1. Combining Equity Levels and Yield Sensitivity SPX (S&P 500) reflects equity market strength and investor sentiment. When SPX is rising, it typically indicates optimism or strong earnings growth expectations. US10Y (10-year Treasury yield) reflects the cost of capital and inflation expectations. Rising yields can signify tightening financial conditions or...
... Government Digital Currency the solution? Something greater than 2009? The great wealth transfer? Adoption of Flare Network? ...
Scenario: Macro Cup & Handle plays out... This assumes the crypto market becomes bullish again and we get that final leg up in the bull market. ETH will become the strongest altcoin ever EOY.
BTC gains dominance, subsequently decreasing the strength of LTC Target: 0.0024
Macro Cup & Handle with a fractal backbone. Room for upside on our indicators as well. A bullish Q4 will result in this scenario! Ripple winning their lawsuit and the relisting of XRP will make this scenario come true from the fundamental standpoint!
Price Target: .148 - .2 Wolfpack and RSI have room for upside. Chart pattern similar to MANA and BAT. Look what happened to those cryptos this week!!!
“Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." - John Maynard Keynes
MSFT is currently in grand wave 3/5! PT: ~$500 Lengthening cycles & diminishing returns! 2nd Great Recession - Corrective Grand Wave 4 - 60-80% correction Roaring 20s after - liquidity for final grand wave 5!
NIO has been bearish for a long time now. We were initially in a megaphone pattern and rising wedge, which resulted in a dump earlier this year. We tried entering back into the megaphone but failed. Now we are in a macro descending triangle and micro head and shoulders pattern. I do not like the chart, therefore I will rate NIO as a sell on the next test of...
-Continuation Pattern - Wedge -Average drop: 84.25% -Crypto Adoption (CBDCs, etc.) -Diminishing Returns -Shorter Bear Markets -Accumulation Zone: $9-$11 <-- Bottom
"Decade of zero returns" for the stock market = Shortening Bear Market for Commodities Price target = $50 Fractal backbone + Room in technicals for such move. Price target was established in June 2021. Time frame pushed up in anticipation of 2023 bear.
The S&P 500 is a linear instrument for making money. If we examine this index on the log scale, we derive a historical price channel that can call recessions/depressions. We are close to a huge resistance line. Zoom in for clarity!
Fully in Person by Fall 2022 academic semester. Almost all textbooks are online free! Limited-no access to "resources" for assignments/exams in the in-person setting. I don't like outlook.
Linear target: 44k Impulse target: 48k The stock market cycles are lengthening. Continued downside till EOM followed by a final melt-up rally that will bring the end of grand wave 5. ETA H2 '22 - H1 '23.
3950-4K micro-target followed by the melt-up rally. Linear top: 5325 Log top: (Separate post): 6000 Extension linear top: 6500 60-80% Bear Market follows; Target 1: 2150 Target 2: 1555 End of Bear Market: Q3/Q4 2024 due to QE5/6, aka Infinite easing. P.S. Disregard target 3 on the chart; Depression isn't expected this decade.
H1 2023 Target Top: 6000, followed by the 2nd Great Recession. Top is confluent with our genesis trend-line (Great Depression & Great Recession tops)! Bear Market bottom around 2200 (COVID bottom / 200 Month estimated SMA).
2.618 fib Cup 3.618 fib Handle Wolfpack Green wave RSI: Room for overbought + future div 2023 Recession = Safety in Metals Measured Cup & Handle Target 1: $2700 - confluent with 2.618 handle fib! Target 2: $3000 Max extension
Crash Zone highlighted in Red. Fair warning is given as well; "Sell Sell Sell"