US2000 trade ideas
Do not doubt the bull market!!_ RUSSELL 2000 about to join in!I have posted my views on various global indices as well as major US indices like Nasdaq and SP500 also SP500 realty and written about how i am convinced of the bull market and all the major global indices confirming to this view. Many are here to believe that what the world witnessed in 2020 is all going to dirt now and everything will collapse.
Well I on the contrary believe that what the world witnessed in 2020 was the start(look at Japan (nikkei225)coming out of 30 years range, Australia(XJO 200) standing at new 16year high, Italy(IT 40)moving out of past 10years range,EU50 at standing at a new 10 year high and the list goes on and on.)
Major moves(to upside) in many global indices will be seen in 2024-2025.
Speaking of the US market, my attention now goes to the RUSSELL 2000.The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap U.S. stock market index.
The RUSSELL 2000 I believe has started out now in its major 3rd wave which could more than double this particular index.
The index was seen a complex triple three correction for past two years and the structure of this complex triple three appears completed to me. I am therefore anticipating this index to rally hard going into 2024.
4000-4200 is the projected target zone for wave 3.
Note*- This chart and its explanation is based on personal views/opinions. Please try do do your own research/analysis before making any financial decisions.
Note*- the wave counts and marking were done using daily and 4hour charts for anyone interested in knowing.
$RUT $IWM Wyckoff Spring / TestLooking for a retest here and recovery of the range low. which would give confidence to our idea of the the spring phase here on the last sweep of the lows
We would expect to see strength coming off a successful retest, and price should move next to the last point of supply and toward the top of the range which would be your sign of strength.
Its still early here, but with the run on alt coins and other more risky speculative assets, i think that would itself be a sign of risk on and potential to see the same on smaller cap stocks.
Keeping an eye on this one. A return to riskier trading behavior would be indicative of confidence in the market as a whole and further validate our ideas of continuation on both SP:SPX & NASDAQ:IXIC
US Stocks in Counter Trend BounceRussell 2000 (RUT) is an index of 2000 stocks. It can be seen as a barometer on the health of the US economy as mid-size and smaller companies are included in the index.
RUT has been declining in an impulse wave. The decline was not deep enough to count a completed wave from the all-time high.
Today, the price is rejecting the underside of the trend line that extends back 1 year ago to October 2022.
If any further rally is required, it is viewed as a corrective bounce that might reach $1776 or the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
RUSSELL 2000 Spearheading the next stock market run?Russell 2000 / RUT closed the 3rd green day after hitting the Support A Zone that is holding since June 16th 2022.
This is turning into a major long term buy signal and will be validated when tomorrow the 1day MACD forms the lowest Bullish Cross since March.
Technically the bullish break out happens after the price crosses over the 1day MA50, but on a broader horizon, the current level is low enough to attempt a buy.
Target 2000 (bottom of Resistance Zone A).
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RUSSELL 2000 Support Zone rebound?Russell 2000 (RUT) entered on Friday the wide Support Zone (1700 - 1630) that was formed on the May 12 2022 Low. The 1D candle closed inside it so unlike the bottoms that had wicks that recovered and closed above the Zone, this is most likely similar to the June 16 2022 and September 23 2022 breaches.
A low is to be expected around 1640 but the index is already a strong long-term buy, as the cyclical behavior of the Sine Waves suggests. The tops match perfectly with the Waves. In any case, from now on the first sign of 1D RSI Higher Lows (Bullish Divergence if the candles are on Lower Lows), will be the last confirmation we need of an upcoming bullish leg, which was the characteristic of all previous 3 bottoms.
On top of that, 10 days ago a 1D Death Cross was formed and even though that's a technical bearish pattern, last time it signalled the bottom. Our target is 2000, just below the 2008 - 2027 Resistance Zone.
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Why is Dow Jones leading Nasdaq and S&P this time?Why is Dow Jones a better indicator to measure the coming recession?
Reference for trading:
E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $5
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
What Pitchfork Says About Russellthe detail is shown in the above Idea.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Pitchfork Tool.
This chart beautifully shows the Russell support and resistance and Trend lines
golden line : level 0.61.8 1.618 ....
green line : level 0.382 ...
black line : level 1 2 ...
RUT/NDX ratio tells you to keep investing in tech!Something a little different today.
Was looking a some stock ratios and decided to regress the standard Russell 2000 against the risky technology index, the Nasdaq.
This RUT/NDX ratio has been inside a Channel Down since the Dotcom Bubble send it sky high, collapsing the tech sector.
The Channel Down has never been broken since and made a new Low this month.
What does this tell you? Keep investing in tech!
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RUSSELL 2000 Holding the key Bull Cycle Support. Disaster below?Russell 200 (RUT) has had a big safeguard on the current Bull Cycle following the Housing Crisis bottom in 2009. The symmetrical Zone that was formed on the previous All Time High (ATH) has always held once it transitioned into Support upon periods of corrections (with the natural exception of COVID) and provided the framework for the rebound initiation of the next rally.
This time the previous ATH Zone has been continuously tested since May 2022 and so far has closed all candles above it. October has already entered this Support Zone with the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) right below it and the longer it holds, the sooner it will also enter the Zone. When the 1M MA100 broke during the COVID collapse, the flash crash extended almost as low as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
Naturally the market conditions now are severely different than then, but the Support Zone must hold at all costs. If it breaks, the distress signal that will send may echo across high cap markets, especially the technology sector.
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