What’s Next for the S&P 500?The S&P 500 tried to break out yesterday, but got rejected at the highs. Some traders might view the resulting bearish outside day as a potential reversal pattern. How much damage was actually done? The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 28 peak of 5265. Notice how SPX made a new high by crossing this level on May 15. Yesterday’s pullback tested it and prices have bounced today. That may suggest old resistance is becoming new support. Second, this chart includes our MA speed custom study. It shows the rate of change for the 10-day simple moving average. Notice how the oscillator jumped as the index recovered in early May. This sharp acceleration resembled the move in early November as the current bull run began. Third is the relatively tight consolidation following the surge. That’s similar to other moments in late 2023. It may reflect a lack of selling pressure. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.by TradeStation17
Learn from the Pros: Trading Quotes from Trading LegendsSpeculation is as old as the hills, says one of the world’s best traders of all time, Jesse Livermore. In this blog, we give you the best quotes by the best traders — use them to get inspired and realize that success in trading is possible. Paul Tudor Jones, hedge fund manager, founder of Tudor : “I always believe that prices move first and fundamentals come second.” “If I have positions going against me, I get right out; if they are going for me, I keep them. Risk control is the most important thing in trading.” “I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.” Stanley Druckenmiller, family office manager, founder of Duquesne: “I don't really like hedging. To me, if something needs to be hedged, you shouldn't have a position in it.” “I like putting all my eggs in one basket and then watching the basket very carefully.” “Soros has taught me that when you have tremendous conviction on a trade, you have to go for the jugular. It takes courage to be a pig. It takes courage to ride a profit with huge leverage.” George Soros, hedge fund manager, founder of Soros Fund Management : “It's not whether you're right or wrong, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.” “Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.” “My peculiarity is that I don't have a particular style of investing or, more exactly, I try to change my style to fit the conditions.” Ray Dalio, hedge fund manager, founder of Bridgewater Associates : “In trading you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time. If you are not aggressive, you are not going to make money, and if you are not defensive, you are not going to keep money.” “Diversifying well is the most important thing you need to do in order to invest well.” “To make money in the markets, you have to think independently and be humble.” Jesse Livermore, stock trader, portrayed in “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator”: “It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting.” “It is literally true that millions come easier to a trader after he knows how to trade, than hundreds did in the days of his ignorance.” “There is nothing new on Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again.” Let’s hear from you! What’s your favorite trading quote or maybe a favorite trader? Let us know in the comments!Editors' picksby TradingView99548
SP500 Short trading opportunity(swing-trading) 1I expect a swing of about 70 points+- all the way down to 5200 The USA Federal Reserve has indicated that it won't be cutting interest rates anytime soon, I think this was a bit unexpected and not entirely priced in before so we should see some decline of the value of the SP500 Index. However I can assume only short term, don't know the longer term implications of this that is why I am only aiming for a small downtrend at the very least. Stop Loss 5295+- (or 5305+-), take profit is 5200+-. I am risking $27500+- dollars in a Short Position, I will lose $100+- if it hits the stop loss and make around $465 if it hits my take profit.Shortby ricomisterUpdated 2
7 DTE on SPX (Mar 30th expiry)Selling my wings at the 10 delta this time. -5215 +5205 / -5395 +5405 Mar 30th Expiry 150 Premium - 7.13 commission & fees 850 Allocated capital 16.81% gain on capitalby leongabanUpdated 0
SPX500 potential buy the dip opportunityYesterday the SPX500 dropped around 0.8%. this sets up an interesting dynamic where short-term traders may look to capitalize. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.Long02:37by FXCM3
Need Confirmation B-wave is completeI posted an idea for SPX500USD and SPY a couple weeks ago saying I was legging into July puts because we are nearing a major top. That top is likely in, but here is the confirmation I am looking for to signal a larger degree B-wave has completed: - Expect small bounce to around 5283 - Then drop to 5215-5240 ** If this occurs, and is followed by a bounce to 5292-5293, it will set up for a iii wave down to 5110 by early to mid June 2024 to confirm a larger degree C wave is in progress with end goal 4600-4700 by end of July 2024.Shortby JerryManders16168
Tops Not In...I see a lot of fear in markets and many thinking a top may be in...I really struggle seeing how for many reasons and I think we got more up left till this party ends.Longby Swoop6116
S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty The S&P 500 OANDA:SPX500USD declined by 0.7% on a subdued Thursday as investors adjusted their portfolios amid fluctuating market sentiment. The trading session was marked by an uneasy atmosphere following the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes, which indicated that central bankers are not in a hurry to reduce interest rates . This cautious stance from the Fed has been a key factor in supporting the recent upward trend in stocks. Technically Side: The price has declined and reached the breakout zone, indicating a potential return to the 5266 level. To continue the bearish trend, the price must break below 5266, confirmed by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle under this level. If this occurs, the next targets would be 5226 and 5193. Conversely, if the price closes above 5282, it would suggest a bullish trend, with the potential to reach 5307 and subsequently 5320. Pivot Line: 5282 Resistance Levels: 5305, 5325, 5350 Support Levels: 5245, 5227, 5193 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5192 and the resistance 5320.by SroshMayi5
SPX Is Going Down! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for SPX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,303.24. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,089.73. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProviderUpdated 336
S&P 500 Analysis: Good News is Bad NewsS&P 500 Analysis: Good News is Bad News Yesterday, S&P Global reported its Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) values for the US, which exceeded expectations. According to ForexFactory: → Manufacturing PMI: actual = 50.9; expected = 50.0; previous = 50.0. → Services PMI: actual = 54.8 (the highest value since May 2023); expected = 51.2; previous = 51.3. However, the high PMI values, indicating a healthy economy, led to a drop in the stock index. The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by more than 1.5% following the publication. What explains this case of "good news is bad news"? The point is, amid high business activity, manufacturers reported rising prices for a range of resources, suggesting that goods inflation might strengthen in the coming months. Stock market participants might have interpreted this as a reason for the Federal Reserve to maintain high rates for a longer period – hence the sharp decline in the index. "Companies remain cautious with respect to the economic outlook amid uncertainty over the future path of inflation and interest rates, and continue to cite worries over geopolitical instabilities and the presidential election," said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, in an interview with Reuters. Technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart today (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows that: → the price has been forming an ascending channel since 19 April (shown in blue); → bulls failed to hold above the March high around the 5285 level (a bearish sign); → the psychological level of 5300, which showed signs of support this week, has now been breached and may act as resistance. Conversely, the 5200 level, after being breached, has shifted its role from resistance to support (as indicated by arrows). So far, the bearish momentum that emerged yesterday following the PMI news release is being contained at the median line of the blue channel. But if sentiment does not change today, the median might be breached, and then the path to the lower boundary of the channel will open for the S&P 500 price (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). Trade global index CFDs with zero commission and tight spreads. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading index CFDs with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.by FXOpen117
SPX in daily chartHello everyone (an update for my last idea of SPX) I do not agree that SPX rally has been over and and this correction is the start of a reversal trend although I accept every surprise in this market. One of tricky ways that most of traders chose is to walk in the middle line and talk about both bullish and bearish scenarios in the same time. It really works for an analyst but far from a trader thought and strategy (who really gets the real positions). To be honest, you can not trader if just stand in this middle line and I am sure you have to chose your side (Bull or Bear) and also estimate all countertrends and minimize your lost (Minor SL) and enter the position finally. For this reason I always chose my side even if it is incorrect and just try to lower my damage as little as I can and leave my position (never interfere in your positions before SL touches) until time shows me all. ThanksLongby AMA_FXUpdated 4
SPX500 - Bullish Stancehe SPX500 has undergone a consolidation phase after a bullish trend, displaying choppy price movements. Notable patterns emerged, including a triple top formation with bearish divergence followed by an ascending triangle, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. Amidst cautious trading sentiments, a failed breakout from the triangle pattern hinted at a possible rectangle formation, supporting bullish continuation. Currently, the market has broken above the triple top, presenting a favorable opportunity for long positions, either immediately or upon a retest of the support level. With minimal resistance ahead, traders can consider riding the bullish momentum until signs of bearishness materialize, thereby capitalizing on the prevailing uptrend.Longby AnalytixEdgeByQasimUpdated 1
S&P 500 ATH in Q1 on even yearsIn every even year S&P 500 reaches its ATH in Q1, which is followed by rapid and deep decline. Why can it crash? Look how similar S&P 500 behaviour between May 1986-December 1987 and October 2022-February 2024. The 1987 crash started on the way from 1.414 to 1.618 fibo. If the S&P 500 hasn't already topped on Feb 2 with a value of 4975, then the price range between the Fibonacci levels of 1.414 (5025) and 1.618 (5235) is the potential topping zone. From February 2 to mid-March, the peak is expected to occur. I'm not saying we will definitely crash, but a significant downward movement is anticipated soon. Basic scenario bottom: 4250-4500 Mid March - Mid May Crash scenario bottom: 3500-4250 Mid March - Mid Mayby nicktrdUpdated 10
Fib LevelsNot even gonna guess how high will it fly. Got higher than we expected already. Smoked bears, gone into hibernation. Here are the fib levels for your consideration. Notice price approaches the top Bolly Band. Not a lot of room left to squeeze but it could pump higher. Not overbought yet. Short when it gets there. Bewary.by DaddySawbucksUpdated 2217
SPX Showing Signs of Weakness at PCZ of a Bearish Alternate BatThe RSI on the daily has begun to rollover as the SPX appears to have rejected off of the Bearish Alternate Bat HOP level. There does not appear to be much nearby support within the range the SPX is currently trading in so if it gets back below the previous All-Time High I could see it coming back down to around $5100 maybe even $5000 - $4800. This all seems to be brought on by the increase in JGB Yields disrupting the Carry Trade. We may see them try to stabilize the carry trade around $5100 but there is a heightened chance of failure. More on the carry trade can be seen in the related idea below. Shortby RizeSenpai3
NASDAQ SP500 BULLICH INVERTED head and shoulders INVERTED head and shoulders in formation, in favorable intermarket correlations, I await the break of the neck line. do not imitate my operations, I do it by taking responsibility for my operations, not yoursLongby NewHOrizons10
FewEveryone senses there is something coming, but nobody knows what it is. Regardless the markets will correct massively, technically because we haven't had a 0.61 fib correction in a decade, secondly because the bags are too heavy and everyone is bagholding, we need to shake those who call themselves diamond hands at +50% price discounts, i.e. cheaper prices. Capital is excessively cheap, Attention is overpriced. Manual Labor is underpriced we are living in a bubble state, some call it 'the everything bubble'. Call me bubble boy, chicken little, i don't care. A Nuke is coming.Shortby MarketsCreatorUpdated 115
Gloomy US Data Ride - Equities (May 15)Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Stretched to the upside according to CFTC - MoM CPI miss; Retail Sales MoM solid miss Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 5m Medium-term: Uptrend Long-term: Uptrend Min target: Fibo ext Risk: 0.46% Entry: Market; get in shortly after the US news release Longby Cherry94Updated 0
New all time highs in MaySPX is heading to new all time high by May 21. Invalidated if breaks below Apr 19 low.Longby AlbCMUpdated 556
SPx (rally to get more record)S&P 500 futures rose approximately 0.7%, and Nasdaq futures surged 1%, while Dow Jones futures gained about 60 points on Thursday, as traders reacted positively to Nvidia's quarterly results. Nvidia's earnings and revenue exceeded estimates due to strong demand for AI chips. Additionally, the company announced an optimistic sales forecast and a 10-for-1 stock split. Technically: The price corrected to its support line before pushing up again, continuing its run towards 5360. To maintain the bullish trend, it must stay above 5320. Stability above 5360 would further indicate a move towards 5426. Conversely, breaking below the breakout zone at 5266 would signal a downward trend towards 5226 and 5192. Pivot Line: 5360 Resistance Levels: 5390, 5423, 5484 Support Levels: 5320, 5281, 5226 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5281 and the resistance 5423. previous idea: Longby SroshMayi4
SPX targeting the 127% extension now. Intraday Update: The SPX could trade to the 5380 level, the 127% extension of the April range. With NVDA earnings behind us, and the 5280's holding yesterday, the risk remains for a move higher. Longby ForexAnalytixPipczar0
the US500 price is expected to move sidewaysUS500 1d 2024-05-22|5307.01 google/gemini-flash-1.5 Based on signals from the indicator CCPR # US500 price movement forecast relative to the dollar Briefly: In the near future, the US500 price is expected to move sideways with little growth potential. Support and resistance levels: * Resistance: 5320, 5350 * Support: 5250, 5200 Signals: * 1d: There is weakness of the seller (BLUEDOT) and the formation of a resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 4h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 6h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 8h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 10h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. Conclusion: There are weak downside signals, but they are not strong enough for a confident forecast. In general, sideways price movement prevails at the moment. Probability of movement: * Up: 40% *Down: 40% * Lateral: 20% The best place to enter a position: * Buy: Upon breakdown of the resistance level 5320 with confirmation by strong signals for growth. * Sell: Upon breakdown of the support level of 5250 with confirmation by strong downward signals. Additional factors to watch for: * Economic News: Follow the release of macroeconomic data such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Business Purchasing Index (PMI) and employment reports. * Political Situation: Monitor political events that may affect the market, such as elections, trade wars and geopolitical conflicts. * Monetary Policy: Monitor central bank decisions on interest rates and quantitative easing. Data for analysis: *Price: Current price is US500. *Volume: Trading volume US500. * Indicators: Keep an eye on technical indicators such as RSI, MACD and Bollinger Bands. Important: *This forecast is based on analysis of historical data and is not a guarantee of future results. * Investing always involves risk. *Consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.by Ivan_Olyanskiy0