still Pretty Good The latest US job numbers were a bit confusing. The unemployment rate dropped to 4%, which is great news for the dollar buyers, but the number of new jobs created wasn't as high as everyone expected. However, wages went up more than expected, which means people have more money to spend. This could lead to higher inflation, which the Fed is keeping a close eye on. This week, we'll get more information about the job market with the JOLTs report, which will give us a better idea of how healthy the job market really is. Inflation: The Big Question Mark Inflation is a big deal for the Federal Reserve (Fed), and everyone's waiting to see what happens with the CPI data this week. Inflation has been pretty close to the Fed's 2% target, but it might be starting to go up. If inflation is higher than expected, it might take even longer for FED to deliver the rate cut. This delay in easing could make the dollar stronger. On the other side, If inflation disappoints, the market could react negatively, as the dollar's recent strength is heavily reliant on the expectation of a hawkish Fed. Dollar's Next Move: Which Way Will It Go? The US dollar index (DXY), which measures the dollar value against other currencies, ended the week a little lower. This shows how uncertain things are right now. The DXY had a good run earlier this year, but now it's taking a breather. What happens next depends a lot on the inflation data and whether the US and China can make a deal. If you look at the charts, the DXY is hanging around the 108.00 level. The DXY's ability to maintain support above the 108.00-107.50 zone will be crucial in deciding its near-term trajectory. A sustained break below this zone could signal a shift in momentum, while a hold above would keep the bullish outlook. Euro and Pound: Facing Some Challenges The euro and the pound are both having a bit of a tough time right now. The Eurozone economy is slowing down, and the European Central Bank (ECB) isn't likely to make any big changes to its policies anytime soon. This could make the euro weaker, especially against the dollar. The pound is also facing problems, with the UK economy slowing down and inflation still sticking around. This is called stagflation, and it's not a good situation. We'll get some important data about the UK economy this week, which will give us a better idea of what might happen to the pound. From a technical perspective, both EUR/USD and GBP/USD are looking very bearish. The euro is getting close to the 1.0280 level, and if it breaks below, the market will likely target 1.0200 next. Meanwhile, the pound is already struggling to hold above the 1.2400 support level. A break below could send it down to 1.2250 or even 1.2100, especially if the UK economic data released this week is worse than expected. Swiss Franc: The Wild Card The Swiss franc is a bit of a wild card right now. Inflation in Switzerland is really low, which is worrying the Swiss National Bank (SNB). They've been trying to keep the franc from getting too strong, but it's not easy. They might even have to use negative interest rates, which would be a pretty big deal for the franc and other currencies. Technically, USD/CHF has been trading in a range between 0.9000 and 0.9200 since the beginning of 2025. Within this range, there's a smaller zone with resistance at 0.9130 and support at 0.9050. If the price breaks above 0.9130, we could see the dollar continue higher toward the top of the trading zone, especially since the dollar is strong right now. There's also a chance that we could see a breakout above the whole range this week if the US inflation data is higher than expected. So, make sure you're keeping an eye on the economic calendar! What to Watch This Week This week is going to be another exciting one for the markets! Traders need to keep a close eye on the US-China trade talks, the US inflation data, and the UK GDP data . And don't forget about the Swiss franc! Things could change quickly, so it's important to stay informed and be ready to react. Disclaimer: This article is just for informational purposes and shouldn't be taken as financial advice.
Short
by E8Markets
1
Buy and Sell buttonsHello Amazing TradingView team, I have idea that I would think make things easier for traders. On the Buy and Sell buttons if you can change the size of the front and make bigger the price numbers for the two numbers that are the second and third from the end. It would really help the price that we are looking at really stand out. Some other platforms do this like meta trader 4, that's really the only thing I like better about meta trader 4. Thanks so much for listening to my suggestion. Brett
Education
by bwarren00
1
EUR downtrend under pressureEUR/USD is currently showing a volatile downward trend, with prices hitting key support and resistance areas many times, and no significant directional breakthrough has occurred. From the overall trend, prices have been falling since the high of 1.05230, breaking through multiple key support levels, and are currently hovering around 1.03217, showing weak characteristics. From the perspective of the trend line, the obvious downward trend line suppression has exerted continuous pressure on prices, and the current price has failed to break through the resistance point of 1.03721 above. Resistance level: In the short term, 1.03721 is the current important resistance level, and prices need to break through this position to further open upside space. If this point is stable, it may test the higher 1.04200 area. Support level: The key support level below is around 1.02299, which is the previous low and an area where bulls may exert their strength. If this support is broken, the downward space will be further opened, possibly pointing to 1.01500. Pullback test: The current exchange rate may rebound and test the 1.03721 line. If it fails to break through this resistance, it may be blocked and fall back, continuing the downward trend. Continuation of decline: If the price falls directly and falls below the 1.03000 area, it will confirm the dominance of shorts, and the target is 1.02299 or even lower. Operation suggestions: If the price touches the 1.03721 resistance level and there are obvious signs of pressure, you can try short-term short orders, with the target below 1.03000 and the stop loss set above 1.04000. If the price falls back to 1.02299 and stabilizes, you can consider long orders, with the target at 1.03200, and the stop loss is recommended to be set below 1.02000. The current EUR/USD trend is still dominated by oscillating downwards. It is necessary to pay attention to the breakthrough of key points to determine the next direction and maintain a flexible operation strategy.
Short
by RonPeter_Trading
1
Lingrid | EURUSD forming a Triangle Pattern. ShortFX:EURUSD continues to consolidate around 1.0300 level. Recently, the market gapped down again, but that gap has already been filled. Last week, the price declined following a news release, respecting the downward trendline and breaking below the 1.03500 level. Overall, the price is forming a triangle pattern, forming lower highs and higher lows. Given that the market has bounced off the upper boundary of the pattern, I anticipate it may retest the lower boundary. I expect the market to reject the resistance and subsequently retest last week's low. My goal is support zone around 1.02270 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
5
EURUSD’s Bullish Breakout—Targets Set for $1.046 & $1.049!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) came to the above of the 100_SMA(4-hour) once again and managed to break the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) and Resistance lines , and today we saw EURUSD made a pullback to this zone. It is also possible that EURUSD will form an ascending channel , so we have to wait for the second hit to the Upper line and confirm its major point . I expect the EURUSD to trend higher after coming above the 100_SMA(4-hour) and attacking the next Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) and Resistance lines . The First Target: $1.04651 The Second Target: $1.04981 Note: If EURUSD touches $1.0347, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
EU long possibilities from around 1.04200 back upMy analysis for EU aligns with my other pairs, as I anticipate a pullback to a stronger demand zone before continuing its bullish pro-trend move. Since price recently reacted bearishly from a supply zone, I expect it to open with a bearish move until it reaches my 3-hour POI, where a potential bullish reversal could take place. Once price reaches my area of interest, I will look for signs of accumulation and a slowdown, which would confirm a buy opportunity. If price pushes higher instead, I have a fresh supply zone above the previously mitigated one, which could act as a point of interest for a potential reaction. Confluences for EU Buys: - Price remains bullish, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. - There is a clean, unmitigated 3-hour demand zone that aligns with my setup. - Liquidity is stacked to the upside, providing targets for the next bullish move. - DXY has been bearish, which supports this bullish EU outlook. P.S. Price action has been clean and structured, and I expect it to move as anticipated toward my marked zones. Stay sharp in these markets, and have a great trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
Price Action: Traps of Market MakersHave you ever felt confident about a market trend, only to watch the price suddenly reverse direction? Or found yourself following what seemed like a clear price movement, only to realize it was a false signal? Don't blame yourself or your trading strategy. What you're experiencing is likely the work of market makers who strategically create traps to trigger stop losses and pending orders. In this post, we'll dive into these market traps – learning how to identify them, understanding their different types, and most importantly, discovering how to turn them into profitable opportunities. What are market maker traps? At their core, market traps are deceptive price movements designed to create an illusion of a genuine trend, convincing traders to take positions before the market reverses course. 📍 1. The False Double Pattern Trap At its core, most market traps manifest as false breakouts of key levels. One of the most common examples is the deceptive Double Top/Double Bottom pattern. If you have traded these patterns, you have probably noticed something interesting: the second top is often slightly higher than the first, while the second bottom tends to be slightly lower than the previous one. This contradicts the traditional pattern theory, which suggests the second top should be lower, indicating market weakness. What's really happening here? Large market players deliberately push prices beyond these levels to trigger the stop losses and pending orders of smaller traders. Once they've captured this liquidity, the market reverses, revealing the trap. 📍 2. The Trend Continuation Trap This trap is perhaps the most devastating for traders. Traditional market wisdom tells us that a bearish trend consists of progressively lower highs and lower lows. When a previous high gets broken, conventional technical analysis suggests the bearish trend has possibly ended. However, reality often plays out differently. The price might briefly break above a local maximum, triggering stop orders and creating the illusion of a trend reversal. Instead of reversing, though, the price continues its original downward trajectory. This phenomenon is particularly visible on shorter timeframes like M30 or H1, where the fake breakout typically spans several candles. When you spot a breakout against an established trend, approach with caution – it's more likely to be a false signal than a genuine reversal. In contrast, during sideways market conditions, focus on trading bounces from the channel's boundaries (upper and lower borders). This more conservative approach can help protect you from these common traps. 📍 3. The News-Driven Trap One of the most common traps occurs during news events. You've probably experienced it: price suddenly surges in one direction, breaks through a significant level, only to reverse sharply. This classic "fake-out" catches many traders on the wrong side of the market. A key strategy for identifying these traps is to analyze multiple timeframes. Generally, you'll want to examine both higher and lower timeframes than your primary trading window. Remember: the higher the timeframe, the fewer traps you'll typically encounter, making your analysis more reliable. 📍 4. Session Opening Traps Trading session transitions, particularly around the London open, often create another type of trap. You might notice one price direction before London opens, followed by a different movement at the session's start, which then reverses later. These movements typically trigger stop losses at key levels before reversing. For detailed analysis of session traps, dropping down to smaller timeframes (15M) can reveal the true price action. For instance, you might spot a clear price rise followed by a decisive bounce off a significant level like 189.500. When you see a breakout of any significant level – whether it's a round number or a local high/low during a trend correction – approach it with skepticism. Until price firmly establishes itself in the new zone with clear confirmation, consider the possibility that you're witnessing a trap designed to collect stop losses. Remember this fundamental truth: price is more likely to bounce from a level than break through it. 📍 Practical Tips on Trading Traps ◾️ Multi-Timeframe Analysis. The key to successfully trading traps begins with analyzing multiple timeframes. When you spot a breakout of an obvious level, switch to the timeframe where the movement appears most convincing. This helps you better understand the trap's structure and potential reversal points. ◾️ Entry and Risk Management. Timing your entry is crucial. Look for the first signals of price reversal, but remember - proper position sizing is essential. Keep your stop losses tight, as the market may still produce additional spikes that could prematurely end your trade. While this approach might take practice to master, the reward potential is significant - you can set take-profit targets up to 10 times larger than your stop loss. ◾️ Position Management. Once in the trade, actively manage your position. Move your stop loss to breakeven at the first appropriate opportunity to protect your capital. 📍 Conclusion Trading traps effectively requires patience and practice. While this strategy can be challenging to master, the ability to recognize and capitalize on these traps gives you a significant edge in the market. Many traders fall victim to these traps; learning to spot them transforms you from potential prey into a skilled hunter. Take time to practice identifying these patterns before committing real capital, and start with smaller position sizes as you develop your skills. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
13