US2000 trade ideas
27 February 2020 Updated for RUTLet us to skip the indicator analysis. Everything is BEARISH.
Let us focus on the projection of the prices.
1 Day Standard Deviation (Based on 21 days of prices): 1455.79 - 1539.95
Single daily bar price projection: 1461.97
Last major movement price projection: 1393.11
RUT update for 25 February 2020Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bearish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Short positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1541.86 - 1571.90
No Conolidation Exists at this time
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1415.74
The prices have moved 4.09 times the normal trade range from Trend Moving Average, a stall/decline may occur to return to the average.
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Bearish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Bearish
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
Comments:
1 STD DEV for 26 Feb: 1547.84 - 1595.96
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for 24 February 2020Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bearish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Short positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1613.47 - 1642.73
Prices have broken through the consolidation low
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1507
The prices have moved 2.03 times the normal trade range from Trend Moving Average, a stall/decline may occur to return to the average.
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bear
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Bearish
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
Comments:
Expecting an adjustment bar/candle to the projection calculations today (25 Feb). So the price projection may become adjusted.
1 STD DEV for 25 Feb is: 1608.27 - 1647.94 (if we return to normal trading).
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for week ending 21 February 2020Weekly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Weekly Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1652.32 - 1704.89
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1610.64 - 1715.08
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the weekly chart is a target price of 1668.78
Out of the combined (weekly & daily) indicators monitored, 8.33% are bearish, 75.00% are bullish and 16.67% are neutral
The prices are moving with the Trending Moving Average at a standard pace with a moderate market
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current weekly reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 weeks is currently: Bullish
Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest closing longs and protecting profit.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1665.13 - 1692.09
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1673.20 - 1698.92
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1610.08 - 1668.78
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bullish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
Diary | 2/20/2020 | RUT SpreadDescription: Initiating a long delta position in $RUT via a credit spread.
Justification:
- Directional Play: Yes, adding long delta and improving my theta/vega numbers with this short duration, high IV play.
- Technical: Below 20 and 50 moving averages. We finally saw what markets crashing down looks like (again); in the /ES we took out a VPOC and currently sitting in last week's balancing zone.
- Fundamental: Earnings continue to improve; Fed really supportive; jobs data positive; ISM manufacturing higher; market participants equally split between bullish and bearish. Virus data questionable.
If/Then:
- Take profit? 50% of credit received.
- Where will you hedge? $1605
Strategy Details:
- Short and Long leg: $1595, $1575
- Short Leg Delta: 0.10
- Duration: March 6
Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve (myself especially), so if you see something wrong, speak up.
Diary | 2/14/2020 | RUT ButterflyJustification: Capitalizing on low IV environment with this non-directional strategy.
- Directional Play: No.
- Technical: Above 20 and 50 MA.
- Fundamental: Earnings continue to improve; Fed really supportive; jobs data positive; ISM manufacturing higher; market participants equally split between bullish and bearish ; virus data (if correct) shows the growth in virus cases slowing; trade going in a positive direction; world economy growth has persisted; and so on.
If/Then:
- Take profit? 20-50% of credit received.
- Where will you hedge? $1690
Strategy Details:
- Short and Long leg: $1680, $1700
- Delta: 13.33
- Duration: February 21
Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve (myself especially), so if you see something wrong, speak up.
RUT update for week ending 14 Feburary 2020Weekly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Weekly Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1687.58 - 1727.17
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1610.64 - 1715.08
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the weekly chart is a target price of 1712.46
Out of the combined (weekly & daily) indicators monitored, 8.33% are bearish, 91.67% are bullish and 0.00% are neutral
The prices are moving with the Trending Moving Average at a standard pace with a moderate market
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current weekly reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 weeks is currently: Bullish
Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1687.58 - 1706.69
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1680.38 - 1696.54
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1697.59
The prices are moving with the Trending Moving Average at a standard pace with a moderate market
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bullish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
US2000 Russell aims BearishUS2000 Russell aims for a Bearish target of 1520.00.
Technically.
Daily range pattern being traded off highs to previous daily lows.
Fundamentally.
This comes immediately after the Dollar gains momentum as the market digest the statement - FED RATE SEPTEMBER 2019, as the dot-plot shows no additional cuts through the end of 2020.
It also shows that ten members are forecasting flat or higher rates this year while seven expect a single further cut. Policymakers are split, and that's good for the greenback.
Dollar maintains the positive tone across the board for September Rate Decision, equities fell with the news
