11% up before 22% down for xagusdwe can see a bullish wedge forming in a long run for silver so we can see a 11% uptrend toward upper trendline and then a reversal for 22% bear trend so for a swing consider buying
XAGUSDG trade ideas
XAGUSD Analysis: Bullish Trend Faces Resistance – What’s Next?👀 👉 In this video, we analyze XAGUSD (silver) in detail. While it has been in a bullish trend on the higher timeframe, it is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour timeframe, we can see a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break of the current high, followed by a retest and fail, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
Silver Surges to $31.7 on Supply DeficitSilver remained above $31.40 per ounce on Friday, staying close to a seven-week high as the Silver Institute forecasted a significant market deficit for the metal in 2025 for the fifth year. This shortfall is primarily driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, which are expected to outweigh declining consumption in jewelry and silverware. Silver contributes to industries such as solar panels, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics. Although global silver production is set to rise this year with higher output from China, Canada, and Chile, the ongoing supply deficit is expected to persist.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.85 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
SILVERthe price of silver remains at a good position after daily rejection on friday.the buy trade activation will be on break of the supply roof on daily indicating upswing liquidity. The metal broke out of supply roof in the form of descending trendline and followed by daily retest affirming uptick which was contested by close of Friday.
Sydney open, i will watch daily close on Monday and a buy stop on pending order
trade with caution.
GOODLUCK
Bullish Momentum Catching Up in SilverThe Price has been on a quite choppy rise. It gives rise to several possible interpretations for the structure, but after several weeks of waiting it seems like it was creating a strong accumulation of orders, setting a base if you may, before taking off strongly to the upside. In the Wave Principle context we might be seeing a series of waves 1 & 2, no finally moving into the latter stages of a minor wave three.
The commodities market tends to display its strongest phase of the cycle in its last leg, leading me to believe that we are about to experience an aggressive rally during the minor wave five of higher degree wave three.
The rally hit a minor pause on Thursday and moved sideways for the rest of the week, however the break up should come swiftly after this coming week starts.
I do need to see the price respect the Friday low at around 31.12 for the view to hold. We might see some slight variations on the theme but a continued move below said level throw a wrench on the setup as a whole.
Happy Trading :)
SILVERthe price of silver remains at a good position after daily rejection on friday.the buy trade activation will be on break of the supply roof on daily indicating upswing liquidity. The metal broke out of supply roof in the form of descending trendline and followed by daily retest affirming uptick which was contested by close of Friday.
Sydney open, i will watch daily close on Monday and a buy stop on pending order
trade with caution.
GOODLUCK
SILVER: Short Trading Opportunity
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 31.324
Stop Loss - 31.671
Take Profit - 30.750
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SILVER // bull trend in sync across major timeframesThe trend has just become bullish across the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes, however, the market is still in an accumulation phase.
Each dashed level represents an untested breakdown that requires attention from the buyers.
If the market transitions into the expansion phase, the Fibonacci target levels on the weekly and daily timeframes become valid targets.
Key Fundamentals
Silver has experienced significant price movements, driven by industrial demand, supply constraints, and macroeconomic factors. As of late January 2025, silver is trading at $33.88 per ounce, reflecting a 3% decline after a two-week rally that pushed it to nearly 13-year highs. Despite the recent pullback, silver has surged 40% over the past year.
Key Factors
Industrial Demand:
Silver is widely used in solar panel manufacturing and electronics, with industrial demand reaching a record 654.4 million ounces in 2023, marking the third consecutive year where demand outpaced supply (Investopedia).
Supply Constraints:
Global silver supply has struggled due to weaker mine production and labor strikes in major producing countries like Mexico. These disruptions have contributed to a supply deficit, further supporting higher prices (Wall Street Journal).
Investment Demand:
Economic uncertainties and lower interest rates have driven investors toward precious metals as safe-haven assets. The iShares Silver Trust alone saw $856 million in inflows, reflecting rising investor interest (Wall Street Journal).
Macroeconomic Factors:
The Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cuts have increased the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver. Meanwhile, China’s increased investment in silver, partly due to gold import restrictions, has further bolstered demand (Wall Street Journal).
Actionable Insights
Bullish Case:
Continued Industrial Demand: With ongoing growth in renewable energy and electronics, silver demand is expected to remain strong.
Supply Deficits: Ongoing production challenges could sustain upward price pressure.
Bearish Case:
Economic Recovery: If the global economy recovers faster than expected, investor preference may shift away from safe-haven assets, leading to a price decline.
Interest Rate Increases: If central banks reverse course and raise interest rates, the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver could diminish.
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
Clean (not yet tested) breakdown - dashed green
Clean (not yet tested) breakout - dashed red
———
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.534 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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XAGUSD: Channel Up has started new rally to 37.000Silver turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.197, ADX = 24.838) as it has validated the start of the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The price has been detached from the 1D MA50 and is approaching the December 12th high. The 1D RSI is expanding a rebound from a Double Bottom much like Silver's previous low on August 7th 2024. So far the Channel Up has had two bullish legs of 33.47% and 31.67% respectively. Assuming a slight rate of decline on each subsequent bullish wave, we anticipate the current to reach +29.15% and we are targeting a little under it (TP = 37.000).
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Bearish possibility Silver is trying to stabilize above 31.700 and retest 32.000 mark. However, price is struggling to continue up, after having found some bullish interest. As long as price is below 32.000, a bearish perception will be on the metal, targeting respective low barriers.
Alternatively, find buying interest and settling on top of 32.000, an upward insight will now be favourable.
Gold & Silver Go Ballistic: The Fed Collides with Trump!Well, well, well… look who’s breaking records like a rockstar smashing guitars. Gold just hit an all-time high, blasting past $2,795 per ounce like it’s got a rocket strapped to its back. 🚀💰 Meanwhile, silver? Oh, she’s not just tagging along—she’s on a mission, up 60 cents to $31.65 per ounce. 🎯⚡
But wait… this isn’t just your average bull run. There’s blood in the water, and the sharks are circling. 🦈💸
🔎 Behind the Scenes: The COMEX Panic
Turns out, Trump’s tariff threats have thrown institutional traders into full-blown “Oh Sh*t” mode. 🏃💨 They’re scrambling to move gold and silver into the U.S. before any new taxes hit, and it’s causing absolute chaos in the background. The COMEX is feeling the squeeze, and some traders? They can’t even source the metal to cover their bets—so they’re bailing out of positions before they get steamrolled. 🚨📉
And if you think silver is done partying, think again. An analyst at TD Commodities just threw gasoline on the fire, warning that the market is severely underpricing a potential EXPLOSION in silver prices. 🔥💥 With tariffs on Mexico & Canada looming, this thing could go vertical any second now. 📈🤯
💀 Meanwhile, in Trump Land…
The Orange Man himself is out here taking shots at the real villain (in his eyes)—the Federal Reserve. 🎯💀 In a classic Trumpian mic drop moment, he blamed the Fed for wrecking the economy with inflation:
👉 “If the Fed had spent less time on DEI, gender ideology, 'green' energy, and fake climate change, Inflation would never have been a problem.” - Trump, straight from Truth Social. 🔥🎤
Love him or hate him, one thing’s for sure—markets are feeling the heat. And if these tariffs go live, this gold & silver rally could turn into an absolute face-melter. 🏆🔥
📢 Stay locked in. This ride’s just getting started. 🚀💰
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Surges to $31.7 on Fed Speculation and Supply Deficit
Silver jumped past $31.7 per ounce on Thursday, a six-week high, as Fed policy speculation boosted demand for non-yielding assets.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth straight annual supply deficit despite higher output from China, Canada, and Chile.
Investors also assessed industrial demand, particularly from Chinese solar panel manufacturers, a key driver of silver consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90 consequently. On the downside 30.90 will be the first support level. 29.80 and 29.30 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 30.83
1st Support: 30.488
1st Resistance: 31.62
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