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XBTUSD_LMAX trade ideas

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Breakdown Potential – Key Support Leve: 🔍 Technical Analysis: Resistance Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Top) The price recently hit a resistance area around $92,000. It also tested an ascending trendline (red line) and failed to break higher. Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Bottom) There are two significant support areas: First zone around $87,500 - $88,000. Second zone around $82,000 - $83,000. Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow) The price is projected to break down from the current level. A potential lower high formation suggests further decline. Target areas: $88,000 first, then possibly $82,000. 🔥 Conclusion Bearish bias if the price fails to reclaim the resistance. A breakdown below $88,000 could accelerate the drop. Watch for rejection signals at resistance zones before confirming short trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
1
$BTC Critical Support Retest at 50WMA - Must Read!50WMA is a CRITICAL SUPPORT to watch for ₿itcoin. Historically, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below it for more than one week, it signals the beginning of the BEAR MARKET. We’ve only seen BTC close beneath the 50WMA once in its history during a Post-Halving year, and that was in 2021, but then rallied to a new ATH. People often ask me what would invalidate my bull market thesis; this is one of them. I’ll be watching this support very closely, and if BTC closes below it for more than 2 weeks, i’m probably selling a good portion of my stack until we get more clarity in the market. However, this could very well have been the bottom of this correction. BTC is known to have a big Q1 drawdown in Post-Halving years. 2013 was a massive -82% correction over a week. 2017 gave us two. January -34% over 7 days. March -33% over 14 days. January 2021 gave us -31% over 14 days. The current correction we’ve seen with BTC has been the longest over 35 days with -28%. $75k would be a -31% correction, which would line up perfectly with the previous cycle. That’s the line in the sand for me. If we did see the bottom with this 28% correction, that would line up with the diminishing return theory.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
4
BTC at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?Alright y’all, let’s talk about Bitcoin’s current structure because we got a real interesting setup forming right now. BTC just had a major dump, breaking through key levels and tapping into 82,210 before catching some aggressive buyers and pushing back up. Right now, price is retesting previous support-turned-resistance around 86,742 while still struggling around the 21 EMA on the 4H. That’s a red flag for bulls because if this level holds as resistance, we could see another leg down, possibly toward 84,114 or even back to 82,210 for a double-bottom setup. What I’m Watching 👀 Right now, BTC is at a decision point. If price clears 86,742 and holds above it, I’d look for a breakout retest buy toward 92,883. But if rejection comes in strong here, I’ll be eyeing a short setup, entering around 85,300 with a target of 84,114 and 82,210 as an extended TP. Patience is key right here! We wait for confirmation—either a clean break & retest above resistance for a long OR a strong bearish rejection for the short play. Either way, we ready to secure that bag next move! 🔥🚀 Drop a 🔥 in the chat if you’re watching BTC with me this weekend! 🤑📊 #CryptoOnWeekends
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SheenaL
1
SPY/QQQ Plan your Trade For 2-28 : Gap Up - LowerToday's pattern suggests the markets will open with a slight GAP UP (higher), then transition into a downward price trend throughout the rest of the day. After yesterday's deep selling, I suspect there may be a bit more of an uptrend in early trading. The 584-585 level on the SPY was hit. That was my original projected downside target for the Feb 21-24 breakdown in price. We've also seen Bitcoin collapse a little over 25%. I believe this deep selling in Bitcoin prompted a "sell-everything" type of breakdown in the SPY/QQQ and other assets (gold/silver). Once this move subsides/bases, I believe we'll see 2-3 days of basing/bottoming, then a reasonably strong reversion rally in the SPY/QQQ as the sell-everything fear settles. This would be a good time to look for initial "anchor" positions in certain assets related to a moderate recovery rally between now and March 11-14 - maybe a bit later. Overall, we are moving solidly into my expanding megaphone pattern and should continue to see increased price volatility. The next phase of the market trends is a moderate recovery rally. Then, as we approach the March 21-24 breakdown phase, we will see more selling. Get ready for a base/bottom setup. Then, we'll see the price move into a recovery phase, and the SPY may target 600 to 604 before topping again. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
Bitcoin Has Dropped $20K in a Single Week! Where’s the Bottom?Hey followers, Crazy times, huh? I was just looking at the Bitcoin chart, and I don’t see any other week in history with a $20K retracement, absolutely wild. I haven’t done much BTC analysis lately, but the last time I did, I warned: “Money on your screen won’t feed your family—turn it into real gains.” Well, here we are. Once again, two simple criteria have proven their ability to predict profit-taking areas and potential corrections: 📌 Channel projection 📌 Equal waves Now, with this massive sell-off, it’s time to hunt for strong support zones. Percent-wise, the weekly drop might not be extreme, but in raw dollar terms, it should be the biggest in BTC’s history. So, where could this madness stop? For me, the 48K–$66K range is where things get interesting. Somewhere inside this zone, I expect a reaction, and I’ll be looking for possible reversal setups. Let’s break down the key reasons why this area is a potential landing spot: 🔹 1. Previous yearly highs acting as support In 2021, Bitcoin saw two major sell-offs in the $60K–$70K range. Then, in early 2024, the same zone acted as a strong resistance before BTC finally broke through. When a zone like this is left untested, it often pulls the price back like a magnet for a retest, a classic case of liquidity seeking validation. That’s why this area forms the foundation of my support box. 🔹 2. Short-term trendline alignment This trendline, drawn from wick touches, is valid because the third touch happens higher than the peak between the first and second touches, comes to retest the trendline from higher high levels (HH). Even though it’s short-term, it perfectly aligns with the horizontal support zone, adding extra confluence. 🔹 3. 50% retracement from the all-time high From my past crypto analysis, BTC loves its 50% retracements from all-time highs—like clockwork. And guess what? This level perfectly overlaps with the marked support zone, reinforcing its strength. 🔹 4. The psychological $50K level Round numbers play a big role in trading, humans love them. Back in August 2024, $50K acted as a key level. I even mentioned on a local radio station earlier that year that buying the dip around here could be a smart move… and, well, lucky me, it worked out. :) So once again, this simple but effective criterion strengthens the case for this area. Putting all these criteria together: Summary: The more confluences in a single price zone, the stronger it is. Sure, we could add some fake trendlines or EMAs, but for me, price action and human psychology tell the real story. Think of it like tracking footprints in the snow, BTC leaves clues, and it’s our job to follow them. - For long-term believers, this zone could be a solid place to accumulate more BTC. - For those looking to enter Bitcoin for the first time, this is the area to watch. What do you think? Are we heading lower, or... 🚀If you like the analysis, hit the boost as well🚀 Cheers, Vaido --------------------------- 📢 Want more in-depth technical analysis? I post similar insights on my Substack channel, where I break down technically strong stocks worldwide by saving you time and helping grow your portfolio. I do the technical analysis, so you don’t have to! 🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're using mobile just scroll down to my signature to choose your preferred language. See you there!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by VaidoVeek
1
bitcoin buy trend..It seems there might be some confusion or inconsistency in the levels I'm provided. Let me clarify and reorganize the information for a clearer analysis: ### Key Levels: 1. *Buy Entry at 85,000*: This is the price level where you're considering entering a long (buy) position. 2. *Resistance at 82,500*: This is the level where selling pressure might increase, acting as a barrier to upward price movement. 3. *Demand Zone at 88,000*: This is the area where buyers are expected to step in, creating support and potentially driving the price higher. 4. *1st Support Level at 96,500*: If the price falls below the demand zone, this is the next level where buyers might re-enter the market. 5. *2nd Support Level at 102,000*: A stronger support level, indicating a significant area where buyers could aggressively step in. ### Analysis: - *Buy Entry at 85,000*: This level is above the resistance at 82,500, which suggests that the resistance has already been broken. This could indicate a bullish trend, but it's important to confirm this with other indicators like volume and price action. - *Demand Zone at 88,000*: If the price moves up from your buy entry at 85,000, the next target could be the demand zone at 88,000. This is where you might expect some selling pressure, but if the price breaks through, it could continue to rise. - *Support Levels*: If the price drops below your buy entry, the 1st support level at 96,500 and the 2nd support level at 102,000 are critical areas where you might consider adding to your position or setting stop-loss orders to manage risk. ### Strategy: 1. *Confirmation*: Before entering a buy position at 85,000, ensure that the resistance at 82,500 has been convincingly broken with high volume. 2. *Targets*: - Initial target could be the demand zone at 88,000. - If the price breaks through 88,000, the next target could be higher, depending on market conditions. 3. *Risk Management*: - Set a stop-loss just below the 1st support level at 96,500 to minimize potential losses. - Monitor the price action and volume closely to confirm the trend. ### Key Considerations: - *Volume*: High trading volume at key levels can confirm the strength of the trend. - *Market Sentiment*: Stay updated with news and macroeconomic factors that could influence Bitcoin's price. - *Risk Management*: Always use stop-loss orders and position sizing to manage risk effectively. Let me know if you need further clarification or additional analysis! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
7
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
17
BTC FEAR AND GREED INDEXAfter BTC corrects to the $86K level and the Timeline sentiment hit an all time low it got me thinking, is there any correlation between sentiment around pivotal price levels of the market? To find out I studied the "Fear and Greed Index", an indicator that uses a range of sources such as volatility, volume, sentiment, dominance and trends to give a score out of 100. 1 being peak fear and 100 being peak greed. The results were interesting, currently the FGI is 21/100 (extreme fear) and if you've spent much time on crypto twitter is does feel that way too. However, during this bull market there are two key price areas where BTC had the same score: Bear market bottom - When the bear market ended after a full year of brutal selling BTCs price was around $16K with the same FGI score as today with 21. This signaled the end to the selling and began the bull market we have now. Q2-23 '24 bottom - For me, the most relevant time to compare FGI with todays score is with the bottom of the bearish trend channel we suffered through in 2024. Although price did wick below this $53,923 level to hit GETTEX:49K , the daily didn't close below it and so the September 6th low is the trend channel bottom. FGI score of 22 provided the springboard for the next leg up. So with his information the real question is this: Are we still in a bull market? If the answer is yes, then history tells us once FGI reaches these levels the bottom is in and the next leg up is around the corner. If the answer is no then the printing of a new lower high after yesterdays lower low will be confirmation of bitcoin rolling over. I am not sure which is true but having a plan for both will be very important.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by ProR35
4
BITCOIN .... target open 75kBased on My description, here's a technical analysis framework for Bitcoin (BTC) with a *sell setup* targeting key downside levels, assuming the price fails to break above the resistance at *$94,500*: --- ### *Key Levels & Strategy* 1. *Resistance: *$94,500** - A confirmed rejection at this level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume) would trigger a sell signal. - A break and close above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook. 2. *Downside Targets*: - *Target 1: $91,000* - Near-term support; a breakdown here signals momentum weakening. - Likely a minor bounce zone, but a close below $91k opens the door to deeper corrections. - *Target 2: $88,000* - Stronger support (e.g., previous swing low, Fibonacci level, or institutional buy zone). - *Target 3: $85,000* - Psychological level and potential institutional accumulation area. - *Target 4: $80,000* - Major support (e.g., 200-day moving average or long-term trendline). - *Target 5: $75,000* - Worst-case scenario (bear market territory if fundamentals deteriorate). --- ### *Technical Tools to Confirm the Setup* - *Volume*: Increasing volume on breakdowns below each target confirms bearish momentum. - *RSI/MACD*: Oversold conditions (RSI < 30) at targets like $85k or $80k could signal a reversal or pause. - *Chart Patterns*: Look for descending triangles, head-and-shoulders, or breakdowns from consolidation. - *Fibonacci Retracement*: Targets may align with key Fib levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from recent swings. --- ### *Risk Management* - *Stop-Loss*: Place above $94,500 (resistance) or a tighter stop at $93,000 if price shows weakness before the resistance. - *Position Sizing*: Scale out profits at each target (e.g., sell 20% at each level). - *Market Context*: Monitor macroeconomic factors (e.g., Fed policy, ETF inflows/outflows, regulatory news) that could override technicals. --- ### *Scenario Planning* 1. *Bullish Invalidations*: - A close above $94,500 could trigger short squeezes toward $100k+. Watch for bullish catalysts (e.g., ETF demand, halving momentum). 2. *Bearish Acceleration*: - A break below $75k could signal a structural downtrend (e.g., recession fears, crypto-specific black swan). --- ### *Psychological Notes* - *Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)*: Avoid chasing the trade if price gaps past key levels. - *Confirmation Bias*: Use multiple indicators (not just price action) to validate entries/exits. Let me know if you'd like a chart markup or deeper dive into specific tools! 📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
8
BTC Breakout or Stop-Hunt? Analyzing White House News and MarketRecent White House signals have stirred the BTC market, setting the stage for a potential mega push—but not without a tactical retraction designed to trigger stop losses. This analysis breaks down the fake-out weekly candle, examines the liquidity hunt behind the massive wick, and weighs the risks versus rewards. Learn why only the big players or committed hodlers may capitalize on the breakout and discover key risk management strategies to safeguard your positions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TradingNutCom
2