XRPUSDT.P trade ideas
XRP/USDT 1H: Bulls Eye $3.35 After Key Liquidity Sweep !XRP/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Bullish trend confirmed after a liquidity sweep at 2.65.
Smart Money Activity: Accumulation phase evident with clear order blocks around 3.12.
Risk Score: 7/10 (favorable setup).
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 3.17 - 3.18 (current price).
Targets:
T1: 3.25 (premium zone).
T2: 3.35 (previous high).
Stop Loss: Below 3.11 (recent order block).
Key Observations:
RSI: Bullish divergence forming at 57, supporting upside potential.
Premium Zone: Identified at 3.20 - 3.25.
Market Maker Intent: Targeting liquidity above 3.35.
No bearish divergences present, further supporting bullish bias.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within the 3.17 - 3.18 range.
Maintain tight stops below 3.11 to limit downside risk.
Watch for volume confirmation to strengthen confidence in the breakout.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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XRP/USDT 1H: Bears in Control – Next Stop $2.50? XRP/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Market Condition:
Price: $2.608, showing bearish momentum after breaking previous support.
Market Structure: Clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.
RSI: 34.11, oversold but no clear bullish divergence yet.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2.90 (previous support now resistance).
Support: $2.50 (psychological level).
Premium Zone: $3.10 - $3.15.
Smart Money Analysis:
Market Makers in Distribution Phase, pushing price lower.
Heavy Selling Pressure with clear institutional footprints.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for short setup.
Trade Setup (Short Bias):
Entry: $2.65 - $2.70 on relief bounce.
Targets:
T1: $2.50.
T2: $2.35.
Stop Loss: $2.85 (above recent swing high).
Risk Score: 7/10 (Favorable R:R).
Recommendation:
Wait for a relief bounce to $2.65 - $2.70 before shorting.
Market structure suggests further downside likely.
If price breaks $2.50, expect increased momentum downward.
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XRP - A Quick Look at What's HappeningHave you noticed the parallel movements between Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP. It's a common phenomenon in the crypto market, while this is likely to be a short term move let's dive into why -
Given this strong correlation, here's how a drop in Bitcoin's price can influence XRP:
Direct Impact on Trading Pairs: XRP is often traded against BTC. So, if Bitcoin's value decreases, the value of XRP in relation to Bitcoin also tends to decrease.
Sentiment-Driven Selling: When Bitcoin's price drops, it can create a sense of fear and uncertainty among investors. This can lead to a widespread sell-off (herd mentality kicks in), with investors selling off their holdings of other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, to minimize potential losses OR to capitalize on profits made at the recent highs.
Algorithmic Trading: Many traders use automated trading systems that are programmed to react to Bitcoin's price movements. If Bitcoin's price drops below a certain threshold, these systems may automatically trigger sell orders for other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, which fuels the decline further,
Liquidity Cascades: Liquidity can dry up quickly, making it harder to find buyers for XRP. This means sellers might have to lower their prices to attract buyers, pushing the price down even further.
Chart Markup Explained:
While taking all these factors into consideration, we should also be mindful of the recent surge in price - this would have definitely attracted more investors and that allows us to start painting the technical picture at a more refined level. Supply and Demand dynamics are now more prevalent than ever.
Important Notes:
Just because BTC affects the way XRP moves doesn't mean that will always be the case. It's more like they're both reacting to the same underlying market forces. XRP has its own story, its own news, its own developments that can influence its price, regardless of what Bitcoin's doing. Sometimes, XRP even dances to its own tune (as explained in the previous published idea).
So, while Bitcoin's dips can definitely have a big impact on XRP, it's not the whole picture. Other factors are always at play, and it's important to look at the bigger context. Correlation doesn't equal causation, after all.
XRPUnsure of the Hype/FOMO of this token. 1 more cycle up to $4?
Just some more theories I am looking at for a final trade, I don't use Stop losses, and I DCA.
seen too many get stopped out on flushes and rebounds, crypto is is too volatile for me to day trade.
Good luck and share your thoughts on my thesis, am I missing something bigger?
GLTA
Descending Broadening Wedge (4H)Hi there,
I believe the price has formed a descending broadening wedge on the 4H timeframe, we have hit the bottom support and we are also sat on the 0.618 FIB retracement. I believe that we could see a bounce somewhere in this region, but we'll have to see how the market plays out.
We seem to be pricing in the negative news that has recently come out, without acknowledging the positives. I feel as if XRP has not yet reached it's high and believe there is more to come.
NFA
Please feel free to give feedback on my idea, it would be greatly appreciated.
XRP - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, here is an update of the Elliott Wave Count for XRP.
It seems the lower timeframe support area of white Wave 2 didn't hold and we are going down lower at the moment. As mentioned in the last update, a break of the white Wave 2 support area indicated a reset of blue Wave 2 in an extended correction displayed as red ABC.
The blue Wave 2 support area sits between the 0.5 FIB at 2.7350 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.4149 USD. The next target for red Wave C are the 1 to 1 FIB at 2.5130 USD.
For the red Wave C we added a low timeframe count in displayed turquoise.
Technically we could've finished the five Waves but extensions are possible.
If we extend we want to see a Wave 4 soon.
The support area for turquoise Wave 4 sits between the 0.236 FIB at 2.7981 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 2.9212 USD. If we touch the 0.618 FIB at 2.9763 USD the Wave 4 gets invalidated and the low is either in or we get a more complex corrective structure.
After blue Wave 2 finished we want to see a rally in blue Wave 3 which should take us above the previous ATH at 3.5505 USD.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is our update for the 4H Elliott Wave Count!
We dipped into the blue Wave 2 support as we did expect it in our last Analysis.
It seems that for XRP the low of blue Wave 2 is in and we have seen the first impulsive reaction to it displayed as white Wave 1 here. Currently it seems as if we are working on the white Wave 2 in the pink ABC.
White Wave 2 support sit between the 0.5 FIB at 2.9370 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.7786 USD.
The correction seems to be unfolding in the pink ABC. Assume that pink Wave B is already in we can calculate targets for pink Wave C which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 2.9280 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 2.8804 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 2.8510 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 2.8034 USD.
After that we expect a rally in white Wave 3 which could take us to a new ATH.
On the chart we also calculate potential targets for the blue Wave 3 which sit at the 1 to 1 FIB at 3.7263 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 3.9788 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 4.1351 USD and the 4.3876 USD.
If we break about the white Wave 2 support we are probably extending the correction and resetting blue Wave 2. Blue Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 2.7992 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.4555 USD.
Be aware that we have high impact news later today.
Federal Funds Rate followed by the FOMC statement which can lead to volatility.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
$XRP short PRRRINTING. At crucial support, G-pocket next, likelyCRYPTOCAP:XRP short position printing nicely, I'm just posting the updated charts with one addition on the 4-hour chart.
RSI has entered oversold territory (below 30), and seems to be forming a Double Bottom precisely where I expected the last line of Defense (cluster of support: 200 MA, Fib 0.5 and the ascending trendline).
Losing this means that the Golden Pocket should get revisited next, to put it simply. That's my TP2.
How much lower could CRYPTOCAP:XRP fall short-term, that remains to be seen.
Monitoring this altcoin collapse instead of resting, not a great way to spend a Sunday👽💙
Trading strategy is determination and waiting
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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BW(100) indicator and HA-High indicator show the high point range.
In other words, the fact that the BW(100) indicator and HA-High indicator were created means that it has fallen from the high point range.
Therefore, the range made up of the BW(100) indicator and the HA-High indicator is called the high boundary zone.
When it falls in this range, you can sell (SHORT), but it is not easy to enter the actual sell (SHORT) position.
Therefore, in order to reduce this difficulty, the box range was set and displayed based on the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, when it falls below the 2.9660 point and shows resistance, it is possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position for the last time.
In that sense, it can be said that entry was possible today.
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Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing a pattern of rising in the oversold zone and then failing to continue the upward trend and falling again.
This means that the decline is strong.
However, when the StochRSI indicator falls again to the oversold zone and then rises, it is highly likely to show a large increase depending on where it is supported.
In that sense, if it shows support in the second zone of 2.5127-2.6031, it is highly likely to show a large increase.
If not, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
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(30m chart)
For a trend change, you can see where it is based on the MS-Signal indicator.
However, you need to check whether the trend is sustainable at the support and resistance points.
In other words, it is currently showing signs of rising above the MS-Signal indicator.
If it continues to rise like this, in order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator and 5EMA+StErr indicator on the 1D chart to maintain the price.
If not, it will fall again.
Therefore, you need to buy (LONG) when it is supported near the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, and liquidate when it is resisted near the MS-Signal indicator.
If you continue trading like that, if the MS-Signal indicator rises higher and the price is maintained, you can check for support near the M-Signal indicator and 5EMA+StErr indicator on the 1D chart and respond.
Therefore, when looking at the 30m chart, it may be advantageous to trade with a buy (LONG) position.
Then, when you meet the HA-High indicator or BW (100) indicator, you trade with a sell (SHORT) position.
If you had previously traded with a sell (SHORT) position on the HA-High indicator or BW (100) indicator on the 30m chart, it would have been the best choice.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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XRP: The Trick Is In The ActionLook at this, this is pretty interesting.
What do you see?
Yesterday's session is a mix but definitely gives out a bullish signal.
Very strong selling, high bearish pressure but the session ended green and at the top of the candle happened the close. Very tricky.
Seeing this candle, 27-Jan., immediately leads us to believe that today we are set to go up. I can see many people rushing and going LONG. Right?
It is normal, this is what the chart is saying and this is where the action is pointing towards, higher. But, look at the volume, trading volume is very low.
These drops, they tend to happen in pairs. Sometimes, these can come even in triplets; one, two, three.
So instead of the flush yesterday and today up. We get a flush yesterday, then another flush and when people are finally ready and convinced one final flush and then up; why? Because we are close to the bull-market bull-run. The market will try to remove all of the weak and doubtful hands before maximum growth; why? Because the growth period will be really, really strong. Once it starts going, there is no going back and that's why all the shaking happens before.
I think we need to wait just a little bit longer...
Things can change in a flash, that's true but, I don't know.
Something is off.
If you agree, let me know in the comments section below.
Patience is key.
I am truly grateful for your continued support... Why?
Namaste.
XRP/USDT: Critical Decision Point - Range or Drop?Here's a concise analysis of the XRP/USDT 12H chart:
Technical Setup:
- Price in descending parallel channel (blue lines)
- Currently at: 3.1666 USDT (-3.82%)
- High volume (263.81M)
- Notable Fibonacci levels marked: 0.5 and 0.66
Price Action Forecast (marked in yellow):
- Potential sideways consolidation with volatile swings
- Range between 2.8-3.2 USDT
- Risk of -18.76% downside noted (-0.5948)
Key Levels:
- Resistance: 3.4 (0 Fib level)
- Support: 2.8 (0.5 Fib level)
- Critical Support: 2.6 (0.66 Fib level)
Trading Note:
Caution advised - chart shows possible distribution pattern with high volume. Wait for clear direction before taking position.
$XRP Saturday UPDATECRYPTOCAP:XRP with a billion tokens getting unlocked today—no surprise that the price has declined 5% so far after yet another rejection from the trendline resistance.
My short at $3.12 has been doing fine, and further downside would be expected as momentum is visibly waning, reflected by RSI (1D) falling back to Neutral (54) after breaking below its ascending trendline.
My first Take Profit ($2.91) was nearly reached during last night's dip as low as $2.94—it won’t be that easy, though, as the Army buys every dip with conviction. They don’t care about any $3 billion unlocks (not all of these will be dumped, usually 20%-50%) due to their wet-dream targets set between MIL:1K and $1M (depending on their rank in the Army).
Now, on a more serious note, shorter timeframes Market Structure has turned bearish. RSI (4hr, currently 38) needs to get back above 60 and preferably above the trendline (blue line on RSI) for me to start thinking about longs again.
Also, looking at the 2-week Liquidation Heatmap (this consolidation has been going on for roughly that long), it’s not hard to spot a cluster of liquidity around $2.5.
That’s where my last Take Profit orders would get filled, and the Market Maker could make that happen. I also intend to flip bullish right there, both with spot top-ups and potentially long leverage positions. RSI would be very oversold if XRP gets that low (likely with a wick that gets bought up quickly, by the Army, of course).
One more interesting zone for a reversal is marked with a blue arrow on the 4hr chart (confluence of ascending 1-month-old trendline, 200 MA, and Fib 0.5). This could be too early to enter, though, so best to monitor 15m-1hr timeframes for reversal signals (RSI divergences, reversal chart/candlestick patterns, etc.).
Situation in a nutshell:
Too late to short, and too early to long CRYPTOCAP:XRP now. Positioning is key, as volatility is expected, especially Sunday to Monday night. 💙👽
PS. I publish more regularly on Coin Market Cap or Binance Square, including Heatmaps and other timeframes mentioned in my analyses:
coinmarketcap.com
XRP 1 day to go before the weekly candle closes. If candle closes blue it creates a hold level to support higher prices IF the close is above the weekly inv.FS level. This gives next week's candle higher probability to gain the previous week's high & use it as support for higher prices.
IF closes below the inv.FS THEN probability goes to distribution & reversal. The inv.FS levels create resistance for price accumulation. The FS level would be the next support level on the weekly time-frame.
Mr.Million | Current XRP Chart Analysis and update to my currentUpdate to My Current XRP Short Position:
Recently I posted my bearish stance on #XRT and a low-leverage (2x) SHORT at ~ $3.06, with PT of ~ $2.2. Since then 🥁🥁…
💰 Added to my position (3x lev.) around ~$3.2.
💰 Locked in profits (green circles) of ~$193k.🤑
💰 Remaining short back to 2x lev. 🥳 with a better avg. price of $3.129. ✨
On Binance, my XRP short from Jan 30 to 31 has a realized PnL of $193,047 and an unrealized PnL of $50,339.
Follow me for future updates on this position (XRP), and here’s to a dip to my PT for a big payday! 🙏📉💸
XRP long to 3.8### **XRP Trend Analysis & Next Targets (January 31, 2025)**
#### **Current Market Overview**
- **Price:** ~$3.10
- **Intraday High:** $3.15
- **Intraday Low:** $3.06
- **Trend:** Bullish momentum with key resistance levels ahead
#### **Technical Analysis**
1. **Bull Flag Formation:**
- Analysts have identified a **bull flag pattern**, which typically signals further upward movement.
- If this pattern plays out, **first targets** are around **$3.55 and $4.40**.
2. **Elliott Wave Projection:**
- Based on Elliott Wave theory, some projections suggest a **potential move toward $5.85**, if momentum sustains and breaks key resistance levels.
3. **Resistance & Support Levels:**
- **Resistance:** **$3.22** – A critical level where XRP recently faced rejection. Breaking this could push the price to the next targets.
- **Support:** **$3.00 - $2.90** – Strong support levels that XRP needs to hold to maintain bullish momentum.
#### **Outlook & Next Targets**
- **Short-Term Target:** $3.55
- **Mid-Term Target:** $4.40
- **Long-Term Target (if bullish momentum continues):** $5.85
### **Key Factors to Watch**
- **Breakout confirmation above $3.22**
- **Overall crypto market sentiment and Bitcoin’s movement**
- **Regulatory news impacting XRP**
- **Trading volume and institutional interest**
### **Conclusion**
XRP is showing **strong bullish potential**, but breaking resistance at **$3.22** is crucial. If momentum continues, targets of **$3.55, $4.40, and even $5.85** are in play. However, traders should monitor support levels around **$3.00 - $2.90** in case of a short-term pullback.
The Leverage GameSometimes we just want to make money fast. Or at the leas that's the excuse we give ourselves when we want to enter the market with 20X.
Sometimes we are inspired to trade, to participate in Cryptocurrency trading, or any trading, based on the promise of high yields, fast money, easy gains.
Many times this are the idea that drives many of the participants in this craft.
They think, "Maybe I can nail this thing and make money fast."
And thus starts the rat race.
In the quest to make money fast we enter the game without the right preparation.
We enter the game unprepared and instead of making money fast we start losing money and this losing starts to accumulate.
Immediately we reach the point where we no longer want to make money fast we just want to recover, "If I could just breakeven; get back to the starting point, that would be good enough." We tend to think to ourselves.
The Cryptocurrency market tends to grow between 4-7X on each single bullish wave.
A bullish wave can develop within 3 months once it is already going.
The entire process can last 4-6 months if we take into account also the consolidation phase.
If you have a capital of say, $100,000, you could easily split it between 10 pairs, using a diversification strategy, and end up with a nice $400,000 - $700,000 by the end of the bullish wave. Is this money fast or slow? Is the risk high or low? What other actions are needed other than buy and hold?
Here comes the leverage game.
Since you are using leverage, you don't need 100K. So you start with $10,000 and get ready to play.
The first few weeks are good; beginners luck. The market keeps moving and you keep on pyramiding, growing your position more and more.
Never take profits. Just let it roll and grow.
The market starts to retrace but you don't even consider closing your positions because this wasn't planned; what if the market resumes growing today or the next day?
(Greed)
When the market has been red for 3 weeks straight, you are close to getting liquidated and have to decide; leave or stay?
A sudden drop and that's done. You are now at zero, you went through a nerve wrecking experience and your mood is very low.
This process is repeated but never straight down. Sometimes the market goes up, sometimes it goes down.
Sometimes you are in the green. Other times you are red.
This time you have $20,000 capital and managed to reach $50,000. This can happen fast because you are using leverage but next thing you know, sudden crash and gone again.
When six months are up, you are down $90,000 and some experience that might or might not be useful. And you started trading to make money fast.
But the Altcoins/pairs that you bought 6 months ago are now all of them, without exception 3-5X up.
The spot trader is reading his books, enjoying some nice, clean organic foods, enjoying the beach bathing under the sun.
The $100,000 capital can be easily $300,000 or any amount for that matter. No stress, but the capital grows rather than shrink.
Money fast or money slow?
In the quest for fast money, we tend to lose everything in one go.
It is ok to trade with leverage.
It is ok to take risks.
But if you are going to trade with me, patience is key.
Our leveraged trades are a hit or miss. So we need the right timing, the best possible entry in order to succeed.
All these numbers above are just examples of course.
You can trade all you like but never fool yourself, if you lack experience, mental and emotional stability you can make money if you buy and hold. Specially in this bull-market.
The mistake will be over-trading, mark my words.
Just make a plan and follow that plan.
If you can't quit your gambling addiction, try reducing leverage to 2X.
The best possible choice is to trade spot until you can win successfully for two years straight.
If you can achieve this milestone, you are ready for the leverage game.
It is a game for adults.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
$XRP short setup CRYPTOCAP:XRP Short Setup: All Signs Point Down imo, short-term only.
Everything is lining up for XRP to take a hit—trendline resistance, upcoming unlocks, macro headwinds, and fading momentum. Here’s why I’m shorting:
1️⃣ Trendline Resistance + Weak Volume
XRP is struggling against major trendline resistance (ranging from the high made 2 weeks ago $3.4), showing clear rejection at the top of its range.
Volume is declining, meaning buyers are running out of steam. A failed breakout with no volume is a recipe for a reversal.
Break or reject? Price action says reject.
2️⃣ XRP Unlocks = Incoming Sell Pressure
On Sat Feb 1 one billion XRP ($3.1B worth) unlocks—a massive supply injection.
Ripple historically sells part of these unlocks, adding downward pressure to the price.
Every past unlock event has led to weakness—why should this time be different? Have a look At the price action from DEC 1 and JAN 1... See any patterns?
More supply + weak demand = lower prices.
3️⃣ Macro Headwinds: Strong DXY, Weak ETH/BTC, CPI Uncertainty
DXY is holding strong, hovering above 108.5—bad news for risk assets. The dollar just doesn't want to crash properly.
Ethereum is struggling at resistance, altcoins are lagging, and Bitcoin is at major resistances of its own. Not to mention eth/btc chart, which looks like freefall on higher timeframes (12h to the Weekly charts).
CPI data this week = uncertainty = shaky price action ahead.
XRP doesn’t move in isolation—macro conditions favour downside, at least short term.
I'm in, and this is always risky business, to short the XRP Army. Not just financially, mainly because if I lose the trade, the XRP soldiers won't let me mourn in peace..
Take Profit Strategy, do not even think about copying👽💙:
Target 1: $2.91 (December high, once there, SL to entry price to play it safe)
Target 2: between $2.64 - $2.67 (Golden Pocket, supported by the 50 day MA)
Target 3: $2.51 (a bit above the main support)
Stop Loss: If XRP closes above $3.40 with strong volume, I’m out. You do you, as the motto goes💙
