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XBTUSD_LMAX trade ideas

Bitcoin is about to get sucked down a black hole.If you can't see it, I don't know what to tell ya... I'm more sympathetic for people who don't WANT to see it… But if you CAN'T see it... open your eyes and look at this chart. Do I need to tell you the sky is blue and the grass is green? I've been trading on hope too, ladies and gentlemen, but now it's time to pay the bill. Bitcoin is about to tank and it's gonna take almost everything down with it… 85,000 in a day wouldn't be a surprise at all. CRYPTO:BTCUSD There are some crypto positions that might be immune to this fall… CRYPTO:NCTUSD would appear to be one of them… Whenever bitcoin has a terrible sell off and everything else is down this one doesn't seem affected in the slightest. To a lesser extent COINBASE:ACSUSD seems to show some immunity also.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Hollywood260AB
2
Bitcoin midterm and short term BEARISH,Increasing VolatilityI am currently bearish again in BTCUSD. After hitting all time high in December 2025 as expected BTCUSD was not able anymore to increase gains. THE LONG TERM TREND IS BULLISH; BUT MID AND SHORT TERM TREND bearish. Above 100.582 although it seems that bulls gain power, the bears attack fast and successfully the bulls. (orange area). In the chart you see how I dvided the prices into two categories(red+green areas) OR WHERE BULLS (green) and bears(red) have control. AT 100K;9560 specially volatility increases fast, a sign that these areas are fought by both powers. In these ares mayn false signals and false breakouts on both sides are possible.(fire) A drop below 90560 leads BTC to 81229,73k and 68,7K Below that area we will face a choppy but volatile market. The increaisng of volatility gains power of news,(also fake news), sudden catalysts.So be aware specially in those areas. The long term POC(Magnet sysmbol) is located at 49559 now.That is very important as these locations are very big magnets and attracting the price. In between we have very dangerouse gap that is also attracting BTCUSD price.(see the Chart) Here some important new of the last days and my interpretation that align with my bearish signal: Republicans will still have to deal with the debt ceiling in 2025....(the news and Interpretation how it will affect financial markets and crypto in 2025) Although President-elect Donald Trump wanted to start 2025 without having to worry about the debt ceiling, he did not get his wish. Addressing the debt ceiling, which will be reinstated on January 2, is still on the list of congressional Republicans’ New Year’s resolutions. The House last week fell far short of passing a two-year extension of the suspension of the limit as part of a GOP-led government spending bill. 👉M y Interpretation: Here’s how it could impact Bitcoin and the markets in general: The news regarding the U.S. debt ceiling highlights a potential risk to financial markets and the broader economy in 2025. Here’s how it could impact Bitcoin and the markets in general: Key Points from the News Debt Ceiling Reinstatement The U.S. debt ceiling will be reinstated on January 2, 2025, and congressional Republicans are expected to address it. A debt ceiling crisis can cause political and economic uncertainty, especially if there is a failure to raise or suspend the ceiling. Government Spending Package Last week, Congress passed a government funding bill that did not address the debt ceiling, disappointing President-elect Donald Trump’s wishes to resolve the issue sooner. Potential Market Impact Debt ceiling crises in the past have led to market volatility, particularly in equities, as investors react to the uncertainty and the potential for a government shutdown or a default on U.S. debt obligations. Implications for Bitcoin and Markets Increased Risk and Volatility Debt ceiling concerns often create broader market anxiety, especially in traditional markets. Bitcoin, being seen as a "safe-haven" asset by some investors, could experience increased interest if there are fears of U.S. financial instability, a default, or a downgrade of U.S. credit. Demand for Alternative Assets During periods of heightened economic uncertainty or risk of financial crisis, assets like Bitcoin and gold are often viewed as alternative stores of value. Investors may seek refuge in these assets, increasing demand and possibly providing upward pressure on Bitcoin prices. Risk of U.S. Dollar Volatility Dollar volatility due to the debt ceiling issue could also lead to heightened interest in Bitcoin. A weakened dollar could boost Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge, pushing prices higher. Conversely, if the U.S. government resolves the debt ceiling issue efficiently, the pressure on Bitcoin may ease, and its price may fall. Market Sentiment and Speculation Given Bitcoin's speculative nature, market participants may react strongly to news surrounding the debt ceiling. Speculative trading could amplify price swings, especially as investors price in possible outcomes of the debt ceiling debate. How This Affects Your Bitcoin Position Potential for Volatility(Fire symbol in the chart) If the debt ceiling issue creates a crisis, Bitcoin could see increased demand as a safe-haven asset, potentially driving prices higher in the short term. However, if the situation stabilizes without a major crisis, the demand might subside, and Bitcoin’s price could stabilize or decline. Key Resistance and Support Watch for key levels around the current Bitcoin price (e.g., $93K-$95K). If the debt ceiling crisis intensifies, these levels could be breached in either direction depending on market sentiment. $90K and $85K remain critical support zones if the bearish trend continues. Monitor Global Sentiment Keep an eye on broader market sentiment, especially around U.S. debt ceiling developments and their effects on traditional financial markets. If broader markets experience a sell-off due to debt ceiling issues, Bitcoin could initially benefit from a flight to alternative assets. Conclusion The debt ceiling issue is a significant risk factor that could cause increased volatility in both traditional financial markets and Bitcoin. Given Bitcoin’s reputation as a hedge against uncertainty, the news could lead to short-term price increases if investors flock to it as a safe-haven asset. However, it’s essential to monitor how the U.S. government addresses the issue and the overall market sentiment. Continue to manage risk carefully, as the situation may evolve quickly. Bitcoin’s ‘Kimchi Premium’ Jumps Amid South Korean Political Turmoil (this news+ 👉I nterpretation) “Kimchi Premium,” which refers to the price gap between Bitcoin on South Korean exchange Upbit compared to Coinbase, has surged to the range of 3-5% this week, according to data compiled by blockchain data platform CryptoQuant. An increase in the metric usually indicates an elevated demand from South Korea-based investors in Bitcoin. The same metric for stablecoin Tether also has surged to the similar range. “South Korea faces an unprecedented wealth outflow amid political turmoil, declining birth rates, and slowing growth,” said Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant. “Inflation fears drive conversions of won assets into US stocks, Bitcoin, gold, and dollars. Many crypto investors prefer exchanges over banks, with Tether and Bitcoin trading at 2-5% premiums. 👉I nterpretation: This news about Bitcoin’s "Kimchi Premium" highlights the dynamics of South Korea's crypto market amid political and economic turmoil. Let’s break it down in the context of trading approach and bearish signal: Key Insights from the News Kimchi Premium Surge (3-5%) The "Kimchi Premium" reflects the higher price of Bitcoin on South Korean exchanges compared to global exchanges like Coinbase. A 3-5% premium signals elevated demand from South Korean retail investors. This surge suggests strong local buying interest, likely driven by uncertainty in traditional markets and the weakening South Korean won. Inflation Concerns and Asset Diversification Wealth outflows and inflation fears are pushing South Korean investors to move their capital into alternative assets, including Bitcoin, Tether, US stocks, and gold. A preference for crypto exchanges over banks adds to the demand, with Bitcoin and Tether trading at a premium. Political Turmoil President Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration, impeachment, and the ongoing crisis have destabilized financial markets. The uncertainty adds to investor anxiety, further increasing the demand for alternative assets. Retail-Driven Market South Korea’s crypto market is predominantly retail-driven due to restrictions on corporate accounts. This means that market sentiment and speculative activity significantly influence prices. Weakened South Korean Won The won's decline against the US dollar (0.35%) adds to the appeal of USD-denominated assets like Bitcoin and Tether. This could sustain or even expand the premium. Implications for Bitcoin's Price Short-Term Buying Pressure in South Korea The Kimchi Premium surge indicates localized demand but doesn’t necessarily mean a global price rally. The premium reflects South Korea’s retail enthusiasm, not broader market strength. Impact of Retail Speculation Retail-driven buying can create short-term upward momentum but often lacks the sustainability of institutional-driven demand. If global macro factors or technical resistance levels remain bearish, the local demand may not prevent further declines. Risk of a Bubble or Sudden Sell-Off A rising premium can sometimes signal excessive speculation. If South Korean retail investors begin unwinding positions, it could lead to a sharp local correction, adding selling pressure to global markets. How This Aligns with Your Bearish Signal Localized vs. Global Trends While the Kimchi Premium shows localized buying pressure, your bearish signal likely reflects global market trends. Bitcoin’s recent drop from $104K to $93K aligns with broader market dynamics and not just South Korea-specific activity. Watch for Technical Reactions If Bitcoin approaches key support levels (e.g., $90K), South Korean demand could provide temporary relief. However, a failure to hold support might invalidate local demand as a bullish factor. Evaluate Reversals Cautiously Even with rising demand in South Korea, monitor if the global bearish trend shows signs of reversal (e.g., higher lows, breaking key resistance levels like $95K-$100K). Until then, stick with your bearish outlook. Key Levels and Trading Strategy Support Zones Key levels to watch: $90K and $85K. A break below these could signal further downside, regardless of localized buying interest. Resistance to Watch If Bitcoin rebounds, resistance at $95K-$100K will be crucial to determine whether the bearish trend is weakening. Potential for False Breakouts South Korea-driven price spikes might create false breakouts. Ensure your technical signals confirm any potential reversal before adjusting your strategy. Bottom Line The surge in the Kimchi Premium reflects localized demand due to South Korea’s political and economic instability. However, this does not necessarily negate the global bearish trend you've been following. Continue monitoring global signals, support/resistance levels, and whether the localized buying pressure can translate into broader market strength. Stay disciplined and adapt your strategy based on technical confirmations rather than isolated news events. News2 Why Bitcoin (Still) Likely Has Not Reached a Cycle Top Yet Over a longer-term horizon though, there are plenty of indicators that suggest we may still be a way, in both time and price, from a cycle top in Bitcoin. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Z-score, which compares the current price to the aggregate cost paid for all outstanding Bitcoin, has moved up from the < 1 level that has historically marked bear market bottoms in early 2023 to roughly 3 as of late December 2024. 👉I nterpretation Let's break down this news in the context of your bearish signal on Bitcoin and how it could influence the current market dynamics: Key Insights from the News MVRV Z-Score at ~3 The MVRV Z-Score is used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical patterns. Historically, cycle tops occur when this metric moves significantly higher, often near 7. At a Z-Score of 3, the news implies that Bitcoin is still below levels historically associated with a cycle top. This suggests there could still be room for upward movement in the longer term. Long-Term Holder (HODLer) Supply Decline A 7% drop in the proportion of Bitcoin held for over a year indicates increased selling pressure from long-term holders. This release of 1.4M BTC into the market adds to the supply, creating potential headwinds for price growth. Despite this, the news points out that cycle tops typically occur when this indicator drops further, suggesting we haven’t yet reached that point. ETF Inflows and Market Offset While long-term holders have been selling, some of this supply pressure has been absorbed by large ETF inflows. However, this balancing act might not sustain the price if selling accelerates. Uncertainty in Historical Patterns The article emphasizes that Bitcoin’s historical cycles may not repeat exactly due to limited data. This means that while historical indicators suggest the cycle top isn’t yet reached, the current cycle could deviate. Implications for Your Bearish Signal Short-Term Downtrend The bearish signal you received two weeks ago aligns with the current price drop from 104K to 93K. This selling pressure might be attributed to long-term holders liquidating part of their positions, as the news mentions. Medium- to Long-Term Outlook Despite the short-term bearish action, the MVRV Z-Score and HODLer supply suggest the cycle top may still be ahead. This means the current drop might be part of a broader consolidation or retracement before another rally. ETF Inflows as a Buffer While long-term holders selling adds pressure, ETF inflows could stabilize the market. Watch for news about ETF approvals, inflows, or rejections, as these could heavily influence Bitcoin’s next move. How to Align with Technical Analysis Short-Term Action Stick with your bearish signal for now, as the price trend supports it. If Bitcoin continues to fall or fails to hold key support levels (e.g., $90K), the bearish trend could intensify. Monitor Key Levels Watch for significant support zones (e.g., $90K or $85K). A break below these levels could validate further downside. On the flip side, if Bitcoin starts consolidating and moves back above $95K or $100K, it may signal a potential reversal. Use Leading Indicators Keep an eye on the MVRV Z-Score, HODLer behavior, and ETF news. A change in these metrics could signal whether the bearish momentum is temporary or part of a broader trend. Bottom Line The news indicates that the current bearish trend might be a retracement within a larger bull market. However, in the short term, supply pressure from long-term holders and bearish technical signals could continue to drive prices lower. Stay cautious, manage risk, and monitor both the technical levels and fundamental indicators closely. This combination will help you navigate the market effectively.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DaveBrascoFX
1
Btcusd market target 97200entry point 96000 stop loss 95400Here's a summary of your trade plan for BTC/USD: Trade Plan 1. _Target_: $97,200 2. _Entry Point_: $96,000 3. _Stop Loss_: $95,400 Your plan indicates a bullish outlook, expecting the Bitcoin price to rise from the entry point to the target. Key Considerations 1. _Risk Management_: Ensure you're managing risk with proper position sizing. 2. _Market Conditions_: Monitor market conditions, including economic indicators, regulatory updates, and technical analysis. 3. _Trade Adjustment_: Be prepared to adjust your trade plan if market conditions change. Would you like me to provide current BTC/USD market data, analysis, or insights?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Stevenexpert
1
If we tap below the 2 Weeks CLS in to the FVG below 90K then.I buy more... you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave Hunter ⚔
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Dave-Hunter
“Dynamic Liquidity Analyzer” Trendlines The white lines are the markers of order amidst chaos. Solid and dashed, they connect critical highs and lows, serving as pathways that reveal the future of price action. They outline the potential for breakouts or breakdowns—decision points where the market bows to our strategy. These lines carve the battlefield, where traders either rise or fall. These highs and lows are structured almost uniquely, deviating from the conventional setup of ordinary highs and lows. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) The blue stair-step line is no ordinary indicator—it is the foundation of fair value. This VWAP dynamically calculates the average price weighted by volume, serving as a stronghold for price action. The market respects it as a key support and resistance level. A bounce off this VWAP is a signal of bullish resurgence, while a break below hints at bearish momentum. It’s not just a line—it’s the axis around which the market pivots. Indicator This is the pinnacle of liquidity visualization. The lines below are not mere decorations—they are the heartbeat of the market: • Orange (Bitcoin Price): The core driver of the current movement. • Yellow (BTC.D Moving Average): The critical indicator of Bitcoin dominance. When BTC.D rises, Bitcoin often gains strength at the expense of altcoins. When BTC.D falls, altcoin liquidity flows upward. • Blue (TOTAL3 Moving Average): The maestro of altcoins, showcasing their potential for explosive growth. This tool mirrors liquidity flows, signaling shifts in dominance. As Bitcoin moves downward, we see Bitcoin price rise; when Bitcoin moves upward, Bitcoin price moves downwards. This interplay reveals the unseen mechanics of the market. Volume Profile (Left Sidebar) The red and green histogram bars are the battlegrounds of buyers and sellers: • Red bars: High selling activity, barriers the bulls must conquer. • Green bars: Strongholds of buying strength, where the bulls rally their forces. As of now, the price dances near high-volume nodes—key zones of contention. Victory lies in breaking free from these areas, unleashing powerful directional moves. Custom Candles These candles are the secretive arsenal of this strategy, meticulously designed to expose manipulation, price inconsistencies, and pivotal moments in the market. They are crafted to reveal when the market is preparing for massive moves while remaining subtle in their true power. They keep the edge sharp without revealing too much. Altcoin and Bitcoin Insights This is a live battlefield where updates reign supreme. Altcoins are testing their waters, and Bitcoin pumps are set to reignite soon. I will be providing updates for short trades as manipulation keeps unfolding and inconsistencies present themselves. Note: The VWAP has been condensed into a 5-day timeframe to align seamlessly with the chart, while the indicator operates on a 1-day timeframe. Additionally, it dynamically reflects insights from the 4-hour timeframe, offering a multi-dimensional view of price action. (Global liquidity is where prices are headed)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
2
Bitcoin in lower timeframes (4H)Bitcoin appears to be within a "Trading Range" on lower timeframes. Within this range, a bearish "QM" (Quasimodo) pattern seems to have formed. To complete the right shoulder of this QM, the price may need to rise to higher levels (red box). It could move from the green box up to the red box. Generally, during the year-end holiday period, many large and small traders need cash and sell part of their assets, causing a mid-level correction in the market. During these days, the market seeks liquidity hunts and fluctuations within a specific range. At this stage, it's advisable to reduce the number of your trades and avoid futures trading to some extent. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 241The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
1
BITCOIN LONG TERM 200K 250K BY SEPTEMBER 2025 !!Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions are increasingly embracing Bitcoin, with companies like MicroStrategy and BlackRock investing heavily in the cryptocurrency. This institutional interest is expected to drive demand and boost prices1. Regulatory Changes: Favorable regulatory developments, such as the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, are making it easier for investors to enter the market. These changes are likely to attract more institutional and retail investors, further driving up the price1. Macroeconomic Conditions: With low interest rates and accommodative monetary policies, investors are seeking alternative assets like Bitcoin. This increased liquidity is expected to flow into cryptocurrencies, pushing prices higher1. Supply Constraints: Bitcoin's supply is limited to 21 million coins, and the upcoming halving events will reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. This scarcity is anticipated to drive up prices as demand continues to grow. Historical Trends: Past halvings have been followed by significant price increases, and many analysts believe this pattern will repeat. The combination of reduced supply and growing demand could propel Bitcoin to new heights.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
1
BTCUSD.market target 95000entry point 93400 stop loss 92600Here's a summary of your updated trade plan for BTC/USD: Trade Plan 1. _Target_: $95,000 2. _Entry Point_: $93,400 3. _Stop Loss_: $92,600 Your plan indicates a bullish outlook, expecting the Bitcoin price to rise from the entry point to the target. Key Considerations 1. _Risk Management_: Ensure you're managing risk with proper position sizing. 2. _Market Conditions_: Monitor market conditions, including economic indicators, regulatory updates, and technical analysis. 3. _Trade Adjustment_: Be prepared to adjust your trade plan if market conditions change. Would you like me to provide current BTC/USD market data, analysis, or insights?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Stevenexpert