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Bitcoin Dips After ATH – Is Another Rally in Sight?Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 2.42% decline from its all-time high of $109,114.8, set on January 20, to $101,308.55. While the pullback may seem concerning, analysts suggest this could be a healthy retracement, setting the stage for the next rally. Market data from Glassnode shows Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (LTH-NUPL) has surpassed 0.75, entering the “Euphoria/Greed” phase. Historically, this level often signals a local market top as traders lock in profits. However, short-term holders (STHs) are maintaining positive sentiment. The Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (STH-MVRV) ratio stands at 1.16, above its 1-year trendline. This indicates that STHs are realizing a 16% profit on their cost basis, reflecting strong buying activity and potential for upward momentum. Hyblock Capital’s liquidation heatmap highlights two key price magnets: $106,000 on the upside and $99,200 on the downside. BTC could briefly dip to $99,200 before rebounding toward $106,000, paving the way for new highs. Adding to the bullish narrative, CryptoQuant reports a three-year outflow of 1 million BTC from exchanges, reducing the supply available for trading. This trend could create a supply squeeze, decreasing selling pressure and driving prices higher. BTC’s current retracement may simply be a pit stop before another surge. With market fundamentals pointing to strong demand and reduced supply, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic.
by paul_endeo
BTC - Time cycles unlock some key insights BTC is very clearly able to be carved out into time cycles, or 'Hurst' cycles, which are regular appearing patterns of units of time which can help us in informing price action. Looking at BTC, it's clearly cutting into cycles of about 40 days with the price action within each cycle very clearly going in either direction - apart from one! Looking at the most recent cycle we just entered into, the price action is likely to rise and continue to rise until either the middle of the cycle (target) or the end of the cycle (vertical line). So please add Hurst cycles to your cocktail of methods for understanding 'when' an event is likely to take place, or at least give you a marginally higher percentage probability. Good luck. Follow and share for more.
Long
by cryptechcapital
MAD Indicator Is best for BTC (PAID INDICATOR)The MAD (Market Anomaly Detector) Indicator is one of the best tools for trading in Bitcoin and Ethereum, particularly because of the sharp momentum in their price movements. These assets often exhibit significant price swings, ranging from $1,000 to $10,000 or more, making it essential to capture tops and bottoms effectively. This indicator has been specifically designed for that purpose. How the MAD Indicator Works The MAD Indicator uses three lines, which resemble a Bollinger Band setup: 1. Green and Red Lines: Represent the expected range derived from the mean of the last few candles. 2. Blue Line: The true mean, calculated from a specific number of candles, acts as a dynamic support and resistance level. The indicator tracks the price’s expected range and dynamically adjusts based on price action. When the price breaks out of this range, the bands expand or contract, signaling momentum changes. In a sideways market, the bands shrink, reflecting reduced volatility. Signal Conditions The MAD Indicator provides Buy and Sell signals based on the following rules: 1. Sell Signal: • When the price closes below the red line, a sell signal is generated, and the background turns red. 2. Buy Signal: • When the price closes above the green line, a buy signal is generated, and the background turns green. Additional Reversal Logic The green and red lines also help reverse signals in certain scenarios: • Buy Signal Reversal: If the price closes below the red line (triggering a sell signal) but then moves back into the expected range and closes above the red line, it triggers a new buy signal. • Sell Signal Reversal: If the price closes above the green line (triggering a buy signal) but then moves back below it, it triggers a sell signal. Built-In Filters to Avoid False Signals 1. Signal Cooldown: The indicator checks the last five candles to avoid repetitive or false signals. 2. Background Validation: • For a sell signal, the background must already be green, and the price must decisively close below the green line. • For a buy signal, the background must already be red, and the price must decisively close above the red line. These conditions help filter out noise and prevent the indicator from issuing signals in uncertain or false breakout scenarios. Real-World Performance The MAD Indicator has demonstrated exceptional performance in live testing: 1. Example Buy Signal: At $100,788.29, the indicator generated a buy signal, leading to a gain of 8,715 points. 2. Example Sell Signal: After a sell signal, the price dropped by 8,200 points, showcasing the indicator’s precision. 3. Recent Buy Signal: At $101,456.04, the indicator issued another buy signal, which is still active, emphasizing its ability to capture trends and avoid premature exits. Why the MAD Indicator Stands Out • Accurate Trend Identification: Captures breakouts and reversals effectively. • Avoids Traps: Filters out false signals and ensures that trades align with the overall trend. • Dynamic Adjustments: Adapts to both trending and sideways markets. The MAD Indicator is a powerful tool for identifying opportunities, avoiding traps, and managing trades effectively in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market. It’s a game-changer for traders aiming to capitalize on Bitcoin and Ethereum’s price movements with confidence.
Long
by TradeTechanalysis
Complete analysis of Bitcoinhello friends We came with Bitcoin analysis. After a strong rising wave, we entered the channel phase and entered the correction phase with a falling pattern at the ceiling. Now we have identified for you the first identified support that we expect to reach there. If the support range is maintained, we will go for a new ceiling, but if the range is validly broken, we should expect a deeper correction than the 85 range. *Trade safely with us*
by TheHunters_Company
BTC - Resetting Indicators COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D In december 8, I presented 3 warning signs due to the appearance of market maker candle and the exagerated indicators values. Since then, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC made a considerable correction and therefore the indicators are resetted to neutral levels. This means short term trading is now safe (of course only with good money management). The potential liquidation level is $90,500. There is a chance to to down to liquidate positions before going up, but this is not garanteed as traders can close theses positions at any time. Happy trading !
Long
by Monstralian
BTC/USDT – chart analysis. BTC is testing a crucial descending trendline that has acted as resistance over the past several weeks. The 21 EMA (black) is above the 50 EMA (red), indicating short-term bullish momentum. Price action near the moving averages suggests a potential breakout or rejection scenario. $100,000 – $102,000: Immediate resistance zone aligned with the descending trendline. A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally towards $110,000 – $114,000. $97,000 – $95,000: Strong demand zone. BTC needs to hold above this zone to maintain the bullish momentum. Below $94,000, BTC could revisit the crucial support zone of $92,000 – $90,000 (highlighted in green). A confirmed breakout above $100,000 with strong volume could take BTC towards $110,000 – $114,000, invalidating the downtrend. If BTC gets rejected at the descending trendline, it could retest the $95,000 level. A break below this level could push BTC towards $92,000. Volume Profile: Increased volume near the resistance trendline is crucial for a breakout. RSI (not visible on the chart): Monitor overbought or oversold conditions for additional confirmation. Breakout Entry: Enter a long position above $100,000, target $110,000 - $114,000. Stop-loss below $98,000. Rejection Short: If BTC rejects $100,000, enter a short position, target near $95,000 - $92,000. Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments! DYOR. NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC making descending channel, wait for bullish conformation!! Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let's analyze BTCUSDT : Bitcoin surpassed $99k as it closed above the previously identified resistance on the daily chart, recent price action suggests a potential bearish trend. The formation of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) over the past few days indicates a developing bearish channel in the shorter timeframe. For a convincing bullish reversal, Bitcoin needs to achieve a daily close above $101,000. Failure to do so could lead to a significant drop towards $85,000 if the price continues to follow the descending channel. This situation could also be interpreted as a short-term bullish trap, enticing buyers before a further decline. Therefore, it's advisable to wait for a confirmed break above $101,000 before considering long positions. Key Support Levels: 98.5k 95.4k Key Resistance Level: 101k If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
by persis10t
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack Heavy Support Zone!!!Today, January 10 , key U.S. employment data , including Average Hourly Earnings , Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate , were released, influencing global markets, including Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). Stronger-than-expected employment figures suggest a robust economy, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase interest rates. Higher interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ), making Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies less attractive as alternative investments , possibly exerting downward pressure on their prices. -------------------------------------------- Bitcoin started to pump from the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , as I expected . ( Bitcoin allowed us to enter a long position two times .) Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and near the 50_SMA(Daily) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to complete wave C of Zigzag waves(ABC/5-3-5) . At best, wave C could rise to $99,000 (but unlikely). I expect Bitcoin to go down based on today's US employment data and the fact that the U.S. DoJ received court approval to sell 69,370 BTCs . Bitcoin will attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) again soon, and this attack may be able to break this zone . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $99,000, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️. ⚠️Note: We should expect more dumps if Bitcoin touches $93,500 before reaching the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) again⚠️. 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
Lingrid | BITCOIN quick SELL-OFF from the RESISTANCE zoneBINANCE:BTCUSDT market is currently moving sideways, and I think it may continue this trend until the presidential inauguration. Additionally, the price has formed an ABCD pullback from the all-time high, with the D point completing around the support level of 86,000. The market has tested the 91,000 support level three times; however, there’s a possibility that the price may break through towards 90,000 on fourth approch, given that it is consolidating just above this level. I expect the market to dip below the psychological level of 90,000 in order to seek liquidity for a more bullish move in the near future. My goal is support zone around 87,000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
9
#BTC. BEST OVERVIEW, EVERYONE TAKES AN EXAMPLE! FROM 14.01.2025BINANCE:BTCUSDT #BTC 6H Hey lovelies! 🌸 This morning, the market saw over $450 million in liquidations. While most of these positions have already been closed, new positions worth over $1 billion have appeared, indicating high activity and continued risks. Market Overview As we can see on the chart, the $92,000 support level has been broken, which could signal further downward movement. While I can’t say for sure what will happen, it’s clear that we’ve hit the first buy zone from my previous analyses, with #BTC touching $89,000 in the moment. Investors are now predicting that the Fed will NOT cut interest rates in 2025 (based on market expectations). Additionally, major stock indices have been declining for two consecutive weeks as recent U.S. macro data exceeded expectations, signaling a hawkish monetary policy from the Fed. Concerns about a potential resurgence in inflation are also growing. Key Levels to Watch - The $88,700 low has not been broken yet. If it is, we could see further declines. This level is now a key marker for future decisions. - On the upside, the important volume resistance level is at $94,233. While I believe the market could see a short-term bounce, there is still a larger probability of further price declines in the broader picture. Entry Points If you’re looking for specific entry points, consider the $91,000 - $85,000 range for opening a futures position or accumulating on spot. Let’s see how this plays out, my loves! 💖 As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖 Hugs Your crypto girl
Long
by Kate_Trade_Only